Bispectral Index Monitoring, Duration of Bispectral Index Below 45, Patient Risk Factors, and Intermediate-term Mortality after Noncardiac Surgery in the B-Unaware Trial

Background Postoperative mortality has been associated with cumulative anesthetic duration below an arbitrary processed electroencephalographic threshold (bispectral index [BIS] <45). This substudy of the B-Unaware Trial tested whether cumulative duration of BIS values lower than 45, cumulative anesthetic dose, comorbidities, or intraoperative events were independently associated with postoperative mortality. Methods The authors studied 1,473 patients (mean ± SD age, 57.9 ± 14.4 yr; 749 men) who underwent noncardiac surgery at Barnes-Jewish Hospital in St. Louis, Missouri. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to determine whether perioperative factors were independently associated with all-cause mortality. Results A total of 358 patients (24.3%) died during a follow-up of 3.2 ± 1.1 yr. There were statistically significant associations among various perioperative risk factors, including malignancy and intermediate-term mortality. BIS-monitored patients did not have lower mortality than unmonitored patients (24.9 vs. 23.7%; difference = 1.2%, 95% CI, -3.3 to 5.6%). Cumulative duration of BIS values less than 45 was not associated with mortality (multivariable hazard ratio, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.93-1.14). Increasing mean and cumulative end-tidal anesthetic concentrations were not associated with mortality. The multivariable Cox regression model showed a good discriminative ability (c-index = 0.795). Conclusions This study found no evidence that either cumulative BIS values below a threshold of 40 or 45 or cumulative inhalational anesthetic dose is injurious to patients. These results do not support the hypothesis that limiting depth of anesthesia either by titration to a specific BIS threshold or by limiting end-tidal volatile agent concentrations will decrease postoperative mortality.

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Association of Perioperative Risk Factors and Cumulative Duration of Low Bispectral Index with Intermediate-term Mortality after Cardiac Surgery in the B-Unaware Trial

Anesthesiology ◽

10.1097/aln.0b013e3181d5e0a3 ◽

2010 ◽

Vol 112 (5) ◽

pp. 1116-1127 ◽

Cited By ~ 117

Author(s):

Miklos D. Kertai ◽

Nirvik Pal ◽

Ben J. A. Palanca ◽

Nan Lin ◽

Sylvia A. Searleman ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cardiac Surgery ◽

Bispectral Index ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Medical Center ◽

Discriminative Ability ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Risk Of Death ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Significant Difference ◽

Cumulative Duration

Background Current data suggest that mortality after noncardiac surgery may be associated with persistent hypotension and the cumulative duration of low processed electroencephalogram-based bispectral index (BIS). This study assessed the relationships among cumulative duration of low BIS (BIS < 45), intermediate-term mortality, and anesthetic dose after cardiac surgery. Methods The authors studied 460 patients (mean age, 63.0 +/- 13.1 yr; 287 men) who underwent cardiac surgery between September 2005 and October 2006 at Washington University Medical Center, St Louis, Missouri. By using multivariable Cox regression analysis, perioperative factors were evaluated for their potential association with intermediate-term all-cause mortality. Results A total of 82 patients (17.8%) died during a median follow-up of 3 yr (interquartile range, 2.7-3.3 yr). Comparing patients who died with those who survived, there was no statistically significant difference in the relationship between end-tidal anesthetic gas concentrations during the anesthetic maintenance phase and the BIS. Cumulative duration of low BIS was independently associated with intermediate-term mortality. The 1.29 adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI, 1.12-1.49) for intermediate-term mortality with cumulative duration of low BIS translated into a 29% increased risk of death for every cumulative hour spent with a BIS less than 45. The final multivariable Cox regression model showed a good discriminative ability (c-index of 0.78). Conclusions This study found an association between cumulative duration of low BIS and mortality in the setting of cardiac surgery. Notably, this association was independent of both volatile anesthetic concentration and duration of anesthesia, suggesting that intermediate-term mortality after cardiac surgery was not causally related to excessive anesthetic dose.

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Cumulative Duration of “Triple Low” State of Low Blood Pressure, Low Bispectral Index, and Low Minimum Alveolar Concentration of Volatile Anesthesia Is Not Associated with Increased Mortality

Anesthesiology ◽

10.1097/aln.0000000000000281 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 121 (1) ◽

pp. 18-28 ◽

Cited By ~ 63

Author(s):

Miklos D. Kertai ◽

William D. White ◽

Tong J. Gan

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Blood Pressure ◽

Bispectral Index ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Minimum Alveolar Concentration ◽

Risk Index ◽

Noncardiac Surgery ◽

Arterial Blood ◽

Volatile Anesthesia ◽

Cumulative Duration

Abstract Background: Mortality after noncardiac surgery has been associated with the “triple low state,” a combination of low mean arterial blood pressure (<75 mmHg), low bispectral index (<45), and low minimum alveolar concentration of volatile anesthesia (<0.70). The authors set out to determine whether duration of a triple low state and aggregate risk associated with individual diagnostic and procedure codes are independently associated with perioperative and intermediate-term mortality. Methods: The authors studied 16,263 patients (53 ± 16 yr) who underwent noncardiac surgery at Duke University Medical Center between January 2006 and December 2009. Multivariable logistic and Cox regression analyses were used to determine whether perioperative factors were independently associated with perioperative and intermediate-term all-cause mortality. Results: The 30-day mortality rate was 0.8%. There were statistically significant associations between 30-day mortality and various perioperative risk factors including age, American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status, emergency surgery, higher Cleveland Clinic Risk Index score, and year of surgery. Cumulative duration of triple low state was not associated with 30-day mortality (multivariable odds ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.92 to 1.07). The clinical risk factors for 30-day mortality remained predictors of intermediate-term mortality, whereas cumulative duration of triple low was not associated with intermediate-term mortality (multivariable hazard ratio, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.97 to 1.01). The multivariable logistic regression (c-index = 0.932) and Cox regression (c-index = 0.860) models showed excellent discriminative abilities. Conclusion: The authors found no association between cumulative duration of triple low state and perioperative or intermediate-term mortality in noncardiac surgery patients.

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The cumulative duration of bispectral index less than 40 concurrent with hypotension is associated with 90-day postoperative mortality: a retrospective study

10.21203/rs.3.rs-16106/v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Soohyuk Yoon ◽

Seokha Yoo ◽

Min Hur ◽

Sun-Kyung Park ◽

Hyung-Chul Lee ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Retrospective Study ◽

Bispectral Index ◽

Odds Ratio ◽

Postoperative Mortality ◽

Anesthetic Depth ◽

Intraoperative Hypotension ◽

Cumulative Duration ◽

The Relationship ◽

Cumulative Time

Abstract Background The relationship between intraoperative low bispectral index (BIS) values and poor clinical outcomes has been controversial. Intraoperative hypotension is associated with postoperative complication. The purpose of this study was to investigate the influence of intraoperative low BIS values and hypotension on postoperative mortality in patients undergoing major abdominal surgery. Methods This retrospective study analyzed 1,862 cases of general anesthesia. We collected the cumulative time of BIS values below 20 and 40 as well as electroencephalographic suppression and documented the incidences in which these states were maintained for at least 5 minutes. Durations of intraoperative mean arterial pressures (MAP) less than 50 mmHg were also recorded. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate the association between suspected risk factors and postoperative mortality. Results Ninety-day mortality and 180-day mortality were 1.5% and 3.2% respectively. The cumulative time in minutes for BIS values falling below 40 coupled with MAP falling below 50 mmHg was associated with 90-day mortality (odds ratio, 1.26; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.53; P = .019). We found no association between BIS related values and 180-day mortality. Conclusions Delicate adjustment of anesthetic depth is important to avoid excessive brain suppression and hypotension, which could be associated with postoperative mortality.

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The cumulative duration of bispectral index less than 40 concurrent with hypotension is associated with 90-day postoperative mortality: a retrospective study

10.21203/rs.3.rs-16106/v2 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Soohyuk Yoon ◽

Seokha Yoo ◽

Min Hur ◽

Sun-Kyung Park ◽

Hyung-Chul Lee ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Logistic Regression ◽

Retrospective Study ◽

Abdominal Surgery ◽

Bispectral Index ◽

Odds Ratio ◽

Postoperative Mortality ◽

Anesthetic Depth ◽

Cumulative Duration ◽

Cumulative Time

Abstract Background The influence of intraoperative low bispectral index (BIS) values and hypotension on poor clinical outcomes has been controversial. The purpose of this study was to investigate the influence of intraoperative low BIS values and hypotension on postoperative mortality in patients undergoing major abdominal surgery. Methods This retrospective study analyzed 1,862 cases of general anesthesia. We collected the cumulative time of BIS values below 20 and 40 as well as electroencephalographic suppression and documented the incidences in which these states were maintained for at least 5 minutes. Durations of intraoperative mean arterial pressures (MAP) less than 50 mmHg were also recorded. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate the association between suspected risk factors and postoperative mortality. Results Ninety-day mortality and 180-day mortality were 1.5% and 3.2% respectively. The cumulative time in minutes for BIS values falling below 40 coupled with MAP falling below 50 mmHg was associated with 90-day mortality (odds ratio, 1.26; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.53; P = .019). We found no association between BIS related values and 180-day mortality. Conclusions Delicate adjustment of anesthetic depth is important to avoid excessive brain suppression and hypotension, which could be associated with postoperative mortality.

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Validation of the BOADICEA model and a 313-variant polygenic risk score for breast cancer risk prediction in a Dutch prospective cohort

Genetics in Medicine ◽

10.1038/s41436-020-0884-4 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 22 (11) ◽

pp. 1803-1811 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Inge M. M. Lakeman ◽

Mar Rodríguez-Girondo ◽

Andrew Lee ◽

Rikje Ruiter ◽

Bruno H. Stricker ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Breast Cancer ◽

Risk Factors ◽

Risk Score ◽

Prospective Cohort ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Disease Incidence ◽

Polygenic Risk Score ◽

Discriminative Ability ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Polygenic Risk

Abstract Purpose We evaluated the performance of the recently extended Breast and Ovarian Analysis of Disease Incidence and Carrier Estimation Algorithm (BOADICEA version 5) in a Dutch prospective cohort, using a polygenic risk score (PRS) based on 313 breast cancer (BC)–associated variants (PRS313) and other, nongenetic risk factors. Methods Since 1989, 6522 women without BC aged 45 or older of European descent have been included in the Rotterdam Study. The PRS313 was calculated per 1 SD in controls from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium (BCAC). Cox regression analysis was performed to estimate the association between the PRS313 and incident BC risk. Cumulative 10-year risks were calculated with BOADICEA including different sets of variables (age, risk factors and PRS313). C-statistics were used to evaluate discriminative ability. Results In total, 320 women developed BC. The PRS313 was significantly associated with BC (hazard ratio [HR] per SD of 1.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] [1.40–1.73]). Using 10-year risk estimates including age and the PRS313, other risk factors improved the discriminatory ability of the BOADICEA model marginally, from a C-statistic of 0.636 to 0.653. Conclusions The effect size of the PRS313 is highly reproducible in the Dutch population. Our results validate the BOADICEA v5 model for BC risk assessment in the Dutch general population.

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A Prognostic Model for Patients With Gastric Signet Ring Cell Carcinoma

Technology in Cancer Research & Treatment ◽

10.1177/15330338211027912 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 20 ◽

pp. 153303382110279

Author(s):

Qinping Guo ◽

Yinquan Wang ◽

Jie An ◽

Siben Wang ◽

Xiushan Dong ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Signet Ring Cell Carcinoma ◽

Signet Ring Cell ◽

Training Set ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Signet Ring ◽

Ring Cell ◽

Independent Risk Factors

Background: The aim of our study was to develop a nomogram model to predict overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (GSRC). Methods: GSRC patients from 2004 to 2015 were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and randomly assigned to the training and validation sets. Multivariate Cox regression analyses screened for OS and CSS independent risk factors and nomograms were constructed. Results: A total of 7,149 eligible GSRC patients were identified, including 4,766 in the training set and 2,383 in the validation set. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that gender, marital status, race, AJCC stage, TNM stage, surgery and chemotherapy were independent risk factors for both OS and CSS. Based on the results of the multivariate Cox regression analysis, prognostic nomograms were constructed for OS and CSS. In the training set, the C-index was 0.754 (95% CI = 0.746-0.762) for the OS nomogram and 0.762 (95% CI: 0.753-0.771) for the CSS nomogram. In the internal validation, the C-index for the OS nomogram was 0.758 (95% CI: 0.746-0.770), while the C-index for the CSS nomogram was 0.762 (95% CI: 0.749-0.775). Compared with TNM stage and SEER stage, the nomogram had better predictive ability. In addition, the calibration curves also showed good consistency between the predicted and actual 3-year and 5-year OS and CSS. Conclusion: The nomogram can effectively predict OS and CSS in patients with GSRC, which may help clinicians to personalize prognostic assessments and clinical decisions.

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A multicenter, prospective, observational study to determine association of mesangial C1q deposition with renal outcomes in IgA nephropathy

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-021-84715-7 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Li Tan ◽

Yi Tang ◽

Gaiqin Pei ◽

Zhengxia Zhong ◽

Jiaxing Tan ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Iga Nephropathy ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Renal Outcome ◽

Matched Cohort ◽

Negative Group ◽

Renal Survival ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Renal Outcomes

AbstractIt was reported that histopathologic lesions are risk factors for the progression of IgA Nephropathy (IgAN). The aim of this study was to investigate the relationships between mesangial deposition of C1q and renal outcomes in IgAN. 1071 patients with primary IgAN diagnosed by renal biopsy were enrolled in multiple study centers form January 2013 to January 2017. Patients were divided into two groups: C1q-positive and C1q-negative. Using a 1: 4 propensity score matching (PSM) method identifying age, gender, and treatment modality to minimize confounding factors, 580 matched (out of 926) C1q-negative patients were compared with 145 C1q-positive patients to evaluate severity of baseline clinicopathological features and renal outcome. Kaplan–Meier and Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed to determine whether mesangial C1q deposition is associated with renal outcomes in IgAN. During the follow-up period (41.89 ± 22.85 months), 54 (9.31%) patients in the C1q negative group and 23 (15.86%) patients in C1q positive group reached the endpoint (50% decline of eGFR and/or ESRD or death) respectively (p = 0.01) in the matched cohort. Significantly more patients in C1q negative group achieved complete or partial remission during the follow up period (P = 0.003) both before and after PSM. Three, 5 and 7-year renal survival rates in C1q-positive patients were significantly lower than C1q-negative patients in either unmatched cohort or matched cohort (all p < 0.05). Furthermore, multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that independent risk factors influencing renal survival included Scr, urinary protein, T1-T2 lesion and C1q deposition. Mesangial C1q deposition is a predictor of poor renal survival in IgA nephropathy.Trial registration TCTR, TCTR20140515001. Registered May 15, 2014, http://www.clinicaltrials.in.th/index.php?tp=regtrials&menu=trialsearch&smenu=fulltext&task=search&task2=view1&id=1074.

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Anti-tumor necrosis factor-induced lupus in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: a hospital-based cohort study from Korea

Therapeutic Advances in Gastroenterology ◽

10.1177/1756284821997794 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 14 ◽

pp. 175628482199779

Author(s):

Su Jin Choi ◽

Soo Min Ahn ◽

Ji Seon Oh ◽

Seokchan Hong ◽

Chang-Keun Lee ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Inflammatory Bowel Disease ◽

Tumor Necrosis Factor ◽

Bowel Disease ◽

Tumor Necrosis ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Inflammatory Bowel ◽

Necrosis Factor ◽

Mucocutaneous Symptoms

Background: Anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) agents are increasingly used for rheumatic diseases and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), but are associated with the development of anti-TNF-induced lupus (ATIL). Nonetheless, few ATIL studies on non-Caucasian IBD patients exist. Here, we investigated the incidence, clinical features, and risk factors of ATIL in Korea. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of IBD patients undergoing anti-TNF therapy at our tertiary IBD center between 2008 and 2020. ATIL was diagnosed as a temporal association between symptoms and anti-TNF agents, and the presence of at least one serologic and non-serologic American College of Rheumatology criterion. The risk factors for ATIL occurrence were assessed using multivariate Cox regression analysis. Results: Of 1362 IBD patients treated with anti-TNF agents, 50 (3.7%) ATIL cases were suspected, of which 14 (1.0%) received a definitive diagnosis. Arthritis and mucocutaneous symptoms were observed in 13 and 4 patients, respectively. All ATIL cases were positive for anti-nuclear and anti-dsDNA antibodies. Four patients (30.8%) improved while continuing anti-TNF therapy. At the final follow up, the ATIL group ( n = 14) had a lower IBD remission rate (30.8% versus 68.8%, p = 0.019) than the non-ATIL group ( n = 36). Ulcerative colitis and longer disease duration were associated with ATIL occurrence, with hazard ratios of 7.017 ( p = 0.005) and 1.118 ( p = 0.002), respectively. Conclusion: Although rare, ATIL is associated with poor treatment response to IBD in Korean patients. ATIL should be considered if arthritis and mucocutaneous symptoms develop during anti-TNF therapy for IBD.

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Predictors of tumor progression among children with gangliogliomas

Journal of Neurosurgery Pediatrics ◽

10.3171/2009.2.peds0861 ◽

2009 ◽

Vol 3 (6) ◽

pp. 461-466 ◽

Cited By ~ 25

Author(s):

Mostafa El Khashab ◽

Lynn Gargan ◽

Linda Margraf ◽

Korgun Koral ◽

Farideh Nejat ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

Tumor Progression ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Tumor Resection ◽

Progression Free Survival ◽

Initial Presentation ◽

Subtotal Resection ◽

Low Grade ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Presenting Symptoms

Object Few reports describe the outcome and prognostic factors for children with gangliogliomas. The objective of this report was to describe the progression-free survival (PFS) for children with low-grade gangliogliomas and identify risk factors for tumor progression. Methods A retrospective study was performed in children with low-grade gangliogliomas who were evaluated and treated in the neuro-oncology department between 1986 and 2006 to determine risk factors for subsequent tumor progression. Results A total of 38 children with newly diagnosed gangliogliomas were included in this report. Thirty-four children were treated with surgery alone, 3 with subtotal resection and radiation therapy, and 1 with subtotal resection and chemotherapy. The follow-up ranged from 4 months to 15.8 years (mean 5.7 ± 4.2 years [± SD]). Seven children have experienced tumor progression, and 1 child died after his tumor subsequently underwent malignant transformation. The 5-year PFS was calculated to be 81.2% using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Initial presentation with seizures (p = 0.004), tumor location in the cerebral hemisphere (p = 0.020), and complete tumor resection (p = 0.035) were associated with prolonged PFS. Further analysis of the above significant variables by a Cox regression model identified initial presentation with seizures as being associated with prolonged PFS (p = 0.028). Conclusions The PFS and overall survival of children with gangliogliomas are good. Tumors located in the cerebral hemispheres, the achievement of total resection, and seizures at presentation were associated with prolonged PFS. Cox regression analysis identified presenting symptoms including seizures as significant predictive factors of PFS. Prospective studies with larger numbers of children are needed to define the significant factors of tumor progression.

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RISK FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH THE OCCURRENCE OF EARLY COMPLICATIONS OF ACUTE MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION AFTER CARDIO-INTERVENTION TREATMENT

Wiadomości Lekarskie ◽

10.36740/wlek202006132 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 73 (6) ◽

pp. 1245-1251

Author(s):

Iryna A. Holovanova ◽

Grygori A. Oksak ◽

Iryna M. Tkachenko ◽

Maxim V. Khorosh ◽

Mariia M. Tovstiak ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Diabetes Mellitus ◽

Risk Factors ◽

Myocardial Infarction ◽

Acute Myocardial Infarction ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Risk Indicators ◽

Interventional Treatment ◽

Early Complications ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Intervention Treatment

The aim of our study was to identify the main risk factors for the occurrence of early complications of acute myocardial infarction after cardio-interventional treatment and to evaluate prognostic risk indicators. Materials and methods: Risk factors of myocardial infarction were determined by copying the case history data and calculating on their basis of the odds ratio and ±95% confidence interval. After it, we made a prediction of the risk of early complications of AMI with cardiovascular intervention by using a Cox regression that took into account the patient’s transportation time by ambulance. Results: Thus, the factors that increase the chances of their occurrence were: summer time of year; recurrent myocardial infarction of another specified localization (I122.8); the relevance of the established STEMI diagnosis; diabetes mellitus; renal pathology; smoking; high rate of BMI. Factors that reduce the chances of their occurrence: men gender – in 35%; the age over of 70 – by 50%; the timely arrival of an emergency medical team – by 55%. The factors that increase the chances of their occurrence were: age over 70 years; subsequent myocardial infarction of unspecified site; diabetes mellitus. Using of a Cox regression analysis, it was proved that the cumulative risk of early complications of AMI with cardio-intervention treatment increased from the 10th minute of ambulance arrival at place, when ECG diagnosis (STEMI), presence of diabetes mellitus, smoking and high BMI. Conclusions: As a result of the conducted research, the risk factors for early complications of AIM with cardio-interventional treatment were identified.

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