The property market, property valuations and property performance measurement

1985 ◽  
Vol 112 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-60 ◽  
Author(s):  
David P. Hager ◽  
David J. Lord

1.1. The Institute has discussed papers on most aspects of institutional investment in recent years, with the notable exception of property. This is not due to the lack of importance of this investment sector to pension funds and life offices, but perhaps to the greater role of actuaries (rather than surveyors) in the other investment media and to the interest in mathematical models for gilts and equities.1.2. In this paper we have not tried to produce a mathematical model of the property market, a new valuation method for property or solutions to the extensive problems of property performance measurement and indices. We have, however, tried to pull together, in a single paper, the volumes of material on the property market and property valuation methods. We have also tried to set down some of the pitfalls of property performance measurement, which often tend to be overlooked in the relentless pursuit for more statistics in this important area.

2011 ◽  
Vol 48 (1) ◽  
pp. 83-109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashley B. Pitcher ◽  
Shane D. Johnson

Research concerned with burglary indicates that it is clustered not only at places but also in time. Some homes are victimized repeatedly, and the risk to neighbors of victimized homes is temporarily elevated. The latter type of burglary is referred to as a near repeat. Two theories have been proposed to explain observed patterns. The boost hypothesis states that risk is elevated following an event reflecting offender foraging activity. The flag hypothesis, on the other hand, suggests that time-stable variation in risk provides an explanation where data for populations with different risks are analyzed in the aggregate. To examine this, the authors specify a series of discrete mathematical models of urban residential burglary and examine their outcomes using stochastic agent-based simulations. Results suggest that variation in risk alone cannot explain patterns of exact and near repeats, but that models which also include a boost component show good qualitative agreement with published findings.


2005 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 1483-1494 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Wiuff ◽  
R. M. Zappala ◽  
R. R. Regoes ◽  
K. N. Garner ◽  
F. Baquero ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT When growing bacteria are exposed to bactericidal concentrations of antibiotics, the sensitivity of the bacteria to the antibiotic commonly decreases with time, and substantial fractions of the bacteria survive. Using Escherichia coli CAB1 and antibiotics of five different classes (ampicillin, ciprofloxacin, rifampin, streptomycin, and tetracycline), we examine the details of this phenomenon and, with the aid of mathematical models, develop and explore the properties and predictions of three hypotheses that can account for this phenomenon: (i) antibiotic decay, (ii) inherited resistance, and (iii) phenotypic tolerance. Our experiments cause us to reject the first two hypotheses and provide evidence that this phenomenon can be accounted for by the antibiotic-mediated enrichment of subpopulations physiologically tolerant to but genetically susceptible to these antibiotics, phenotypic tolerance. We demonstrate that tolerant subpopulations generated by exposure to one concentration of an antibiotic are also tolerant to higher concentrations of the same antibiotic and can be tolerant to antibiotics of the other four types. Using a mathematical model, we explore the effects of phenotypic tolerance to the microbiological outcome of antibiotic treatment and demonstrate, a priori, that it can have a profound effect on the rate of clearance of the bacteria and under some conditions can prevent clearance that would be achieved in the absence of tolerance.


Author(s):  
MousalrezaFaramarzi Palangar ◽  
Mohammad Mirzaie

Abstract—In this paper, an improved mathematical model for flashover behavior of polluted insulators is proposed based on experimental tests. In order to determine the flashover model of polluted insulators, the relationship between conductivity and salinity of solution pollution layer of the insulator is measured. Then, the leakage of current amplitude of four common insulators versus axial, thermal conductivity and arc constants temperature was determined. The experimental tests show that top leakage distance (TLd) to bottom leakage distance (BLd) ratio of insulators has a significant effect on critical voltage and current. Therefore, critical voltage and current were modeled by TLd to BLd ratio Index (M). Also, salinity of solution pollution layer of the insulators has been applied to this model by resistance pollution parameter. On the other hand, arc constants of each insulator in new model have been identified based on experimental results. Finally, a mathematical model is intended for critical voltage against salinity of solution pollution layer of different insulators. This model depends on insulator profile. There is a good agreement between the experimental tests of pollution insulators obtained in the laboratory and values calculated from the mathematical models developed in the present study.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (01) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Erni Br Simanjuntak ◽  
Gede Harja Wasistha

<p><em>New challenges arises for government institutions engaged in research and engineering to continuously innovate and develop technologies that have competitive advantages and provide income for the country through royalty from licensed technology. This research carried out to valuate the aeronautics and space technology. The objective of the study is to develop appropriate intellectual property valuation methods. This research is a case study utilizing sequential mix method which is the combination of quantitative and qualitative research. By using intellectual capital theory, this research-broaden the literatures on the technology valuation in the field of aeronautics and space. This study fills research gap on the existing technology valuation method that is still partially conducted by government research and development. </em></p><p><em>This study discusses the value of intangible assets and licenses from intellectual property that are calculated through three valuation approaches, such as cost-based approach, income-based approach, and market-based approach. The results of the study show that the most appropriate intellectual property valuation method are the cost-based approach and income-based approach.</em></p><p><strong><em>JEL Classification: </em></strong><em>O30, O31, O33</em><strong></strong></p><strong><em>Keywords</em></strong>: <em>Cost Based Approach,</em><em> Income Based Approach, Intellectual Property, Market Based Approach, Sequential Mix Method </em>


Author(s):  
MousalrezaFaramarzi Palangar ◽  
Mohammad Mirzaie

In this paper, an improved mathematical model for flashover behavior of polluted insulators is proposed based on experimental tests. In order to determine the flashover model of polluted insulators, the relationship between conductivity and salinity of solution pollution layer of the insulator is measured. Then, the leakage of current amplitude of four common insulators versus axial, thermal conductivity and arc constants temperature was determined. The experimental tests show that top leakage distance (TLd) to bottom leakage distance (BLd) ratio of insulators has a significant effect on critical voltage and current. Therefore, critical voltage and current were modeled by TLd to BLd ratio Index (M). Also, salinity of solution pollution layer of the insulators has been applied to this model by resistance pollution parameter. On the other hand, arc constants of each insulator in new model have been identified based on experimental results. Finally, a mathematical model is intended for critical voltage against salinity of solution pollution layer of different insulators. This model depends on insulator profile. There is a good agreement between the experimental tests of pollution insulators obtained in the laboratory and values calculated from the mathematical models developed in the present study.


Algorithms ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 331
Author(s):  
Maria Letizia Bertotti

In this paper, an elementary mathematical model describing the introduction of a universal basic income in a closed market society is constructed. The model is formulated in terms of a system of nonlinear ordinary differential equations, each of which gives account of how the number of individuals in a certain income class changes in time. Societies ruled by different fiscal systems (with no taxes, with taxation and redistribution, with a welfare system) are considered and the effect of the presence of a basic income in the various cases is analysed by means of numerical simulations. The main findings are that basic income effectively acts as a tool of poverty alleviation: indeed, in its presence the portion of individuals in the poorest classes and economic inequality diminish. Of course, the issue of a universal basic income in the real world is more complex and involves a variety of aspects. The goal here is simply to show how mathematical models can help in forecasting scenarios resulting from one or the other policy.


2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Gabrielli ◽  
Nick French

PurposeValuation is the process of determining Market Value. Property valuation, as with the valuation of all assets, is an estimation of price in the market. It is value in exchange. The valuer role is to determine the appropriate approach, the method and use the right model to achieve this aim as best as possible. It is a combination of analysing the market and determining the critical variables for the valuation method/model. The method is separate from the valuation process which should be followed (according to the International Valuation Standards Council Valuation Standards) regardless the valuation method chosen. There are valuation approaches, valuation methods and, as a subset of the methods, techniques or models.Design/methodology/approachThis practice briefing is an overview of the Valuation Methods and Models available to the valuer and comments on the appropriateness of valuation each in assessing Market Value for specific property types.FindingsThis briefing is a review of the valuation methods and models and models that can be applied to determine market value.Practical implicationsThe role of the valuer in practice is to identify the method of valuation and then apply the correct mathematical model for the valuation task in hand.Originality/valueThis provides guidance on how valuations can be presented to the client in accordance with the International Valuation Standards.


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 595-608
Author(s):  
A. Molter ◽  
R. S. Quadros ◽  
M. Rafikov ◽  
D. Buske ◽  
G. A. Gonçalves

The outbreak of COVID-19 has made scientists from all over the world do not measureefforts to understand the dynamics of the disease caused by this coronavirus. Several mathematical models have been proposed to describe the dynamics and make predictions. This work proposes a mathematical model that includes social isolation of susceptible individuals as a strategy of suppression and mitigation of the disease. The Susceptible-Infectious-Isolated-Recovered-Dead (SIQRD) model is proposed to analyze three important issues about the dynamics of the disease taking into account social isolation: when the isolation should begin? How long to keep the isolation? How to get out of this isolation? To get answers, computer simulations are provided and their results discussed. The results obtained show that beginning social isolation on the 10th or 15th days, after confirmation of the 50th case, and with 70% of the population in isolation, seems to be promising, since the infected curve does not grow much until it enters the isolation and remains at a stable level during the isolation. On the other hand an abrupt release of the social isolation will imply a second peak of infected individuals above the first one, which is not desired. Therefore, the release from social isolation should be gradual.


2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 113-143
Author(s):  
Maurizio d’Amato ◽  
◽  
Paola Amoruso ◽  

Whilst the property market shows cyclical behaviours, opinions of value based on income approaches assume that there is stable or perpetually growing (or decreasing) income without considering the effects of the property market cycle on leasing contracts. The paper therefore focuses on the application of a valuation method for income producing properties which have a value that is affected by the upturns and downturns of property market cycles. Continuing from the previous works in this area (d¡¦Amato, 2003, d¡¦Amato, 2013; d¡¦Amato, 2015) the income approach method here is applied to the office market in four areas of London. In applying this valuation method, property valuation and time series analysis are integrated. The work provides a general introduction on cyclical capitalization as another family of valuation methodologies based on the income approach and then an application of cyclical capitalization to areas of London which highlight their strength and weakness.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Diána Strommer ◽  
Péter Földesi

In today’s word the role of logistics is getting more important in the operation of enterprises. The competition is big, and cost is one of the most important factors. Logistics is a field which can highly support the reduction of the costs. From the other perspective – the customer satisfaction – logistics also has the role of a supportive function. To get the most out of these two big pillars logistics operation needs to be monitored and measured to give room for further improvement. Currently several methods are available for performance measurement. In this article we present comparison of four of the mainly used performance measurement tools.


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