An energy balance climate model with hydrological cycle: 2. Stability and sensitivity to external forcing

1991 ◽  
Vol 96 (D9) ◽  
pp. 17181
Author(s):  
Volker Jentsch
Keyword(s):  
Energy Balance ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
External Forcing

scholarly journals Climate Determinism Revisited: Multiple Equilibria in a Complex Climate Model

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 992-1012 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Ferreira ◽  
John Marshall ◽  
Brian Rose
Keyword(s):  
Energy Balance ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Multiple Equilibria ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Ice Cap

Abstract Multiple equilibria in a coupled ocean–atmosphere–sea ice general circulation model (GCM) of an aquaplanet with many degrees of freedom are studied. Three different stable states are found for exactly the same set of parameters and external forcings: a cold state in which a polar sea ice cap extends into the midlatitudes; a warm state, which is ice free; and a completely sea ice–covered “snowball” state. Although low-order energy balance models of the climate are known to exhibit intransitivity (i.e., more than one climate state for a given set of governing equations), the results reported here are the first to demonstrate that this is a property of a complex coupled climate model with a consistent set of equations representing the 3D dynamics of the ocean and atmosphere. The coupled model notably includes atmospheric synoptic systems, large-scale circulation of the ocean, a fully active hydrological cycle, sea ice, and a seasonal cycle. There are no flux adjustments, with the system being solely forced by incoming solar radiation at the top of the atmosphere. It is demonstrated that the multiple equilibria owe their existence to the presence of meridional structure in ocean heat transport: namely, a large heat transport out of the tropics and a relatively weak high-latitude transport. The associated large midlatitude convergence of ocean heat transport leads to a preferred latitude at which the sea ice edge can rest. The mechanism operates in two very different ocean circulation regimes, suggesting that the stabilization of the large ice cap could be a robust feature of the climate system. Finally, the role of ocean heat convergence in permitting multiple equilibria is further explored in simpler models: an atmospheric GCM coupled to a slab mixed layer ocean and an energy balance model.

scholarly journals A seasonal energy-balance climate model for coupling to ice-sheet models

1996 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 174-180 ◽  
Author(s):  
André Paul
Keyword(s):  
Energy Balance ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Water Flux ◽  
Computational Cost ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Test Case ◽  
Conservation Of Energy ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Fresh Water Flux

An energy-balance climate model designed for coupling to ice-sheet models is presented. Its independent variables are longitude, latitude and time of the year. The model is based on the vertically integrated equations of conservation of energy and humidity. It can predict the vertically averaged temperature. Since it includes a hydrological cycle, it can also diagnose the net fresh-water flux and hence the annual snow budget at the atmosphere–ice-sheet interface. To this end, the model does not require observed precipitation rates. The computational cost is reduced by using an analytically computed Fourier–Legendre representation of daily insolation. For a highly idealized test-case configuration, two simple sensitivity experiments are carried out.

scholarly journals A seasonal energy-balance climate model for coupling to ice-sheet models

1996 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 174-180
Author(s):  
André Paul
Keyword(s):  
Energy Balance ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Water Flux ◽  
Computational Cost ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Test Case ◽  
Conservation Of Energy ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Fresh Water Flux

An energy-balance climate model designed for coupling to ice-sheet models is presented. Its independent variables are longitude, latitude and time of the year. The model is based on the vertically integrated equations of conservation of energy and humidity. It can predict the vertically averaged temperature. Since it includes a hydrological cycle, it can also diagnose the net fresh-water flux and hence the annual snow budget at the atmosphere–ice-sheet interface. To this end, the model does not require observed precipitation rates. The computational cost is reduced by using an analytically computed Fourier–Legendre representation of daily insolation. For a highly idealized test-case configuration, two simple sensitivity experiments are carried out.

scholarly journals A Surface Energy Perspective on Climate Change

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (10) ◽  
pp. 2557-2570 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy Andrews ◽  
Piers M. Forster ◽  
Jonathan M. Gregory
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Energy Balance ◽  
Surface Energy ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Heat Budget ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Time Dependent ◽  
Fast Responses

Abstract A surface forcing response framework is developed that enables an understanding of time-dependent climate change from a surface energy perspective. The framework allows the separation of fast responses that are unassociated with global-mean surface air temperature change (ΔT), which is included in the forcing, and slow feedbacks that scale with ΔT. The framework is illustrated primarily using 2 × CO2 climate model experiments and is robust across the models. For CO2 increases, the positive downward radiative component of forcing is smaller at the surface than at the tropopause, and so a rapid reduction in the upward surface latent heat (LH) flux is induced to conserve the tropospheric heat budget; this reduces the precipitation rate. Analysis of the time-dependent surface energy balance over sea and land separately reveals that land areas rapidly regain energy balance, and significant land surface warming occurs before global sea temperatures respond. The 2 × CO2 results are compared to a solar increase experiment and show that some fast responses are forcing dependent. In particular, a significant forcing from the fast hydrological response found in the CO2 experiments is much smaller in the solar experiment. The different fast response explains why previous equilibrium studies found differences in the hydrological sensitivity between these two forcings. On longer time scales, as ΔT increases, the net surface longwave and LH fluxes provide positive and negative surface feedbacks, respectively, while the net surface shortwave and sensible heat fluxes change little. It is found that in contrast to their fast responses, the longer-term response of both surface energy fluxes and the global hydrological cycle are similar for the different forcing agents.

scholarly journals Evaluating the Uncertainty Induced by the Virtual Salt Flux Assumption in Climate Simulations and Future Projections

2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 80-96 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianjun Yin ◽  
Ronald J. Stouffer ◽  
Michael J. Spelman ◽  
Stephen M. Griffies
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Salt Flux ◽  
Freshwater Flux ◽  
Unexpected Result ◽  
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory ◽  
External Forcing ◽  
Future Evolution ◽  
Near Term

Abstract The unphysical virtual salt flux (VSF) formulation widely used in the ocean component of climate models has the potential to cause systematic and significant biases in modeling the climate system and projecting its future evolution. Here a freshwater flux (FWF) and a virtual salt flux version of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Climate Model version 2.1 (GFDL CM2.1) are used to evaluate and quantify the uncertainties induced by the VSF formulation. Both unforced and forced runs with the two model versions are performed and compared in detail. It is found that the differences between the two versions are generally small or statistically insignificant in the unforced control runs and in the runs with a small external forcing. In response to a large external forcing, however, some biases in the VSF version become significant, especially the responses of regional salinity and global sea level. However, many fundamental aspects of the responses differ only quantitatively between the two versions. An unexpected result is the distinctly different ENSO responses. Under a strong external freshwater forcing, the great enhancement of the ENSO variability simulated by the FWF version does not occur in the VSF version and is caused by the overexpansion of the top model layer. In summary, the principle assumption behind using virtual salt flux is not seriously violated and the VSF model has the ability to simulate the current climate and project near-term climate evolution. For some special studies such as a large hosing experiment, however, both the VSF formulation and the use of the FWF in the geopotential coordinate ocean model could have some deficiencies and one should be cautious to avoid them.

Implications of aerosol-induced snow darkening on regional hydroclimate over the Himalayas

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vijayakumar Sivadasan Nair ◽  
Usha Keshav Hasyagar ◽  
Surendran Nair Suresh Babu
Keyword(s):  
South Asia ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Monsoon Season ◽  
Radiation Balance ◽  
Western Himalayas ◽  
Radiative Effect ◽  
Anthropogenic Aerosols ◽  
Snow Albedo ◽  
Snow Cover Extent

<p>The snow-covered mountains of Himalayas are known to play a crucial role in the hydrology of South Asia and are known as the “Asian water tower”. Despite the high elevations, the transport of anthropogenic aerosols from south Asia and desert dust from west Asia plays a significant role in directly and indirectly perturbing the radiation balance and hydrological cycle over the region. Absorbing aerosols like black carbon (BC) and dust deposited on the snow surface reduces the albedo of the Himalayan snow significantly (snow darkening or snow albedo effect). Using a Regional Climate Model (RegCM-4.6.0) coupled with SNow, ICe and Aerosol Radiation (SNICAR) module, the implications of aerosol-induced snow darkening on the regional hydroclimate of the Himalayas are investigated in this study. The aerosols deposited on snow shows a distinct regional heterogeneity. The albedo reduction due to aerosols shows a west to east gradient during pre-monsoon season and this results in the positive radiative effect of about 29 Wm<sup>-2</sup>, 17 Wm<sup>-2</sup> and 5 Wm<sup>-2</sup> over western, central and eastern Himalayas respectively. The reduction in the snow albedo also results in the sign reversal of the aerosol direct radiative effect i.e., from warming to cooling at the top of the atmosphere during pre-monsoon season. The excess solar energy trapped at the surface due to snow darkening warms the surface (0.66-1.9 K) and thus decreases the snow cover extent significantly. This results in the reduction of the number of snow-covered days by more than a month over the western Himalayas and about 10 – 15 days over the central Himalayas. The early snowmelt due to aerosol-induced snow darkening results in the increase of runoff throughout the melting season. Therefore, the present study highlights the heterogeneous response of aerosol induced snow albedo feedbacks over the Himalayan region and its impact on the snowpack and hydrology, which has further implications on the freshwater availability over the region.</p>

scholarly journals Simulation of the isotopic composition of stratospheric water vapour – Part 1: Description and evaluation of the EMAC model

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (10) ◽  
pp. 5537-5555 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Eichinger ◽  
P. Jöckel ◽  
S. Brinkop ◽  
M. Werner ◽  
S. Lossow
Keyword(s):  
Isotopic Composition ◽  
Water Vapour ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Isotope Ratios ◽  
Physical Fractionation ◽  
Water Isotopologues ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapour

Abstract. This modelling study aims at an improved understanding of the processes that determine the water vapour budget in the stratosphere by means of the investigation of water isotope ratios. An additional (and separate from the actual) hydrological cycle has been introduced into the chemistry–climate model EMAC, including the water isotopologues HDO and H218O and their physical fractionation processes. Additionally an explicit computation of the contribution of methane oxidation to H2O and HDO has been incorporated. The model expansions allow detailed analyses of water vapour and its isotope ratio with respect to deuterium throughout the stratosphere and in the transition region to the troposphere. In order to assure the correct representation of the water isotopologues in the model's hydrological cycle, the expanded system has been evaluated in several steps. The physical fractionation effects have been evaluated by comparison of the simulated isotopic composition of precipitation with measurements from a ground-based network (GNIP) and with the results from the isotopologue-enabled general circulation model ECHAM5-wiso. The model's representation of the chemical HDO precursor CH3D in the stratosphere has been confirmed by a comparison with chemical transport models (1-D, CHEM2D) and measurements from radiosonde flights. Finally, the simulated stratospheric HDO and the isotopic composition of water vapour have been evaluated, with respect to retrievals from three different satellite instruments (MIPAS, ACE-FTS, SMR). Discrepancies in stratospheric water vapour isotope ratios between two of the three satellite retrievals can now partly be explained.

scholarly journals IMPACTS OF LAND COVER AND GREENHOUSE GAS (GHG) CONCENTRATION CHANGES ON THE HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE IN AMAZON BASIN: A REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL STUDY

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vinícius Machado Rocha ◽  
Francis Wagner Silva Correia ◽  
Prakki Satyamurty ◽  
Saulo Ribeiro De Freitas ◽  
Demerval Soares Moreira ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Cover ◽  
Regional Climate Model ◽  
Greenhouse Gas ◽  
Amazon Basin ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Model Study ◽  
Concentration Changes

scholarly journals Updated cloud physics in a regional atmospheric climate model improves the modelled surface energy balance of Antarctica

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 125-135 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. M. van Wessem ◽  
C. H. Reijmer ◽  
J. T. M. Lenaerts ◽  
W. J. van de Berg ◽  
M. R. van den Broeke ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
Energy Balance ◽  
Surface Energy ◽  
Surface Energy Balance ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Sensible Heat Flux ◽  
Sensible Heat ◽  
Ice Cloud ◽  
Long Wave ◽  
Regional Atmospheric Climate Model

Abstract. In this study the effects of changes in the physics package of the regional atmospheric climate model RACMO2 on the modelled surface energy balance, near-surface temperature and wind speed of Antarctica are presented. The physics package update primarily consists of an improved turbulent and radiative flux scheme and a revised cloud scheme that includes a parameterisation for ice cloud super-saturation. The ice cloud super-saturation has led to more moisture being transported onto the continent, resulting in more and optically thicker clouds and more downward long-wave radiation. Overall, the updated model better represents the surface energy balance, based on a comparison with >750 months of data from nine automatic weather stations located in East Antarctica. Especially the representation of the turbulent sensible heat flux and net long-wave radiative flux has improved with a decrease in biases of up to 40%. As a result, modelled surface temperatures have increased and the bias, when compared to 10 m snow temperatures from 64 ice-core observations, has decreased from −2.3 K to −1.3 K. The weaker surface temperature inversion consequently improves the representation of the sensible heat flux, whereas wind speed biases remain unchanged. However, significant model biases remain, partly because RACMO2 at a resolution of 27 km is unable to resolve steep topography.

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