Overconfidence heuristic-driven bias in investment decision-making and performance: mediating effects of risk perception and moderating effects of financial literacy

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maqsood Ahmad ◽  
Syed Zulfiqar Ali Shah
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Risk Perception ◽  
Financial Literacy ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Individual Investors ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Investment Decision Making ◽  
And Performance

PurposeThis paper aims to show how overconfidence influences the decisions and performance of individual investors trading on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX), with the mediating role of risk perception and moderating role of financial literacy.Design/methodology/approachThe deductive approach was used, as the research is based on the theoretical framework of behavioural finance. A questionnaire and cross-sectional design were employed for data collection from the sample of 183 individual investors trading on the PSX. Hypotheses were tested through correlation and regression analysis. The Baron and Kenny method was used to test the mediation effect of risk perception and the moderation effect of financial literacy. The results of mediation and moderation were also authenticated through the PROCESS and structural equation modelling (SEM) technique.FindingsThe results suggest that risk perception fully mediates the relationships between the overconfidence heuristic on the one hand, and investment decisions and performance on the other. At the same time, financial literacy appears to moderate these relationships. The results suggest that overconfidence can impair the quality of investment decisions and performance, while financial literacy and risk perception can improve their quality.Practical implicationsThe paper encourages investors to base decisions on their financial capability and experience levels and to avoid relying on heuristics or their sentiments when making investments. It provides awareness and understanding of heuristic biases in investment management, which could be very useful for decision makers and professionals in financial institutions, such as portfolio managers and traders in commercial banks, investment banks and mutual funds. This paper helps investors to select better investment tools and avoid repeating the expensive errors that occur due to heuristic biases. They can improve their performance by recognizing their biases and errors of judgment, to which we are all prone, resulting in better investment decisions and a more efficient market. The paper also highlights the importance on relying on professional knowledge, giving it greater weight than feelings and biases.Originality/valueThe current study is the first to focus on links between overconfidence, financial literacy, risk perception and individual investors' decisions and performance. This article enhanced the understanding of the role that heuristic-driven bias plays in the investment management, and more importantly, it went some way towards enhancing understanding of behavioural aspects and their influence on the investment decision-making and performance in an emerging market. It also adds to the literature in the area of behavioural finance specifically the role of heuristics in investment strategies; this field is in its initial stage, even in developed countries, while, in developing countries, little work has been done.

scholarly journals EFFECT OF EMOTIONAL INTELLIGENCE AND FINANCIAL LITERACY ON INVESTMENT DECISION MAKING WITH A MEDIATING ROLE OF RISK PERCEPTION

2014 ◽  
Vol 02 (02) ◽  
pp. 12-20
Author(s):  
Sahar Parvez ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Emotional Intelligence ◽  
Risk Perception ◽  
Financial Literacy ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Mediating Role ◽  
Investment Decision Making ◽  
The Impact

This research paper examines the impact of emotional intelligence and financial literacy on investment decision with a mediating role of risk perception. The data is collected by using questionnaire, from a sample of 152 investors, from stock exchange and banks. The results support that to make adequate investment decisions, investors should be financially literate and have control on their emotions. However, risk perception of investors does not mediate this relationship.

Past behaviour, financial literacy and investment decision-making process of individual investors

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 1243-1263 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rajdeep Kumar Raut
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Financial Literacy ◽  
Structural Equation ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Individual Investors ◽  
Successful Implementation ◽  
Snowball Sampling ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Investment Decision Making ◽  
External Variables

PurposeThis study aims to explore the importance of past behaviour and financial literacy in the investment decision-making of individual investors and examines the validity of the theory of planned behaviour in this context.Design/methodology/approachThe study used a self-administered questionnaire and adopted the convenience sampling technique followed by a snowball sampling method for the survey to collect data from the individual investors covering the four distinct states of India. Collected data were analysed on AMOS 20.0 using two-step structural equation modelling (SEM).FindingsResults indicated a significant effect of all the predictive variables. Past behaviour showed no significant direct impact on investor's intention; however, it had an indirect significant relationship while mediated by the attitude of investors. The multiple squared correlation (R2) showed that the final model could explain 36% of the variance in investors' intention towards stock investment which signified a successful implementation of the TPB model along with external variables added to it. Moreover, Indian investors were found to be highly influenced, primarily, by social pressure which could be curbed through financial literacy.Practical implicationsA significant importance of subjective norms was found on stock market participation which could be a strategic theme for the government and the policymakers to educate investors through their opinion leaders for increasing their participation. Moreover, by doing so investors could control their behaviour and take rational decisions.Originality/valueThis study extended the understandings of investor's decision-making behaviour using TPB by incorporating the two external variables viz., Financial literacy and past behaviour. The addition of past behaviour is perhaps the novelty of this article since such examination has not been conducted empirically especially in the case of developing countries like India.

Impact of Financial Literacy and Behavioural Biases on Investment Decision-making

2021 ◽  
pp. 231971452110354
Author(s):  
Suresh G.
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Financial Literacy ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Positive Association ◽  
Framing Effect ◽  
Individual Investors ◽  
Significant Positive Association ◽  
Investment Decision Making ◽  
Cognitive Illusions

Investors’ financial literacy entails making sound investment decisions and the behavioural biases or irrational behaviour in decision-making that are collectively formed by heuristic bias, framing effect, cognitive illusions and herd mentality factors. The present study examines the combined impact of financial literacy and behavioural biases on investment decisions. A questionnaire was developed using Likert scaling technique to elicit study variables and collected data was analysed using SEM technique. The results showed that heuristic bias had a significant positive association with the creation of behavioural bias in decision-making. However, the framing effect, cognitive illusions and herd mentality have negative associations in the formation of behavioural biases. Further, investors often practice and follow heuristic biases rather than other irrational techniques for making investment decisions. Therefore, the financial literacy of individual investors has a significant impact on affecting stock market investment decisions.

scholarly journals Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Pengambilan Keputusan Investasi Saham

2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 251
Author(s):  
Nyoman Suprasta, Nuryasman MN
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Locus Of Control ◽  
Financial Literacy ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Individual Investors ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Investment Decision Making

: Investment decision making is a complex process that includes analysis of several factors and follows various steps. The purpose of this study is to identify factors that influence investment decision making among potential individual investors in Indonesia. Four behavioral factors can influence investment decision making, namely Financial literacy, financial experience, locus of control and experience regret A set of questionnaires were distributed to 420 individual stock investors to measure their investment decisions. The results of this study indicate that financial literacy, locus of control, and financial experience have a positive relationship with their investment decisions, while the Regret experience has a negative relationship with their investment decisions. This study provides information that can help guide future research and help formulate policy-makers as well as educate on the factors that can influence investors' decisions.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Financial Literacy, Representativeness Bias, Dan Bias Optimisme Terhadap Pengambilan Keputusan Investasi

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 2976-2991
Author(s):  
Silvia Putri ◽  
Halmawati Halmawati
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Financial Literacy ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
State University ◽  
Investment Decision Making

This study aims to analyze 1) whether there is an influence of financial literacy on investment decision maknig. 2) Obtain empirical evidence whether there is an Representativeness bias making on investment decisions. 3) Does Bias optimisme affect investment decision making. In this study using Causality Design. Population and sampek are 104 respondents registered in the Indonesia Stock Exchange Investment Gallery (GIBEI) Faculty of Economics, State University of Padang. The method of analysis is multiple linear regression. The results of the study found 1) Financial literacy influences investment decisions on investment decision making.2) Optimum bias affects investment decisions on investment decision making. 3) Representativness influences investment decisions on investment decision making. 4) Together financial literacy variables, the optimum bias and representativness together influence the investment decision on investment decision making

scholarly journals Impact of Behavioral Biases on Investment Decision Making with Moderating Role of Financial Literacy

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 34-41
Author(s):  
Rizwan Khalid ◽  
◽  
Muhammad Javed ◽  
Khurram Shahzad ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Financial Literacy ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Structure Questionnaire ◽  
Investment Decision Making ◽  
Overconfidence Bias ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Moderating Role

The objective of this study is to examine the Impact of Overconfidence bias and Herding bias on Investment Decision Making with Moderating Role of Financial Literacy. The population was Investor, Employee and Graduate Student. A sample of 200 was selected using convenience technique. Data were collected through structure questionnaire adopted from different papers. Correlation and Regression analysis were performed to examine the result. The Results show that overconfidence bias and herding bias have a positive impact on investment decision making and Financial Literacy has positive impact on investment decision making. Based on the results and discussions of the study findings as well as the limitations, theoretical and practical implications of the study have been provided.

scholarly journals ASSESSMENT OF THE ROLE OF ACCOUNTING INFORMATION ON EFFECTIVE INVESTMENT DECISION - THE CASE OF BANQUE POPULAIRE DU RWANDA ATLASMARA

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
James Hodari
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Data Collection ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Accounting Information ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Target Population ◽  
Staff Members ◽  
Investment Decision Making ◽  
Secondary Methods

The purpose of this study is to assess the role of accounting information on effective investment decisions at Banque Populaire du Rwanda Atlasmara. The target population was 50 staff members. The study used a primary method that involved questionnaires. Secondary methods of data collection involved a desk review of relevant materials. Data collection was then analyzed by using SPSS software. The study indicated a significant correlation between accounting information and investment decisions and all rely on information for an investment decision. It was seen from the analysis of responses, 83% argued always use accounting information for investment. It was revealed that the quality of accounting information in terms of its accuracy, adequacy, reliability, and mode of disclosure is a pertinent element of efficiency of investment decision making. The study recommends that commercial banks should use accounting always to increase the accuracy of their investment decision-making. The study recommends that Banque Populaire du Rwanda should consult the accounting information before making investment decisions and all interested parties to accounting information should use necessary financial ratios analysis for an investment decision. The study concludes that there is a significant correlation between accounting information and investment decision. JEL: M10; M41; R42 <p> </p><p><strong> Article visualizations:</strong></p><p><img src="/-counters-/edu_01/0845/a.php" alt="Hit counter" /></p>

Role of personal values in investment decisions

2016 ◽  
Vol 39 (8) ◽  
pp. 940-964 ◽  
Author(s):  
Otuo Serebour Agyemang ◽  
Abraham Ansong
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Corporate Governance ◽  
Quantitative Methods ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Personal Values ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Investment Decision Making ◽  
Recent Emergence ◽  
Decision Making Processes

Purpose This paper aims to examine the role personal values play in investment decision-making processes among Ghanaian shareholders. Design/methodology/approach In consequence of the recent emergence of the issue of corporate governance practices in Ghana, and the kind of the research objective of this paper, a mix of qualitative and quantitative methods was used. These methods were used in two stages. The first stage was qualitative, which purposively selected 20 individual shareholders to solicit their perspectives on how personal values influence investment decisions. Their responses were used to construct the content of this enquiry. The second stage, which was quantitative, used stratified sampling technique to select 503 individual shareholders to confirm the responses obtained from stage one of the enquiry. Findings The findings of the study reveal that individual shareholders in Ghana hold value priorities and that honesty, a comfortable life and family security play a significant role in their lives and their investment decision-making processes, and the kind of companies they choose to invest in. Also, to Ghanaian individual shareholders, there is a clear distinction between a comfortable life and a prosperous life in the sense that they are not incentivized more by the latter but by the former in their investment decisions. Practical implications The results can inform corporate directors and managers what values are considered in investment decisions, and that it is not purely financial. With these results, they can be informed that while some financial values are important, it is just to live a comfortable life and not a prosperous life. This may influence these directors and managers to have a more long-run focus and to have more of a corporate social responsibility (CSR) focus by putting implementable measures in place to tackle corporate responsibility issues and to take up a responsibility for their CSR feat. Also, the results can be used for public policy in that if regulators find out that more CSR-type information is important to investors, they might require additional CSR-type disclosures in financial statements. Originality/value This paper contributes to the knowledge on the stakeholder perspective of corporate governance that individual shareholders’ personal values have influence on their investment decisions and the choice of companies they invest in.

Increasing the flow of Guinness: the role of strategic investment decision-making in organizations

2017 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 19-21
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Strategic Investment ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Strategic Direction ◽  
Investment Decision Making ◽  
Pertinent Information ◽  
Practical Implications

Purpose This paper aims to review the latest management developments across the globe and pinpoint practical implications from cutting-edge research and case studies. Design/methodology/approach This briefing is prepared by an independent writer who adds their own impartial comments and places the articles in context. Findings The decision by Guinness in 1965 to expand into Ghana was based on a robust and experienced strategic investment decision-making process (SIDM). It required the knowledge of past failures and successes to implement those lessons onto a new project. As such, the SIDM process can be seen to be one of the most important in terms of an organizations ability to expand and take advantage of situations. What Alkaraan (2016) demonstrates is the factors that govern the SIDM process, why they are important and how they function within an organization. In doing so, organizations that are struggling to succeed may be able to highlight areas that have previously been ignored, to implement a new strategic direction. Practical implications The paper provides strategic insights and practical thinking that have influenced some of the world’s leading organizations. Originality/value The briefing saves busy executives and researchers hours of reading time by selecting only the very best, most pertinent information and presenting it in a condensed and easy-to-digest format.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document