Between National Polarization and Local Ideology: The Impact of Partisan Competition on State Medicaid Expansion Decisions

2019 ◽  
Vol 50 (2) ◽  
pp. 237-255 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua Meyer-Gutbrod

Abstract The U.S. Supreme Court’s decision to grant states the authority to reject Medicaid expansion under the Affordable Care Act without penalty threatened the implementation of this polarized health policy. While many Republican-controlled states followed their national allies and rejected Medicaid expansion, others engaged in bipartisan implementation. Why were some Republican states willing to reject the national partisan agenda and cooperate with Democrats in Washington? I focus on the role of electoral competition within states. I conclude that although electoral competition has been shown to encourage partisan polarization within the states, the combination of intergovernmental implementation and Medicaid expansion’s association with public welfare reverses this dynamic. I employ a Cox proportional-hazards model to examine the impact of state partisan ideology and competition on the likelihood of state Medicaid expansion. I find that strong inter-party competition mitigates the impact of more extreme partisan ideologies, encouraging potentially bipartisan negotiation with the federal administration.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shilong Wu ◽  
Mengyang Liu ◽  
Weixue Cui ◽  
Guilin Peng ◽  
Jianxing He

Abstract Background Thymoma is an uncommon intrathoracic malignant tumor and has a long natural history. It is uncertain whether the survival of thymoma patient is affected by prior cancer history. Finding out the impact of a prior cancer history on thymoma survival has important implications for both decision making and research. Method The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was queried for thymoma patients diagnosed between 1975 and 2015. Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards model were used to analyze overall survival across a variety of stages, age, and treatment methods with a prior cancer history or not. Results A total of 3604 patients with thymoma were identified including 507 (14.1%) with a prior cancer history. The 10-year survival rate of patients with a prior cancer history (53.8%) was worse than those without a prior cancer history (40.32%, 95%CI 35.24-45.33, P < 0.0001). However, adjusted analyses showed that the impact of a prior cancer history was heterogenous across age and treatment methods. In subset analyses, prior cancer history was associated with worse survival among patients who were treated with chemoradiotherapy (HR: 2.80, 95% CI: 1.51-5.20, P = 0.001) and age ≤ 65 years (HR: 1.33, 95%CI: 1.02-1.73, P = 0.036). Conclusions Prior cancer history provides an inferior overall survival for patients with thymoma. But it does not worsen the survival in some subgroups and these thymoma patients should not be excluded from clinical trials.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 194-194 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Wise ◽  
James Kelvin ◽  
Ryon Graf ◽  
Nicole A. Schreiber ◽  
Brigit McLaughlin ◽  
...  

194 Background: Upregulation of GR protein expression in metastatic biopsies from pts with CRPC has previously been shown to correlate with resistance to enzalutamide and has been validated as a therapeutic target in pre-clinical studies. We sought to determine whether upregulated GR protein expression in CTCs from pts with progressing mCRPC predicted clinical outcomes following treatment with enzalutamide (E) or abiraterone (A). Methods: Pre-therapy blood samples from 54 pts with progressing mCRPC were subjected to CTC analysis using the Epic Sciences platform. Samples were examined to identify CK+ (CK+, CD45- cells, with intact nuclei, morph distinct) CTCs for GR protein expression. GR+ CTCs were defined as having expression greater than the 95th percentile of GR expression in the GR negative LNCAP cell line. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to test the impact of GR+ CTCs on OS following treatment with A or E. A Cox proportional hazards model with CTC number and GR positivity was used in a multivariate analysis. Results: 37 out of 54 pts (69%) had detectable and viable CK+ CTCs. 28 out of 37 pts (76%) had CTCs with upregulated GR staining with a median of 6 GR+/CK+ cells/ml per patient (range 0.7 – 244 cells/ml). The OS of patients with GR+ CTCs treated with ARSi was significantly worse than that of patients without detectable GR+ CTCs (11.4 mo. vs NA, p < 0.01), an effect independent and additive to the presence of viable CTCs, a previously described prognostic biomarker (see Table). Conclusions: GR protein upregulation in CTCs can be detected in a significant percentage of pts with progressing mCRPC and the presence of GR+ CTCs predicts worse OS in response to ARSi. The data supports previously reported pre-clinical data proposing a pathogenic role for GR in mediating resistance to ARSi therapy. Detection of GR in patient CTCs may be a useful predictive biomarker to guide GR-directed therapies. [Table: see text]


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xi Zhang ◽  
Long Yu ◽  
Jiajie Shi ◽  
Sainan Li ◽  
Shiwei Yang ◽  
...  

AbstractMounting evidence suggests that microbiota dysbiosis caused by antibiotic administration is a risk factor for cancer, but few research reports focus on the relationships between antibiotics and chemotherapy efficiency. We evaluated the influence of antibiotic administration on neoadjuvant therapy efficacy in patients with breast cancer (BC) in the present study. BC patients were stratified into two groups: antibiotic-treated and control based on antibiotic administration within 30 days after neoadjuvant therapy initiation. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed using the Kaplan–Meier method, and the Cox proportional hazards model was used for multivariate analyses. The pathologic complete response rate of the control group was significantly higher than that of the antibiotic-treated group (29.09% vs. 10.20%, p = 0.017). Further univariate analysis with Kaplan–Meier calculations demonstrated that antibiotic administration was strongly linked with both reduced DFS (p = 0.04) at significant statistical levels and OS (p = 0.088) at borderline statistical levels. Antibiotic administration was identified as a significant independent prognostic factor for DFS [hazard ratio (HR) 3.026, 95%, confidence interval (CI) 1.314–6.969, p = 0.009] and OS (HR 2.836, 95% CI 1.016–7.858, p = 0.047) by Cox proportional hazards model analysis. Antibiotics that initiated reduced efficiency of chemotherapy were more noticeable in the HER2-positive subgroup for both DFS (HR 5.51, 95% CI 1.77–17.2, p = 0.003) and OS (HR 7.0395% CI 1.94–25.53, p = 0.003), as well as in the T3-4 subgroup for both DFS (HR 20.36, 95% CI 2.41–172.07, p = 0.006) and OS (HR 13.45, 95% CI 1.39–130.08, p = 0.025) by stratified analysis. Antibiotic administration might be associated with reduced efficacy of neoadjuvant therapy and poor prognosis in BC patients. As a preliminary study, our research made preparations for further understanding and large-scale analyses of the impact of antibiotics on the efficacy of neoadjuvant therapy.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qian Mao ◽  
Wenfeng Gao ◽  
Liping Yang ◽  
Qian Zhao ◽  
Yujie Liu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Stroke has become one of the diseases with the highest mortality and disability rates in the world, especially in low-income and developing countries. Our objective was to discuss the relationship between the longitudinal dynamic changes of TG and stroke onset in healthy population by constructing different parametric joint models.Methods: 298 participants aged 23 to 69 in Xijing hospital of Xi’an City in Shanxi Province from 2008 to 2015 were included. The Cox proportional hazards model was performed to analyze the correlation between TG and stroke incidence at baseline. Different parameterized joint models were used to analyze the impact of dynamic changes of TG on the incidence of stroke under longitudinal data.Results: Of the 298 participants, a total of 70 (23.49%) subjects developed stroke during the study period. Cox proportional hazards model showed that the risk of disease increased by 1.056 times (95%CI=0.920-0.975) for each 1 unit of baseline age decrease. Each 1 mmol/L increase in sqrt(TG) increased the risk by 1.816 times (95%CI=1.017-3.245). Joint model showed that the risk of sqrt (TG) increased by 4.869 times (95%CI=3.987-8.857) for each 1 mmol/L increase in longitudinal direction.The lagged effects (HR=5.284, 95%CI=4.397-9.680) and cumulative effects (HR=1.786, 95%CI=1.613-3.399) of sqrt (TG) dynamic trajectory were also statistically related to the incidence of stroke.Conclusions: Over time, the longitudinal growth of TG levels in individuals will increase the risk of stroke even more. People should pay more attention to the dynamic changes of individual TG value, as well as the lagged effect and cumulative effect, to reduce the incidence of stroke.


Author(s):  
Juan Galeano ◽  
Aurélie Pont ◽  
Philippe Wanner

AbstractThe notion of residential settlement associated with the acquisition of new citizenship has been recently challenged by a number of studies highlighting its instrumentality as a subsequent mobility factor. The long and diverse history of Switzerland as a country of immigration and the availability of rich data on naturalization and international migration that allow individuals to be followed over time make this country a valuable case for investigating the impact of naturalization on international (return or onward) migration. Using longitudinal data, we follow 88,900 immigrants who entered the country between 1998 and 2000 over a period of 84 months between January 2011 and December 2017, documenting changes in naturalization status and in migratory movements and their direction. Using different implementations of a Cox proportional hazards model, we examine whether and under what conditions the international migration behaviour of naturalized persons differs from that of non-naturalized persons. Our results show that the population accessing naturalization tends to be less mobile, but also that among third-country nationals, naturalization can trigger further international mobility, in particular among those with poor economic performance and with no family ties in Switzerland.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shilong Wu ◽  
Mengyang Liu ◽  
Weixue Cui ◽  
Guilin Peng ◽  
Jianxing He

Abstract Background: Thymoma is an uncommon intrathoracic malignant tumor and has a long natural history. It is uncertain whether the survival of thymoma patient is affected by prior cancer history. Finding out the impact of a prior cancer history on thymoma survival has important implications for both decision making and research.Method: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was queried for thymoma patients diagnosed between 1975 and 2015. Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards model were used to analyze overall survival across a variety of stages, age, and treatment methods with a prior cancer history or not.Results: A total of 3604 patients with thymoma were identified including 507 (14.1%) with a prior cancer history. The 10-year survival rate of patients with a prior cancer history (53.8%) was worse than those without a prior cancer history (40.32%, 95%CI 35.24-45.33, P < 0.0001). However,adjusted analyses showed that the impact of a prior cancer history was heterogenous across age and treatment methods. In subset analyses, prior cancer history was associated with worse survival among patients who were treated with chemoradiotherapy (HR: 2.80, 95% CI: 1.51-5.20, P = 0.001) and age ≤ 65 years (HR: 1.33, 95%CI: 1.02-1.73, P = 0.036).Conclusions: Prior cancer history provides an inferior overall survival for patients with thymoma. But it does not worsen the survival in some subgroups and these thymoma patients should not be excluded from clinical trials.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Salmon ◽  
Mitchell Titley ◽  
Zaid Noori ◽  
Mark Crosby ◽  
Rajiv Sankaranarayanan

Background Higher rates of venous and arterial thromboembolism have been noted in coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19). There has been limited research on the impact of anticoagulant and antiplatelet choice in COVID-19. Methods This was a single-centre retrospective cohort study of 933 patients with COVID-19 infection presenting between 01/02/2020 and 31/05/2020. Survival time at 90 days post-diagnosis and thromboembolism development were the measured outcomes. Results Of 933 total patients, mean age was 68 years and 54.4% were male. 297 (31.8%) did not survive at 90 days. A Cox proportional hazards model analysis found no statistically significant relationship between anticoagulant or antiplatelet choice and survival (p<0.05). 57 (6.3%) developed thromboembolism. Antiplatelet choice was not shown to have a statistically significant relationship with thromboembolism development. Warfarin and direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) use did not have a statistically significant impact on thromboembolism development (p<0.05). Therapeutic low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) use was associated with increased thromboembolism risk (Odds ratio = 14.327, 95% CI 1.904 - 107.811, p = 0.010). Conclusions Antiplatelet choice was shown to have no impact on survival or thromboembolism development in COVID-19. Anticoagulant choice did not impact survival or thromboembolism development, aside from LMWH. Therapeutic LMWH use was associated with increased risk of thromboembolism. However, it should be noted that the sample size for patients using therapeutic LMWH was small (n=4), and there may be confounding variables affecting both LMWH use and thromboembolism development. These findings should be repeated with a larger sample of patients using therapeutic LMWH with additional adjustment for cofounding variables.


2020 ◽  
Vol 48 (4) ◽  
pp. 030006052091150
Author(s):  
Zongying Li ◽  
Cheng Xing ◽  
Tingting Li ◽  
Linxiang Du ◽  
Na Wang

Objective Serum chloride disorders have been gaining increased attention. We aimed to assess the impact of serum chloride on all-cause mortality in critically ill patients in coronary care units (CCUs). Methods We extracted clinical data from the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care III database. We used data for the first CCU admission of each patient; baseline data were extracted within 24 hours after CCU admission. Statistical methods included the Lowess smoothing technique, Cox proportional hazards model, and subgroup analyses. Results A total 5616 patients who met the inclusion criteria were included. We observed a U-shaped relationship between admission chloride levels and 30-day all-cause mortality. In multivariate analysis adjusted for age, ethnicity, and sex, both hyper- and hypochloremia were significant predictors of risk of 30-day, 90-day, and 365-day all-cause mortality. After adjusting additional clinical characteristics, hypochloremia remained a significant predictor of risk of 30-day all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.47; 95% confidence interval, 1.19–1.83). For 90-day and 365-day all-cause mortality, similar significant robust associations were found. Conclusions We observed a U-shaped relationship between admission chloride levels and 30-day all-cause mortality among patients in the CCU. Hypochloremia was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality in these patients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S34-S35
Author(s):  
Walid El-Nahal ◽  
Nicola Shen ◽  
Catherine Lesko ◽  
Anthony Fojo ◽  
Bryan Lau ◽  
...  

Abstract Background During the COVID-19 pandemic, patients at the John G. Bartlett Specialty practice experienced disruptions in viral load (VL) monitoring due to 1) conversion to telemedicine visits and 2) closure of the onsite lab from March 16-July 13, 2021. We described the impact of the pandemic on VL monitoring. Methods We measured time from all index VLs collected during 3 periods: January 1, 2019 to March 15, 2020 (pre-pandemic); March 16 to July 12, 2020 (pandemic, closed onsite lab); and July 13 to December 31, 2020 (pandemic, open onsite lab) until a subsequent VL, 1 year after the index VL, or administrative censoring on December 31, 2020, whichever came first. We classified follow-up time according to these periods (treating period as a time-varying variable). We report hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) from a Cox proportional hazards model comparing the hazard of a VL during the pandemic periods to the pre-pandemic period, stratified by whether the index VL was suppressed (≤200 copies/mL). We tested for interactions between patient characteristics (age, sex at birth, race, ethnicity, and recent substance use) and period, to investigate differential effects of the pandemic on delayed VL. Results After 7,760 suppressed VL measurements, median times to subsequent VL during the pre-pandemic, pandemic (closed lab) and pandemic (open lab) periods, were 4.6 (HR=1.0), 8.9 (HR=0.34, CI:0.30, 0.37), and 5.8 (HR=0.73, CI:0.68,0.78) months respectively. After 1,025 non-suppressed VL measurements, median times to subsequent VL were 2.0 (HR=1.0), 3.9 (HR=0.57, CI:0.42,0.79), and 2.1 (HR=0.92, CI:0.76,1.10) months respectively. Time to subsequent VL after an index suppressed VL was less affected by the pandemic for patients who are white; had private insurance; or had no recent cocaine or heroin use. The effect of the pandemic on time to subsequent VL after a non-suppressed index VL did not significantly differ across patient characteristics. Conclusion Onsite lab closure disrupted VL collection for all groups. Once the onsite lab opened, the pandemic period was still associated with a delay among suppressed patients, but not non-suppressed patients. Further studies are needed to investigate if these delays are associated with lapses in viral suppression. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures


Crisis ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-36 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kuan-Ying Lee ◽  
Chung-Yi Li ◽  
Kun-Chia Chang ◽  
Tsung-Hsueh Lu ◽  
Ying-Yeh Chen

Abstract. Background: We investigated the age at exposure to parental suicide and the risk of subsequent suicide completion in young people. The impact of parental and offspring sex was also examined. Method: Using a cohort study design, we linked Taiwan's Birth Registry (1978–1997) with Taiwan's Death Registry (1985–2009) and identified 40,249 children who had experienced maternal suicide (n = 14,431), paternal suicide (n = 26,887), or the suicide of both parents (n = 281). Each exposed child was matched to 10 children of the same sex and birth year whose parents were still alive. This yielded a total of 398,081 children for our non-exposed cohort. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to compare the suicide risk of the exposed and non-exposed groups. Results: Compared with the non-exposed group, offspring who were exposed to parental suicide were 3.91 times (95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.10–4.92 more likely to die by suicide after adjusting for baseline characteristics. The risk of suicide seemed to be lower in older male offspring (HR = 3.94, 95% CI = 2.57–6.06), but higher in older female offspring (HR = 5.30, 95% CI = 3.05–9.22). Stratified analyses based on parental sex revealed similar patterns as the combined analysis. Limitations: As only register-­based data were used, we were not able to explore the impact of variables not contained in the data set, such as the role of mental illness. Conclusion: Our findings suggest a prominent elevation in the risk of suicide among offspring who lost their parents to suicide. The risk elevation differed according to the sex of the afflicted offspring as well as to their age at exposure.


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