Analysis of PLN's Electrical Energy Demand in the Area of Batam-Indonesia Using the Linear Regression Method

Author(s):  
Husein Mubarok ◽  
Ryan Septyawan
2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nazori Suhandi ◽  
Irma Yuliawati ◽  
Indah Charista

<p class="SammaryHeader" align="center"><strong><em>Abstract</em></strong></p><p><em>The availability of electrical energy is a very important aspect and even become a parameter to support the successful development of a region. Proper management of electrical energy resources and directed clearly will make the potential possessed of an area developed and utilized optimally. Population growth and economic development of a region can be influenced by the use of electrical energy. The supply of electricity must be taken into account so that the electrical energy can be available in an amount that suits your needs. Demand for the use of electricity in Indonesia will always increase with economic growth in addition to the development of electrical energy is also influenced by the development of the population in terms of quantity of customers to be electricity. Predicting methods such as using time series method (Gustriansyah, 2017) or data mining methods. The purpose of this research is to know how to overcome the influence of electricity usage (VA) connected with electric energy sold (KWh). Research done by simple linear regression method to facilitate writer in processing data. Based on the calculation result using simple linear regression method can be concluded 99.2% of the variation of electric power connected can be explained by the variable amount of electrical energy sold. While the rest (100% - 99.2% = 0.8%) is explained by other causes. And the level of significance &lt;0.05 so that the regression model can be used to predict the electrical energy sold.</em></p><p><strong><em>Keywords : </em></strong><em>Linear regression, analysis, electrical energy</em></p><p class="SammaryHeader" align="center"> </p><p class="SammaryHeader" align="center"><strong><em>Abstrak</em></strong></p><p><em>Ketersediaan energi listrik merupakan aspek yang sangat penting dan bahkan menjadi suatu parameter untuk mendukung keberhasilan pembangunan suatu daerah. Pengelolaan sumber daya energi listrik yang tepat dan terarah dengan jelas akan menjadikan potensi yang dimiliki suatu wilayah berkembang dan termanfaatkan secara optimal. Pertumbuhan populasi dan perkembangan ekonomi suatu wilayah dapat dipengaruhi penggunaan energi listrik. Penyediaan listrik harus diperhitungkan sehingga energi listrik dapat tersedia dalam jumlah yang sesuai dengan kebutuhan Anda. Permintaan untuk penggunaan energi listrik di Indonesia akan selalu meningkat dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi disamping pengembangan energi listrik juga dipengaruhi oleh perkembangan populasi dalam hal kuantitas pelanggan yang akan dialiri listrik. </em><em>Metode untuk memprediksi seperti menggunakan metode time series (Gustriansyah, 2017) atau metode data mining.</em><em> Adapun tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui bagaimana cara mengatasi pengaruh penggunaan tenaga listrik (VA) yang terhubung dengan energi listrik yang terjual (KWh). Penelitian dilakukan dengan metode regresi linier sederhana agar memudahkan penulis dalam mengolah data. Berdasarkan hasil perhitungan menggunakan metode regresi linier sederhana dapat disimpulkan sebesar 99,2% dari variasi daya listrik yang terhubung dapat dijelaskan oleh variabel jumlah energi listrik yang terjual. Sedangkan sisanya (100% - 99,2% = 0,8%) dijelaskan oleh penyebab lain. Dan tingkat signifikansi &lt;0,05 sehingga model regresi dapat digunakan untuk memprediksi energi listrik yang terjual.</em></p><p align="left"><strong><em>Kata kunc</em></strong><em>i: Regresi linier, analisis, energi listrik</em></p>


Author(s):  
Mohammad Shohidul Islam ◽  
Sultana Easmin Siddika ◽  
S M Injamamul Haque Masum

Rainfall forecasting is very challenging task for the meteorologists. Over the last few decades, several models have been utilized, attempting the successful analysing and forecasting of rainfall. Recorded climate data can play an important role in this regard. Long-time duration of recorded data can be able to provide better advancement of rainfall forecasting. This paper presents the utilization of statistical techniques, particularly linear regression method for modelling the rainfall prediction over Bangladesh. The rainfall data for a period of 11 years was obtained from Bangladesh Meteorological department (BMD), Dhaka i.e. that was surface-based rain gauge rainfall which was acquired from 08 weather stations over Bangladesh for the years of 2001-2011. The monthly and yearly rainfall was determined. In order to assess the accuracy of it some statistical parameters such as average, meridian, correlation coefficients and standard deviation were determined for all stations. The model prediction of rainfall was compared with true rainfall which was collected from rain gauge of different stations and it was found that the model rainfall prediction has given good results.


1988 ◽  
Vol 53 (6) ◽  
pp. 1134-1140
Author(s):  
Martin Breza ◽  
Peter Pelikán

It is suggested that for some transition metal hexahalo complexes, the Eg-(a1g + eg) vibronic coupling model is better suited than the classical T2g-(a1g + eg) model. For the former, alternative model, the potential constants in the analytical formula are evaluated from the numerical map of the adiabatic potential surface by using the linear regression method. The numerical values for 29 hexahalo complexes of the 1st row transition metals are obtained by the CNDO/2 method. Some interesting trends of parameters of such Jahn-Teller-active systems are disclosed.


2012 ◽  
Vol 268-270 ◽  
pp. 1809-1813
Author(s):  
Dai Yu Zhang ◽  
Bao Wei Song ◽  
Zhou Quan Zhu

The accuracy assessment of weapon system is always a complex engineering. How to make the most of the information given in only a few tests and obtain reasonable estimate is always a problem. Based on the fuzzy theory and grey theory, a grey linear regression method is presented. From the numerical example, we can see that this method provides an easy access to deal with data in small sample case and may have potential use in the analysis of weapon performance.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 330-334
Author(s):  
Novita Ria Lase ◽  
Fristi Riandari

The problem of the SMA RK Deli Murni Bandar Baru school is to predict how many facilities that need to be provided for new students such as chairs, tables and others. This study discusses the prediction of the number of new student registrants at SMA RK Deli Murni Bandar Baru based on the amount of tuition fees using a simple linear regression method. From a commercial point of view, the use of data mining can be used to handle the explosion of data volumes, using computational techniques can be used to produce information needed which is an asset that can increase the competitiveness of an institution. Prediction is almost the same as classification and estimation, except that in the prediction the value of the results will be in the future. This system can be used to predict the number of applicants in the following year to help the school. The advantage is that this simple linear regression method is very simple so that it is easy to calculate and use. Saves the time needed to solve problems, especially those that are very complex.


2019 ◽  
Vol 164 ◽  
pp. 681-689 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mariusz Zapadka ◽  
Mateusz Kaczmarek ◽  
Bogumiła Kupcewicz ◽  
Przemysław Dekowski ◽  
Agata Walkowiak ◽  
...  

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (08) ◽  
pp. 1640019 ◽  
Author(s):  
JAEHYUN SHIN ◽  
YONGMIN ZHONG ◽  
JULIAN SMITH ◽  
CHENGFAN GU

Dynamic soft tissue characterization is of importance to robotic-assisted minimally invasive surgery. The traditional linear regression method is unsuited to handle the non-linear Hunt–Crossley (HC) model and its linearization process involves a linearization error. This paper presents a new non-linear estimation method for dynamic characterization of mechanical properties of soft tissues. In order to deal with non-linear and dynamic conditions involved in soft tissue characterization, this method improves the non-linearity and dynamics of the HC model by treating parameter [Formula: see text] as independent variable. Based on this, an unscented Kalman filter is developed for online estimation of soft tissue parameters. Simulations and comparison analysis demonstrate that the proposed method is able to estimate mechanical parameters for both homogeneous tissues and heterogeneous and multi-layer tissues, and the achieved performance is much better than that of the linear regression method.


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