African indebtedness is critical but still reversible

Subject African debt crisis? Significance Two decades after large-scale debt cancellation began in Sub-Saharan Africa, around one-third of the region’s countries have returned to, or are at imminent risk of, debt distress, according to the IMF. This has increased concerns of a repeat of a 1980s-style debt crisis, which ushered in the region’s fabled ‘lost decade’. Impacts The Republic of the Congo's prospects of restructuring its commercial debts have increased after its recent bailout agreement with the IMF. A speedy resolution to Mozambique’s debt crisis is unlikely after a recent domestic court ruling against its Eurobond-related debt. The recent fall in external borrowing reflects tightened market conditions more than reduced debt appetite, and may reverse in better times.

Subject EU-North Africa migration deals. Significance Large-scale migration movements from Sub-Saharan Africa, Turkey, and the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region have challenged European governments in recent years, including stoking support for far-right/populist parties such as the French Front National, the Alternative for Germany, and the Austrian and Dutch freedom parties. Impacts EU member states’ ability to control the EU’s external borders is central to seeing off populist parties and restoring support for the EU. If Europeans believe their governments cannot control immigration, support for the extreme right will again increase. Were the far-right to come to power on the continent, the EU -- and its single market -- could be imperilled. However, high migration is unlikely to reorder EU politics to the benefit of the extreme right in the medium term.


2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacob Agyemang ◽  
Kelum Jayasinghe ◽  
Pawan Adhikari ◽  
Abongeh Tunyi ◽  
Simon Carmel

PurposeThis paper examines how a “quasi-formal” organisation in a developing country engages in informal means of organising and decision-making through the use of calculative measures.Design/methodology/approachThe paper presents a case study of a large-scale indigenous manufacturing company in Ghana. Data for the study were collected through the use of semi-structured interviews conducted both onsite and off-site, supplemented by informal conversations and documentary analysis. Weber's notions of rationalities and traditionalism informed the analysis.FindingsThe paper advances knowledge about the practical day-to-day organisation of resources and the associated substantive rational calculative measures used for decision-making in quasi-formal organisations operating in a traditional setting. Instead of formal rational organisational mechanisms such as hierarchical organisational structures, production planning, labour controls and budgetary practices, the organisational mechanisms are found to be shaped by institutional and structural conditions which result from historical, sociocultural and traditional practices of Ghanaian society. These contextual substantive rational calculative measures consist of the native lineage system of inheritance, chieftaincy, trust and the power concealed within historically established sociocultural practices.Originality/valueThis paper is one of a few studies providing evidence of how local and traditional social practices contribute to shaping organising and decision-making activities in indigenous “quasi-formal” organisations. The paper extends our understanding of the nexus between “technical rational” calculative measures and the traditional culture and social practices prevailing in sub-Saharan Africa in general, and Ghana in particular.


Subject Prospects for Africa's economies in 2016 Significance Since the oil price dropped in mid-2014, the IMF has repeatedly downsized growth expectations for sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), with this year now expected to be the region's slowest-growing in more than a decade. Next year, absent an improvement in external conditions, African policymakers will face tough choices on currencies and spending priorities to limit the deepening domestic repercussions.


Subject Outlook for deforestation in sub-Saharan Africa. Significance The UN Food and Agriculture Organisation's World Forestry Congress last week said that the world has lost 129 million hectares (ha) of forested area since 1990, mainly in tropical Africa and South America. Three of the ten states with the fastest declines since 2010 are in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), due to demand for wood-fuel and timber for export. Much of the timber is traded illicitly, depriving states of revenue. Impacts Large-scale deforestation could undermine long-term climate change mitigation; forests are critical for absorbing carbon dioxide. The depletion of reserves of rare trees such as Madagascan rosewood will raise its value over time, boosting demand. Gabon's afforestation push -- it has gained 200,000 ha since 2010 due to state programmes -- will support eco-tourism.


Subject Prospects for African economies in 2017. Significance The IMF anticipates a modest economic recovery in sub-Saharan Africa for 2017, after 2016 produced the lowest growth on the continent in more than two decades. GDP in 2017 is expected to rise by a modest average of 2.9%, just sufficient to stabilise average per capita incomes. Prospects vary significantly across the continent; however, all countries still need to complete politically difficult fiscal adjustments initiated in 2016 to restore macroeconomic stability and deepen resilience.


Significance Home solar panels are providing electricity to households in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) that otherwise may not link to grids in the near-to-medium term. Just as households managed to bypass formal financial penetration through the introduction of mobile money and landline telephones by the proliferation of mobile phones, home solar systems are poised to offer affordable electricity as costs drop. Impacts Off-grid solar power will improve the health of households that move away from burning fuels for energy. Growth in electricity could improve economic growth while also providing benefits not captured by GDP. While home solar panels could reduce carbon emissions, large-scale power projects will play a bigger role in overall emissions.


Subject Election monitoring in Africa Significance While electoral commissions are adopting biometric software and electronic vote transmission systems, international monitors continue to rely on manual processes. At the same time, election observation missions often fail to declare that clearly manipulated processes are "unfree and unfair". As a result, they have only a limited impact on the activities of ruling parties and electoral commissions in many countries. Impacts Allegations of election rigging are likely to mar upcoming polls in Angola, Chad and Kenya. International involvement in elections are unlikely to reverse the recent decline in the quality of democracy in sub-Saharan Africa. Investments in large-scale domestic monitoring, and the strengthening of party agents, will be necessary to reduce electoral manipulation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (10-3) ◽  
pp. 238-246
Author(s):  
Olga Dzhenchakova

The article considers the impact of the colonial past of some countries in sub-Saharan Africa and its effect on their development during the post-colonial period. The negative consequences of the geopolitical legacy of colonialism are shown on the example of three countries: Nigeria, the Democratic Republic of the Congo and the Republic of Angola, expressed in the emergence of conflicts in these countries based on ethno-cultural, religious and socio-economic contradictions. At the same time, the focus is made on the economic factor and the consequences of the consumer policy of the former metropolises pursuing their mercantile interests were mixed.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 1158
Author(s):  
Cecilia M. Onyango ◽  
Justine M. Nyaga ◽  
Johanna Wetterlind ◽  
Mats Söderström ◽  
Kristin Piikki

Opportunities exist for adoption of precision agriculture technologies in all parts of the world. The form of precision agriculture may vary from region to region depending on technologies available, knowledge levels and mindsets. The current review examined research articles in the English language on precision agriculture practices for increased productivity among smallholder farmers in Sub-Saharan Africa. A total of 7715 articles were retrieved and after screening 128 were reviewed. The results indicate that a number of precision agriculture technologies have been tested under SSA conditions and show promising results. The most promising precision agriculture technologies identified were the use of soil and plant sensors for nutrient and water management, as well as use of satellite imagery, GIS and crop-soil simulation models for site-specific management. These technologies have been shown to be crucial in attainment of appropriate management strategies in terms of efficiency and effectiveness of resource use in SSA. These technologies are important in supporting sustainable agricultural development. Most of these technologies are, however, at the experimental stage, with only South Africa having applied them mainly in large-scale commercial farms. It is concluded that increased precision in input and management practices among SSA smallholder farmers can significantly improve productivity even without extra use of inputs.


2016 ◽  
Vol 40 (6) ◽  
pp. 500-525 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ben Kelcey ◽  
Zuchao Shen ◽  
Jessaca Spybrook

Objective: Over the past two decades, the lack of reliable empirical evidence concerning the effectiveness of educational interventions has motivated a new wave of research in education in sub-Saharan Africa (and across most of the world) that focuses on impact evaluation through rigorous research designs such as experiments. Often these experiments draw on the random assignment of entire clusters, such as schools, to accommodate the multilevel structure of schooling and the theory of action underlying many school-based interventions. Planning effective and efficient school randomized studies, however, requires plausible values of the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) and the variance explained by covariates during the design stage. The purpose of this study was to improve the planning of two-level school-randomized studies in sub-Saharan Africa by providing empirical estimates of the ICC and the variance explained by covariates for education outcomes in 15 countries. Method: Our investigation drew on large-scale representative samples of sixth-grade students in 15 countries in sub-Saharan Africa and includes over 60,000 students across 2,500 schools. We examined two core education outcomes: standardized achievement in reading and mathematics. We estimated a series of two-level hierarchical linear models with students nested within schools to inform the design of two-level school-randomized trials. Results: The analyses suggested that outcomes were substantially clustered within schools but that the magnitude of the clustering varied considerably across countries. Similarly, the results indicated that covariance adjustment generally reduced clustering but that the prognostic value of such adjustment varied across countries.


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