Congo-Brazzaville oil discovery should aid industry

Significance With the government’s finances and governance under renewed scrutiny as a result of a recently agreed IMF bailout, two Congolese companies on August 10 announced a sizable first discovery in the Cuvette basin area. While initial reports may have exaggerated the find’s potential, the announcement highlights some of the challenges facing the country’s oil and gas sector. Impacts News of the find may boost exploration in northern Congo and its neighbours (Democratic Republic of the Congo, Central African Republic). The discovery's location in an environmentally sensitive area will likely pose reputational problems for potential development partners. The IMF deal should bring with it greater scrutiny of state finances, potentially improving governance and reassuring investors. Local political actors will struggle for influence amid tougher anti-corruption and reporting requirements for international oil companies.

2015 ◽  
Vol 41 (9) ◽  
pp. 974-994 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andre Mollick ◽  
Khoa H Nguyen

Purpose – The purpose of this is paper is to pay a closer look at the 2008-2009 financial crisis (and its aftermath) and analyzes stock returns of nine major US oil companies as well as the oil and gas sector under daily data from January 1992 to April 2012. Design/methodology/approach – The authors adopt the arbitrage pricing theory model to examine the relationship between stock returns and their influences including oil price return, yield spreads, and US dollar index return. The authors also provide a test for structural changes in each regression model of return series to capture for multiple breaks. To examine the asymmetric effect of oil price returns on stock returns, the authors separate oil price returns series into two series: positive changes in oil price and negative changes in oil price. Findings – The authors find stock returns of oil companies as well as the oil and gas sector are positively affected by oil prices and have stronger effects in the downward direction. Interestingly, The authors find the effects of oil price movements on stock returns increase over time. The authors examine the possibility that investors wishing to hedge against a weakening USD invest in US oil companies and find that more than half of these companies benefit from a weaker USD against the JPY, while all strongly benefit from a weaker USD against major currencies. Originality/value – The authors employ daily data for two-decade period including the last global financial crisis. Due to the long-term period covered in this study, sequential Bai-Perron tests are used to detect structural breaks of stock return series. In addition, the data-dependent procedures result in good specifications throughout with white-noise processes in almost all cases.


Significance However, years of delays, regulatory uncertainty and a lack of political will -- compounded more recently by depressed global oil prices and the global slowdown caused by COVID-19 -- have seen many projects stall. Impacts Marginal projects may suffer as oil companies assess their investment strategies amid depressed oil prices and a global economic slowdown. The complexity of doing business may prove a serious impediment to finalising long-term investments, especially under Magufuli. Sustained delays in developing extractives projects are likely to feature heavily in opposition election campaign talking points.


Significance As in 2020 and 2021, this projected growth will be driven by the ongoing expansion of the oil and gas sector, and related investment and state revenues. These rising revenues will support the government’s ambitious national development plans, which include both increased social and infrastructure spending. Impacts The government will prioritise enhancing the oil and gas investment framework. Investment into joint oil and gas infrastructure with Suriname will benefit the growing oil industry in both countries. The expansionary fiscal policy may lead to a rise in inflation, leading to further calls for wage increases. In the medium term, strong growth in the oil and gas sector could lead to increased climate change activism in the country.


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 362-378 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vikas Vikas ◽  
Rohit Bansal

Purpose Data envelopment analysis (DEA), a non-parametric technique is used to assess the efficiency of decision-making units which are producing identical set of outputs using identical set of inputs. The purpose of this paper is to find the technical efficiency (TE), pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency (SE) levels of Indian oil and gas sector companies and to provide benchmark targets to the inefficient companies in order to achieve efficiency level. Design/methodology/approach In the present study, a group of 22 oil and gas companies which are listed on the National Stock Exchange for which the data were available for the period 2013–2017 has been considered. DEA has been performed to compare the efficiency levels of all companies. To measure efficiency, three input variables, namely, combined materials consumed and manufacturing expenses, employee benefit expenses and capital investment and two output variables – operating revenues and profit after tax (PAT) have been considered. On the basis of performance for the financial year ending 2017, benchmark targets based on DEA–CCR (Charnes, Cooper and Rhodes) model have been provided to the inefficient companies that should be focused upon by them to attain the efficiency level. The performance of the companies for the past five years has been examined to check the fluctuations in the various efficiency scores of the companies considered in the study over the years. Findings From the results obtained, it is observed that 59 percent, i.e. 13 out of 22 companies are technically efficient. By considering DEA BCC (Banker, Charnes and Cooper) model, 16 companies are observed to be pure technically efficient. In terms of SE, there are 14 such companies. The inefficient units need to improve in terms of input and output variables and for this motive, specified targets are assigned to them. Some of these companies need to upgrade significantly and the managers must take the concern earnestly. The study has also thrown light on the performance of the companies over last five years which shows Oil India Ltd, Gujarat State Petronet Ltd, Petronet LNG Ltd, IGL Ltd, Mahanagar Gas, Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd and BPCL Ltd as consistently efficient companies. Research limitations/implications The present study has made an attempt to evaluate the efficiency of Indian oil and gas sector. The results of the study have significant inferences for the policy makers and managers of the companies operating in the sector. The results of the study provide benchmark target level to the companies of Oil and Gas sector which can help the managers of the relatively less efficient companies to focus on the ways to improve efficiency. The improvement in efficiency of a company would not only benefit the shareholders, but also the investors and other stakeholders of the company. Originality/value In the context of Indian economy, very limited number of studies have focused to measure the efficiency of oil and gas sector in the context of Indian economy. The present study aims to provide the latest insight to the efficiency of the companies especially operating in the Indian oil and gas sector. Further, as per our knowledge, this study is distinctive in terms of analyzing the efficiency of Indian oil and gas sector for a period of five years. The longitudinal study of the sector efficiency provides a bird eye view of the average efficiency level and changes in the efficiency levels of the companies over the years.


2021 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 312-323
Author(s):  
Elmira A. Chadaeva ◽  
Elvis Ojeda Kalluni

The article discusses several new laws in the oil and gas sector of Venezuela, which appeared at the beginning of the 21st century. It also presents the tax regimes in this area of the country and the types of tax and economic burdens that apply to these regimes; highlights the main problematic aspects of changes in tax legislation and the consequences on the activities of foreign companies and the development of the oil and gas sector of the country as a result of such changes. It is concluded that the increase in state revenues not solve the problem of attracting investments in the oil and gas sector of the country, and only scare off a large company in the future (Exxon Mobil and ConocoPhillips have left the Venezuelan market), resulting in a fall in production at the country, its government revenues, and then slowing down economic growth in the country. As an alternative approach to improving state regulation and the conduct of the oil business in the country, the options for improving this situation are presented: to increase the share of foreign companies in strategic partnerships; review the tax system for oil companies; allow some programs to be implemented directly by foreign companies; and propose new distribution and profitability schemes that will adapt to the current international hydrocarbon market.


Significance The oil sector's contribution to GDP fell last year, but this was due only to the market impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. Kazakhstan continues to depend heavily on oil exports for tax revenue and consequently for recurrent government spending and large public investments. Impacts Rising production at the Tengiz, Karachaganak and Kashagan fields will increase their share of total output from 63% in 2020 to 72% in 2025. The continued concentration of foreign investment in the oil and gas sector will thwart attempts at economic diversification. Slowing production at old deposits in western and southern Kazakhstan is fraught with risks of social instability and unrest.


Significance Soon after this unitisation deal, oil major Shell booked a drillship to work on the Gumusut-Kakap project, which it operates. It also finalised the purchase of a subsidiary of France’s Total which holds most of CA-1, a block in Brunei's waters where Jagus East is located. Impacts Brunei-Malaysia relations will grow stronger. Upstream and downstream investments will be a key driver of Brunei’s GDP growth over the next five years. Malaysia will step up efforts to attract new investors to its oil and gas sector.


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 975-1000
Author(s):  
Mukhtar A. Kassem ◽  
Muhamad Azry Khoiry ◽  
Noraini Hamzah

Purpose Project failure is the result of one or a combination of several causes of risk factors that are very important to identify for effective performance. This study aims to focus on studying the fundamental relationship between internal risk factors and the negative effect on oil and gas project success in Yemen using the partial least square structural equation modelling (PLS-SEM) method. Design/methodology/approach Data collection was carried out using a formal questionnaire survey of the oil field sector in Yemen by companies involved in mega-oil and gas construction projects. A hierarchical model for determining causative internal risk factors and their effects was developed and evaluated using SEM method by SmartPLS3 software technology. Findings The findings of analyzing model indicate that all categories have a significant effect on project success, while the most significant affected categories in the internal risk factors are project management factors, feasibility study-design and resources-material supply with a path coefficient value of 0.213, 0.197 and 0.186, respectively. Moreover, for the hypotheses test, the positive relationship means that all experimental hypotheses are accepted according to path coefficient value analysis. In addition, the internal risk factors research model shows the ranking of effects on project success starting with project stoppage (loading factor 0.841), cost overruns (loading factor 0.818), time overruns (loading factor 0.726) and project target failure with loading factor 0.539. Research limitations/implications The research was limited to the oil and gas construction projects in Yemen. Practical implications Interpreting the relationship between internal risk factors and their impact on the success of construction projects in the oil and gas sector will assist project team and oil companies in developing risk response strategies and developing appropriate plans to mitigate the effects of risks, which is presented in this paper. Originality/value The paper explains the relationship between cause and effect of internal risk factors in oil and gas projects in Yemen, and is expected to be a guideline for the oil companies and future academic research in the risk management area.


Subject Prospects for regulatory change in the oil and gas sector. Significance Following stiff political opposition in February from the Democrat Party (including party leader Abhisit Vejjajiva) and individuals associated with the People's Democratic Reform Committee, interim Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha's administration cancelled a planned exploration licensing round this year. Now Prayuth faces pressure from the same group to amend the 1971 Petroleum Act itself to switch the oil and gas upstream regime from revenue-sharing contracts (RSCs) to production sharing contracts (PSCs). Impacts Popular resistance to dams on the Mekong risks Thailand's longer-term energy strategy. The next government is likely to be better equipped in countering resistance to new exploration. Low gas prices across Asia and the decline in oil prices promise fiscal relief as Thai imports rise.


Subject Proposed reforms in the oil and gas sector. Significance In the face of strong resource nationalism, President Joko 'Jokowi' Widodo's government faces strong pressure to improve the balance between public control and private participation in the oil and gas sector. To that end, the government proposes to amend the 2001 oil and gas law. Its draft amendment proposes, most notably, that state enterprises should control all production operations, while private investors provide technology and capital. The government is also considering revisions to the upstream regime, which is currently based on production-sharing contracts (PSCs). These changes require parliamentary approval. Impacts Private firms, especially foreign ones, are likely to delay fresh investment in energy assets, given the oil and gas market glut. Indonesia's vast natural resource endowment will attract private interest, but regulatory uncertainty will be an abiding problem. Transparency in the extractive sector will continue to rise at the national level, but local level reforms will be slow.


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