scholarly journals Risk Assessment Research of Urban Road Traffic Safety Based on Extension Matter Element Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 1486 ◽  
pp. 072020
Author(s):  
LIU Shan Yao ◽  
Yinghua Song ◽  
Liu Dan
2013 ◽  
Vol 639-640 ◽  
pp. 544-547
Author(s):  
Chang Ping Wen ◽  
Qing Qing Tian

Bayes discriminant analysis theory (BDAT) is used to create an evaluation method to determine the condition of urban road traffic safety. The resulting Bayes discriminant model (BDM) is designed to strictly adhere to BDAT. Three indexes including death ratio per ten thousand vehicles, death ratio per hundred thousand bicycles and death ratio per hundred thousand citizens are selected as the factors in the analysis of urban road traffic safety. The grade of condition of urban road traffic safety is divided into three grades that are regarded as three normal populations in Bayes discriminant analysis. Bayes discriminant functions rigorously constructed through training a set of samples are employed to compute the Bayes function values of the evaluating samples, and the maximal function value is used to judge which population the evaluating sample belongs to. The optimality of the proposed model is verified by back-substitution method. The study shows that the prediction accuracy of the proposed model is 100% and could be used in practice.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qizhou Hu ◽  
Zhuping Zhou ◽  
Xu Sun

This paper examines a new evaluation of urban road traffic safety based on a matter element analysis, avoiding the difficulties found in other traffic safety evaluations. The issue of urban road traffic safety has been investigated through the matter element analysis theory. The chief aim of the present work is to investigate the features of urban road traffic safety. Emphasis was placed on the construction of a criterion function by which traffic safety achieved a hierarchical system of objectives to be evaluated. The matter element analysis theory was used to create the comprehensive appraisal model of urban road traffic safety. The technique was used to employ a newly developed and versatile matter element analysis algorithm. The matter element matrix solves the uncertainty and incompatibility of the evaluated factors used to assess urban road traffic safety. The application results showed the superiority of the evaluation model and a didactic example was included to illustrate the computational procedure.


2021 ◽  
Vol 40 (3) ◽  
pp. 5337-5346
Author(s):  
Zhun Tian ◽  
Shengrui Zhang

With the development of the social economy, the level of motorization has been greatly improved, and the traffic safety problem has been paid more and more attention. In recent years, China’s road traffic accident rate showed a trend of decline after rising first, suggests that the Chinese road traffic safety level is on the decline. Road traffic safety evaluation has a positive effect in found risk factors of road traffic safety in time and reduce the traffic accident rate, so the study of traffic safety evaluation method is imperative. And the urban road traffic safety evaluation is frequently viewed as the multi-attribute group decision-making (MAGDM) problem. Depending on the conventional VIKOR method and interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets (IVIFSs), this paper designs a novel IVIF-VIKOR method to assess the urban road traffic safety. In addition, since subjective randomness frequently exists in determining criteria weights, the weights of criteria is [Z1] decided objectively by utilizing CRITIC method. Eventually, an application and some comparative analysis are given. The results show that the designed algorithms are useful for assessing the urban road traffic safety.


CICTP 2012 ◽  
2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jia Jia ◽  
Wang Hui ◽  
Zhang Jian ◽  
Zhong Xiaoming

Author(s):  
Niklas Grabbe ◽  
Michael Höcher ◽  
Alexander Thanos ◽  
Klaus Bengler

Automated driving offers great possibilities in traffic safety advancement. However, evidence of safety cannot be provided by current validation methods. One promising solution to overcome the approval trap (Winner, 2015) could be the scenario-based approach. Unfortunately, this approach still results in a huge number of test cases. One possible way out is to show the current, incorrect path in the argumentation and strategy of vehicle automation, and focus on the systemic mechanisms of road traffic safety. This paper therefore argues the case for defining relevant scenarios and analysing them systemically in order to ultimately reduce the test cases. The relevant scenarios are based on the strengths and weaknesses, in terms of the driving task, for both the human driver and automation. Finally, scenarios as criteria for exclusion are being proposed in order to systemically assess the contribution of the human driver and automation to road safety.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Lin ◽  
Feng Shi ◽  
Weizi Li

AbstractCOVID-19 has affected every sector of our society, among which human mobility is taking a dramatic change due to quarantine and social distancing. We investigate the impact of the pandemic and subsequent mobility changes on road traffic safety. Using traffic accident data from the city of Los Angeles and New York City, we find that the impact is not merely a blunt reduction in traffic and accidents; rather, (1) the proportion of accidents unexpectedly increases for “Hispanic” and “Male” groups; (2) the “hot spots” of accidents have shifted in both time and space and are likely moved from higher-income areas (e.g., Hollywood and Lower Manhattan) to lower-income areas (e.g., southern LA and southern Brooklyn); (3) the severity level of accidents decreases with the number of accidents regardless of transportation modes. Understanding those variations of traffic accidents not only sheds a light on the heterogeneous impact of COVID-19 across demographic and geographic factors, but also helps policymakers and planners design more effective safety policies and interventions during critical conditions such as the pandemic.


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