scholarly journals Climate Sensitivity: The Significance of the Altitude-mass-balance Feedback on Glaciers and Ice Sheets

1990 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 345 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anne Letréguilly ◽  
Johannes Oerlemans

An ice mass increasing its extent will generally also increase its mean surface elevation (anything else being unchanged). Since temperature drops rapidly with height this often implies a more positive mass balance and thus further growth. This powerful feedback loop is at least as important as the temperature-albedo feedback. In this work, we present a general study of the nature of the altitude-mass-balance feedback, with special attention for the role of differences in the bedrock geometry. One- and two-dimensional experiments on various bedrock topographies are run, using a numerical ice-sheet model based on plane shear flow of ice. Different climates are simulated by lowering or raising uniformly the mass-balance distribution over the ice sheet. These studies were first done on steady state ice sheets. They show that some geometries can largely enhance this altitude mass-balance feedback. On an island, for instance, it is possible to have two different stable steady states under the same climatic environment: no ice sheet, or a large one over the whole island. When the geometry of the island becomes more complex, for instance with two hills of unequal heights, four different equilibria can be found for the same climatic conditions: no ice sheet, one small one, two small ones or a very large one. Which will develop depends entirely on the history of the mass-balance fluctuations.

1990 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 345-345
Author(s):  
Anne Letréguilly ◽  
Johannes Oerlemans

An ice mass increasing its extent will generally also increase its mean surface elevation (anything else being unchanged). Since temperature drops rapidly with height this often implies a more positive mass balance and thus further growth. This powerful feedback loop is at least as important as the temperature-albedo feedback. In this work, we present a general study of the nature of the altitude-mass-balance feedback, with special attention for the role of differences in the bedrock geometry. One- and two-dimensional experiments on various bedrock topographies are run, using a numerical ice-sheet model based on plane shear flow of ice. Different climates are simulated by lowering or raising uniformly the mass-balance distribution over the ice sheet.These studies were first done on steady state ice sheets. They show that some geometries can largely enhance this altitude mass-balance feedback. On an island, for instance, it is possible to have two different stable steady states under the same climatic environment: no ice sheet, or a large one over the whole island. When the geometry of the island becomes more complex, for instance with two hills of unequal heights, four different equilibria can be found for the same climatic conditions: no ice sheet, one small one, two small ones or a very large one. Which will develop depends entirely on the history of the mass-balance fluctuations.


1992 ◽  
Vol 338 (1285) ◽  
pp. 235-242 ◽  

The prediction of short-term (100 year) changes in the mass balance of ice sheets and longer-term (1000 years) variations in their ice volumes is important for a range of climatic and environmental models. The Antarctic ice sheet contains between 24 M km 3 and 29 M km 3 of ice, equivalent to a eustatic sea level change of between 60m and 72m. The annual surface accumulation is estimated to be of the order of 2200 Gtonnes, equivalent to a sea level change of 6 mm a -1 . Analysis of the present-day accumulation regime of Antarctica indicates that about 25% ( ca. 500 Gt a -1 ) of snowfall occurs in the Antarctic Peninsula region with an area of only 6.8% of the continent. To date most models have focused upon solving predictive algorithms for the climate-sensitivity of the ice sheet, and assume: (i) surface mass balance is equivalent to accumulation (i.e. no melting, evaporation or deflation); (ii) percentage change in accumulation is proportional to change in saturation mixing ratio above the surface inversion layer; and (iii) there is a linear relation between mean annual surface air tem perature and saturation mixing ratio. For the A ntarctic Peninsula with mountainous terrain containing ice caps, outlet glaciers, valley glaciers and ice shelves, where there can be significant ablation at low levels and distinct climatic regimes, models of the climate response must be more complex. In addition, owing to the high accumulation and flow rates, even short- to medium -term predictions must take account of ice dynamics. Relationships are derived for the mass balance sensitivity and, using a model developed by Hindmarsh, the transient effects of ice dynamics are estimated. It is suggested that for a 2°C rise in mean annual surface tem perature over 40 years, ablation in the A ntarctic Peninsula region would contribute at least 1.0 mm to sea level rise, offsetting the fall of 0.5 mm contributed by increased accum ulation.


Author(s):  
Colm Ó Cofaigh

Over the last two decades, marine science, aided by technological advances in sediment coring, geophysical imaging and remotely operated submersibles, has played a major role in the investigation of contemporary and former ice sheets. Notable advances have been achieved with respect to reconstructing the extent and flow dynamics of the large polar ice sheets and their mid-latitude counterparts during the Quaternary from marine geophysical and geological records of landforms and sediments on glacier-influenced continental margins. Investigations of the deep-sea ice-rafted debris record have demonstrated that catastrophic collapse of large (10 5 –10 6  km 2 ) ice-sheet drainage basins occurred on millennial and shorter time scales and had a major influence on oceanography. In the last few years, increasing emphasis has been placed on understanding physical processes at the ice–ocean interface, particularly at the grounding line, and on determining how these processes affect ice-sheet stability. This remains a major challenge, however, owing to the logistical constraints imposed by working in ice-infested polar waters and ice-shelf cavities. Furthermore, despite advances in reconstructing the Quaternary history of mid- and high-latitude ice sheets, major unanswered questions remain regarding West Antarctic ice-sheet stability, and the long-term offshore history of the East Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets remains poorly constrained. While these are major research frontiers in glaciology, and ones in which marine science has a pivotal role to play, realizing such future advances will require an integrated collaborative approach between oceanographers, glaciologists, marine geologists and numerical modellers.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lauren Gregoire ◽  
Niall Gandy ◽  
Lachlan Astfalck ◽  
Robin Smith ◽  
Ruza Ivanovic ◽  
...  

<p>Simulating the co-evolution of climate and ice-sheets during the Quaternary is key to understanding some of the major abrupt changes in climate, ice and sea level. Indeed, events such as the Meltwater pulse 1a rapid sea level rise and Heinrich, Dansgaard–Oeschger and the 8.2 kyr climatic events all involve the interplay between ice sheets, the atmosphere and the ocean. Unfortunately, it is challenging to simulate the coupled Climate-Ice sheet system because small biases, errors or uncertainties in parts of the models are strongly amplified by the powerful interactions between the atmosphere and ice (e.g. ice-albedo and height-mass balance feedbacks). This leads to inaccurate or even unrealistic simulations of ice sheet extent and surface climate. To overcome this issue we need some methods to effectively explore the uncertainty in the complex Climate-Ice sheet system and reduce model biases. Here we present our approach to produce ensemble of coupled Climate-Ice sheet simulations of the Last Glacial maximum that explore the uncertainties in climate and ice sheet processes.</p><p>We use the FAMOUS-ICE earth system model, which comprises a coarse-resolution and fast general circulation model coupled to the Glimmer-CISM ice sheet model. We prescribe sea surface temperature and sea ice concentrations in order to control and reduce biases in polar climate, which strongly affect the surface mass balance and simulated extent of the northern hemisphere ice sheets. We develop and apply a method to reconstruct and sample a range of realistic sea surface temperature and sea-ice concentration spatio-temporal field. These are created by merging information from PMIP3/4 climate simulations and proxy-data for sea surface temperatures at the Last Glacial Maximum with Bayes linear analysis. We then use these to generate ensembles of FAMOUS-ice simulations of the Last Glacial maximum following the PMIP4 protocol, with the Greenland and North American ice sheets interactively simulated. In addition to exploring a range of sea surface conditions, we also vary key parameters that control the surface mass balance and flow of ice sheets. We thus produce ensembles of simulations that will later be used to emulate ice sheet surface mass balance.  </p>


Author(s):  
Karen Radner ◽  
Nadine Moeller ◽  
D. T. Potts

With the emphasis of the Oxford History of the Ancient Near East firmly placed on the political, social, and cultural histories of the states and communities shaping Egypt and Western Asia (including the Levant, Anatolia, Mesopotamia, and Iran), this introduction to the five-volume series seeks to place the region in its environmental context. It discusses the lay of the land between the North African coast and the Hindu Kush, including the role of tectonics and geomorphology. It also considers some key issues regarding climatic conditions, focusing in particular on the significance of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone and the potential impact of megadroughts and pandemics.


1985 ◽  
Vol 31 (109) ◽  
pp. 281-292 ◽  
Author(s):  
S.S Grigoryan ◽  
S.A Buyanov ◽  
M.S Krass ◽  
P.A Shumskiy

AbstractAn evolutionary mathematical model of ice sheets is presented. The model takes into account the basic climatic and geophysical parameters, with temperature parameterization. Some numerical data derived from experiments on the Greenland ice sheet are received. At present the Greenland ice sheet is found to be in a state essentially different from a stationary one corresponding to modern climatic conditions.


1979 ◽  
Vol 23 (89) ◽  
pp. 401-402
Author(s):  
I. M. Whillans

Abstract Some of the problems with earlier theories for erosion and transport by ice sheets are discussed, and it is noted that those theories cannot simply account for the often-reported finding that most till is derived from bedrock only a few tens of kilometers up-glacier. Considerations of the mass balance of debris in transport lead to the conclusion that ice sheets are capable of transporting most debris only a short distance. The theory that the break-up of bedrock is mostly a preglacial process is developed. The advancing ice sheet collects the debris and then deposits it after a short travel. As the ice sheet first advances over the regolith, debris is frozen onto the base and is carried until basal melting due to geothermal and frictional heat causes lodgment till deposition. Most debris is deposited during the advance of the ice sheet and is carried only a short distance. A generally small amount of debris is carried at higher levels and is deposited during ice standstill and retreat as melt-out and ablation tills. The present theory makes many predictions, among them, that most till units are not traceable over long distances, that thick till sequences represent unstable glacier margins and not necessarily long periods of glacier occupation, and that lodgment tills are to be interpreted in terms of ice advances and ablation tills in terms of ice retreats. This paper is published in full in Journal of Geology, Vol. 86, No. 4, 1978, p. 516–24.


1986 ◽  
Vol 32 (111) ◽  
pp. 208-218
Author(s):  
Robert J. Rogerson

AbstractThe net mass balance of four small cirque glaciers (0.7–1.4 km2) in the Torngat Mountains of northern Labrador was measured for 1981–84, allowing three complete mass-balance years to be calculated. The two largest glaciers experienced positive mass-balance conditions in 1982 while all the glaciers were negative in 1983. The temporal pattern relates directly to general climatic conditions, in particular winter snowfall. Spatial variations of mass balance on the glaciers are the result of several factors including altitude, extent of supraglacial debris cover, slope, proximity to side and backwalls of the enclosing cirque, and the height of the backwall above the ice surface. Abraham Glacier, the smallest studied and with consistently the largest negative mass balance (–1.28 m in 1983), re-advanced an average of 1.2 m each year between 1981 and 1984. Mean equilibrium-line altitude (ELA) for the four glaciers is 1050 m, varying substantially from one glacier to another (+240 to –140 m) and from year to year (+60 to –30 m).


1990 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 238-241 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.S. Pelto ◽  
S.M. Higgins ◽  
T.J. Hughes ◽  
J.L. Fastook

Identification of present-day climate setting and alpine glacier-balance gradients indicates that the balance gradient of alpine glaciers is primarily determined by climatic conditions. Determination of balance gradients for specific climatic settings on present-day ice sheets provides an analog for determining the mass balance on paleo and future ice sheets.


1984 ◽  
Vol 30 (105) ◽  
pp. 140-152 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. S. Boulton ◽  
G. D. Smith ◽  
L. W. Morland

AbstractA model of a non-linearly viscous ice sheet is used to investigate the influence of net mass-balance pattern, basal boundary condition, and subglacial topography on the size and shape of ice sheets. The aim is to enable geological evidence of the extent of former ice sheets to be used as indicators of palaeoclimate. A series of curves are presented showing the relationships between ice-sheet span, net mass balance, and equilibrium-line altitude (ELA) for zero and complete isostatic compensation. These are applicable to a very wide range of basal boundary conditions. The way in which they can be used to reconstruct net mass-balance gradients for former ice sheets is demonstrated. Changes in the basal boundary condition only have a strong influence on glacier span when they occur in the terminal zone. Ice-sheet expansion and contraction is not merely accompanied by changes in snow-line elevation, but also by changes in the net mass-balance gradient. The combinations of these required to cause ice-sheet expansion and contraction are analysed. A non-linearly viscous model for ice suggests that ice-sheet volume changes may not be a simple function of their change in areal extent.


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