Ocean surface air temperature derived from multiple data sets and artificial neural networks

1998 ◽  
Vol 25 (22) ◽  
pp. 4217-4220 ◽  
Author(s):  
Catherine Gautier ◽  
Pete Peterson ◽  
Charles Jones
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Ocean Surface ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Multiple Data ◽  
Multiple Data Sets ◽  
Artificial Neural

Winter surface air temperature prediction over Japan using artificial neural networks

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. V. Ratnam ◽  
Masami Nonaka ◽  
Swadhin K. Behera
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Anomaly Correlation ◽  
The North ◽  
Skill Scores ◽  
Artificial Neural

AbstractThe machine learning technique, namely Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), is used to predict the surface air temperature (SAT) anomalies over Japan in the winter months of December, January and February for the period 1949/50 to 2019/20. The predictions are made for the four regions Hokkaido, North, Central and West of Japan. The inputs to the ANN model are derived from the anomaly correlation coefficients among the SAT anomalies over the regions of Japan and the global SAT and sea surface temperature anomalies. The results are validated using anomaly correlation coefficient (ACC) skill scores with the observation. It is found that the ANN predictions over Hokkaido have higher ACC skill scores compared to the ACC scores over the other three regions. The ANN predicted SAT anomalies are compared with that of ensemble mean of 8 of the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) models besides comparing them with the persistent anomalies. The ANN predictions over all the four regions have higher ACC skill scores compared to the NMME model skill scores in the common period of 1982/83 to 2018/19. The ANN predicted SAT anomalies also have higher Hit rate and lower False alarm rate compared to the NMME predicted SAT anomalies. All these indicate that the ANN model is a promising tool for predicting the winter SAT anomalies over Japan.

scholarly journals Modeling moisture fluxes using artificial neural networks: can information extraction overcome data loss?

2010 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 6525-6551
Author(s):  
A. L. Neal ◽  
H. V. Gupta ◽  
S. A. Kurc ◽  
P. D. Brooks
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Eddy Covariance ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Data Loss ◽  
Gap Filling ◽  
Multiple Data ◽  
Moisture Fluxes ◽  
Artificial Neural

Abstract. Eddy covariance sites can experience data losses as high as 30 to 45% on an annual basis. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been identified as powerful tools for gap filling, but their performance depends on the representativeness of data used to train the model. In this paper, we develop a normalization method, which has similar performance compared to conventional training approaches, but exhibits differences in the timing of fluxes, indicating different and previously unused information in the data record. Specifically, the differences between half-hourly model fluxes, especially during summer months, indicate that the structure of the information content in the data changes seasonally, diurnally and with the rate of data loss. This variation between gap-filling models complicates the application of their output as consistent data sets for land surface modeling, and points to the need for improved data and models to address flux behavior at critical times. We advise several approaches to address these concerns, including use of separate models for day and nighttime processes and the use of multiple data streams at dawn, when eddy covariance may be particularly ineffective due to the timing of the onset of turbulent mixing.

scholarly journals Dewpoint Temperature Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks

2008 ◽  
Vol 47 (6) ◽  
pp. 1757-1769 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. B. Shank ◽  
G. Hoogenboom ◽  
R. W. McClendon
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Heat Waves ◽  
Weather Data ◽  
Temperature Prediction ◽  
Related Data ◽  
Dewpoint Temperature ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Selection Of

Abstract Dewpoint temperature, the temperature at which water vapor in the air will condense into liquid, can be useful in estimating frost, fog, snow, dew, evapotranspiration, and other meteorological variables. The goal of this study was to use artificial neural networks (ANNs) to predict dewpoint temperature from 1 to 12 h ahead using prior weather data as inputs. This study explores using three-layer backpropagation ANNs and weather data combined for three years from 20 locations in Georgia, United States, to develop general models for dewpoint temperature prediction anywhere within Georgia. Specific objectives included the selection of the important weather-related inputs, the setting of ANN parameters, and the selection of the duration of prior input data. An iterative search found that, in addition to dewpoint temperature, important weather-related ANN inputs included relative humidity, solar radiation, air temperature, wind speed, and vapor pressure. Experiments also showed that the best models included 60 nodes in the ANN hidden layer, a ±0.15 initial range for the ANN weights, a 0.35 ANN learning rate, and a duration of prior weather-related data used as inputs ranging from 6 to 30 h based on the lead time. The evaluation of the final models with weather data from 20 separate locations and for a different year showed that the 1-, 4-, 8-, and 12-h predictions had mean absolute errors (MAEs) of 0.550°, 1.234°, 1.799°, and 2.280°C, respectively. These final models predicted dewpoint temperature adequately using previously unseen weather data, including difficult freeze and heat stress extremes. These predictions are useful for decisions in agriculture because dewpoint temperature along with air temperature affects the intensity of freezes and heat waves, which can damage crops, equipment, and structures and can cause injury or death to animals and humans.

scholarly journals Modeling the contributions of global air temperature, synoptic-scale phenomena and soil moisture to near-surface static energy variability using artificial neural networks

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sara C. Pryor ◽  
Ryan C. Sullivan ◽  
Justin T. Schoof
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Energy Content ◽  
Daily Maximum ◽  
Synoptic Scale ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Static Energy

Abstract. The static energy content of the atmosphere is increasing at the global scale, but exhibits important sub-global and sub-regional scales of variability and is a useful parameter for integrating the net effect of changes in the partitioning of energy at the surface and for improving understanding of the causes of so-called warming-holes (i.e. locations with decreasing daily maximum air temperatures (T) or increasing trends of lower magnitude than the global mean). Further, measures of the static energy content (herein the equivalent potential temperature, θe) are more strongly linked to excess human mortality and morbidity than air temperature alone, and have great relevance in understanding causes of past heat-related excess mortality and making projections of possible future events that are likely to be associated with negative human health and economic consequences. A new non-linear statistical model for summertime daily maximum and minimum θe is developed and used to advance understanding of drivers of historical change and variability over the eastern USA. It is shown that soil moisture (SM) is particularly important in determining the magnitude of θe over regions that have previously been identified as exhibiting warming holes confirming the key importance of SM in dictating the partitioning of net radiation into sensible and latent heat and dictating trends in near-surface T and θe. Consistent with our a priori expectations, models built using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) out-perform linear models that do not permit interaction of the predictor variables (global T, synoptic-scale meteorological conditions and SM). This is particularly marked in regions with high variability in min- and max-θe, where more complex models built using ANN with multiple hidden layers are better able to capture the day-to-day variability in θe and the occurrence of extreme max-θe. Over the entire domain the ANN with 3 hidden layers exhibits high accuracy in predicting max-θe > 347 K. The median hit rate for max-θe > 347 K is > 0.60, while the median false alarm rate ≈ 0.08.

scholarly journals Simulation of flood flow in a river system using artificial neural networks

2005 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 313-321 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. R. Shrestha ◽  
S. Theobald ◽  
F. Nestmann
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Flow Simulation ◽  
Simulation Models ◽  
River System ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Network Training ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Flood Flow

Abstract. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) provide a quick and flexible means of developing flood flow simulation models. An important criterion for the wider applicability of the ANNs is the ability to generalise the events outside the range of training data sets. With respect to flood flow simulation, the ability to extrapolate beyond the range of calibrated data sets is of crucial importance. This study explores methods for improving generalisation of the ANNs using three different flood events data sets from the Neckar River in Germany. An ANN-based model is formulated to simulate flows at certain locations in the river reach, based on the flows at upstream locations. Network training data sets consist of time series of flows from observation stations. Simulated flows from a one-dimensional hydrodynamic numerical model are integrated for network training and validation, at a river section where no measurements are available. Network structures with different activation functions are considered for improving generalisation. The training algorithm involved backpropagation with the Levenberg-Marquardt approximation. The ability of the trained networks to extrapolate is assessed using flow data beyond the range of the training data sets. The results of this study indicate that the ANN in a suitable configuration can extend forecasting capability to a certain extent beyond the range of calibrated data sets.

scholarly journals Artificial Neural Networks Application in Modal Analysis of Tires

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 273-278 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Koštial ◽  
Z. Jančíková ◽  
D. Bakošová ◽  
J. Valíček ◽  
M. Harničárová ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Experimental Data ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Modal Analysis ◽  
Speckle Pattern ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Electronic Speckle Pattern Interferometry ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Artificial Neural

Abstract The paper deals with the application of artificial neural networks (ANN) to tires’ own frequency (OF) prediction depending on a tire construction. Experimental data of OF were obtained by electronic speckle pattern interferometry (ESPI). A very good conformity of both experimental and predicted data sets is presented here. The presented ANN method applied to ESPI experimental data can effectively help designers to optimize dimensions of tires from the point of view of their noise.

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