Risk Stratification Models in Atrial Fibrillation

2017 ◽  
Vol 43 (05) ◽  
pp. 505-513 ◽  
Author(s):  
Farhan Shahid ◽  
Gregory Lip
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Practical Method ◽  
Assessment Tools ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Mortality And Morbidity ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Morbidity Risk ◽  
Aid Decision

AbstractAtrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of stroke compared with the general population. AF-related stroke confers a higher mortality and morbidity risk, and thus, early detection and assessment for the initiation of effective stroke prevention with oral anticoagulation are crucial. Simple and practical risk assessment tools are essential to facilitate stroke and bleeding risk assessment in busy clinics and wards to aid decision making. At present, the CHA2DS2VASc score is recommended by guidelines as the most simple and practical method of assessing stroke risk in AF patients. Alongside this, the use of the HAS-BLED score aims to identify patients at high risk of bleeding for more regular review and follow-up, and draws attention to potentially reversible bleeding risk factors. The aim of this review article is to summarize the current risk scores available for both stroke and bleeding in AF patients, and the recommendations for their use.

scholarly journals Recent advances in the understanding and management of atrial fibrillation: a focus on stroke prevention

F1000Research ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 2887 ◽  
Author(s):  
Farhan Shahid ◽  
Eduard Shantsila ◽  
Gregory Y. H. Lip
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Stroke Prevention ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Assessment Tools ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Mortality And Morbidity ◽  
Recent Advances ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Direct Head

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of stroke compared with the general population. It is anticipated that by 2030 an estimated 14–17 million patients will be diagnosed with this most prevalent arrhythmia within the European Union. AF-related stroke confers a higher mortality and morbidity risk, and thus early detection and assessment for the initiation of effective stroke prevention with oral anticoagulation (OAC) is crucial. Recent guidelines point to the use of non-vitamin K antagonist OACs (NOACs) where appropriate in stroke prevention of patients with non-valvular AF. At present, there are four NOACS available, with no direct head-to-head comparisons to suggest the superiority of one drug over another. Simple and practical risk assessment tools have evolved over the years to facilitate stroke and bleeding risk assessment in busy clinics and wards to aid decision-making. At present, the CHA2DS2VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age 65–74/>75, diabetes mellitus, stroke/transient ischemic attack/thromboembolism, vascular disease, female sex) score is recommended by many international guidelines as a simple and practical method of assessing stroke risk in such patients. Alongside this, use of the HAS BLED (hypertension systolic blood pressure >160 mmHg, abnormal liver/renal function [with creatinine ≥200 μmol/L], stroke, bleeding history or predisposition, labile international normalized ratio [range <60% of the time], elderly [>65], concomitant drugs/alcohol) score aims to identify patients at high risk of bleeding for more regular review and follow-up and draws attention to potentially reversible bleeding risk factors. The aim of this review article is to provide an overview of recent advances in the understanding and management of AF with a focus on stroke prevention.

scholarly journals Anticoagulation risk assessment for patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation and venous thromboembolism: A clinical review

2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 141-152
Author(s):  
Vincent A Pallazola ◽  
Rishi K Kapoor ◽  
Karan Kapoor ◽  
John W McEvoy ◽  
Roger S Blumenthal ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Venous Thromboembolism ◽  
Anticoagulant Therapy ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Assessment Tools ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Risk Assessment Tools

Non-valvular atrial fibrillation and venous thromboembolism anticoagulation risk assessment tools have been increasingly utilized to guide implementation and duration of anticoagulant therapy. Anticoagulation significantly reduces stroke and recurrent venous thromboembolism risk, but comes at the cost of increased risk of major and clinically relevant non-major bleeding. The decision for anticoagulation in high-risk patients is complicated by the fact that many risk factors associated with increased thromboembolic risk are simultaneously associated with increased bleeding risk. Traditional risk assessment tools rely heavily on age, sex, and presence of cardiovascular comorbidities, with newer tools additionally taking into account changes in risk factors over time and novel biomarkers to facilitate more personalized risk assessment. These tools may help counsel and inform patients about the risks and benefits of starting or continuing anticoagulant therapy and can identify patients who may benefit from more careful management. Although the ability to predict anticoagulant-associated hemorrhagic risk is modest, ischemic and bleeding risk scores have been shown to add significant value to therapeutic management decisions. Ultimately, further work is needed to optimally implement accurate and actionable risk stratification into clinical practice.

scholarly journals An mHealth intervention to improve nurses’ atrial fibrillation and anticoagulation knowledge and practice: the EVICOAG study

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 7-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caleb Ferguson ◽  
Louise D Hickman ◽  
Jane Phillips ◽  
Phillip J Newton ◽  
Sally C Inglis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Anticoagulation Therapy ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Assessment Tools ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Post Intervention ◽  
Mhealth Intervention ◽  
Quasi Experimental ◽  
Nurses Knowledge

Background: There is a need to improve cardiovascular nurses’ knowledge and practices related to stroke prevention, atrial fibrillation and anticoagulation therapy. Aims: The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of EVICOAG – a novel mHealth, smartphone-based, spaced-learning intervention on nurses’ knowledge of atrial fibrillation and anticoagulation. Methods: Nurses employed in four clinical specialties (neuroscience, stroke, rehabilitation, cardiology) across three hospitals were invited to participate. In this quasi-experimental study, 12 case-based atrial fibrillation and anticoagulation learning scenarios (hosted by an mHealth platform) were delivered to participants’ smartphones over a 6-week period (July–December 2016) using a spaced timing algorithm. Electronic surveys to assess awareness and knowledge were administered pre (T1) and post (T2) intervention. Results: From 74 participants recruited to T1, 40 completed T2. There was a 54% mean improvement in knowledge levels post-intervention. The largest improvement was achieved in domains related to medication interaction and stroke and bleeding risk assessment. Post-intervention, those who completed T2 were significantly more likely to use CHA2DS2-VASc (2.5% vs. 37.5%) and HAS-BLED (2.5% vs. 35%) tools to assess stroke and bleeding risk, respectively ( P<0.01). Conclusion: The EVICOAG intervention improved nurses’ knowledge of atrial fibrillation and anticoagulation, and influenced their uptake and use of stroke and bleeding risk assessment tools in clinical practice. Future research should focus on whether a similar intervention might improve patient-centred outcomes such as patients’ knowledge of their condition and therapies, medication adherence, time in the therapeutic range and quality of life.

Comparison of the CHADS2, CHA2DS2 -VASc and HAS-BLED scores for the prediction of clinically relevant bleeding in anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation: The AMADEUS trial

2013 ◽  
Vol 110 (11) ◽  
pp. 1074-1079 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stavros Apostolakis ◽  
Deirdre A. Lane ◽  
Harry Buller ◽  
Gregory Y. H. Lip
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Net Reclassification Improvement ◽  
Anticoagulated Patients ◽  
Discriminatory Performance

SummaryMany of the risk factors for stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF) are also important risk factors for bleeding. We tested the hypothesis that the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores (used for stroke risk assessment) could be used to predict serious bleeding, and that these scores would compare well against the HAS-BLED score, which is a specific risk score designed for bleeding risk assessment. From the AMADEUS trial, we focused on the trial’s primary safety outcome for serious bleeding, which was “any clinically relevant bleeding”. The predictive value of HAS-BLED/CHADS2/CHA2DS2-VASc were compared by area under the curve (AUC, a measure of the c-index) and the Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI). Of 2,293 patients on VKA, 251 (11%) experienced at least one episode of “any clinically relevant bleeding” during an average 429 days follow up period. Incidence of “any clinically relevant bleeding” rose with increasing HAS-BLED/CHADS2/CHA2DS2-VASc scores, but was statistically significant only for HAS-BLED (p<0.0001). Only HAS-BLED demonstrated significant discriminatory performance for “any clinically relevant bleeding” (AUC 0.60, p<0.0001). There were significant AUC-differences between HAS-BLED (which had the highest AUC) and both CHADS2 (p<0.001) and CHA2DS2VASc (p=0.001). The HAS-BLED score also demonstrated significant NRI for the outcome of “any clinically relevant bleeding” when compared with CHADS2 (p=0.001) and CHA2DS2-VASc (p=0.04). In conclusion, the HAS-BLED score demonstrated significant discriminatory performance for “any clinically relevant bleeding” in anticoagulated patients with AF, whilst the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores did not. Bleeding risk assessment should be made using a specific bleeding risk score such as HAS-BLED, and the stroke risk scores such as CHADS2 or CHA2DS2-VASc scores should not be used.

scholarly journals Biomarkers for Risk Assessment in Atrial Fibrillation

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
David D Berg ◽  
Christian T Ruff ◽  
David A Morrow
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Major Bleeding ◽  
Cardiac Troponin ◽  
Clinical History ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Circulating Biomarkers ◽  
Coagulation Activity ◽  
Hemodynamic Stress ◽  
Increased Risk

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of thromboembolism, which can be significantly reduced with anticoagulant treatment. Key goals in the clinical management of AF are the identification of patients at high risk for developing AF and accurate stratification of the risk of stroke and systemic embolic events (S/SEE) as well as treatment-related major bleeding. Content In this review, we describe the expanding evidence regarding the use of circulating biomarkers for predicting the risks of both incident AF and its clinically important complications of S/SEE and treatment-related major bleeding. We also review emerging biomarker-based scores for assessing these risks. Summary Patients with AF undergo progressive cardiac structural remodeling, which may precede the onset of the arrhythmia. Abnormal concentrations of circulating biomarkers reflecting the underlying pathophysiologic mechanisms of hemodynamic stress (i.e., natriuretic peptides), inflammation (i.e., C-reactive protein), and myocardial fibrosis identify patients at higher risk of developing AF. Circulating biomarkers can also be used to identify patients with AF who are at greatest risk for developing S/SEE or major bleeding. In particular, biomarkers of hemodynamic stress, myocardial injury (i.e., cardiac troponin), and coagulation activity (i.e., D-dimer) are key indicators of thromboembolic risk, and cardiac troponin and growth-differentiation factor-15 are strongly associated with risk of anticoagulant-related major bleeding. The biomarker-based age, biomarker, clinical history (ABC)-stroke and ABC-bleeding risk scores improve risk stratification for S/SEE and major bleeding, respectively, when compared with traditional clinical risk scores like the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores.

Biomarkers Associated with Bleeding Risk in the Setting of Atrial Fibrillation

2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (5) ◽  
pp. 824-836 ◽  
Author(s):  
Skevos Sideris ◽  
Stefanos Archontakis ◽  
George Latsios ◽  
George Lazaros ◽  
Konstantinos Toutouzas ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Oral Anticoagulants ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Hepatic Function ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Current Evidence ◽  
Prognostic Impact ◽  
Increased Risk

Background: Prevention of thromboembolic disease, mainly stroke, with oral anticoagulants remains a major therapeutic goal in patients with atrial fibrillation. Unfortunately, despite the high efficacy, anticoagulant therapy is associated with a significant risk of, frequently catastrophic, and hemorrhagic complications. Among different clinical and laboratory parameters related to an increased risk of bleeding, several biological markers have been recognized and various risk scores for bleeding have been developed. Objectives/Methods: The aim of the present study is to review current evidence regarding the different biomarkers associated with raised bleeding risk in atrial fibrillation. Results: Data originating from large cohorts or the recent large-scale trials of atrial fibrillation have linked numerous individual biomarkers to an increased bleeding risk. Such a relation was revealed for markers of cardiac physiology, such as troponin, BNP and NT-proBNP, markers of renal function, such as GFR and Cystatin or hepatic function, markers involving the system of coagulation, such as D-dimer and Von Willebrand factor, hematologic markers, such as low haemoglobin or low platelets, inflammatory markers, such as interleukin-6, other factors such as GDF-15 and vitamin-E and finally genetic polymorphisms. Many such biomarkers are incorporated in the bleeding risk schemata developed for the prediction of the hemorrhagic risk. Conclusions: Biomarkers were introduced in clinical practice in order to better estimate the potential risk of haemorrhage in these patients and increase the prognostic impact of clinical risk scores. In the last years this concept is gaining significant importance.

scholarly journals P050: A prospective cohort study to evaluate discharge care for patients with atrial fibrillation and flutter (AF/AFL)

CJEM ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (S1) ◽  
pp. S94-S95
Author(s):  
P. Duke ◽  
S. Patrick ◽  
K. Lobay ◽  
M. Haager ◽  
B. Deane ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Previous History ◽  
Antiplatelet Agents ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
High Risk Population ◽  
Prescribing Practices ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Risk Of Falls ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation And Flutter

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation and flutter (AF/AFL) are the most common arrhythmias encountered in the emergency department (ED); however, little information exists regarding the preventive management of patients with AF/AFL by emergency physicians (EPs). This study explored whether patients with AF/AFL received the recommended thrombo-embolic (TE) prophylaxis at discharge from the ED; patients’ TE risks, bleeding risks, and TE prophylaxis upon discharge from the ED were examined following assessment for symptomatic acute AF/AFL. Methods: Patients ≥18 years of age identified by the EP as having a diagnosis of acute AF/AFL confirmed by ECG were prospectively enrolled from three urban Canadian EDs. Using standardized patient enrollment forms, trained research assistants collected data on the patient’s demographics, TE risk (using the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc score), bleeding risk (using the HAS-BLED score), and management both in the ED and at discharge. Treating physicians were surveyed on their use of risk scores when making TE prophylaxis decisions as well as their estimate of the patient’s stroke and bleeding risk. Descriptive analyses were performed. Results: From a total of 196 patients, 62% were male and the mean age was 63 years (standard deviation [SD] ±14). Most patients had previous history of AF/AFL (71%); hypertension was documented in 40% of them and ≤10% had other risk factors (e.g., congestive heart failure, vascular disease, diabetes, previous stroke, transient ischemic attack). Based on the CHADS2 score and previous management, there was opportunity for new or revised antiplatelet/anticoagulant treatment by EPs in 19% of the patients. Consultations were requested in 28% of the patients, and the majority (89%) were discharged with anticoagulant or antiplatelet agents. EPs expressed concerns that an increased risk of falls, lack of access to facilities for INR monitoring, and significant cognitive impairment would affect their willingness to prescribe anticoagulation. Conclusion: Most patients in the ED with acute AF/AFL are receiving the recommended TE prophylaxis; however, given the significant morbidity and mortality associated with AF/AFL, improved short-term prescribing practices for anticoagulants would benefit 1 in 5 ED patients. More research on barriers to EPs prescribing anticoagulants is required to improve clinician comfort in treating this high-risk population.

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