scholarly journals Improvement of an aquaculture site-selection model for Japanese kelp (Saccharinajaponica) in southern Hokkaido, Japan: an application for the impacts of climate events

2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (7) ◽  
pp. 1460-1470 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Liu ◽  
Sei-Ichi Saitoh ◽  
I. Nyoman Radiarta ◽  
Tomonori Isada ◽  
Toru Hirawake ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Site Selection ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Selection Model ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Local Algorithm ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Japanese Kelp ◽  
Climate Events ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Liu, Y., Saitoh, S-I., Radiarta, I. N., Isada, T., Hirawake, T., Mizuta, H., and Yasui, H. 2013. Improvement of an aquaculture site-selection model for Japanese kelp (Saccharinajaponica) in southern Hokkaido, Japan: an application for the impacts of climate events. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 70: . Japanese kelp (Saccharinajaponica) is one of the most valuable cultured and harvested kelp species in Japan. In this study, we added a physical parameter, sea surface nitrate (SSN) estimated from satellite remote sensing data, to develop a suitable aquaculture site-selection model (SASSM) for hanging cultures of Japanese kelp in southern Hokkaido, Japan. The local algorithm to estimate SSN was developed using satellite measurements of sea surface temperature and chlorophyll-a. We found a high correlation between satellite- and ship-measured data (r2 = 0.87, RMSE = 1.39). Multi-criteria evaluation was adapted to the SASSM to rank sites on a scale of 1 (least suitable) to 8 (most suitable). We found that 64.4% of the areas were suitable (score above 7). Minamikayabe was identified as the most suitable area, and Funka Bay also contained potential aquaculture sites. In addition, we examined the impact of El Niño/La Niña–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events on Japanese kelp aquaculture and site suitability from 2003–2010. During El Niño events, the number of suitable areas (scores 7 and 8) decreased significantly, indicating that climatic conditions should be considered for future development of marine aquaculture.

Climate variability of the Great Barrier Reef in relation to the tropical Pacific and El Niño-Southern Oscillation

2012 ◽  
Vol 63 (1) ◽  
pp. 34 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ana Redondo-Rodriguez ◽  
Scarla J. Weeks ◽  
Ray Berkelmans ◽  
Ove Hoegh-Guldberg ◽  
Janice M. Lough
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
Great Barrier Reef ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
El Nino Southern Oscillation ◽  
Barrier Reef ◽  
Enso Events

Understanding the nature and causes of recent climate variability on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR), Australia, is fundamental to assessing the impacts of future climate change on this complex ecosystem. New analytical tools, improved data quality and resolution, longer time-series and new variables provide an opportunity to re-assess existing paradigms. Here, we examined sea surface temperature (SST), sea level pressure, surface winds, sea surface height and ocean currents for the period from 1948 to 2009. We focussed on the relationship between GBR surface climate and the wider tropical Pacific, and the influence of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. Also, for the first time, we investigated the impact of the El Niño/La Niña Modoki phenomenon. Although neither type of ENSO event is a primary driver of inter-annual climate variability on the GBR, their influence is conspicuous. Classical ENSO events have a strong signature in the atmospheric circulation in the northern GBR but no significant relationship with SSTs and the opposite applies for the southern GBR. Conversely, El Niño/La Niña Modoki is significantly related to summer SSTs on the northern GBR, but not for the southern GBR. This study enhances our understanding of tropical Pacific and GBR climate drivers and will improve future predictions of change in climate variables that are likely to impact on the complex GBR ecosystem.

scholarly journals Oceanic Rossby Waves over Eastern Tropical Pacific of Both Hemispheres Forced by Anomalous Surface Winds after Mature Phase of ENSO

2016 ◽  
Vol 46 (11) ◽  
pp. 3397-3414 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiroto Abe ◽  
Youichi Tanimoto ◽  
Takuya Hasegawa ◽  
Naoto Ebuchi
Keyword(s):  
Rossby Wave ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Rossby Waves ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Eastern Coast ◽  
Eastern Tropical Pacific ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Anomalous Surface

AbstractThe present study examined ENSO-related wind forcing contribution to off-equatorial Rossby wave formations in the eastern tropical regions of the North and South Pacific using satellite altimeter data and atmospheric reanalysis data during the period of 1993–2013. After mature phases of ENSO events, the sea surface height anomaly fields showed that off-equatorial Rossby waves propagated westward along 11°N and 8°S from the eastern Pacific. Starting longitudes of the westward propagation were distant from the eastern coast, especially for weak El Niño events in the 2000s, in contrast to the strong 1997/98 El Niño event in which the propagations started from the coast. Based on observational data, it was hypothesized that the Rossby waves could be formed by off-equatorial zonal belts of wind stress curl anomalies (WSCAs) in 135°–90°W rather than by wave emissions from the eastern coast. A numerical model forced only by WSCAs, that is, without wave emissions from the coast, successfully reproduced observed features of the Rossby waves in 180°–120°W, supporting the study’s hypothesis. During mature phases of El Niño events, equatorially symmetric negative sea level pressure anomalies (SLPAs) resulting from hydrostatic adjustment to the underlying warm sea surface temperature anomalies dominated over the eastern tropical Pacific. Anomalous surface easterlies blowing around the negative SLPA area as geostrophic winds were a major contributor in forming the anticyclonic WSCAs. The polarity of the anomalies is reversed during La Niña events. Therefore, spatial patterns of the SLPAs associated with the ENSO events are necessary to understand the Rossby wave formations.

scholarly journals Response of stratospheric water vapor and ozone to the unusual timing of El Niño and QBO disruption in 2015–2016

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamadou Diallo ◽  
Martin Riese ◽  
Thomas Birner ◽  
Paul Konopka ◽  
Rolf Müller ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Greenhouse Gases ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Lower Stratosphere ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Enso Event ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Stratospheric Water Vapor ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The stratospheric circulation determines the transport and lifetime of key greenhouse gases, including water vapor and ozone, which radiatively impact surface climate. The unusually warm El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) event aligned with a disrupted Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) caused an unprecedented perturbation to this circulation in 2015–2016. Here, we quantify the impact of the alignment of these two phenomena in 2015–2016 on lower stratospheric water vapor and ozone from satellite observations. We show that the warm ENSO event substantially increases water vapor and decreases ozone in the tropical lower stratosphere. The QBO disruption significantly decreases global lower stratospheric water vapor and tropical ozone from early spring to late autumn. Thus, this QBO disruption reverses the lower stratosphere moistening triggered by the alignment of the warm ENSO event with westerly QBO in early boreal winter. Our results suggest that the interplay of ENSO events and QBO phases will be crucial for the distributions of radiatively active greenhouse gases in a changing future climate, when increasing El Niño-like conditions and decreasing lower stratospheric QBO amplitude are expected.

scholarly journals On Changing El Niño: A View from Time-Varying Annual Cycle, Interannual Variability, and Mean State

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (24) ◽  
pp. 6486-6500 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cheng Qian ◽  
Zhaohua Wu ◽  
Congbin Fu ◽  
Dongxiao Wang
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Annual Cycle ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Warm Period ◽  
Secular Change ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
El Niño Event ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Mean State

Abstract This study investigates changes in the frequency of ENSO, especially the prolonged 1990–95 El Niño event, in the context of secular changes in the annual cycle, ENSO interannual variability, and background mean state of the tropical eastern Pacific sea surface temperature (SST). The ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method is applied to isolate those components from the Niño-3 SST index for the period 1880–2008. It is shown that the annual cycle [referred to as a refined modulated annual cycle (MAC)] has strong interannual modulation and secular change in both amplitude and phase: a clear transition from increasing to decreasing amplitude around 1947/48, with both linear trends before and after this turning point statistically significant and the amplitude decreasing by 14% since then, and a significant phase delay trend for the period 1881–1938, but hardly any thereafter. A clear transition from significant deceasing to increasing by about 30% in the amplitude of the ENSO interannual variability around 1937 is also found. When El Niño events are represented as the collective interannual variability, their frequency is found to be almost equivalent to that of La Niña events after 1976. A method for conducting synthetic experiments based on time series analysis further reveals that the apparent prolonged 1990–95 El Niño event was not caused solely by ENSO interannual variability. Rather, the 1991/92 warm period is attributable to an interannual variation superimposed by change in the background mean state; the 1993 warm period is attributable to change in the mean state; and the 1994/95 warm period is attributable to a residual annual cycle, which cannot be fully excluded by a 30-yr mean annual cycle approach. The impact that changing base periods has on the classification of ENSO events and possible solutions is also discussed.

scholarly journals The Impact of El Niño - Southern Oscillation Events on South America

2006 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 221-225 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. L. Santos
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Ultra Violet ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Natural Ecosystems ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Ultra Violet Radiation ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The presence of ENSO Events in South America is felt in two ways: a) through its effects on both the atmosphere and ocean systems, and b) through its impacts on natural ecosystems (both marine and terrestrial) and on societal and economical sectors (like fisheries, health, and agriculture). The main effects of El Niño/La Niña are: Increment/Decrement of sea surface temperature and salinity, Increment/Decrement of sea level and wave activity, Increment/Decrement of air temperature and amount of ultra violet radiation reaching the surface of the earth, and Changes in the rainfall and evaporation patterns. It is not easy to make an "average" pattern of ENSO impacts for a variety of reasons: the impacts depend greatly of factors like geographical extent and position of the oceanic anomalies, and intensity and timing of the anomalies; also the influence of social, economic and political structures determines whether climate anomalies caused by ENSO in a particular region will lead to severe societal and economical impacts. The scientific community also plays a potential role in the extent of the impacts that ENSO can produce, if scientists can provide information on the impact of the presence of ENSO by identifying and focusing on its precursors, intervention could be taken early enough. There is however, something to be said against that: information can be misleading, target inappropriate at-risk groups, or generate a false sense of security.

scholarly journals The impact of the warm phase of ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) events on water resource availability of tropical catchments in Central Sulawesi, Indonesia

2006 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 217-220 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Leemhuis ◽  
G. Gerold
Keyword(s):  
Water Balance ◽  
Scenario Analysis ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Enso Cycle ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Precipitation Anomalies ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Central Sulawesi ◽  
Annual Discharge

Abstract. Precipitation anomalies caused by the warm phase (El Niño) of the ENSO cycle lead to a strong decrease of water resources in South-East Asia. The aim of this work is to study the impact of warm phase ENSO caused precipitation anomalies on the water balance of a mesoscale tropical catchment in Central Sulawesi, Indonesia using a scenario analysis. We applied statistically generated precipitation anomalies caused by warm phase ENSO events on a validated hydrological model of the Palu River catchment (2694 km2) to investigate the implications of the generated ENSO scenarios on the total annual water balance, the annual discharge regime and the discharge variability. Moreover we analysed the influence of various catchment characteristics during warm phase ENSO conditions on the discharge variability through a comparison of different sub-catchment types. The results of the scenario analysis proved a severe decline of the annual discharge rate during warm phase ENSO conditions and an increase of the overall discharge variability.

scholarly journals Simulated coordinated impacts of the NAO and El Niño on aerosol concentrations over eastern China

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan Feng ◽  
Jianping Li ◽  
Hong Liao ◽  
Jianlei Zhu
Keyword(s):  
South China ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Transport Model ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Eastern China ◽  
Central China ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The high aerosol concentrations (AC) over eastern China have attracted attention from both science and society. Based on the simulations of a chemical transport model using a fixed emissions level, the possible role of the previous autumn North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) combined with the simultaneous El Niño–South Oscillation (ENSO) on the boreal winter AC over eastern China is investigated. We find that the NAO only manifests its negative impacts on the AC during its negative phase over central China, and a significant positive influence on the distribution of AC is observed over south China only during the warm events of ENSO. The impact of the previous NAO on the AC occurs via an anomalous sea surface temperature tripole pattern by which a teleconnection wave train is induced that results in anomalous convergence over central China. In contrast, the occurrence of ENSO events may induce an anomalous shift in the western Pacific subtropical high and result in anomalous southwesterlies over south China. The anomalous circulations associated with a negative NAO and El Niño are not favorable for the transport of AC and correspond to worsening air conditions. The results highlight that the combined effects of tropical and extratropical systems play considerable role in affecting the boreal winter AC over eastern China.

scholarly journals Wind-Forced Delayed Action Oscillator in Tropical Oceans with Satellite Multi-Sensor Observations

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 933
Author(s):  
Jiayi Pan ◽  
Adam T. Devlin ◽  
Hui Lin
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
European Space Agency ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Height Anomaly ◽  
Spatial And Temporal Variability ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Delayed Action

This study investigates correlations among interannual variabilities of sea surface wind, sea surface temperature (SST), and sea surface height anomaly (SSHA) in the tropical region from latitude 15°S to 15°N. Sea surface winds were derived from the European Space Agency (ESA)’s European Remote-Sensing Satellite (ERS)-1/2 scatterometer and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)’s QuickSCAT observations; SST data were obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)’s Advanced Very-High-Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) missions; and the SSHA data were acquired from the NASA TOPEX/Poseidon and Jason-1 altimeter measurements. All these datasets were resampled into 1° × 1° grids between 15°S and 15°N. The annual cycles were removed from all datasets and an empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis was applied to extract the major modes of spatial and temporal variability. The first EOF modes of the wind, SST, and SSHA revealed the interannual variability of each data source, reflecting spatio-temporal signatures related to El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. The correlation results suggested that, during the strong El Nino period of 1997–1998, the wind variability led the variability of SST. A wind-forced delayed action oscillator (WDAO) system was proposed and analyzed using the ENSO modes of wind and SST data, covering the period from October 1995 to June 2002. The results show that the delayed SST mechanism is the strongest forcing factor in the WDAO system, and the wind forcing is the second strongest forcing factor. The correlations among SST change rate, the wind, and delayed/un-delayed SST also confirm the WDAO analysis’ results.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document