Risk factors, early presentations, and clinical markers of Parkinson's disease in Primary Care in a diverse UK population
Importance: Predictors of future Parkinson′s disease (PD) have been suggested through population-based studies, but these studies over–represent white, affluent groups and may not be generalisable. Objective: To investigate the association between risk factors and pre–diagnostic presentations of PD in a uniquely diverse UK population, with universal access to health care. Design, Setting, and Participants: A case–control study was conducted in East London, using primary care health records. Main outcomes and Measures: Logistic regression was used to determine associations between risk factors and pre–diagnostic presentations of PD with final diagnosis. Three periods (recorded <2 years, 2–5 years, and 5–10 years prior to diagnosis) were analysed. Results: Primary care records were available for 1,055 patients with PD and 1,009,523 controls. The strongest associations were found for tremor (OR, 181.69; 95% CI, 151.91–217.31) and ′memory complaints′ (OR, 9.84; 95% CI, 7.39–13.11), <2 years before PD diagnosis. However, associations for both complaints persisted up to 10 years prior to PD diagnosis. Shoulder pain was more common in those who developed PD, emerging 5 to 10 years prior to diagnosis (OR, 2.54; 95% CI, 1.77–3.65), and may be a surrogate marker for rigidity. Epilepsy showed a strongest association with subsequent PD (OR, 5.14; 95% CI, 1.26–21.0), and associations were also found for hypertension (OR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.34–2.17) and type 2 diabetes (OR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.31–1.87) 5 to 10 years before diagnosis. We replicated several known associations with early non motor features including hypotension, constipation, and depression. A weak but novel association was observed with prodromal hearing loss and subsequent PD, which appeared up to 10 years prior to diagnosis. No associations with future PD diagnosis were found for ethnicity or deprivation index. Conclusions and relevance: This study provides further evidence that a range of comorbidities and pre-diagnostic presentations are encountered in primary care prior to PD diagnosis, but for the first time in such a diverse and deprived population. Convincing temporal associations were observed for epilepsy and hearing loss with subsequent PD. The predominance of ′memory symptoms′ hints at an excess of cognitive dysfunction in early PD in this population or difficulty in correctly ascertaining symptoms in traditionally under–represented groups.