NIMG-42. MP-MRI-BASED TUMOR PROBABILITY MAPS TRAINED USING AUTOPSY TISSUE SAMPLES AS GROUND TRUTH NON-INVASIVELY PREDICT INFILTRATIVE TUMOR BEYOND THE CONTRAST ENHANCING REGION

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_6) ◽  
pp. vi138-vi138
Author(s):  
Samuel Bobholz ◽  
Allison Lowman ◽  
Michael Brehler ◽  
John Sherman ◽  
Savannah Duenweg ◽  
...  

Abstract Infiltrative glioma beyond contrast enhancement on MRI is often difficult to identify with conventional imaging. In this study, we use large-format autopsy samples aligned to multi-parametric MRI to test the hypothesis that radio-pathomic machine learning models are able to accurately identify areas of infiltrative tumor beyond the contrast enhancing region. At autopsy, 140 tissue samples from 62 brain cancer patients were collected from brain slices sectioned to align with the patients’ last clinical MRI prior to death. Cell, extra-cellular fluid (ECF), and cytoplasm densities were computed from digitized, hematoxylin and eosin-stained samples, and a subset of 20 slides from 9 patients were annotated for tumor presence by a pathologist-trained technician. In-house custom software was used to align the tissue samples to the patients’ last clinical imaging, which included pre- and post-contrast T1, FLAIR, and ADC images. Bagging random forest models were then trained to predict cellularity, ECF, and cytoplasm density using 5-by-5 voxel tiles from each MRI as input. A 2/3-1/3 train-test split was used to validate model generalizability. A naïve Bayes classifier was trained to predict tumor class using cellularity, ECF, and cytoplasm segmentations within the annotation data set, again using a 2/3-1/3 train-test split to validate performance. The random forest models each accurately predicted cellularity, ECF, and cytoplasm density within the test data set, with root-mean-squared error values for each falling within one standard deviation of the ground truth. The histology-based tumor prediction model accurately predicted tumor, with a test set ROC AUC of 0.86. When using whole brain cellularity, ECF, and cytoplasm predictions from the random forest models as inputs for the naïve Bayes classifier, tumor probability maps identified regions of infiltrative tumor beyond contrast enhancement. Our results suggest that radio-pathomic maps of tumor probability accurately identify regions of infiltrative tumor beyond currently accepted MRI signatures.

2019 ◽  
Vol 92 (1099) ◽  
pp. 20190159 ◽  
Author(s):  
Usman Bashir ◽  
Bhavin Kawa ◽  
Muhammad Siddique ◽  
Sze Mun Mak ◽  
Arjun Nair ◽  
...  

Objective: Non-invasive distinction between squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma subtypes of non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) may be beneficial to patients unfit for invasive diagnostic procedures or when tissue is insufficient for diagnosis. The purpose of our study was to compare the performance of random forest algorithms utilizing CT radiomics and/or semantic features in classifying NSCLC. Methods: Two thoracic radiologists scored 11 semantic features on CT scans of 106 patients with NSCLC. A set of 115 radiomics features was extracted from the CT scans. Random forest models were developed from semantic (RM-sem), radiomics (RM-rad), and all features combined (RM-all). External validation of models was performed using an independent test data set (n = 100) of CT scans. Model performance was measured with out-of-bag error and area under curve (AUC), and compared using receiver-operating characteristics curve analysis on the test data set. Results: The median (interquartile-range) error rates of the models were: RF-sem 24.5 % (22.6 – 37.5 %), RF-rad 35.8 % (34.9 – 38.7 %), and RM-all 37.7 % (37.7 – 37.7). On training data, both RF-rad and RF-all gave perfect discrimination (AUC = 1), which was significantly higher than that achieved by RF-sem (AUC = 0.78; p < 0.0001). On test data, however, RM-sem model (AUC = 0.82) out-performed RM-rad and RM-all (AUC = 0.5 and AUC = 0.56; p < 0.0001), neither of which was significantly different from random guess ( p = 0.9 and 0.6 respectively). Conclusion: Non-invasive classification of NSCLC can be done accurately using random forest classification models based on well-known CT-derived descriptive features. However, radiomics-based classification models performed poorly in this scenario when tested on independent data and should be used with caution, due to their possible lack of generalizability to new data. Advances in knowledge: Our study describes novel CT-derived random forest models based on radiologist-interpretation of CT scans (semantic features) that can assist NSCLC classification when histopathology is equivocal or when histopathological sampling is not possible. It also shows that random forest models based on semantic features may be more useful than those built from computational radiomic features.


Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 109
Author(s):  
Ashima Malik ◽  
Megha Rajam Rao ◽  
Nandini Puppala ◽  
Prathusha Koouri ◽  
Venkata Anil Kumar Thota ◽  
...  

Over the years, rampant wildfires have plagued the state of California, creating economic and environmental loss. In 2018, wildfires cost nearly 800 million dollars in economic loss and claimed more than 100 lives in California. Over 1.6 million acres of land has burned and caused large sums of environmental damage. Although, recently, researchers have introduced machine learning models and algorithms in predicting the wildfire risks, these results focused on special perspectives and were restricted to a limited number of data parameters. In this paper, we have proposed two data-driven machine learning approaches based on random forest models to predict the wildfire risk at areas near Monticello and Winters, California. This study demonstrated how the models were developed and applied with comprehensive data parameters such as powerlines, terrain, and vegetation in different perspectives that improved the spatial and temporal accuracy in predicting the risk of wildfire including fire ignition. The combined model uses the spatial and the temporal parameters as a single combined dataset to train and predict the fire risk, whereas the ensemble model was fed separate parameters that were later stacked to work as a single model. Our experiment shows that the combined model produced better results compared to the ensemble of random forest models on separate spatial data in terms of accuracy. The models were validated with Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves, learning curves, and evaluation metrics such as: accuracy, confusion matrices, and classification report. The study results showed and achieved cutting-edge accuracy of 92% in predicting the wildfire risks, including ignition by utilizing the regional spatial and temporal data along with standard data parameters in Northern California.


2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 44-63 ◽  
Author(s):  
Baoxun Xu ◽  
Joshua Zhexue Huang ◽  
Graham Williams ◽  
Qiang Wang ◽  
Yunming Ye

The selection of feature subspaces for growing decision trees is a key step in building random forest models. However, the common approach using randomly sampling a few features in the subspace is not suitable for high dimensional data consisting of thousands of features, because such data often contains many features which are uninformative to classification, and the random sampling often doesn’t include informative features in the selected subspaces. Consequently, classification performance of the random forest model is significantly affected. In this paper, the authors propose an improved random forest method which uses a novel feature weighting method for subspace selection and therefore enhances classification performance over high-dimensional data. A series of experiments on 9 real life high dimensional datasets demonstrated that using a subspace size of features where M is the total number of features in the dataset, our random forest model significantly outperforms existing random forest models.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cameron Brown ◽  
Diego Maldonado ◽  
Antony Vassileiou ◽  
Blair Johnston ◽  
Alastair Florence

<p>Population balance model is a valuable modelling tool which facilitates the optimization and understanding of crystallization processes. However, in order to use this tool, it is necessary to have previous knowledge of the crystallization kinetics, specifically crystal growth and nucleation. The majority of approaches to achieve proper estimations of kinetic parameters required experimental data. Across time, a vast literature about the estimation of kinetic parameters and population balances have been published. Considering the availability of data, this work built a database with information on solute, solvent, kinetic expression, parameters, crystallization method and seeding. Correlations were assessed and clusters structures identified by hierarchical clustering analysis. The final database contains 336 data of kinetic parameters from 185 different sources. The data were analysed using kinetic parameters of the most common expressions. Subsequently, clusters were identified for each kinetic model. With these clusters, classification random forest models were made using solute descriptors, seeding, solvent, and crystallization methods as classifiers. Random forest models had an overall classification accuracy higher than 70% whereby they were useful to provide rough estimates of kinetic parameters, although these methods have some limitations.</p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (CHI PLAY) ◽  
pp. 1-29
Author(s):  
Alessandro Canossa ◽  
Dmitry Salimov ◽  
Ahmad Azadvar ◽  
Casper Harteveld ◽  
Georgios Yannakakis

Is it possible to detect toxicity in games just by observing in-game behavior? If so, what are the behavioral factors that will help machine learning to discover the unknown relationship between gameplay and toxic behavior? In this initial study, we examine whether it is possible to predict toxicity in the MOBA gameFor Honor by observing in-game behavior for players that have been labeled as toxic (i.e. players that have been sanctioned by Ubisoft community managers). We test our hypothesis of detecting toxicity through gameplay with a dataset of almost 1,800 sanctioned players, and comparing these sanctioned players with unsanctioned players. Sanctioned players are defined by their toxic action type (offensive behavior vs. unfair advantage) and degree of severity (warned vs. banned). Our findings, based on supervised learning with random forests, suggest that it is not only possible to behaviorally distinguish sanctioned from unsanctioned players based on selected features of gameplay; it is also possible to predict both the sanction severity (warned vs. banned) and the sanction type (offensive behavior vs. unfair advantage). In particular, all random forest models predict toxicity, its severity, and type, with an accuracy of at least 82%, on average, on unseen players. This research shows that observing in-game behavior can support the work of community managers in moderating and possibly containing the burden of toxic behavior.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enzo Losi ◽  
Mauro Venturini ◽  
Lucrezia Manservigi ◽  
Giuseppe Fabio Ceschini ◽  
Giovanni Bechini ◽  
...  

Abstract A gas turbine trip is an unplanned shutdown, of which the most relevant consequences are business interruption and a reduction of equipment remaining useful life. Thus, understanding the underlying causes of gas turbine trip would allow predicting its occurrence in order to maximize gas turbine profitability and improve its availability. In the ever competitive Oil & Gas sector, data mining and machine learning are increasingly being employed to support a deeper insight and improved operation of gas turbines. Among the various machine learning tools, Random Forests are an ensemble learning method consisting of an aggregation of decision tree classifiers. This paper presents a novel methodology aimed at exploiting information embedded in the data and develops Random Forest models, aimed at predicting gas turbine trip based on information gathered during a timeframe of historical data acquired from multiple sensors. The novel approach exploits time series segmentation to increase the amount of training data, thus reducing overfitting. First, data are transformed according to a feature engineering methodology developed in a separate work by the same authors. Then, Random Forest models are trained and tested on unseen observations to demonstrate the benefits of the novel approach. The superiority of the novel approach is proved by considering two real-word case-studies, involving filed data taken during three years of operation of two fleets of Siemens gas turbines located in different regions. The novel methodology allows values of Precision, Recall and Accuracy in the range 75–85 %, thus demonstrating the industrial feasibility of the predictive methodology.


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