Estimation Analysis of Long-Term Electrical Energy Needs In PT. PLN (Persero) P2B REGION MERAUKE Area Using Linear Regression Method

AbstractThe availability of electrical energy is a very important aspect and even become a parameter to support the successful development of a region. Proper management of electrical energy resources and directed clearly will make the potential possessed of an area developed and utilized optimally. Population growth and economic development of a region can be influenced by the use of electrical energy. The supply of electricity must be taken into account so that the electrical energy can be available in an amount that suits your needs. Demand for the use of electricity in Indonesia will always increase with economic growth in addition to the development of electrical energy is also influenced by the development of the population in terms of quantity of customers to be electricity. Predicting methods such as using time series method (Gustriansyah, 2017) or data mining methods. The purpose of this research is to know how to overcome the influence of electricity usage (VA) connected with electric energy sold (KWh). Research done by simple linear regression method to facilitate writer in processing data. Based on the calculation result using simple linear regression method can be concluded 99.2% of the variation of electric power connected can be explained by the variable amount of electrical energy sold. While the rest (100% - 99.2% = 0.8%) is explained by other causes. And the level of significance <0.05 so that the regression model can be used to predict the electrical energy sold.Keywords : Linear regression, analysis, electrical energy AbstrakKetersediaan energi listrik merupakan aspek yang sangat penting dan bahkan menjadi suatu parameter untuk mendukung keberhasilan pembangunan suatu daerah. Pengelolaan sumber daya energi listrik yang tepat dan terarah dengan jelas akan menjadikan potensi yang dimiliki suatu wilayah berkembang dan termanfaatkan secara optimal. Pertumbuhan populasi dan perkembangan ekonomi suatu wilayah dapat dipengaruhi penggunaan energi listrik. Penyediaan listrik harus diperhitungkan sehingga energi listrik dapat tersedia dalam jumlah yang sesuai dengan kebutuhan Anda. Permintaan untuk penggunaan energi listrik di Indonesia akan selalu meningkat dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi disamping pengembangan energi listrik juga dipengaruhi oleh perkembangan populasi dalam hal kuantitas pelanggan yang akan dialiri listrik. Metode untuk memprediksi seperti menggunakan metode time series (Gustriansyah, 2017) atau metode data mining. Adapun tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui bagaimana cara mengatasi pengaruh penggunaan tenaga listrik (VA) yang terhubung dengan energi listrik yang terjual (KWh). Penelitian dilakukan dengan metode regresi linier sederhana agar memudahkan penulis dalam mengolah data. Berdasarkan hasil perhitungan menggunakan metode regresi linier sederhana dapat disimpulkan sebesar 99,2% dari variasi daya listrik yang terhubung dapat dijelaskan oleh variabel jumlah energi listrik yang terjual. Sedangkan sisanya (100% - 99,2% = 0,8%) dijelaskan oleh penyebab lain. Dan tingkat signifikansi <0,05 sehingga model regresi dapat digunakan untuk memprediksi energi listrik yang terjual.Kata kunci: Regresi linier, analisis, energi listrik

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Analysis the effect of investment on poverty in Indonesia year 1990-2016

International Journal of Scientific Research and Management ◽

10.18535/ijsrm/v6i5.em01 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 6 (5) ◽

Author(s):

Jen Surya ◽

Mohd. Nur Syechalad ◽

Abd. Jamal ◽

Muhammad Nasir4

Keyword(s):

Linear Regression ◽

Foreign Investment ◽

Regression Method ◽

Equilibrium Analysis ◽

Linear Regression Method ◽

Domestic Investment ◽

Short Term ◽

Correction Model ◽

Term Analysis

The purpose of this study was to analysis the effect of investment on poverty in Indonesia using two analyzes : long-term equilibrium analysis with cointegration equation and short-term analysis with linear regression method ECM (Error Correction Model) period 1990-2016. Results show that domestic investment and foreign investment affect on poverty.

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Analysis of PLN's Electrical Energy Demand in the Area of Batam-Indonesia Using the Linear Regression Method

2018 4th International Conference on Science and Technology (ICST) ◽

10.1109/icstc.2018.8528660 ◽

2018 ◽

Author(s):

Husein Mubarok ◽

Ryan Septyawan

Keyword(s):

Linear Regression ◽

Energy Demand ◽

Electrical Energy ◽

Regression Method ◽

Linear Regression Method

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Responses of Streamflow to Climate Change and Human Activities in a River Basin, Northeast China

Advances in Meteorology ◽

10.1155/2017/1023821 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 2017 ◽

pp. 1-9 ◽

Cited By ~ 5

Author(s):

Hanwen Zhang ◽

Wei Xu ◽

Xintong Xu ◽

Baohong Lu

Keyword(s):

Water Resources ◽

Linear Regression ◽

River Basin ◽

Human Activities ◽

Annual Runoff ◽

Regression Method ◽

Linear Regression Method ◽

Climate Elasticity ◽

The Impact

It is now common knowledge that many water resources stresses relate to access to water within a basin. Yi River Basin, a typical river basin characterized by intensive agricultural processes, significant population growth, and water management, has been undergoing grave water problems. In this paper, the long-term trend of precipitation and streamflow in Yi River Basin, from 1964 to 2010, was investigated via Mann-Kendall test. The change point occurred in the year 1965 dividing the long-term series into two periods. Climate elasticity method and linear regression method were implemented to quantify the impact of precipitation and human activities on runoff and presented basically consistent results of the percentage change in an annual runoff for the postchange period. The results reveal that the decline of annual runoff in postchange period is mainly attributed to precipitation variability of 53.66–58.25% and human activities of 46.34–41.74%, as estimated by climate elasticity method and linear regression method, respectively. This study detected the changes in the precipitation-streamflow relationship and investigated the possible causes in the Yi River, which will be helpful for providing a reference for the management of regional water resources.

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Rainfall Prediction in South-Eastern Part of Bangladesh by Linear Regression Method

International Journal of Emerging Research in Management and Technology ◽

10.23956/ijermt.v6i6.255 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 6 (6) ◽

pp. 119

Author(s):

Mohammad Shohidul Islam ◽

Sultana Easmin Siddika ◽

S M Injamamul Haque Masum

Keyword(s):

Linear Regression ◽

Correlation Coefficients ◽

Rain Gauge ◽

Regression Method ◽

Linear Regression Method ◽

Climate Data ◽

Rainfall Forecasting ◽

Statistical Parameters ◽

Time Duration ◽

Rainfall Prediction

Rainfall forecasting is very challenging task for the meteorologists. Over the last few decades, several models have been utilized, attempting the successful analysing and forecasting of rainfall. Recorded climate data can play an important role in this regard. Long-time duration of recorded data can be able to provide better advancement of rainfall forecasting. This paper presents the utilization of statistical techniques, particularly linear regression method for modelling the rainfall prediction over Bangladesh. The rainfall data for a period of 11 years was obtained from Bangladesh Meteorological department (BMD), Dhaka i.e. that was surface-based rain gauge rainfall which was acquired from 08 weather stations over Bangladesh for the years of 2001-2011. The monthly and yearly rainfall was determined. In order to assess the accuracy of it some statistical parameters such as average, meridian, correlation coefficients and standard deviation were determined for all stations. The model prediction of rainfall was compared with true rainfall which was collected from rain gauge of different stations and it was found that the model rainfall prediction has given good results.

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An alternative model of the vibronic coupling in octahedral complexes

Collection of Czechoslovak Chemical Communications ◽

10.1135/cccc19881134 ◽

1988 ◽

Vol 53 (6) ◽

pp. 1134-1140

Author(s):

Martin Breza ◽

Peter Pelikán

Keyword(s):

Linear Regression ◽

Alternative Model ◽

Potential Surface ◽

Analytical Formula ◽

Coupling Model ◽

Regression Method ◽

Vibronic Coupling ◽

Linear Regression Method ◽

Active Systems ◽

Jahn Teller

It is suggested that for some transition metal hexahalo complexes, the Eg-(a1g + eg) vibronic coupling model is better suited than the classical T2g-(a1g + eg) model. For the former, alternative model, the potential constants in the analytical formula are evaluated from the numerical map of the adiabatic potential surface by using the linear regression method. The numerical values for 29 hexahalo complexes of the 1st row transition metals are obtained by the CNDO/2 method. Some interesting trends of parameters of such Jahn-Teller-active systems are disclosed.

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The Accuracy Assessment of Weapon System Using Grey Linear Regression Method

Applied Mechanics and Materials ◽

10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.268-270.1809 ◽

2012 ◽

Vol 268-270 ◽

pp. 1809-1813

Author(s):

Dai Yu Zhang ◽

Bao Wei Song ◽

Zhou Quan Zhu

Keyword(s):

Linear Regression ◽

Fuzzy Theory ◽

Accuracy Assessment ◽

Regression Method ◽

Small Sample ◽

Easy Access ◽

Linear Regression Method ◽

Grey Theory ◽

Weapon System ◽

Complex Engineering

The accuracy assessment of weapon system is always a complex engineering. How to make the most of the information given in only a few tests and obtain reasonable estimate is always a problem. Based on the fuzzy theory and grey theory, a grey linear regression method is presented. From the numerical example, we can see that this method provides an easy access to deal with data in small sample case and may have potential use in the analysis of weapon performance.

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Perancangan Aplikasi Prediksi Jumlah Pendaftar Siswa Baru Dengan Metode Regresi Linier (Studi Kasus: SMA RK Deli Murni Bandar Baru)

Jurnal Nasional Komputasi dan Teknologi Informasi (JNKTI) ◽

10.32672/jnkti.v3i3.2520 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 3 (3) ◽

pp. 330-334

Author(s):

Novita Ria Lase ◽

Fristi Riandari

Keyword(s):

Linear Regression ◽

Regression Method ◽

Point Of View ◽

Computational Techniques ◽

Linear Regression Method ◽

Simple Linear Regression ◽

Tuition Fees ◽

Use Of Data ◽

New Students ◽

New Student

The problem of the SMA RK Deli Murni Bandar Baru school is to predict how many facilities that need to be provided for new students such as chairs, tables and others. This study discusses the prediction of the number of new student registrants at SMA RK Deli Murni Bandar Baru based on the amount of tuition fees using a simple linear regression method. From a commercial point of view, the use of data mining can be used to handle the explosion of data volumes, using computational techniques can be used to produce information needed which is an asset that can increase the competitiveness of an institution. Prediction is almost the same as classification and estimation, except that in the prediction the value of the results will be in the future. This system can be used to predict the number of applicants in the following year to help the school. The advantage is that this simple linear regression method is very simple so that it is easy to calculate and use. Saves the time needed to solve problems, especially those that are very complex.

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