scholarly journals Cost-effectiveness of routine provider-initiated testing and counseling for children with undiagnosed HIV in South Africa

Author(s):  
Tijana Stanic ◽  
Nicole McCann ◽  
Martina Penazzato ◽  
Clare Flanagan ◽  
Shaffiq Essajee ◽  
...  

Abstract Background We compared cost-effectiveness of pediatric provider-initiated HIV testing and counseling (PITC) versus no PITC in a range of clinical care settings in South Africa. Methods We used the CEPAC-Pediatric model to simulate a cohort of children, aged 2-10 years, presenting for care in four settings (outpatient, malnutrition, inpatient, tuberculosis clinic) with varying prevalence of undiagnosed HIV (1.0%, 15.0%, 17.5%, 50.0%, respectively). We compared “PITC” (routine testing offered to all patients; 97% acceptance and 71% linkage to care after HIV diagnosis) to no PITC. Model outcomes included life expectancy, lifetime costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) from the healthcare system perspective, and the proportion of children living with HIV (CLWH) diagnosed, on ART, and virally suppressed. We assumed a threshold of $3,200/YLS to determine cost-effectiveness. Sensitivity analyses varied the age distribution of children seeking care and costs for PITC, HIV care, and ART. Results PITC improved the proportion of CLWH diagnosed (45.2% to 83.2%), on ART (40.8% to 80.4%), and virally suppressed (32.6% to 63.7%) at one year in all settings. PITC increased life expectancy by 0.1-0.7 years for children seeking care (including those with and without HIV). In all settings, the ICER of PITC versus no PITC was very similar, ranging from $710-1,240/YLS. PITC remained cost-effective unless undiagnosed HIV prevalence was <0.2%. Conclusions Routine testing improves HIV clinical outcomes and is cost-effective in South Africa, if prevalence of undiagnosed HIV among children exceeds 0.2%. These findings support current recommendations for PITC in outpatient, inpatient, tuberculosis, and malnutrition clinical settings.

Author(s):  
Neil E Rens ◽  
Carin A Uyl-de Groot ◽  
Jeremy D Goldhaber-Fiebert ◽  
Julio Croda ◽  
Jason R Andrews

Abstract Background There is marked interindividual variability in metabolism and resulting toxicity and effectiveness of drugs used for tuberculosis treatment. For isoniazid, mutations in the N-acetyltransferase 2 (NAT2) gene explain >88% of pharmacokinetic variability. However, weight-based dosing remains the norm globally. The potential clinical impact and cost-effectiveness of pharmacogenomic-guided therapy (PGT) are unknown. Methods We constructed a decision tree model to project lifetime costs and benefits of isoniazid PGT for drug-susceptible tuberculosis in Brazil, South Africa, and India. PGT was modeled to reduce isoniazid toxicity among slow NAT2 acetylators and reduce treatment failure among rapid acetylators. The genotyping test was assumed to cost the same as the GeneXpert test. The main outcomes were costs (2018 US dollars), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. Results In Brazil, PGT gained 19 discounted life-years (23 QALYs) and cost $11 064 per 1000 patients, a value of $476 per QALY gained. In South Africa, PGT gained 15 life-years (19 QALYs) and cost $33 182 per 1000 patients, a value of $1780 per QALY gained. In India, PGT gained 20 life-years (24 QALYs) and cost $13 195 per 1000 patients, a value of $546 per QALY gained. One-way sensitivity analyses showed the cost-effectiveness to be robust to all input parameters. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses were below per capita gross domestic product in all 3 countries in 99% of simulations. Conclusions Isoniazid PGT improves health outcomes and would be cost-effective in the treatment of drug-susceptible tuberculosis in Brazil, South Africa, and India.


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Patricia A Cowper ◽  
Shubin Sheng ◽  
Kevin J Anstrom ◽  
Judith A Stafford ◽  
Renato D Lopes ◽  
...  

Background: In Apixaban for Reduction in Stroke and Other Thromboembolic Events in Atrial Fibrillation (ARISTOTLE), apixaban (vs. warfarin) significantly reduced stroke, death, and major bleeding in 18,201 patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We assessed the cost-effectiveness of apixaban vs. warfarin from the perspective of the US health care system. Methods: Resource use (service dates, intensive care days, days on drug) was obtained from ARISTOTLE case report forms. Unit costs for components of hospital-based care of AF patients were estimated with generalized linear models using the national Premier database. Daily cost of anticoagulants was based on current acquisition cost (apixaban=$9.49; warfarin=$0.09) for 10 years, after which time apixaban was valued at projected costs of generic substitutes ($1.89). Physician services and anticoagulant monitoring were valued using Medicare fees. Within-trial costs were estimated using inverse probability weighting for differential follow-up. Survival was modeled with patient-level ARISTOTLE data using a two stage approach that combined a time-based Cox model for the within-trial period and an age-based Cox model for extrapolation. Uncertainty surrounding estimates of cost, life expectancy and cost/per life year gained was characterized with bootstraps and sensitivity analyses. Results: After 2 years, costs in the US cohort (n=3417) excluding study drug and monitoring averaged $306 less with apixaban than warfarin ($6257 vs. $6563). This difference was more than offset by higher apixaban anticoagulation costs ($6160 vs. $1181), resulting in an overall increase of $4673/patient. Over a lifetime, gains in life expectancy with apixaban (9.92 vs. 9.69; p<.001) were achieved at an additional cost of $17,564 ($29,447 vs. $11,883; p<.001), yielding a cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $76,365/life year gained (85% likelihood of meeting $110,000 willingness to pay threshold). Cost-effectiveness was most sensitive to cost of apixaban. Conclusions: Reductions in mortality, stroke, and bleeding observed in ARISTOTLE translate to significant increases in life expectancy. At an estimated ICER of $76,365/life year gained, apixaban is a cost-effective alternative to warfarin.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Tasavon Gholamhoseini ◽  
Reza Goudarzi ◽  
Vahid Yazdi-Feyzabadi ◽  
Mohammad Hossein Mehrolhassani ◽  
Meysam Yousefi

Abstract Background: Remdesivir is a medication used for moderate to severe Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients with favorable effects. However, it is an expensive medication. Therefore, the present study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of remdesivir plus supportive care (SC) for COVID-19 patients in Iran.Methods: Markov model was used to compare costs and quality-adjusted life-days (QALDs) of remdesivir+SC and SC for patients with COVID-19. The model simulated a cycle length of one day and a 30-day time horizonin TreeAge 2020 software. The costs from the healthcare system perspective were obtained from Afzalipour hospital as a referral hospital for the hospitalization of COVID-19 patients in Kerman, Iran. All the costs were converted to 2018 purchasing power parity (PPP) US dollars. Utility values were derived from published sources. The results were presented as an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of three times the Gross Domestic Product per capita of Iran. Both deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed.Results: The base-case results showed that the treatment of COVID-19 patients with remdesivir+SC had a cost of 8795 PPP US dollars for 21.13 QALD gained. The SC alone cost 8637 PPP US dollars with a gain of 20.20 QALD. Our findings demonstrated that at a WTP threshold of 159 PPP US dollars per QALD, remdesivir+SC was not cost-effective with an ICER of 168 PPP US dollars per QALD. Deterministic sensitivity analysis indicated ICER to be sensitive to the transition probabilities and costs. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis revealed that remdesivir+SC was cost-effective at a WTP of 159 PPP US dollars per QALD in 47% of iterations.Conclusions: Our findings demonstrated thatremdesivir+SC is not cost-effective, compared to SC alone. Considering the lack of studies on the effectiveness of remdesivir, the findings should be interpreted with caution. Further evaluations are recommended to determine the efficacy and effectiveness of remdesivir in COVID-19 patients.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 168-168 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zachary Rivers ◽  
David D. Stenehjem ◽  
Pamala Jacobson ◽  
Emil Lou ◽  
Andrew Nelson ◽  
...  

168 Background: Variants in DPYD and UGT1A1 impact toxicities experienced by patients being treated with FOLFIRI+bev. Testing allows providers to preemptively adjust dosing, reducing the toxicity that patients experience. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of pre-treatment testing for variants in DPYD and UGT1A1 in patients with mCRC receiving FOLFIRI+bev. Methods: We developed a six-state Markov model to compare pre-treatment genetic testing to no testing. The genetic testing arm screened for UGT1A1 and DPYD using a multi-gene panel. Patients were dosed per proposed guidelines (Clinical Pharmacogenetics Implementation Consortium and Dutch Pharmacogenetics Working Group) and allowed dose reductions based on toxicity. In the no-test arm, patients received full doses of FOLFIRI+bev, and dose reductions based on toxicity. Costs included medications, clinic visits, and hospitalizations to treat the disease and adverse events, and were obtained from the literature, adjusted to 2019 $US. Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were used to assess effectiveness. We used a US health care system perspective with a 16 week horizon, the average length of time patients were exposed to FOLFIRI+bev in clinical trials. We conducted sensitivity analyses to determine the impact of uncertainty on outcomes. Results: Genetic testing cost $25,563, generating 0.21 QALYs. Standard of care cost $25,515, generating 0.20 QALYs. This resulted in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $4963 per QALY gained. Results were sensitive to costs of post-progression care, the probability of carrying UGT1A1 variants, and the impact of low-functioning DPYD variants on side effects. Conclusions: Pre-treatment testing for DPYD and UGT1A1 in patients receiving FOLFIRI+bev for mCRC is cost-effective, well below typical oncology ICERs of $50,000-100,000 per QALY. Further work is needed to characterize the impact of post-progression treatment and supportive care medications.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacqui Miot ◽  
Trudy Leong ◽  
Simbarashe Takuva ◽  
Andrew Parrish ◽  
Halima Dawood

Abstract Background Cryptococcal meningitis in HIV-infected patients in sub-Saharan Africa accounts for three-quarters of the global cases and 135,000 deaths per annum. Current treatment includes the use of fluconazole and amphotericin B. Recent evidence has shown that the synergistic use of flucytosine improves efficacy and reduces toxicity, however affordability and availability has hampered access to flucytosine in many countries. This study investigated the evidence and cost implications of introducing flucytosine as induction therapy for cryptococcal meningitis in HIV-infected adults in South Africa. Methods A decision analytic cost-effectiveness and cost impact model was developed based on survival estimates from the ACTA trial and local costs for flucytosine as induction therapy in HIV-infected adults with cryptococcal meningitis in a public sector setting in South Africa. The model considered five treatment arms: (a) standard of care; 2-week course amphotericin B/fluconazole (2wk AmBd/Flu), (b) 2-week course amphotericin B/flucytosine (2wk AmBd/5FC), (c) short course; 1-week course amphotericin B/flucytosine (1wk AmBd/5FC) (d) oral course; 2-week oral fluconazole/flucytosine (oral) and e) 1-week course amphotericin B/fluconazole (1wk AmBd/Flu). A sensitivity analysis was conducted on key variables. Results The highest total treatment costs are in the 2-week AmBd/5FC arm followed by the 2-week oral regimen, the 1-week AmBd/5FC, then standard of care with the lowest cost in the 1-week AmBd/Flu arm. Compared to the lowest cost option the 1-week flucytosine course is most cost-effective at USD119/QALY. The cost impact analysis shows that the 1-week flucytosine course has an incremental cost of just over USD293 per patient per year compared to what is currently spent on standard of care. Sensitivity analyses suggest that the model is most sensitive to life expectancy and hospital costs, particularly infusion costs and length of stay. Conclusions The addition of flucytosine as induction therapy for the treatment of cryptococcal meningitis in patients infected with HIV is cost-effective when it is used as a 1-week AmBd/5FC regimen. Savings could be achieved with early discharge of patients as well as a reduction in the price of flucytosine.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Li-Jen Cheng ◽  
Swee Sung Soon ◽  
Teck Wei Tan ◽  
Cher Heng Tan ◽  
Terence Sey Kiat Lim ◽  
...  

Abstract Background To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of six diagnostic strategies involving magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) targeted biopsy for diagnosing prostate cancer in initial and repeat biopsy settings from the Singapore healthcare system perspective. Methods A combined decision tree and Markov model was developed. The starting model population was men with mean age of 65 years referred for a first prostate biopsy due to clinical suspicion of prostate cancer. The six diagnostic strategies were selected for their relevance to local clinical practice. They comprised MRI targeted biopsy following a positive pre-biopsy multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) [Prostate Imaging – Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) score ≥ 3], systematic biopsy, or saturation biopsy employed in different testing combinations and sequences. Deterministic base case analyses with sensitivity analyses were performed using costs from the healthcare system perspective and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gained as the outcome measure to yield incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Results Deterministic base case analyses showed that Strategy 1 (MRI targeted biopsy alone), Strategy 2 (MRI targeted biopsy ➔ systematic biopsy), and Strategy 4 (MRI targeted biopsy ➔ systematic biopsy ➔ saturation biopsy) were cost-effective options at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of US$20,000, with ICERs ranging from US$18,975 to US$19,458. Strategies involving MRI targeted biopsy in the repeat biopsy setting were dominated. Sensitivity analyses found the ICERs were affected mostly by changes to the annual discounting rate and prevalence of prostate cancer in men referred for first biopsy, ranging between US$15,755 to US$23,022. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses confirmed Strategy 1 to be the least costly, and Strategies 2 and 4 being the preferred strategies when WTP thresholds were US$20,000 and US$30,000, respectively. Limitations and conclusions This study found MRI targeted biopsy to be cost-effective in diagnosing prostate cancer in the biopsy-naïve setting in Singapore.


PLoS Medicine ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (10) ◽  
pp. e1003815
Author(s):  
Carl A. B. Pearson ◽  
Fiammetta Bozzani ◽  
Simon R. Procter ◽  
Nicholas G. Davies ◽  
Maryam Huda ◽  
...  

Background Multiple Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines appear to be safe and efficacious, but only high-income countries have the resources to procure sufficient vaccine doses for most of their eligible populations. The World Health Organization has published guidelines for vaccine prioritisation, but most vaccine impact projections have focused on high-income countries, and few incorporate economic considerations. To address this evidence gap, we projected the health and economic impact of different vaccination scenarios in Sindh Province, Pakistan (population: 48 million). Methods and findings We fitted a compartmental transmission model to COVID-19 cases and deaths in Sindh from 30 April to 15 September 2020. We then projected cases, deaths, and hospitalisation outcomes over 10 years under different vaccine scenarios. Finally, we combined these projections with a detailed economic model to estimate incremental costs (from healthcare and partial societal perspectives), disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for each scenario. We project that 1 year of vaccine distribution, at delivery rates consistent with COVAX projections, using an infection-blocking vaccine at $3/dose with 70% efficacy and 2.5-year duration of protection is likely to avert around 0.9 (95% credible interval (CrI): 0.9, 1.0) million cases, 10.1 (95% CrI: 10.1, 10.3) thousand deaths, and 70.1 (95% CrI: 69.9, 70.6) thousand DALYs, with an ICER of $27.9 per DALY averted from the health system perspective. Under a broad range of alternative scenarios, we find that initially prioritising the older (65+) population generally prevents more deaths. However, unprioritised distribution has almost the same cost-effectiveness when considering all outcomes, and both prioritised and unprioritised programmes can be cost-effective for low per-dose costs. High vaccine prices ($10/dose), however, may not be cost-effective, depending on the specifics of vaccine performance, distribution programme, and future pandemic trends. The principal drivers of the health outcomes are the fitted values for the overall transmission scaling parameter and disease natural history parameters from other studies, particularly age-specific probabilities of infection and symptomatic disease, as well as social contact rates. Other parameters are investigated in sensitivity analyses. This study is limited by model approximations, available data, and future uncertainty. Because the model is a single-population compartmental model, detailed impacts of nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as household isolation cannot be practically represented or evaluated in combination with vaccine programmes. Similarly, the model cannot consider prioritising groups like healthcare or other essential workers. The model is only fitted to the reported case and death data, which are incomplete and not disaggregated by, e.g., age. Finally, because the future impact and implementation cost of NPIs are uncertain, how these would interact with vaccination remains an open question. Conclusions COVID-19 vaccination can have a considerable health impact and is likely to be cost-effective if more optimistic vaccine scenarios apply. Preventing severe disease is an important contributor to this impact. However, the advantage of prioritising older, high-risk populations is smaller in generally younger populations. This reduction is especially true in populations with more past transmission, and if the vaccine is likely to further impede transmission rather than just disease. Those conditions are typical of many low- and middle-income countries.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
FA Varón-Vega ◽  
N Castaño ◽  
E Lemos ◽  
Juan Manuel Reyes

Abstract Background: Ceftazidime-Avibactam (CAZ-AVI) may offer a significant advance over previously antimicrobials against carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE). We evaluate the cost-effectiveness of CAZ-AVI compared to colistin-meropenem (COL+MEM) in the treatment of CRE infections in ColombiaMethods: A decision tree model was developed from healthcare system perspective assuming a 30-day time horizon. Inputs were derived from a published observational study. The clinical course was simulated based on treatment response between 48-72 hours, and the duration of the treatment was 7-14 days. The clinical failure was assumed as the addition of an antibiotic. The model considered that combination therapy of COL+MEM was not superior to monotherapy to reflect real clinical behavior. Cost inputs were extracted from a published Colombian manual tariffs and official databases, expressed in 2019 dollars (USD). Utility values were from published literature. The sensitivity analyses were performed.Results: In the base case analysis, CAZ-AVI was associated with reduced mortality, length of hospital stay and fewer add-on antibiotics, resulting in an increase of 1.76 QALYs per patient versus COL+MEM. and incremental costs associated in CAZ-AVI were $2,521 higher per patient compared to COL+MEM ($755 versus $3,276). The incremental costs were partially increased due to the lower mortality rate observed with CAZ-AVI. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was estimated to be $3,317 per QALY. In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, with a willingness to pay above $2,438, CAZ-AVI has a higher probability of being cost-effective.Discussion: CAZ-AVI demonstrates cost-effectiveness as a treatment for CRE infections by reducing the number of deaths and increasing QALYs.


Author(s):  
Krishna P Reddy ◽  
Claudia M Denkinger ◽  
Tobias Broger ◽  
Nicole C McCann ◽  
Ankur Gupta-Wright ◽  
...  

Abstract Background A novel urine lipoarabinomannan assay (FujiLAM) has higher sensitivity and higher cost than the first-generation AlereLAM assay. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of FujiLAM for tuberculosis testing among hospitalized people with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), irrespective of symptoms. Methods We used a microsimulation model to project clinical and economic outcomes of 3 testing strategies: (1) sputum Xpert MTB/RIF (Xpert), (2) sputum Xpert plus urine AlereLAM (Xpert+AlereLAM), (3) sputum Xpert plus urine FujiLAM (Xpert+FujiLAM). The modeled cohort matched that of a 2-country clinical trial. We applied diagnostic yields from a retrospective study (yields for Xpert/Xpert+AlereLAM/Xpert+FujiLAM among those with CD4 &lt;200 cells/µL: 33%/62%/70%; among those with CD4 ≥200 cells/µL: 33%/35%/47%). Costs of Xpert/AlereLAM/FujiLAM were US$15/3/6 (South Africa) and $25/3/6 (Malawi). Xpert+FujiLAM was considered cost-effective if its incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (US$/year-of-life saved) was &lt;$940 (South Africa) and &lt;$750 (Malawi). We varied key parameters in sensitivity analysis and performed a budget impact analysis of implementing FujiLAM countrywide. Results Compared with Xpert+AlereLAM, Xpert+FujiLAM increased life expectancy by 0.2 years for those tested in South Africa and Malawi. Xpert+FujiLAM was cost-effective in both countries. Xpert+FujiLAM for all patients remained cost-effective compared with sequential testing and CD4-stratified testing strategies. FujiLAM use added 3.5% (South Africa) and 4.7% (Malawi) to 5-year healthcare costs of tested patients, primarily reflecting ongoing HIV treatment costs among survivors. Conclusions FujiLAM with Xpert for tuberculosis testing in hospitalized people with HIV is likely to increase life expectancy and be cost-effective at the currently anticipated price in South Africa and Malawi. Additional studies should evaluate FujiLAM in clinical practice settings.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Weiyi Ni ◽  
Jia Liu ◽  
Yawen Jiang ◽  
Jing Wu

Abstract Background Clinical trials in China have demonstrated that ranibizumab can improve the clinical outcomes of branch retinal vein occlusion (BRVO) and central retinal vein occlusion (CRVO). However, no economic evaluation of ranibizumab has been conducted among Chinese patient population. Methods To provide insights into the economic profile of ranibizumab among Chinese RVO population, a Markov state-transition model was used to predict the outcomes of ranibizumab comparing to laser photocoagulation and observational-only care from the societal perspective. This model simulated changes in patient visuality, quality-adjusted of life years (QALY), medical costs, and direct non-medical costs of individuals with visual impairment due to BRVO or CRVO in lifetime. The base-case analysis used an annual discount rate of 5% for costs and benefits following the China Guidelines for Pharmacoeconomic Evaluations. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of the model. Results The base-case incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) comparing ranibizumab to laser photocoagulation was ¥65,008/QALY among BRVO patients and was ¥65,815/QALY among CRVO patients, respectively. Comparing to the 2019 gross domestic product (GDP) per capita of ¥71,000, both two ICERs were far below the cost-effective threshold at three times of GDP per capita (¥213,000). The deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses demonstrated the base-case results were robust in most of the simulation scenarios. Conclusion The current Markov model demonstrated that ranibizumab may be cost-effective compared with laser photocoagulation to treat BRVO and cost-effective compared to observation-only care to treat CRVO in China from the societal perspective.


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