scholarly journals Age and frailty are independently associated with increased COVID-19 mortality and increased care needs in survivors: results of an international multi-centre study

Author(s):  
◽  
Mustafa Alsahab ◽  
Lucy Beishon ◽  
Bryony Brown ◽  
Elinor Burn ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Increased mortality has been demonstrated in older adults with COVID-19, but the effect of frailty has been unclear. Methods This multi-centre cohort study involved patients aged 18 years and older hospitalised with COVID-19, using routinely collected data. We used Cox regression analysis to assess the impact of age, frailty, and delirium on the risk of inpatient mortality, adjusting for sex, illness severity, inflammation, and co-morbidities. We used ordinal logistic regression analysis to assess the impact of age, Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), and delirium on risk of increased care requirements on discharge, adjusting for the same variables. Results Data from 5,711 patients from 55 hospitals in 12 countries were included (median age 74, IQR 54–83; 55.2% male). The risk of death increased independently with increasing age (>80 vs 18–49: HR 3.57, CI 2.54–5.02), frailty (CFS 8 vs 1–3: HR 3.03, CI 2.29–4.00) inflammation, renal disease, cardiovascular disease, and cancer, but not delirium. Age, frailty (CFS 7 vs 1–3: OR 7.00, CI 5.27–9.32), delirium, dementia, and mental health diagnoses were all associated with increased risk of higher care needs on discharge. The likelihood of adverse outcomes increased across all grades of CFS from 4 to 9. Conclusions Age and frailty are independently associated with adverse outcomes in COVID-19. Risk of increased care needs was also increased in survivors of COVID-19 with frailty or older age.


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_G) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marrco Vitolo ◽  
Vincenzo Livio Malavasi ◽  
Marco Proietti ◽  
Igor Diemberger ◽  
Laurent Fauchier ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Cardiac troponins (cTn) have been reported to be predictors for adverse outcomes in atrial fibrillation (AF), patients, but their actual use is still unclear. To assess the factors associated with cTn testing in routine clinical practice and to evaluate the association of elevated levels of cTn with adverse outcomes in a large contemporary cohort of European AF patients. Methods and results Patients enrolled in the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry were stratified into three groups according to cTn levels as (i) cTn not tested, (ii) cTn in range (≤99th percentile), and (iii) cTn elevated (>99th percentile). The composite outcome of any thromboembolism/any acute coronary syndrome (ACS)/cardiovascular (CV) death, defined as major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause death were the main endpoints. 10 445 (94.1%) AF patients were included in this analysis [median age 71 years, interquartile range (IQR): 63–77; males 59.7%]. cTn were tested in 2834 (27.1%). Overall, cTn was elevated in 904 (8.7%) and in-range in 1930 (18.5%) patients. Patients in whom cTn was tested tended to be younger (P < 0.001) and more frequently presenting with first detected AF and atypical AF-related symptoms (i.e. chest pain, dyspnoea, or syncope) (P < 0.001). On multivariable logistic regression analysis, female sex, in-hospital enrollment, first-detected AF, CV risk factors, history of coronary artery disease (CAD), and atypical AF symptoms were independently associated with cTn testing. After a median follow-up of 730 days (IQR: 692–749), 957 (9.7%) composite endpoints occurred while all-cause death was 9.5%. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed a higher cumulative risk for both outcomes in patients with elevated cTn levels (Figure) (Log Rank tests, P < 0.001). On adjusted Cox regression analysis, elevated levels of cTn were independently associated with a higher risk for MACE [hazard ratio (HR): 1.74, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.40–2.16] and all-cause death (HR 1.45, 95% CI: 1.21–1.74). Elevated levels of cTn were independently associated with a higher occurrence of MACE, all-cause death, any ACS, CV death and hospital readmission even after the exclusion of patients with history of CAD, diagnosis of ACS at discharge, those who underwent coronary revascularization during the admission and/or who were treated with oral anticoagulants plus antiplatelet therapy. Conclusions Elevated cTn levels were independently associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality and adverse CV events, even after exclusion of CAD patients. Clinical factors that might enhance the need to rule out CAD were associated with cTn testing.



2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 15594-15594
Author(s):  
A. Banu ◽  
E. Banu ◽  
D. Dionysopoulos ◽  
J. Medioni ◽  
F. Scotte ◽  
...  

15594 Background: Clinical studies suggested that the extent of neuro-endocrine differentiation in prostate cancer increases with tumor progression and the development of androgen refractory status. Chromogranine (CgA) and neuron-specific enolase (NSE) are currently explored as surrogate markers. Methods: Eligible chemonaive HRPC patients (pts) were required to have an ECOG performance status (PS) ≤ 2. Before chemotherapy initiation, we quantified NSE, CgA and PSA in the venous blood using commercial kits. We evaluated the impact of baseline NSE, CgA and PSA on overall survival (OS) using multivariate Cox regression analysis, stratified by chemotherapy regimen. Secondary, we studied the correlation between NSE, CgA, PSA and other important variables as age, Gleason score, hemoglobin, number of metastatic sites and ECOG PS. Results: Data of 39 consecutive HRPC pts treated between December 01–06 in a single French center were analyzed. Chemotherapy was docetaxel-based in 92% of pts. Median age was 71 years (range 51–86) and 79% of pts had bone metastases. Elevated NSE, CgA and PSA were observed in 6, 9 and 30% of pts and median levels were 10.8, 67 and 23.3 ng/mL, respectively. Gleason 8–10 was present in 49% of pts. Significant correlations were observed between NSE and the number of metastatic sites and between CgA and age, hemoglobin and ECOG PS. The baseline PSA was only correlated with Gleason score. Median OS for the entire cohort was 24.4 months (95% CI, 18.8–29.9). Two-year OS was 15% and only 19% of patients are dead. Univariate Cox regression analysis showed only a significant relationship between OS and baseline NSE: hazard ratio= 1.09 (95% CI, 1.03–1.16), P=0.006. No other known prognostic factors are related to outcome. A multivariate model including baseline NSE, CgA, ECOG PS and Gleason score showed a 15% rise of the risk of death related to NSE (borderline P value). Conclusions: NSE was the most powerful predictor of survival for HRPC pts. Our results emphasize the theory that cells secreting NSE are chemoresistant, with a negative impact on OS. No significant financial relationships to disclose.



Diseases ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 49
Author(s):  
Sen Matsumoto ◽  
Yasuharu Matsunaga-Lee ◽  
Masashi Ishimi ◽  
Mamoru Ohnishi ◽  
Nobutaka Masunaga ◽  
...  

The role of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels as a predictor of arrhythmia recurrence (AR) after atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation remains unclear. In this study, we investigated the association of BNP levels before and 3 months after ablation with the risk of AR. A total of 234 patients undergoing their first session of AF ablation were included (68% male, mean age of 69 years). The cut-off value for discriminating AR was determined based on the maximum value of the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The impact of BNP levels on AR was evaluated using Cox regression analysis. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve for BNP at 3 months after the procedure was larger (0.714) compared to BNP levels before ablation (0.593). Elevated levels of BNP 3 months after the procedure (>40.5 pg/mL, n = 96) was associated with a higher risk of AR compared to those without elevated levels (34.4% vs. 10.9%, p < 0.01). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that elevated BNP levels were associated with an increased risk of AR (hazard ratio 2.43; p = 0.014). Elevated BNP levels 3 months after AF ablation were a significant prognostic factor in AR, while baseline BNP levels were not.



2013 ◽  
Vol 169 (3) ◽  
pp. 367-376 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fausto Bogazzi ◽  
Annamaria Colao ◽  
Giuseppe Rossi ◽  
Martina Lombardi ◽  
Claudio Urbani ◽  
...  

ObjectiveAcromegalic patients have an increased risk of mortality. The objective of this study was to compare the effect of different therapies for acromegaly on mortality.Design and methodsThe mortality rate of 438 consecutive acromegalic patients was compared with that of the general population using the standardized mortality ratio (SMR); the effect of different therapies on survival was evaluated using Cox regression analysis.ResultsTwenty patients (4.5%) died between 1999 and 2009. Age- and sex-adjusted SMR was 0.70 (95% CI 0.43–1.08). The Cox regression analysis revealed that, in the whole population, both general risk factors (age and physical status) and specific factors for acromegaly (macroadenoma, hypopituitarism and uncontrolled disease) were associated with death. The most compromised patients at diagnosis had a higher mortality rate (P=0.001), which also occurred in patients with controlled acromegaly. Death occurred in 2.4% (adenomectomy), 2.6% (adenomectomy followed by somatostatin analogue (SSA) therapy) and 11.4% (SSA therapy as the primary therapy) of the patients. The risk of death was higher in patients receiving SSA therapy as the primary therapy (hazard ratio (HR) 5.52, 95% CI 1.06–28.77,P=0.043) than in all patients submitted to adenomectomy; however, a higher risk of death occurred only in diabetic patients treated with SSAs alone (HR 21.94, 95% CI 1.56–309.04,P=0.022). Radiotherapy was associated with an increased risk of mortality, which occurred in patients with the more locally advanced disease.ConclusionsTherapies for acromegaly and comorbidities have lowered the risk of mortality to the level of the general population; the effect of SSA therapy alone or that following pituitary adenomectomy was comparable to that of curative neurosurgery on survival in non-diabetic patients; on the contrary, SSA therapy as the primary therapy may be less effective than adenomectomy in reducing mortality rate in diabetic patients.



2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anca Balintescu ◽  
Marcus Lind ◽  
Mikael Andersson Franko ◽  
Anders Oldner ◽  
Maria Cronhjort ◽  
...  

<b>Objective</b> <p>To investigate the nature of<b> </b>the relationship between HbA1c and sepsis among individuals with type 2 diabetes and to assess the association of sepsis and all-cause mortality in such patients.<b></b></p> <p><b>Research design and methods</b></p> <p>We included 502,871 individuals with type 2 diabetes recorded in the Swedish National Diabetes Register and used multivariable Cox regression and restricted cubic spline analyses to assess the association between time-updated HbA1c values and sepsis occurrence between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2015. The association between sepsis and death was examined using multivariable Cox regression analysis.</p> <p><b>Result</b></p> <p>Overall, 14,534 (2.9%) patients developed sepsis during the study period. On multivariable Cox regression analysis, compared with an HbA1c of 48-52 mmol/mol (6.5-6.9%), the adjusted hazard ratio for sepsis was 1.15 (95% CI 1.07-1.24) for HbA1c <43 mmol/mol (6.1%); 0.93 (0.87-0.99) for HbA1c 53-62 mmol/mol (7.0-7.8%); 1.05 (0.97-1.13) for HbA1c 63-72 mmol/mol (7.9-8.7%); 1.14 (1.04-1.25) for HbA1c 73-82 mmol/mol (8.8-9.7%); and 1.52 (1.37-1.68) for HbA1c >82 mmol/mol (9.7%). In the cubic spline model, a reduction of the adjusted risk was observed within the lower HbA1c range until 53 mmol/mol (7.0%), with a hazard ratio of 0.78 (0.73-0.82) per standard deviation, and increased thereafter (P for non-linearity <0.001). As compared to patients without sepsis, the adjusted hazard ratio for death among patients with sepsis was 4.16 (4.03-4.30).</p> <p><b>Conclusions</b></p> <p>In a nationwide cohort of individuals with type 2 diabetes, we found a U-shaped association between HbA1c and sepsis and a four-fold increased risk of death among those developing sepsis. </p>



2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anca Balintescu ◽  
Marcus Lind ◽  
Mikael Andersson Franko ◽  
Anders Oldner ◽  
Maria Cronhjort ◽  
...  

<b>Objective</b> <p>To investigate the nature of<b> </b>the relationship between HbA1c and sepsis among individuals with type 2 diabetes and to assess the association of sepsis and all-cause mortality in such patients.<b></b></p> <p><b>Research design and methods</b></p> <p>We included 502,871 individuals with type 2 diabetes recorded in the Swedish National Diabetes Register and used multivariable Cox regression and restricted cubic spline analyses to assess the association between time-updated HbA1c values and sepsis occurrence between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2015. The association between sepsis and death was examined using multivariable Cox regression analysis.</p> <p><b>Result</b></p> <p>Overall, 14,534 (2.9%) patients developed sepsis during the study period. On multivariable Cox regression analysis, compared with an HbA1c of 48-52 mmol/mol (6.5-6.9%), the adjusted hazard ratio for sepsis was 1.15 (95% CI 1.07-1.24) for HbA1c <43 mmol/mol (6.1%); 0.93 (0.87-0.99) for HbA1c 53-62 mmol/mol (7.0-7.8%); 1.05 (0.97-1.13) for HbA1c 63-72 mmol/mol (7.9-8.7%); 1.14 (1.04-1.25) for HbA1c 73-82 mmol/mol (8.8-9.7%); and 1.52 (1.37-1.68) for HbA1c >82 mmol/mol (9.7%). In the cubic spline model, a reduction of the adjusted risk was observed within the lower HbA1c range until 53 mmol/mol (7.0%), with a hazard ratio of 0.78 (0.73-0.82) per standard deviation, and increased thereafter (P for non-linearity <0.001). As compared to patients without sepsis, the adjusted hazard ratio for death among patients with sepsis was 4.16 (4.03-4.30).</p> <p><b>Conclusions</b></p> <p>In a nationwide cohort of individuals with type 2 diabetes, we found a U-shaped association between HbA1c and sepsis and a four-fold increased risk of death among those developing sepsis. </p>



Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 4080-4080
Author(s):  
Emily R. Meier ◽  
Ross M. Fasano ◽  
Monica Estrada ◽  
Jianping He ◽  
Robert Mccarter ◽  
...  

Abstract All sickle cell anemia patients (HbSS, SCA) have the same genetic mutation, but the clinical phenotype is highly variable and difficult to predict prior to the onset of complications. Transcranial Doppler (TCD) is the only validated predictive indicator of severe SCA currently available, identifying SCA patients age 2 years or older with the greatest stroke risk. Preliminary studies have identified that elevated absolute reticulocyte count (ARC) between 2 and 6 months of age is associated with an increased risk of hospitalization for SCA complications, stroke and death.1,2 To determine if early reticulocyte levels in SCA patients are useful in classifying children at highest risk of developing an abnormal (abTCD) or conditional (cdTCD) TCD, 121 consecutive patients with SCA who had TCD screening were identified after IRB review granted a waiver of consent. Retrospective chart review was then performed to collect the steady state ARC between 2 and 6 months of age; patients were excluded if this value was not available in the medical record. Steady state was defined as a sample collected at least 30 days from an acute illness and at least 60 days since the patient received a blood transfusion. ARC and hematologic data were analyzed using Cox regression analysis to determine the relationship between ARC levels and time to cdTCD/abTCD. TCDs were considered normal (nlTCD) if the Time Average Mean Maximum Velocity (TAMMV) in the middle cerebral artery or distal internal carotid artery was <170 cm/sec, cdTCD if TAMMV was 170-199 cm/sec and abTCD if TAMMV was 200 cm/sec or greater. To evaluate the utility of ARC or hemoglobin in risk stratification, patients were divided into groups: ARC less than 200K/uL (ARC<200) and ARC greater than or equal to 200K/uL (ARC≥200), or hemoglobin less than 8.5 g/dL (Hb<8.5) and hemoglobin greater than or equal to 8.5 g/dL (Hb≥8.5). Twenty of the 121 (16.5%) patients had abTCD, while 36/121 (29.8%) had cdTCD; the remaining 65/121 (53.7%) had nlTCDs. Mean ARC between 2 and 6 months of age was highest in those children with abTCDs (264±149 K/uL) and cdTCDs (175±76 K/uL) while those who had nlTCDs had the lowest values (mean ARC 140±100K/uL, p<0.001 across groups). Mean hemoglobin was lower in the abTCD (8.1±1.2 g/dL) and cdTCD groups (8.9±1.1 g/dL) compared to the nlTCD group (9.5±1.5 g/dL, p<0.001). The three groups did not differ in age at time of ARC measurement [mean age in months: 3.6±1.2 (nlTCD) vs. 3.8±1.3 (cdTCD) vs. 3.4±1.0 (abTCD), p=0.86]. Kaplan Meier analysis revealed that those children with higher ARC had an increased rate of cdTCD/abTCD (p<0.001 by the log-rank test). Lower hemoglobin was also associated with an increased rate of cdTCD/abTCD (p=0.002). Cox regression analysis revealed that those subjects with an ARC≥200 between the ages of 2 and 6 months had 2.9 times the risk of having an abTCD or cdTCD than the group with an ARC<200 (HR 2.92, 95% CI 1.68-5.08, p=0.0004). In separate analyses, patients with a hemoglobin less than 8.5 g/dL had 2.4 [95%CI 1.38-4.06 (p=0.002)] times the risk of having an abTCD/cdTCD than patients with a hemoglobin level of 8.5 g/dL or greater. These data suggest that both elevated ARC and low baseline hemoglobin during early infancy are associated with an increased risk of developing a cdTCD or abTCD later in childhood. ARC and hemoglobin at this early age should be prospectively studied as standard screening tests to assist with treatment decisions in young children with SCA. Meier ER, Byrnes C, Lee YT, et al. Increased reticulocytosis during infancy is associated with increased hospitalizations in sickle cell anemia patients during the first three years of life. PLoS One 2013; 8(8):e70794. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0070794.Meier ER, Wright EC, Miller JL. Reticulocytosis and anemia are associated with an increased risk of death and stroke in the newborn cohort of the Cooperative Study of Sickle Cell Disease. Am J Hematol 2014 May 31; doi: 10.1002/ajh.23777. [Epub ahead of print] Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.



2021 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 175628482110234
Author(s):  
Mario Romero-Cristóbal ◽  
Ana Clemente-Sánchez ◽  
Patricia Piñeiro ◽  
Jamil Cedeño ◽  
Laura Rayón ◽  
...  

Background: Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) with acute respiratory distress syndrome is a life-threatening condition. A previous diagnosis of chronic liver disease is associated with poorer outcomes. Nevertheless, the impact of silent liver injury has not been investigated. We aimed to explore the association of pre-admission liver fibrosis indices with the prognosis of critically ill COVID-19 patients. Methods: The work presented was an observational study in 214 patients with COVID-19 consecutively admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). Pre-admission liver fibrosis indices were calculated. In-hospital mortality and predictive factors were explored with Kaplan–Meier and Cox regression analysis. Results: The mean age was 59.58 (13.79) years; 16 patients (7.48%) had previously recognised chronic liver disease. Up to 78.84% of patients according to Forns, and 45.76% according to FIB-4, had more than minimal fibrosis. Fibrosis indices were higher in non-survivors [Forns: 6.04 (1.42) versus 4.99 (1.58), p < 0.001; FIB-4: 1.77 (1.17) versus 1.41 (0.91), p = 0.020)], but no differences were found in liver biochemistry parameters. Patients with any degree of fibrosis either by Forns or FIB-4 had a higher mortality, which increased according to the severity of fibrosis ( p < 0.05 for both indexes). Both Forns [HR 1.41 (1.11–1.81); p = 0.006] and FIB-4 [HR 1.31 (0.99–1.72); p = 0.051] were independently related to survival after adjusting for the Charlson comorbidity index, APACHE II, and ferritin. Conclusion: Unrecognised liver fibrosis, assessed by serological tests prior to admission, is independently associated with a higher risk of death in patients with severe COVID-19 admitted to the ICU.



2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 1680
Author(s):  
Urban Berg ◽  
Annette W-Dahl ◽  
Anna Nilsdotter ◽  
Emma Nauclér ◽  
Martin Sundberg ◽  
...  

Purpose: We aimed to study the influence of fast-track care programs in total hip and total knee replacements (THR and TKR) at Swedish hospitals on the risk of revision and mortality within 2 years after the operation. Methods: Data were collected from the Swedish Hip and Knee Arthroplasty Registers (SHAR and SKAR), including 67,913 THR and 59,268 TKR operations from 2011 to 2015 on patients with osteoarthritis. Operations from 2011 to 2015 Revision and mortality in the fast-track group were compared with non-fast-track using Kaplan–Meier survival analysis and Cox regression analysis with adjustments. Results: The hazard ratio (HR) for revision within 2 years after THR with fast-track was 1.19 (CI: 1.03–1.39), indicating increased risk, whereas no increased risk was found in TKR (HR 0.91; CI: 0.79–1.06). The risk of death within 2 years was estimated with a HR of 0.85 (CI: 0.74–0.97) for TKR and 0.96 (CI: 0.85–1.09) for THR in fast-track hospitals compared to non-fast-track. Conclusions: Fast-track programs at Swedish hospitals were associated with an increased risk of revision in THR but not in TKR, while we found the mortality to be lower (TKR) or similar (THR) as compared to non-fast track.



2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chenxi Yuan ◽  
Qingwei Wang ◽  
Xueting Dai ◽  
Yipeng Song ◽  
Jinming Yu

Abstract Background: Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) and skin cutaneous melanoma (SKCM) are common tumors around the world. However, the prognosis in advanced patients is poor. Because NLRP3 was not extensively studied in cancers, so that we aimed to identify the impact of NLRP3 on LUAD and SKCM through bioinformatics analyses. Methods: TCGA and TIMER database were utilized in this study. We compared the expression of NLRP3 in different cancers and evaluated its influence on survival of LUAD and SKCM patients. The correlations between clinical information and NLRP3 expression were analyzed using logistic regression. Clinicopathologic characteristics associated with overall survival in were analyzed by Cox regression. In addition, we explored the correlation between NLRP3 and immune infiltrates. GSEA and co-expressed gene with NLRP3 were also done in this study. Results: NLRP3 expressed disparately in tumor tissues and normal tissues. Cox regression analysis indicated that up-regulated NLRP3 was an independent prognostic factor for good prognosis in LUAD and SKCM. Logistic regression analysis showed increased NLRP3 expression was significantly correlated with favorable clinicopathologic parameters such as no lymph node invasion and no distant metastasis. Specifically, a positive correlation between increased NLRP3 expression and immune infiltrating level of various immune cells was observed. Conclusion: Together with all these findings, increased NLRP3 expression correlates with favorable prognosis and increased proportion of immune cells in LUAD and SKCM. These conclusions indicate that NLRP3 can serve as a potential biomarker for evaluating prognosis and immune infiltration level.



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