Possibility of a Middle-Income Trap in China

2021 ◽  
pp. 195-217
Author(s):  
Keun Lee
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Gini Coefficient ◽  
Kuznets Curve ◽  
Innovation Capability ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Middle Income Countries ◽  
The Past ◽  
World Class ◽  
Middle Income Trap ◽  
Real Estate Assets

Chapter 9 discusses the possibility of China falling into the middle-income trap in terms of three checkpoints: innovation capability, big businesses, and inequality. The main finding is that China is performing well in terms of the first two criteria, but there is some uncertainty in the last criterion of whether it generates Kuznets curve-type dynamics of growth leading to better equality. First, China has increasingly become innovative; thus, it differs from other middle-income countries. It has been pushing strongly for considerable R&D expenditure and has been ahead of the typical middle-income countries. Second, China has many world-class big businesses, which is more than its size predicts, not only in finance, energy, and trading as in the past but also increasingly in manufacturing. Thus, it differs from other middle-income countries with few globally competitive large businesses. Third, China faces some uncertainty in terms of inequality. The Gini coefficient continuously increased from approximately 0.3 in 1981 to reach its peak of 0.49 or so in 2008–2009 but has decreased to 0.42 since then. This recent decrease may be a sign that China is following the Kuznets curve. However, China is now facing new sources of inequality, such as wealth (including financial and real estate assets) and non-economic factors (including corruption).

scholarly journals Obesities: A New Peer-Reviewed Open-Access Interdisciplinary Journal Fostering Research on Multifactorial Obesity and Associated Cardiometabolic Disorders

Obesities ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-28
Author(s):  
Bruno Guigas
Keyword(s):  
Open Access ◽  
Industrialized Countries ◽  
Obesity Prevalence ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Middle Income Countries ◽  
The Past ◽  
Urban Transition ◽  
Cardiometabolic Disorders ◽  
Interdisciplinary Journal ◽  
Low And Middle Income

Obesity prevalence has increased continuously over the past 50 years, a dramatic worldwide expansion not only limited to industrialized countries but also observed in a large number of low- and middle-income countries experiencing rapid rural–urban transition [...]

scholarly journals Tobacco Control in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: Changing the Present to Help the Future

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 187-188 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bethany Hipple Walters ◽  
Ionela Petrea ◽  
Harry Lando
Keyword(s):  
World Health Organization ◽  
World Health ◽  
Second Hand Smoke ◽  
Vulnerable Children ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Middle Income Countries ◽  
The Past ◽  
Second Hand Smoke Exposure ◽  
Health Organization ◽  
Low And Middle Income

While the global smoking rate has dropped in the past 30 years (from 41.2% of men in 1980 to 31.1% in 2012 and from 10.6% of women in 1980 to 6.2% in 2012), the number of tobacco smokers has increased due to population growth (Ng et al., 2014). This tobacco use and second-hand smoke exposure continue to harm people worldwide. Those harmed are often vulnerable: children, those living in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), those with existing diseases, etc. As noted by the World Health Organization (WHO), nearly 80% of those who smoke live in a LMIC (World Health Organization, 2017). Furthermore, it is often those who are more socio-economically disadvantaged or less educated in LMICs that are exposed to second-hand smoke at home and work (Nazar, Lee, Arora, & Millett, 2015).

scholarly journals Cigarette stick as valuable communicative real estate: a content analysis of cigarettes from 14 low-income and middle-income countries

2016 ◽  
Vol 26 (5) ◽  
pp. 604-607 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katherine C Smith ◽  
Carmen Washington ◽  
Kevin Welding ◽  
Laura Kroart ◽  
Adami Osho ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Content Analysis ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Low Income ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Middle Income Countries

scholarly journals Global competitiveness divide and the middle-income-trap

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy Yaw Acheampong
Keyword(s):  
High Income ◽  
World Economic Forum ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Income Levels ◽  
Global Competitiveness ◽  
Middle Income Countries ◽  
Income Status ◽  
The World ◽  
World Economic ◽  
Middle Income Trap

In recent times, the middle-income trap (MIT) has become a pertinent issue as economists, researchers and development practitioners continue seek answers to why the majority of middle-income countries find it difficult to advance to high-income status. There is still no consensus in literature as to the exact cause(s) and the solution to the MIT. The World Economic Forum posits that, the score of countries on the Global Competitive Index (GCI) 4.0 accounts for over 80% of the variation in income levels of countries. This suggests that the extent of global competitiveness of countries could potentially help them to escape the MIT. However, some competitiveness literature have identified an apparent competitiveness divide among countries. This paper therefore seeks to answer the following questions: how does middle-income countries differ from the high-income countries in terms of global competitiveness. The study utilises an independent samples t-test and effect size measures to examine the GCI 4.0 scores of 140 countries. The study finds a very large and significant competitiveness divide between the high and middle-income countries.

scholarly journals Global Burden of Stroke

2018 ◽  
Vol 38 (02) ◽  
pp. 208-211 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mira Katan ◽  
Andreas Luft
Keyword(s):  
Hemorrhagic Stroke ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Stroke Incidence ◽  
Middle Income Countries ◽  
The Past ◽  
Disability Adjusted Life ◽  
Life Years ◽  
Incidence And Mortality ◽  
Geographical Regions ◽  
Life Years Lost

AbstractStroke is the second leading cause of death and a major cause of disability worldwide. Its incidence is increasing because the population ages. In addition, more young people are affected by stroke in low- and middle-income countries. Ischemic stroke is more frequent but hemorrhagic stroke is responsible for more deaths and disability-adjusted life-years lost. Incidence and mortality of stroke differ between countries, geographical regions, and ethnic groups. In high-income countries mainly, improvements in prevention, acute treatment, and neurorehabilitation have led to a substantial decrease in the burden of stroke over the past 30 years. This article reviews the epidemiological and clinical data concerning stroke incidence and burden around the globe.

scholarly journals GROWTH SLOWDOWNS AND MIDDLE-INCOME TRAP: EVIDENCE FROM NEW UNIT ROOT FRAMEWORK

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
FUMITAKA FURUOKA ◽  
KIEW LING PUI ◽  
CHINYERE EZEOKE ◽  
RAY I. JACOB ◽  
OLAOLUWA S. YAYA
Keyword(s):  
Unit Root ◽  
Structural Break ◽  
Testing Procedure ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Unit Root Tests ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Middle Income Countries ◽  
Middle Income Trap ◽  
High Possibility

This paper suggests a new testing procedure to systematically examine the middle-income trap (MIT). To empirically demonstrate this procedure, one high income and 14 middle-income countries are examined using newly developed unit root tests — Fourier ADF with structural break (FADF-SB) and Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Fourier ADF (SUR-FADF). The FADF-SB test incorporates unknown nonlinearity and smooth break in the time-series, while the SUR-FADF test accounts for cross-sectional dependency. The empirical findings produced mixed results: 10 countries have a relatively high possibility of facing the MIT problem, while only one country has a relatively low possibility of facing the problem. For the remaining three countries, it is uncertain whether they will face the problem of MIT. These empirical findings have significant policy implications.

Confronting the Vector of Tobacco-Related Disease

2013 ◽  
Vol 39 (2-3) ◽  
pp. 308-331 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew Allen
Keyword(s):  
Tobacco Use ◽  
Evidence Base ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Middle Income Countries ◽  
The Past ◽  
Premature Deaths ◽  
Current Trends ◽  
Significant Burden ◽  
Tobacco Epidemic ◽  
Low And Middle Income

It has been estimated that the use of tobacco kills nearly 6 million people each year, with most deaths occurring in low- and middle-income countries. This disparity is expected to increase over the next few decades. On the basis of current trends, tobacco use will kill more than 8 million people worldwide per annum by 2030, with eighty percent of those premature deaths occurring in low- and middle-income countries. The significant burden of morbidity and mortality associated with tobacco use is well documented and proven and will not be repeated here.The evidence base for addressing the tobacco epidemic domestically, regionally, and globally has developed in a systematic fashion over the past five decades. Effective measures for tobacco control are now well known and have been canvassed widely in the published literature.

scholarly journals Valuing Mortality Risk Reductions in Global Benefit-Cost Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (S1) ◽  
pp. 15-50 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lisa A. Robinson ◽  
James K. Hammitt ◽  
Lucy O’Keeffe
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Risk ◽  
Income Elasticity ◽  
Lower Income ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Income Differences ◽  
Benefit Cost Analysis ◽  
Middle Income Countries ◽  
Statistical Life ◽  
The Past ◽  
Benefit Cost

The estimates used to value mortality risk reductions are a major determinant of the benefits of many public health and environmental policies. These estimates (typically expressed as the value per statistical life, VSL) describe the willingness of those affected by a policy to exchange their own income for the risk reductions they experience. While these values are relatively well studied in high-income countries, less is known about the values held by lower-income populations. We identify 26 studies conducted in the 172 countries considered low- or middle-income in any of the past 20 years; several have significant limitations. Thus there are few or no direct estimates of VSL for most such countries. Instead, analysts typically extrapolate values from wealthier countries, adjusting only for income differences. This extrapolation requires selecting a base value and an income elasticity that summarizes the rate at which VSL changes with income. Because any such approach depends on assumptions of uncertain validity, we recommend that analysts conduct a standardized sensitivity analysis to assess the extent to which their conclusions change depending on these estimates. In the longer term, more research on the value of mortality risk reductions in low- and middle-income countries is essential.

scholarly journals Closing the inequality gaps in reproductive, maternal, newborn and child health coverage: slow and fast progressors

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. e002230 ◽  
Author(s):  
Agbessi Amouzou ◽  
Safia S Jiwani ◽  
Inácio Crochemore Mohnsam da Silva ◽  
Liliana Carvajal-Aguirre ◽  
Abdoulaye Maïga ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Maternal Health ◽  
Child Health ◽  
Low Income ◽  
Health Surveys ◽  
Health Coverage ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Child Illness ◽  
Middle Income Countries ◽  
The Past ◽  
And Child Health

IntroductionUniversal Health Coverage (UHC) is a critical goal under the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) for health. Achieving this goal for reproductive, maternal, newborn and child health (RMNCH) service coverage will require an understanding of national progress and how socioeconomic and demographic subgroups of women and children are being reached by health interventions.MethodsWe accessed coverage databases produced by the International Centre for Equity in Health, which were based on reanalysis of Demographic and Health Surveys, Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys and Reproductive and Health Surveys. We limited the data to 58 countries with at least two surveys since 2008. We fitted multilevel linear regressions of coverage of RMNCH, divided into four main components—reproductive health, maternal health, child immunisation and child illness treatment—to estimate the average annual percentage point change (AAPPC) in coverage for the period 2008–2017 across these countries and for subgroups defined by maternal age, education, place of residence and wealth quintiles. We also assessed change in the pace of coverage progress between the periods 2000–2008 and 2008–2017.ResultsProgress in RMNCH coverage has been modest over the past decade, with statistically significant AAPPC observed only for maternal health (1.25, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.61) and reproductive health (0.83, 95% CI 0.47 to 1.19). AAPPC was not statistically significant for child immunisation and illness treatment. Progress, however, varied largely across countries, with fast or slow progressors spread throughout the low-income and middle-income groups. For reproductive and maternal health, low-income and lower middle-income countries appear to have progressed faster than upper middle-income countries. For these two components, faster progress was also observed in older women and in traditionally less well-off groups such as non-educated women, those living in rural areas or belonging to the poorest or middle wealth quintiles than among groups that are well off. The latter groups however continue to maintain substantially higher coverage levels over the former. No acceleration in RMNCH coverage was observed when the periods 2000–2008 and 2008–2017 were compared.ConclusionAt the dawn of the SDGs, progress in coverage in RMNCH remains insufficient at the national level and across equity dimensions to accelerate towards UHC by 2030. Greater attention must be paid to child immunisation to sustain the past gains and to child illness treatment to substantially raise its coverage across all groups.

scholarly journals Smartphone microendoscopy for high resolution fluorescence imaging

2016 ◽  
Vol 09 (05) ◽  
pp. 1650046 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiangqian Hong ◽  
Vivek K. Nagarajan ◽  
Dale H. Mugler ◽  
Bing Yu
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Ex Vivo ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Internal Organs ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Middle Income Countries ◽  
The Past

High resolution optical endoscopes are increasingly used in diagnosis of various medical conditions of internal organs, such as the cervix and gastrointestinal (GI) tracts, but they are too expensive for use in resource-poor settings. On the other hand, smartphones with high resolution cameras and Internet access have become more affordable, enabling them to diffuse into most rural areas and developing countries in the past decade. In this paper, we describe a smartphone microendoscope that can take fluorescence images with a spatial resolution of 3.1 [Formula: see text]m. Images collected from ex vivo, in vitro and in vivo samples using the device are also presented. The compact and cost-effective smartphone microendoscope may be envisaged as a powerful tool for detecting pre-cancerous lesions of internal organs in low and middle-income countries (LMICs).

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