scholarly journals COVID19-related and all-cause mortality among middle-aged and older adults across the first epidemic wave of SARS-COV-2 infection in the region of Tarragona, Spain: results from the COVID19 TARRACO Cohort Study, March-June 2020

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Angel Vila-Corcoles ◽  
Eva Satue-Gracia ◽  
Angel Vila-Rovira ◽  
Cinta de Diego-Cabanes ◽  
Maria Jose Forcadell-Peris ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Nursing Home ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Middle Aged ◽  
Mortality Risks ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Epidemic Period ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Related Mortality

SUMMARYBackgroundDirect and indirect COVID19-related mortality is uncertain. This study investigated COVID19-related and all-cause deaths among middle-aged and older adults during the first wave of COVID19 epidemic period, assessing mortality risks by pre-existing socio-demographic and medical underlying conditions.MethodsPopulation-based cohort study involving 79,083 individuals ≥50 years-old in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Baseline cohort characteristics (age/sex, comorbidities and medications/vaccinations history) were established at study start (01/03/2020) and main outcomes were COVID19-related deaths (occurred in patients diagnosed with the disease) and all-cause deaths occurred among cohort members between 01/03/2020-30/06/2020. Mortality risks were assessed by Cox regression analyses.ResultsCohort members were followed for 1,356,358 persons-weeks, occurring 576 all-cause deaths (124 COVID19-related). All-cause mortality rate was 42.5 deaths per 100,000 persons-week, being 22.8 in healthy/unrelated-COVID19 subjects, 236.4 in COVID19-excluded/PCR-negative subjects, 493.7 in COVID19-compatible/PCR-unperformed subjects and 4009.1 in COVID19-confirmed patients. In multivariable analyses, increasing age, sex male, nursing-home residence, cancer, neurologic, cardiac or liver disease, receiving diuretics, systemic corticosteroids, proton-pump inhibitors and benzodiazepines were associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality; conversely, receiving renin-angiotensin inhibitors and statins were associated with reduced risk. Age/years, sex male and nursing-home residence were strong predictors for COVID19-related mortality, but none comorbidity appeared significantly associated with an increased risk.ConclusionApart from direct COVID19-related deaths (which represented almost 22% of all-cause mortality), theoretically COVID19-excluded patients (PCR-negative) suffered considerable greater all-cause mortality than healthy/unrelated-COVID19 subjects, which could explain, in part, the large excess deaths observed across the COVID19 pandemic.

scholarly journals COVID19-related and all-cause mortality risk among middle-aged and older adults across the first epidemic wave of SARS-COV-2 infection: a population-based cohort study in Southern Catalonia, Spain, March–June 2020

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Angel Vila-Corcoles ◽  
Eva Satue-Gracia ◽  
Angel Vila-Rovira ◽  
Cinta de Diego-Cabanes ◽  
Maria Jose Forcadell-Peris ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Nursing Home ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Considerable Proportion ◽  
Middle Aged ◽  
Mortality Risks ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Related Mortality

Abstract Background Direct and indirect COVID19-related mortality is uncertain. This study investigated all-cause and COVID19-related deaths among middle-aged and older adults during the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic period, assessing mortality risks by pre-existing socio-demographic and medical underlying conditions. Methods Population-based cohort study involving 79,083 individuals ≥50 years-old in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). Baseline cohort characteristics (age/sex, comorbidities and medications/vaccinations history) were established at study start (01/03/2020) and main outcomes were COVID19-related deaths (those occurred among patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID19) and all-cause deaths occurred among cohort members between 01/03/2020–30/06/2020. Mortality risks were assessed by Cox regression analyses. Results Cohort members were followed for 1,356,358 persons-weeks, occurring 576 all-cause deaths (124 COVID19-related deaths). Of the 124 deceased patients with a laboratory-confirmed COVID19, 112 (90.3%) died by (due to) COVID-19, while 12 (9.7%) died with COVID-19 (but likely due to other concomitant causes). All-cause mortality rate among cohort members across study period was 42.5 deaths per 100,000 persons-week, being 22.8 among healthy/unrelated-COVID19 subjects, 236.4 in COVID19-excluded/PCR-negative subjects, 493.7 in COVID19-compatible/PCR-unperformed subjects and 4009.1 in COVID19-confirmed patients. Increasing age, sex male, nursing-home residence, cancer, neurologic, cardiac or liver disease, receiving diuretics, systemic corticosteroids, proton-pump inhibitors and benzodiazepines were associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality; conversely, receiving renin-angiotensin inhibitors and statins were associated with reduced risk. Age/years (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06–1.10), sex male (HR: 1.82; 95% CI: 1.24–2.70), nursing-home residence (HR: 12.56; 95% CI: 8.07–19.54) and number of pre-existing comorbidities (HR: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.01–1.29) were significant predictors for COVID19-related mortality, but none specific comorbidity emerged significantly associated with an increased risk in multivariable analysis evaluating it. Conclusion COVID19-related deaths represented more than 20 % of all-cause mortality occurred among middle-aged and older adults during the first wave of the pandemic in the region. A considerable proportion (around 10 %) of these COVID19-related deaths could be attributed to other concomitant causes. Theoretically COVID19-excluded subjects (PCR-negative) suffered ten-times greater all-cause mortality than healthy/unrelated-COVID19 subjects, which points to the existence of considerable number of false negative results in earlier PCR testing and could explain part of the global excess all-cause mortality observed during the pandemic.

scholarly journals “Susceptibility and risk of suffering SARS-COV-2 infection by demographic characteristics and pre-existing medical conditions among middle-aged and older adults in Tarragona, Spain: results from the COVID19 TARRACO Cohort Study, March-June 2020”

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
EM. Satué-Gracia ◽  
A. Vila-Córcoles ◽  
C. de Diego-Cabanes ◽  
A. Vila-Rovira ◽  
C. Torrente-Fraga ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Nursing Home ◽  
Influenza Vaccination ◽  
Angiotensin Receptor Blockers ◽  
Medical Conditions ◽  
Middle Aged ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Receptor Blockers ◽  
Reduced Risk

SUMMARYObjectiveTo analyse susceptibility/risk of suffering COVID19 among adults with distinct underlying medical conditions.MethodsCohort study (population-based) including 79,083 people ≥50 years-old in Tarragona (Southern Catalonia, Spain). At study start (01/03/2020) baseline cohort characteristics (demographic, previous comorbidities, chronic medications and vaccinations’ history) were recorded. Primary outcome was laboratory-confirmed COVID19 incurred in cohort members throughout 01/03/2020-30/06/2020. Risk of suffering COVID19 was evaluated by Cox regression, estimating multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) adjusted for age/sex and previous comorbidities.ResultsAcross study period, 536 laboratory-confirmed COVID19 cases were observed (mean incidence: 39.5 cases per 100,000 persons-week). In multivariable-analysis, age/years (HR: 1.01; 95% CI: 1.00-1.02; p=0.050), nursing-home (HR: 20.19; 95% CI: 15.98-25.51; p<0.001), neurological disease (HR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.03-1.77; p=0.029), taking diuretics (HR: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.10-1.75; p=0.006), antiplatelet (HR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.05-1.76; p=0.021) and benzodiazepines (HR: 1.24; 95% CI:1.00-1.53; p=0.047) significantly increased risk; while smoking (HR: 0.57; 95%CI: 0.41-0.80; p=0.001), angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (HR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.61-1.00; p=0.048), angiotensin II receptor blockers (HR: 0.70; 95%CI: 0.51-0.96; p=0.027) and statins (HR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.58-0.96; p=0.025) were associated with reduced risk. Among non-institutionalised persons, cancer, renal and cardiac disease appeared also related to increased risk, whereas influenza vaccination was associated with reduced risk.ConclusionIn a setting with relatively low incidence of COVID19 across the first wave of pandemic period, age, nursing-home residence and multiple comorbidities appear predisposing for COVID19 among middle-aged/older adults. Conversely, statins, angiotensin-receptor blockers/inhibitors and influenza vaccination were related with decreased risk.

scholarly journals Frailty and Mortality in a Community-Dwelling Relatively Healthy Older Population

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 573-573
Author(s):  
A R M Saifuddin Ekram ◽  
Joanne Ryan ◽  
Sara Espinoza ◽  
Michael Ernst ◽  
Anne Murray ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Multinomial Logistic Regression ◽  
Frailty Index ◽  
Community Dwelling ◽  
Deficit Accumulation ◽  
Healthy Older Adults ◽  
Frailty Status ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Related Mortality

Abstract This study examined factors associated with frailty and studied the association between frailty status and mortality in healthy community-dwelling older persons. Participants included 19,114 individuals from the “ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly” (ASPREE) trial. Frailty was defined using modified Fried phenotype comprising exhaustion, body mass index, grip strength, gait speed and physical activity. A deficit accumulation frailty index (FI) using 66 items was also developed. Correlates of frailty were examined using multinomial logistic regression. The association between frailty status at baseline and mortality was analyzed using Cox regression. At baseline, 39.0% (95% CI: 38.3, 39.7) of participants were prefrail, and 2.2% (95% CI: 2.0, 2.4) were frail according to Fried phenotype, while 40.6% (95% CI: 40.0, 41.3) of participants were pre-frail and 8.1% (95% CI: 7.7, 8.5) were frail according to FI. Older age, female sex, lower education, African-American and Hispanic ethno-racial status, smoking, alcohol use, comorbidities, and polypharmacy were associated with frailty status. Pre-frailty increased risk of all-cause mortality significantly (Fried HR: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.28, 1.71; FI HR: 1.54; 95% CI: 1.31, 1.81); and the risk was even higher for frailty (Fried HR: 2.24; 95% CI: 1.67, 3.00; FI HR: 2.34; 95% CI: 1.83, 2.99) after adjustment for covariates. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) and non-CVD-related mortality showed similar trends. These results highlight a considerable burden of pre-frailty among a large group of community-dwelling, initially healthy older adults. Both Fried phenotype and deficit accumulation FI similarly predicted all-cause, CVD and non-CVD-related mortality in relatively healthy older adults.

scholarly journals BMI and all-cause mortality among middle-aged and older adults in Taiwan: a population-based cohort study

2014 ◽  
Vol 18 (10) ◽  
pp. 1839-1846 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei-Sheng Chung ◽  
Feng-Ming Ho ◽  
Nan-Cheng Cheng ◽  
Meng-Chih Lee ◽  
Chih-Jung Yeh
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Normal Weight ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Adjusted Hazard Ratio ◽  
Middle Aged ◽  
Obese People ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
All Cause Mortality

AbstractObjectiveThe present study investigates the relationship between BMI and all-cause mortality among middle-aged and older adults with or without pre-existing diseases.DesignA population-based cohort study.SettingThe Taiwan Longitudinal Study on Aging is a nationwide prospective cohort study comprising a representative random sample of middle-aged and older adults. The study period was 1996–2007.SubjectsWe followed 4145 middle-aged and older adults, totalling 42 353 person-years.ResultsOverweight and mildly obese participants showed a 16 % and 30 % decrease in the risk of death, respectively, compared with those of normal weight after adjusting for potential covariates (e.g. demographic characteristics, health behaviour, co-morbidities and physical function). Underweight adults showed a 1·36-fold increased adjusted hazard ratio of death compared with normal-weight adults. Adults with a BMI of 27·0–28·0 kg/m2 showed a significantly lower adjusted hazard ratio of all-cause mortality rate compared with adults who had normal BMI values when they had coexisting hypertension or diabetes (adjusted hazard ratio=0·50; 95 % CI 0·30, 0·81 for hypertension and adjusted hazard ratio=0·41; 95 % CI 0·18, 0·89 for diabetes).ConclusionsThe study demonstrates that underweight people have a higher risk of death, and overweight and mildly obese people have a lower risk of death, compared with people of normal weight among middle-aged and older adults. An optimal BMI may be based on the individual, who exhibits pre-existing diseases or not.

scholarly journals Incident opioid drug use and adverse respiratory outcomes among older adults with COPD

2016 ◽  
Vol 48 (3) ◽  
pp. 683-693 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas T. Vozoris ◽  
Xuesong Wang ◽  
Hadas D. Fischer ◽  
Chaim M. Bell ◽  
Denis E. O'Donnell ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Emergency Room ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Chronic Obstructive ◽  
Emergency Room Visits ◽  
Opioid Use ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Respiratory Outcomes ◽  
Related Mortality

We evaluated risk of adverse respiratory outcomes associated with incident opioid use among older adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases (COPD).This was a retrospective population-based cohort study using a validated algorithm applied to health administrative data to identify adults aged 66 years and older with COPD. Inverse probability of treatment weighting using the propensity score was used to estimate hazard ratios comparing adverse respiratory outcomes within 30 days of incident opioid use compared to controls.Incident opioid use was associated with significantly increased emergency room visits for COPD or pneumonia (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.00–1.29; p=0.04), COPD or pneumonia-related mortality (HR 2.16, 95% CI 1.61–2.88; p<0.0001) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.57–1.98; p<0.0001), but significantly decreased outpatient exacerbations (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.83–0.94; p=0.0002). Use of more potent opioid-only agents was associated with significantly increased outpatient exacerbations, emergency room visits and hospitalisations for COPD or pneumonia, and COPD or pneumonia-related and all-cause mortality.Incident opioid use, and in particular use of the generally more potent opioid-only agents, was associated with increased risk for adverse respiratory outcomes, including respiratory-related mortality, among older adults with COPD. Potential adverse respiratory outcomes should be considered when prescribing new opioids in this population.

scholarly journals Influence of prior comorbidities and chronic medications use on the risk of COVID-19 in adults: a population-based cohort study in Tarragona, Spain

BMJ Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. e041577 ◽  
Author(s):  
Angel Vila-Córcoles ◽  
Olga Ochoa-Gondar ◽  
Eva M. Satué-Gracia ◽  
Cristina Torrente-Fraga ◽  
Frederic Gomez-Bertomeu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Nursing Home ◽  
Influenza Vaccination ◽  
Ace Inhibitors ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Community Dwelling ◽  
Study Cohort ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Epidemic Period ◽  
Chronic Medications

ObjectiveTo investigate possible relationships between pre-existing medical conditions (including common comorbidities and chronic medications) and risk for suffering COVID-19 disease in middle-aged and older adults.DesignPopulation-based retrospective cohort study.SettingTwelve primary care centres (PCCs) in Tarragona (Spain).Participants79 083 people (77 676 community-dwelling and 1407 nursing-home residents), who were all individuals aged >50 years affiliated to the 12 participating PCCs.OutcomesBaseline cohort characteristics (age, sex, vaccinations, comorbidities and chronic medications) were established at study start (1st. March 2020) and primary outcome was time to COVID-19 confirmed by PCR among cohort members throughout the epidemic period (from 1st. March 2020 to 23rd. May 2020). Risk for suffering COVID-19 was evaluated by Cox regression, estimating multivariable HRs adjusted for age, sex, comorbidities and medications use.ResultsDuring the study period, 2324 cohort members were PCR-tested, with 1944 negative and 380 positive results, which means an incidence of 480.5 PCR-confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100 000 persons-period. Assessing the total study cohort, only age (HR 1.02; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.03; p=0.002), nursing-home residence (HR 21.83; 95% CI 16.66 to 28.61; p<0.001) and receiving diuretics (HR 1.35; 95% CI 1.04 to 1.76; p=0.026) appeared independently associated with increased risk. Smoking (HR 0.62; 95% CI 0.41 to 0.93; p=0.022), ACE inhibitors (HR 0.68; 95% CI 0.47 to 0.99; p=0.046) and antihistamine (HR 0.47; 95% CI 0.22 to 1.01; p=0.052) were associated with a lower risk. Among community-dwelling individuals, cancer (HR 1.52; 95% CI 1.03 to 2.24; p=0.035), chronic respiratory disease (HR 1.82; 95% CI 1.08 to 3.07; p=0.025) and cardiac disease (HR 1.53; 95% CI 1.06 to 2.19; p=0.021) emerged to be also associated with an increased risk. Receiving ACE inhibitors (HR 0.66; 95% CI 0.44 to 0.99; p=0.046) and influenza vaccination (HR 0.63; 95% CI 0.44 to 0.91; p=0.012) was associated with decreased risk.ConclusionAge, nursing-home residence and multiple comorbidities appear predisposing for COVID-19. Conversely, receiving ACE inhibitors, antihistamine and influenza vaccination could be protective, which should be closely investigated in further studies specifically focused on these concerns.

scholarly journals Increased Risk of Nursing Home Admission Among Middle Aged and Older Adults With Schizophrenia

2009 ◽  
Vol 17 (8) ◽  
pp. 697-705 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alice O. Andrews ◽  
Stephen J. Bartels ◽  
Haiyi Xie ◽  
William J. Peacock
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Nursing Home ◽  
Nursing Home Admission ◽  
Middle Aged ◽  
Increased Risk

Body mass index and risk of all-cause mortality in normotensive and hypertensive adults: The Rural Chinese Cohort Study

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-25
Author(s):  
Qionggui Zhou ◽  
Xuejiao Liu ◽  
Yang Zhao ◽  
Pei Qin ◽  
Yongcheng Ren ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Normal Weight ◽  
Sensitivity Analyses ◽  
Hypertension Status ◽  
Moderation Effect ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Chinese Cohort ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Objective: The impact of baseline hypertension status on the BMI–mortality association is still unclear. We aimed to examine the moderation effect of hypertension on the BMI–mortality association using a rural Chinese cohort. Design: In this cohort study, we investigated the incident of mortality according to different BMI categories by hypertension status. Setting: Longitudinal population-based cohort Participants: 17,262 adults ≥18 years were recruited from July to August of 2013 and July to August of 2014 from a rural area in China. Results: During a median 6-year follow-up, we recorded 1109 deaths (610 with and 499 without hypertension). In adjusted models, as compared with BMI 22-24 kg/m2, with BMI ≤18, 18-20, 20-22, 24-26, 26-28, 28-30 and >30 kg/m2, the HRs (95% CI) for mortality in normotensive participants were 1.92 (1.23-3.00), 1.44 (1.01-2.05), 1.14 (0.82-1.58), 0.96 (0.70-1.31), 0.96 (0.65-1.43), 1.32 (0.81-2.14), and 1.32 (0.74-2.35) respectively, and in hypertensive participants were 1.85 (1.08-3.17), 1.67 (1.17-2.39), 1.29 (0.95-1.75), 1.20 (0.91-1.58), 1.10 (0.83-1.46), 1.10 (0.80-1.52), and 0.61 (0.40-0.94) respectively. The risk of mortality was lower in individuals with hypertension with overweight or obesity versus normal weight, especially in older hypertensives (≥60 years old). Sensitivity analyses gave consistent results for both normotensive and hypertensive participants. Conclusions: Low BMI was significantly associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality regardless of hypertension status in rural Chinese adults, but high BMI decreased the mortality risk among individuals with hypertension, especially in older hypertensives.

Sex differences in transaortic flow rate and association with all-cause mortality in patients with severe aortic stenosis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sahrai Saeed ◽  
Anastasia Vamvakidou ◽  
Spyridon Zidros ◽  
George Papasozomenos ◽  
Vegard Lysne ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sex Differences ◽  
Aortic Stenosis ◽  
Flow Rate ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Left Ventricular Ejection ◽  
Ventricular Ejection Fraction ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality

Abstract Aims It is not known whether transaortic flow rate (FR) in aortic stenosis (AS) differs between men and women, and whether the commonly used cut-off of 200 mL/s is prognostic in females. We aimed to explore sex differences in the determinants of FR, and determine the best sex-specific cut-offs for prediction of all-cause mortality. Methods and results Between 2010 and 2017, a total of 1564 symptomatic patients (mean age 76 ± 13 years, 51% men) with severe AS were prospectively included. Mean follow-up was 35 ± 22 months. The prevalence of cardiovascular disease was significantly higher in men than women (63% vs. 42%, P &lt; 0.001). Men had higher left ventricular mass and lower left ventricular ejection fraction compared to women (both P &lt; 0.001). Men were more likely to undergo an aortic valve intervention (AVI) (54% vs. 45%, P = 0.001), while the death rates were similar (42.0% in men and 40.6% in women, P = 0.580). A total of 779 (49.8%) patients underwent an AVI in which 145 (18.6%) died. In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, each 10 mL/s decrease in FR was associated with a 7% increase in hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality (HR 1.07; 95% CI 1.03–1.11, P &lt; 0.001). The best cut-off value of FR for prediction of all-cause mortality was 179 mL/s in women and 209 mL/s in men. Conclusion Transaortic FR was lower in women than men. In the group undergoing AVI, lower FR was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality, and the optimal cut-off for prediction of all-cause mortality was lower in women than men.

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