scholarly journals Evaluation of Frailty as an Unmeasured Confounder in Observational Studies of Antidiabetic Medications

2018 ◽  
Vol 74 (8) ◽  
pp. 1282-1288 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caroline A Presley ◽  
Jonathan Chipman ◽  
Jea Young Min ◽  
Carlos G Grijalva ◽  
Robert A Greevy ◽  
...  

Abstract Background It is unknown whether observational studies evaluating the association between antidiabetic medications and mortality adequately account for frailty. Our objectives were to evaluate if frailty was a potential confounder in the relationship between antidiabetic medication regimen and mortality and how well administrative and clinical electronic health record (EHR) data account for frailty. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study in a single Veterans Health Administration (VHA) healthcare system of 500 hospitalizations—the majority due to heart failure—of Veterans who received regular VHA care and initiated type 2 diabetes treatment from 2001 to 2008. We measured frailty using a modified frailty index (FI, >0.21 frail). We obtained antidiabetic medication regimen and time-to-death from administrative sources. We compared FI among patients on different antidiabetic regimens. Stepwise Cox proportional hazards regression estimated time-to-death by demographic, administrative, clinical EHR, and FI data. Results Median FI was 0.22 (interquartile range 0.18, 0.27). Frailty differed across antidiabetic regimens (p < .001). An FI increase of 0.05 was associated with an increased risk of death (hazard ratio 1.45, 95% confidence interval 1.32, 1.60). Cox proportional hazards model for time-to-death including demographic, administrative, and clinical EHR data had a c-statistic of 0.70; adding FI showed marginal improvement (c-statistic 0.72). Conclusions Frailty was associated with antidiabetic regimen and death, and may confound that relationship. Demographic, administrative, and clinical EHR data, commonly used to balance differences among exposure groups, performed moderately well in assessing risk of death, with minimal gain from adding frailty. Study design and analytic techniques can help minimize potential confounding by frailty in observational studies.

Viruses ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 658 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Blair ◽  
Maryam Keshtkar-Jahromi ◽  
Kevin Psoter ◽  
Ronald Reisler ◽  
Travis Warren ◽  
...  

Angola variant (MARV/Ang) has replaced Mt. Elgon variant Musoke isolate (MARV/MtE-Mus) as the consensus standard variant for Marburg virus research and is regarded as causing a more aggressive phenotype of disease in animal models; however, there is a dearth of published evidence supporting the higher virulence of MARV/Ang. In this retrospective study, we used data pooled from eight separate studies in nonhuman primates experimentally exposed with either 1000 pfu intramuscular (IM) MARV/Ang or MARV/MtE-Mus between 2012 and 2017 at the United States Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases (USAMRIID). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate the association of variant type with time to death, the development of anorexia, rash, viremia, and 10 select clinical laboratory values. A total of 47 cynomolgus monkeys were included, of which 18 were exposed to MARV/Ang in three separate studies and 29 to MARV/MtE-Mus in five studies. Following universally fatal Marburg virus exposure, compared to MARV/MtE-Mus, MARV/Ang was associated with an increased risk of death (HR = 22.10; 95% CI: 7.08, 68.93), rash (HR = 5.87; 95% CI: 2.76, 12.51) and loss of appetite (HR = 35.10; 95% CI: 7.60, 162.18). Our data demonstrate an increased virulence of MARV/Ang compared to MARV/MtE-Mus variant in the 1000 pfu IM cynomolgus macaque model.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 265-276
Author(s):  
John L. Pfail ◽  
François Audenet ◽  
Alberto Martini ◽  
Nir Tomer ◽  
Ishan Paranjpe ◽  
...  

PURPOSE: Data have indicated that residual disease after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) for muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) may be associated with poor outcomes. OBJECTIVE: Analyze differences in overall survival (OS) of patients with residual MIBC treated with NAC + Radical cystectomy (RC), RC alone, or RC + Adjuvant Chemotherapy(AC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: The National Cancer Database was queried for patients who underwent RC alone, NAC + RC, or RC + AC for MIBC stage cT2-4aN0M0 from 2004-2015. Covariates were balanced using propensity score (PS) weighting. Time to death was evaluated from diagnosis. Weighted cox proportional hazards models and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were created to analyze differences in OS. RESULTS: 8,288 patients were included for analysis, 1,899 (23%) received NAC + RC, 5,529 (67%) received RC alone, and 860 (10%) received RC + AC. Patients were sub-stratified based on pathological staging (≤pT2 or >pT2) and compared against treatment with RC alone. In the ≤pT2 cohort, NAC + RC was associated with a decreased risk of death (HR:0.85, 95% CI:0.79–0.91) and RC + AC was associated with an increased risk of death (HR:1.46, 95% CI:1.34–1.60, both p < 0.001) compared to RC alone. In the >pT2 cohort, these associations reversed, with an increased risk of death seen in the NAC + RC group (HR:1.11, 95% CI:1.05–1.18) and a decreased risk of death in the RC + AC group (HR:0.74, 95% CI:0.7–0.77, both p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with >ypT2 disease after NAC experienced a significant increased risk of death when compared to pathological stage-matched patients who underwent RC alone or RC + AC. Biomarkers predictive of NAC resistance may be important to optimize NAC usage and establish treatment algorithms.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 10045-10045
Author(s):  
AnnaLynn M. Williams ◽  
Jeanne S. Mandelblatt ◽  
Mingjuan Wang ◽  
Kirsten K. Ness ◽  
Gregory T. Armstrong ◽  
...  

10045 Background: Survivors of childhood cancer have functional limitations and health-related morbidity consistent with an accelerated aging phenotype. We characterized aging using a Deficit Accumulation Index (DAI) which examines the accumulation of multiple aging-related deficits readily available from medical records and self-report. DAI’s are used as surrogates of biologic aging and are validated to predict mortality in adult cancer patients. Methods: We included childhood cancer survivors (N = 3,758, mean age 30 [SD 8], 22 [9] years post diagnosis, 52% male) and community controls (N = 575, mean age 34 [10] 44% male) who completed clinical assessments and questionnaires and who were followed for mortality through December 31st, 2018 (mean follow-up 6.1 [3.1] years). Using the initial SJLIFE clinical assessment, a DAI score was generated as the proportion of deficits out of 44 items related to aging, including chronic conditions (e.g. hearing loss, hypertension), psychosocial and physical function, and activities of daily living. The total score ranged 0 to 1; scores > 0.20 are robust, while moderate and large clinically meaningful differences are 0.02 and 0.06, respectively. Linear regression compared the DAI in survivors and controls with an age*survivor/control interaction and examined treatment associations in survivors. Cox-proportional hazards models estimated risk of death associated with DAI. All models were adjusted for age, sex, and race. Results: Mean [SD] of DAI was 0.17 [0.11] for survivors and 0.10 [0.08] for controls. 32% of survivors had a DAI above the 90th percentile of the control distribution (p < 0.001). After adjustment for covariates, survivors had a statistically and clinically meaningfully higher DAI score than controls (β = 0.072 95%CI 0.062, 0.081; p < 0.001). When plotted against age, the adjusted DAI at the average age of survivors (30 years) was 0.166 (95% CI 0.160,0.171), which corresponded to 60 years of age in controls, suggesting premature aging of 30 years. The mean difference in DAI between survivors and controls increased with age from 0.06 (95% CI 0.04, 0.07) at age 20 to 0.11 (95% CI 0.08, 0.13) at age 60, consistent with an accelerated aging phenotype (p = 0.014). Cranial radiation, abdominal radiation, cyclophosphamide, platinum agents, neurosurgery, and amputation were each associated with a higher DAI (all p≤0.001). Among survivors, a 0.06 increase in DAI was associated with a 41% increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.41 95%CI 1.32, 1.50; p < 0.001). Conclusions: Survivors of childhood cancer experience significant age acceleration that is associated with an increased risk of mortality; longitudinal analyses are underway to validate these findings. Given the ease of estimating a DAI, this may be a feasible method to quickly identify survivors for novel and tailored interventions that can improve health and prevent premature mortality.


2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (S1) ◽  
pp. 24-25
Author(s):  
Caroline Presley ◽  
Marie Griffin ◽  
Jea Young Min ◽  
Robert Greevy ◽  
Christianne Roumie

OBJECTIVES/SPECIFIC AIMS: This study is part of a parent grant evaluating antidiabetic medications and risk for heart failure in an observational cohort of Veterans with type 2 diabetes (T2DM). Confounding by indication remains a concern in many observational studies of medications because difficult to measure confounders such as frailty may influence prescribing of different medications based on patient characteristics. Frailty is a multidimensional syndrome of loss of reserves (energy, physical ability, cognition, health) that gives rise to vulnerability to adverse outcomes. The objective of this study is to determine if frailty is a potential confounder in Veterans with T2DM, that is, independently associated with exposure to a specific antidiabetic medications and hospitalization for decompensated heart failure. METHODS/STUDY POPULATION: We conducted a cross-sectional study of patients with diabetes who were hospitalized within the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) Tennessee Valley Healthcare System from 2002 to 2012. Inclusion criteria were: age 18 years or older, receive regular VHA care (prescription fill or visit at least once every 180 d), a diagnosis of T2DM. A probability sample of HF and non-HF hospitalizations was collected. HF hospitalizations were selected on the basis of meeting either a primary diagnosis code (ICD-9) and/or disease related group (DRG) code for HF. For each hospitalization using a standardized chart abstraction tool, data was abstracted on: antidiabetic medication(s), patient frailty status, and reason for hospitalization (HF or non-HF). Antidiabetic medication regimens were categorized as follows: no medication treatment, metformin alone, sulfonylurea alone, insulin alone, insulin and one oral agent, and all other regimens. Patient frailty status was measured using a modified version of the Canadian Health and Aging frailty index (FI), which generates a score (range 0–1) by dividing the number of deficits present by the number of deficits measured. Established categories for FI scores are: non frail ≤0.10, vulnerable 0.10–0.21, frail 0.22–0.45, and very frail >0.45. Patient frailty status at the time of hospitalization was used as a surrogate for patient frailty at the time of prescription of antidiabetic medication; this is a limitation of this approach. Hospitalizations were classified as HF hospitalizations if 2 major or 1 major and 2 minor Framingham criteria were present. FI was compared across antidiabetic medication regimen categories and hospitalization type using analysis of variance (ANOVA) and Student t-test, respectively. RESULTS/ANTICIPATED RESULTS: Of the 500 hospitalizations reviewed, 430 patients had confirmed diabetes diagnosis, adequate data to calculate FI scores, and were included in this analysis. Patients were on average 66.9 (10.9) years old; 99% male and 75% were White. Overall, 268 patients (62.3%) were categorized as frail or very frail. The mean FI score was 0.23 (SD 0.07). FI scores were highest in patients receiving insulin alone (mean 0.26) compared with patients receiving metformin alone (mean 0.22), sulfonylurea alone (mean 0.23), or no medication (mean 0.22). The lowest mean frailty score was seen in patients taking all other drug combinations, 0.19. The differences across these patient groups were statistically significant with p<0.01. Further, 75% of patients on insulin alone were frail or very frail compared with 68% on sulfonylurea alone, 58% on metformin alone, and 58% on no medication. Framingham criteria for acute HF were present for 318 of 430 patients (74.0%). FI scores were higher in patients hospitalized for HF compared with non-HF hospitalizations (mean 0.24 vs. 0.21, p<0.01). A higher proportion of patients hospitalized for HF were classified as frail or very frail compared with those hospitalized for non-HF diagnosis (66.4% vs. 50.9%, p<0.01). DISCUSSION/SIGNIFICANCE OF IMPACT: This study demonstrates that certain antidiabetic medications are associated with patient frailty. In addition, those patients admitted for HF have higher FI scores than those admitted for non-HF diagnoses. Further investigation is planned to assess the degree to which frailty is captured by traditional covariates used in observational studies.


2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1069-1069
Author(s):  
D. Sartori ◽  
M. Bari ◽  
G. L. Pappagallo ◽  
F. Rosetti ◽  
S. Olsen ◽  
...  

1069 Background: Ten to 15% of patients (pts) with breast cancer will be diagnosed with central nervous system (CNS) metastases, and autopsy series suggest that up to 30% of pts have evidence of CNS disease at the time of death. The idenfication of factors that may predispose to CNS metastasis may help lead to earlier detection and possibly to improvement in disease management. Methods: Breast cancer pts with CNS metastases were identified within a database of 1300 breast cancer diganoses from 1995 to 2007 at the Department of Oncology, Azienda ULSS 13 VE. Pathologic features of tumor samples were examined using standard immunohistochemical assays. Results: Fifty-one pts with CNS metastases were identified. Median age at primary breast cancer diagnosis was 49 years (range, 28–78); median time to CNS metastases was 45 months (range, 3–244). HER2 overexpression was found in tumors from 25 pts (49.0%); 23 pts had tumors lacking overexpression of HER2, estrogen receptors (ER), and progesterone receptors (PgR) (ie, “triple negative” disease). Overexpression of p53 (at least 20% tumor cells positive), Ki67 (at least 20%), and BCL2 (at least 30%) were detected in tumors from 16 pts (31.4%), 32 pts (62.7%), and 14 pts (27.5%), respectively. Median survival from CNS involvement was 3.67 months (95% CI 2.05–5.28), with 24.4% and 15.3% of patients estimated to be alive at 12 and 24 months, respectively (Kaplan-Meier product limit method). A Cox proportional hazards analysis found that Ki67 overexpression was the only factor independently associated with a significantly increased risk of death (2.7-fold increase, p=0.028), while triple negative status was associated with a 1.8-fold increase in the risk of death (P=0.08) (Table). Conclusions: In our series of breast cancer pts with CNS metastases, nearly all had either HER2 overexpression or triple-negative disease. Pts whose tumors had higher proliferative indices, assessed by Ki67, had the poorest prognosis. [Table: see text] [Table: see text]


BMJ Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. e050051
Author(s):  
Arthur W Wallace ◽  
Piera M Cirillo ◽  
James C Ryan ◽  
Nickilou Y Krigbaum ◽  
Anusha Badathala ◽  
...  

ObjectivesSARS-CoV-2 enters cells using the ACE2 receptor. Medications that affect ACE2 expression or function such as angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) and ACE inhibitors (ACE-I) and metformin have the potential to counter the dysregulation of ACE2 by the virus and protect against viral injury. Here, we describe COVID-19 survival associated with ACE-I, ARB and metformin use.DesignThis is a hospital-based observational study of patients with COVID-19 infection using logistic regression with correction for pre-existing conditions and propensity score weighted Cox proportional hazards models to estimate associations between medication use and mortality.SettingMedical record data from the US Veterans Affairs (VA) were used to identify patients with a reverse transcription PCR diagnosis of COVID-19 infection, to classify patterns of ACE inhibitors (ACE-I), ARB, beta blockers, metformin, famotidine and remdesivir use, and, to capture mortality.Participants9532 hospitalised patients with COVID-19 infection followed for 60 days were analysed.Outcome measureDeath from any cause within 60 days of COVID-19 diagnosis was examined.ResultsDiscontinuation of ACE-I was associated with increased risk of death (OR: 1.4; 95% CI 1.2–1.7). Initiating (OR: 0.3; 95% CI 0.2–0.5) or continuous (OR: 0.6; 95% CI 0.5–0.7) ACE-I was associated with reduced risk of death. ARB and metformin associations were similar in direction and magnitude and also statistically significant. Results were unchanged when accounting for pre-existing morbidity and propensity score adjustment.ConclusionsRecent randomised clinical trials support the safety of continuing ACE-I and ARB treatment in patients with COVID-19 where indicated. Our study extends these findings to suggest a possible COVID-19 survival benefit for continuing or initiating ACE-I, ARB and metformin medications. Randomised trials are appropriate to confirm or refute the therapeutic potential for ACE-I, ARBs and metformin.


2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1018-1018 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. C. Pinder ◽  
H. Chang ◽  
K. R. Broglio ◽  
L. B. Michaud ◽  
R. L. Theriault ◽  
...  

1018 Background: In the era of trastuzumab, HER2-positive breast cancer confers an increased risk of central nervous system (CNS) metastases. While several studies have examined CNS metastases in trastuzumab-treated patients, data are sparse regarding CNS metastases in trastuzumab-naïve HER2-positive patients. We evaluated time to CNS metastasis, death, and death subsequent to brain metastasis in relation to trastuzumab treatment. Methods: The study population included 750 patients diagnosed with HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer (HER2+ MBC) between June 1977 and January 2006. The association between trastuzumab treatment and the outcomes of time to CNS metastasis and time to death following CNS metastasis were determined using Cox proportional hazards models that included trastuzumab treatment as a time-dependent covariate. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were fit to determine the association between trastuzumab treatment and outcomes after adjustment for known prognostic factors. Patients with HER2+ MBC treated at our institution before trastuzumab was available served as our control group. Results: Of the 750 patients included, 689 patients received trastuzumab during the follow-up period while 61 patients were not treated with trastuzumab. Median follow-up was 32 months. A total of 251 patients developed CNS metastases. After adjusting for other prognostic variables including age, ER status, PR status, pathological stage, and site of initial metastasis, patients who received trastuzumab had 2.84 times the risk of CNS metastases (95 % CI = 1.87, 4.30, p < 0.0001) compared to patients who did not receive trastuzumab. Time to death following brain metastasis did not differ significantly between trastuzumab- treated and -untreated patients. Conclusions: In our large series, patients with HER2+ MBC treated with trastuzumab were at significantly increased risk of developing CNS metastases compared to patients who did not receive trastuzumab. This finding warrants further investigation into biological mechanisms that may account for this difference. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 9625-9625
Author(s):  
J. A. Berlin ◽  
P. J. Bowers ◽  
S. Rao ◽  
S. Sun ◽  
K. Liu ◽  
...  

9625 Background: When cancer patients (pts) with chemotherapy-induced anemia (CIA) respond to erythropoietic-stimulating agents (ESA), hemoglobin (Hb) typically increases within 4–8 weeks. This exploratory analysis examined whether mortality differs depending on Hb response after 4 or 8 weeks of epoetin alfa (EPO) treatment or depending on transfusion. Methods: Pt-level data were analyzed from 31 randomized studies (7,215 pts) of epoetin alfa vs non-EPO (15 studies) or placebo (16 studies) in pts with CIA. A landmark analysis was used; Hb change was set at a specific time (4 and 8 weeks) and subsequent survival was examined separately for EPO and placebo. Pts were categorized as “Hb increased” (>0.5 g/dL), “Hb decreased” (>0.5 g/dL), or “Hb stable” (within ±0.5 g/dL) compared to baseline. Hb stable was compared to other Hb change categories with Cox proportional hazards models, stratified by study and adjusted for potential confounders. Results: The hazard ratio (HR) for Hb decreased versus Hb stable at 4 weeks was 1.44 for EPO (95% CI: 1.04, 1.99), indicating worse survival for pts with a decline in Hb. This association was weaker for placebo (HR: 1.12; 95% CI: 0.74, 1.67). Increased risk with declining Hb in EPO-treated pts was most pronounced in studies that maintained Hb ≥12 g/dL or treated pts for >12–16 weeks (1,876 pts). Patterns were similar using the 8-week landmark. In both EPO-treated and placebo pts, transfusion increased the rate of on-study death ∼3.5 fold (treating transfusion as a time-dependent variable). Conclusions: These exploratory findings suggest that both decreased Hb after 4 or 8 weeks of EPO treatment and transfusion are associated with increased risk of death. In spite of adjustment for other prognostic factors, it is likely that this association reflects poorer underlying prognosis of pts whose Hb fails to respond. ESAs should be discontinued in the absence of a Hb response. [Table: see text]


Neurology ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 10.1212/WNL.0000000000012483
Author(s):  
Emily L. Johnson ◽  
Gregory L. Krauss ◽  
Anna Kucharska-Newton ◽  
Alice D. Lam ◽  
Rani Sarkis ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo determine the risk of mortality and causes of death in persons with late-onset epilepsy (LOE) compared to those without epilepsy in a community-based sample, adjusting for demographics and comorbid conditions.MethodsThis is an analysis of the prospective Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, initiated in 1987-1989 among 15,792 mostly black and white men and women in 4 U.S. communities. We used Centers for Medicare Services fee-for-service claims codes to identify cases of incident epilepsy starting at or after age 67. We used Cox proportional hazards analysis to identify the hazard of mortality associated with LOE and to adjust for demographics and vascular risk factors. We used death certificate data to identify dates and causes of death.ResultsAnalyses included 9090 participants, of whom 678 developed LOE during median 11.5 years of follow-up after age 67. Participants who developed LOE were at an increased hazard of mortality compared to those who did not, with adjusted hazard ratio 2.39 (95% CI 2.12-2.71). We observed excess mortality due to stroke, dementia, neurologic conditions, and end-stage renal disease in participants with compared to without LOE. Only 4 deaths (1.1%) were directly attributed to seizure-related causes.ConclusionsPersons who develop LOE are at increased risk of death compared to those without epilepsy, even after adjusting for comorbidities. The majority of this excess mortality is due to stroke and dementia.


Circulation ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 137 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Matteo Fabbri ◽  
Sheila Manemann ◽  
Cynthia Boyd ◽  
Jennifer Wolff ◽  
Alanna Chamberlain ◽  
...  

Introduction: Little is known about the characteristics and resources that enable patients with heart failure (HF) to engage in effective self-management. To address this gap in knowledge, we measured personal and health care resources for self-management and examined associations with mortality among patients with HF. Methods: We surveyed 5543 residents of 11 counties in Southeast Minnesota with a first-ever code for HF [International Classification of Disease, Ninth Revision code 428 or Tenth Revision code I50] between 1/1/2013 and 3/31/2016. Self-management resources were measured with the health care and personal subscales of the Chronic Illness Resources Survey (CIRS), both of which included 3 questions on a 5-point scale. The responses were averaged and participants were categorized as low if the mean score was below the median of the distribution (range from 1 to 5). The survey was returned by 2866 participants (response rate 52%) and those with complete data on the main items of interest were retained for analysis (N=2212). Cox proportional hazards regression was used to determine the association between each subscale and mortality. Results: Among 2212 participants (mean age 72.8 years, 54.1% men) the median health care score was 4, while the personal score was 3. Those with low health care resources were older and less educated than those with a higher score (p<0.05), while those with low personal resources had less comorbidities and lower education attainment compared to those with a higher score (p<0.05). After a mean (SD) follow-up of 1.3 ± 0.6 years, 207 deaths occurred. Low levels of both self-management resources were associated with an increased risk of death compared with patients with high levels (Table). Conclusions: Having limited self-management resources is associated with an increased risk of mortality among patients with HF. Thus, interventions aimed at supporting self-management among patients with HF may improve outcomes.


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