P1818Descending aortic thoracic diameter: a risk marker for major adverse cardiovascular outcomes in women

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
O L Rueda Ochoa ◽  
L R Bons ◽  
S Rohde ◽  
K E L Ghoud ◽  
R Budde ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Thoracic aortic diameters have been associated with cardiovascular risk factors and atherosclerosis. However, limited evidence regarding the role of thoracic aortic diameters as risk markers for major cardiovascular outcomes among women and men exist. Purpose To evaluate the independent associations between crude and indexed ascending and descending aortic (AA and DA) diameters with major cardiovascular outcomes among women and men and to provide optimal cutoff values associated with increased cardiovascular risk. Methods and results 2178 women and men ≥55 years from the prospective population-based Rotterdam Study underwent multi-detector CT scan of thorax. Crude diameters of the AA and DA were measured and indexed by height, weight, body surface area (BSA) and body mass index (BMI). Incidence of stroke, coronary heart disease (CHD), heart failure (HF), cardiovascular and all-cause mortality were evaluated during 13 years of follow-up. Weight-, BSA-, or BMI-indexed AA diameters showed significant associations with total or cardiovascular mortality in both sexes and height-indexed values showed association with HF in women. Crude AA diameters were associated with stroke in men and HF in women. For DA, crude and almost all indexed diameters showed significant associations with either stroke, HF, cardiovascular or total mortality in women. Only weight-, BSA- and BMI-indexed values were associated with total mortality in men. For crude DA diameter, the risk for stroke increased significantly at the 75th percentile among men while the risks for HF and cardiovascular mortality increased at the 75th and 85th percentiles respectively in women. Conclusions Our study suggests a role for descending thoracic aortic diameter as a marker for increased cardiovascular risk, in particular for stroke, heart failure and cardiovascular mortality among women. The cut points for increased risk for several of cardiovascular outcomes were below the 95th percentile of the distribution of aortic diameters.

Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 129 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hassan Khan ◽  
Setor Kunutsor ◽  
Jussi Kauhanen ◽  
Sudhir Kurl ◽  
Eiran Gorodeski ◽  
...  

Background: There remains uncertainty regarding the association between fasting glucose (FG) and the risk of heart failure (HF) in individuals without a history of diabetes. Methods and Results: We assessed the association between FG and HF risk in a population-based cohort of 1,740 men aged 42-61 years free from HF or diabetes at baseline. Additionally, we performed a meta-analysis of relevant prospective studies identified from MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases. During a mean follow-up of 20.4 years, 146 participants developed HF (4.1 cases per 1000 person-years). In models adjusted for age, the hazard ratio (HR) for HF per 1 mmol/L increase in FG was 1.34 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.22, 1.48). This association persisted after adjustment for established HF risk factors (HR 1.27, 95% CI 1.14, 1.42). Compared with FG< 5.6 mmol/L, there was an increased risk amongst those with FG 5.6-6.9 mmol/L (HR 1.24, 95% CI 0.82, 1.88) and ≥ 7.0 mmol/L (HR 3.25, 95% CI 1.50, 7.08). HRs remained consistent across several clinical subgroups. In a meta-analysis of 10 prospective studies (Figure 1) involving a total of 4,213 incident HF cases, the HR for HF per 1 mmol/L increase in FG level was 1.11 (95% CI 1.04, 1.17), consistent with a linear dose-response relationship with evidence of heterogeneity between studies (I2=79%, 63-89%; P<0.001). Conclusions: A positive, continuous, and independent association exists between FG and risk for HF. Further studies are needed to evaluate the causal relevance of these findings.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hwi Seung Kim ◽  
Jiwoo Lee ◽  
Yun Kyung Cho ◽  
Joong-Yeol Park ◽  
Woo Je Lee ◽  
...  

BackgroundMetabolically healthy obese (MHO) individuals and their association with cardiometabolic diseases have remained controversial. We aimed to explore the risk of incident heart failure (HF) based on the baseline metabolic health and obesity status as well as their transition over 2 years.MethodsThe Korean National Health Insurance Service-National Health Screening Cohort data of 514,886 participants were analyzed. Obesity was defined as BMI ≥25 kg/m2 according to the Korean Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The metabolic health and obesity status were evaluated at baseline and after two years. Study participants were followed to either the date of newly diagnosed HF or the last follow-up visit, whichever occurred first.ResultsThe MHO group comprised 9.1% of the entire population and presented a better baseline metabolic profile than the metabolically unhealthy non-obese (MUNO) and metabolicavlly unhealthy obese (MUO) groups. During the median 71.3 months of follow-up, HF developed in 5,406 (1.5%) participants. The adjusted hazard ratios [HRs (95% CI)] of HF at baseline compared with the metabolically healthy non-obese (MHNO) group were 1.29 [1.20–1.39], 1.37 [1.22–1.53], and 1.63 [1.50–1.76] for MUNO, MHO, and MUO groups, respectively. With the stable MHNO group as reference, transition into metabolically unhealthy status (MUNO and MUO) increased the risk of HF, regardless of the baseline status. Subjects who were obese at both baseline and follow-up showed an increased risk of HF, regardless of their metabolic health status.ConclusionsMetabolic health and obesity status and their transition can predict the risk of incident HF. Losing metabolic health in baseline non-obese and obese individuals and remaining obese in baseline obese individuals showed a significantly increased risk of incident HF. Maintaining good metabolic health and a lean body may prevent the development of HF.


Circulation ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 125 (suppl_10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lars Lind ◽  
Erik Ingelsson ◽  
Johan Sundström ◽  
Johan ärnlöv

Objective: The aim of this study was to investigate how the length of the follow-up period influences the strength of the associations between major cardiovascular risk factors and different cardiovascular outcomes (myocardial infarction [MI], stroke and heart failure). Methods: We examined 1826 men aged 50 regarding cardiovascular risk factors in 1970-74. The follow-up time was 33 years. The hazard ratio (HR) was calculated yearly for each risk factor and outcome. During follow-up, 571 cases of MI, 381 cases of stroke and 384 cases of heart failure occurred. Results: Two major patterns were found regarding influence of the follow-up time on the associations between risk factors and the different cardiovascular outcomes. First, a gradual decline in the HR over time was seen for blood pressure in relation to all three outcomes, with the most rapid decline for heart failure and stroke. This pattern was also seen for BMI in relation to MI and heart failure, and for smoking regarding MI and stroke. Second, we observed a gradual increase in HRs to a maximum at 20-25 years, and thereafter a slight decline. This pattern was seen for the apoB/A1 ratio, HDL, and triglycerides, mainly in relation to MI and heart failure. Conclusion: The length of follow-up influenced the associations between traditional risk factors and cardiovascular outcomes in different ways. The collective influence of the risk factors did however show a substantial decline in discrimination over time for the outcomes stroke and heart failure, but not regarding myocardial infarction.


Author(s):  
Marta Ragonese ◽  
Gianluca Di Bella ◽  
Federica Spagnolo ◽  
Loredana Grasso ◽  
Angela Alibrandi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Acromegaly is associated with an increased risk of fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular (CV) events. Controlling acromegaly decreases, but does not normalize this risk. Brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) assessment is used in the general population for the diagnosis of heart failure and to predict ischemic recurrences and mortality. This is a retrospective, longitudinal, monocenter study that evaluates the role of serum N-terminal fragment of BNP (NT-pro-BNP) for predicting CV events in acromegaly patients. Methods Serum NT-pro-BNP levels were measured in 76 patients with acromegaly (23 males, 57.7±1.5 years), and compared with other predictors of CV events. NT-pro-BNP cut-off value discriminating the occurrence of CV events was determined by ROC analysis. CV events were recorded during a follow-up of 78.6±6.4 months. Results CV events occurred in 9.2% of patients. Mean log(NT-pro-BNP) concentration was higher in patients who experienced CV events than in those who did not (p<0.01) and in patients who died due to CV events than in those who died due to other causes (p<0.01). Based on the ROC curve, a cut-off value of 91.55 pg/mL could predict CV events (OR 19.06). Log(NT-pro-BNP) was lower in surgically treated patients by surgery (p<0.05), and in those cured by neurosurgery (p<0.02). Conclusions High NT-pro-BNP value is an independent middle-term predictor of fatal or non-fatal CV events in patients with acromegaly. According to this parameter, surgically treated patients show lower CV risk than those managed with medical therapy, especially if the disease is cured.


2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
I Rodriguez Sanchez ◽  
J J Onaindia ◽  
V Gomez ◽  
U Aguirre Larrakoetxea ◽  
S Velasco ◽  
...  

Abstract OBJECTIVES to evaluate the prognosis role of late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (cMRI) in patients with non-ischemic dilated cardiomyopathy (NIDM). BACKGROUND Risk stratification in NIDM needs to be improved. METHODS We included 210 patients with NIDM and cMRI from 2005 to 2018 in our study population. Outcomes were retrospectively assessed by medical records. The pattern of LGE was classified as mid-wall, sub-epicardial, or both patterns. Primary endpoint was sudden cardiac death (SCD) or aborted SCD. Secondary endpoints were global mortality and a composite endpoint of cardiovascular mortality and heart failure hospitalization. Demographic and clinical parameters were also evaluated. Patients with LGE (LGE+) were more likely to be male (80,6% vs 66,7%, p= 0,03). No significant differences were observed between LGE+ and LGE- patients in comorbidities, NYHA class, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), or neurohormonal treatment. RESULTS Of 210 patients (71,4% men, median age 59,8 years) with a median follow up of 5,6 years (3,24-8,15), 72 patients (34,3%) had non ischemic LGE (LGE+) on cMRI. Mean left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 34%. SCD or aborted SCD occurred in 11 patients (5,2%): 6 patients (9,5%) with LGE+ vs 5 patients (4,07 %) of LGE- (p = 0,19). Patients with LGE+ had a higher risk for the composite endpoint (cardiovascular mortality and heart failure hospitalization): OR 2,45, confidence interval (CI): 1,16-5,17, (p = 0,02). LGE presence was not associated with global mortality. The subepicardial pattern of LGE was associated with SCD or aborted SCD. 3 out of 11 patients (27%), with subepicardial pattern of LGE suffered from SCD or aborted SCD (p= 0,01). CONCLUSIONS In our cohort of 210 patients with NIDM, LGE was not significatively associated with SCD or aborted SCD, probably because of a low event rate (5,2%) in a relatively small and well treated population, despite a long follow-up (5,6 years). On the other hand, LGE presence was associated with a higher risk for the composite endpoint of cardiovascular mortality and heart failure hospitalization. Finally, the subepicardial pattern of LGE identified a group of patients at high risk of SCD and aborted SCD.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
H Sjoland ◽  
M Fu ◽  
P O Hansson ◽  
A Pivodic ◽  
K Caidahl

Abstract Background Minor ECG abnormalities, such as T-wave inversions, are frequently seen in clinical practice in asymptomatic patients. Its prognostic role is incompletely studied. We have previously reported an association between T-wave inversion, and all-cause mortality during lifetime. Purpose To study the prognostic prediction of new-onset of T-wave inversion in ECG recorded at various ages, in a male random population-based cohort in lifetime follow up. Methods Subjects from a random longitudinal, prospective, population-based study: “The study of men born in 1913” (n=854) were examined at 50-years of age and re-examined at 60, 67, 75 and 80 years, including a 12-lead ECG recording, classified according to the Minnesota code. Participants were followed until death or year 2015 (48 years follow-up), and data were obtained through the Cause of Death Register. Unadjusted and adjusted Cox proportional hazards models, producing an overall hazard ratio (HR), and flexible parametric models for survival data by Royston and Parmar, producing continuous HR over studied time, were applied for prediction of time to all-cause death and cardiovascular disease (CVD) death by the incident negative T-wave. Results An increased risk of all-cause and CVD death associated with negative T-waves was evident at the majority of observational ages in unadjusted analyses. After adjustment for other conditions (smoking, physical activity level, BMI, systolic blood pressure (BP), hypertension, BP medication, s-cholesterol, hematocrit, Q/QS patterns, and ST-junction/segment depression), a negative T-wave at 50 years of age was significantly associated with all-cause and CVD death, [HR 1.46 (95% CI 1.06–2.01), p=0.021, and HR 1.58 (95% CI 1.06–2.36), p=0.025], respectively. However, the HR of 1.58 for CVD death interacted significantly with time (p=0.034), with greater risk in the years adjacent to observation than for later follow-up (Figure, right panel). The corresponding adjusted analyses of a newly diagnosed negative T-wave appearing at 60, 67 and 75 years were not statistically significant for either of the two outcomes. However, an incident negative T-wave at 80 years of age was shown to have numerically higher overall impact, but not statistically significant for all-cause death [HR 1.52 (95% CI 0.80–2.86), p=0.20], but for CVD death [HR 2.41 (95% CI 1.03–5.66), p=0.043], with no significant interaction with time. Conclusion In this population cohort, a first time registered negative T-wave at 50 years carried a considerably increased risk of mortality, specifically CVD mortality, which cannot be explained by other cardiovascular risk factors. The risk was greatest in middle age, and weakened with increasing age. Our findings warrant verification in other cohorts. If an independent risk indication of negative T-wave at middle age is confirmed it could be a valuable adjunct in screening and cardiovascular risk assessment. Acknowledgement/Funding Sweden Heart-Lung Foundation, ALF Västra Götalandsregionen-Göteborgs Universitet


2019 ◽  
Vol 71 (5) ◽  
pp. 1306-1315 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raza M Alvi ◽  
Markella V Zanni ◽  
Anne M Neilan ◽  
Malek Z O Hassan ◽  
Noor Tariq ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Among persons living with human immunodeficiency virus (PHIV), incident heart failure (HF) rates are increased and outcomes are worse; however, the role of amino-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) concentrations among PHIV with HF has not been characterized. Methods Patients were derived from a registry of those hospitalized with HF at an academic center in a calender year. We compared the NT-proBNP concentrations and the changes in NT-proBNP levels between PHIV with HF and uninfected controls with HF. Results Among 2578 patients with HF, there were 434 PHIV; 90% were prescribed antiretroviral therapy and 62% were virally suppressed. As compared to controls, PHIV had higher admission (3822 [IQR, 2413–7784] pg/ml vs 5546 [IQR, 3257–8792] pg/ml, respectively; P &lt; .001), higher discharge (1922 [IQR, 1045–4652] pg/ml vs 3372 [IQR, 1553–5452] pg/ml, respectively; P &lt; .001), and lower admission-to-discharge changes in NT-proBNP levels (32 vs 48%, respectively; P = .007). Similar findings were noted after stratifying based on left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). In a multivariate analysis, cocaine use, a lower LVEF, a higher NYHA class, a higher viral load (VL), and a lower CD4 count were associated with higher NT-proBNP concentrations. In follow-up, among PHIV, a higher admission NT-proBNP concentration was associated with increased cardiovascular mortality (first tertile, 11.5; second tertile, 20; third tertile, 44%; P &lt; .001). Among PHIV, each doubling of NT-proBNP was associated with a 19% increased risk of death. However, among patients living without HIV, each doubling was associated with a 27% increased risk; this difference was attenuated among PHIV with lower VLs and higher CD4 counts. Conclusions PHIV with HF had higher admission and discharge NT-proBNP levels, and less change in NT-proBNP concentrations. Among PHIV, VLs and CD4 counts were associated with NT-proBNP concentrations; in follow-up, higher NT-proBNP levels among PHIV were associated with cardiovascular mortality.


2005 ◽  
Vol 10 (2_suppl) ◽  
pp. S19-S25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rainer H Böger

Evidence has accumulated that asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA) is an endogenous competitive inhibitor of nitric oxide (NO) synthase. ADMA inhibits vascular NO production at concentrations found in pathophysiological conditions; it also causes local vasoconstriction when infused intra-arterially. ADMA is increased in the plasma of humans with hypercholesterolemia, atherosclerosis, hypertension, chronic renal failure, chronic heart failure, and other clinical conditions. Increased ADMA levels are associated with reduced NO synthesis as assessed by impaired endothelium-dependent vasodilation or reduced NO metabolite levels. In several prospective and cross-sectional studies, ADMA has evolved as a marker of cardiovascular risk. Moreover, prospective clinical studies have suggested that it may play a role as a novel cardiovascular risk factor. Zoccali and coworkers were the first to show that elevated ADMA is associated with a three-fold increased risk of future severe cardiovascular events and mortality in patients undergoing hemodialysis. Valkonen and coworkers demonstrated in a nested case-control study that elevated ADMA was associated with a four-fold increased risk for acute coronary events in clinically healthy, nonsmoking men. In patients with stable angina pectoris, preinterventional ADMA indicates the risk of developing restenosis or severe clinical events after coronary intervention. Furthermore, in humans with no underlying cardiovascular disease who are undergoing intensive care unit treatment, ADMA is a marker of the mortality risk. A number of additional prospective clinical trials are currently under way in diverse patient populations, among them individuals with congestive heart failure, cardiac transplantation patients, and patients with pulmonary hypertension. In summary, an increasing number of prospective clinical trials have shown that the association between elevated ADMA levels and major cardiovascular events and total mortality is robust and extends to diverse patient populations. However, we need to define more clearly in the future who will profit from ADMA determination, in order to use this novel risk marker as a more specific diagnostic tool.


2019 ◽  
Vol 98 (2) ◽  
pp. 164-170 ◽  
Author(s):  
H.J. Lee ◽  
E.K. Choi ◽  
J.B. Park ◽  
K.D. Han ◽  
S. Oh

We investigated whether oral health, represented by missing teeth, was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease, including myocardial infarction (MI), heart failure (HF), stroke, and all-cause mortality. Subjects who underwent routine dental examinations and health checkups provided by the Korean National Health Insurance from 2007 to 2008 ( n = 4,440,970) were followed up for incident MI, HF, stroke, and death until 2016. During follow-up of 7.56 y, 68,063 (1.5%) subjects died, and 31,868 (0.7%) were admitted for MI, 22,637 (0.5%) for HF, and 30,941 (0.7%) for stroke. Cardiovascular events and mortality increased in proportion to tooth loss. Tooth loss was an independent risk factor for cardiovascular events after multivariable analysis adjusted for cardiovascular risk, behavioral, and income factors. Each missing tooth was associated with an approximately 1% increase in MI (HR, 1.010; 95% CI, 1.007 to 1.014), 1.5% increase in HF (HR, 1.016; 95% CI, 1.013 to 1.019) and stroke (HR, 1.015; 95% CI, 1.012 to 1.018), and 2% increase in mortality (HR, 1.022; 95% CI, 1.020 to 1.023). Having ≥5 missing teeth substantially increased risk for cardiovascular outcomes, and even a small number of missing teeth (1 to 4) was associated with an increased risk for MI, stroke, and death. This association was consistent in subgroup analyses and especially strong among the younger subjects (age <65 y) and those with periodontitis. In this large Korean nationwide cohort study, we found that tooth loss showed a dose-dependent association with incident MI, HF, ischemic stroke, and all-cause death and was a good predictor of cardiovascular outcome. In clinical practice, the number of missing teeth can aid physicians in discriminating patients with a higher cardiovascular risk.


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