Improvement of mortality prediction accuracy in critically ill patients through combination of SOFA and APACHE II score with markers of stress haematopoiesis

2020 ◽  
Vol 42 (6) ◽  
pp. 796-800
Author(s):  
Michaela Macichová ◽  
Monika Grochová ◽  
Oliver Rácz ◽  
Jozef Firment ◽  
Miriam Mitníková ◽  
...  
Author(s):  
Izabela Duda ◽  
Agnieszka Wiórek ◽  
Łukasz J. Krzych

Primary injuries to the brain are common causes of hospitalization of patients in intensive care units (ICU). The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II scoring system is widely used for prognostication among critically ill subjects. Biomarkers help to monitor the severity of neurological status. This study aimed to identify the best biomarker, along with APACHE II score, in mortality prediction among patients admitted to the ICU with the primary brain injury. This cohort study covered 58 patients. APACHE II scores were assessed 24 h post ICU admission. The concentrations of six biomarkers were determined, including the C-reactive protein (CRP), the S100 calcium-binding protein B (S100B), neuron-specific enolase (NSE), neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), matrix metalloproteinase 9 (MMP-9), and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase 1 (TIMP-1), using commercially available ELISA kits. The biomarkers were specifically chosen for this study due to their established connection to the pathophysiology of brain injury. In-hospital mortality was the outcome. Median APACHE II was 18 (IQR 13–22). Mortality reached 40%. Median concentrations of the CRP, NGAL, S100B, and NSE were significantly higher in deceased patients. S100B (AUC = 0.854), NGAL (AUC = 0.833), NSE (AUC = 0.777), and APACHE II (AUC = 0.766) were the best independent predictors of mortality. Combination of APACHE II with S100B, NSE, NGAL, and CRP increased the diagnostic accuracy of mortality prediction. MMP and TIMP-1 were impractical in prognostication, even after adjustment for APACHE II score. S100B protein and NSE seem to be the best predictors of compromised outcome among critically ill patients with primary brain injuries and should be assessed along with the APACHE II calculation after ICU admission.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 2576
Author(s):  
Izabela Duda ◽  
Łukasz Krzych

Elevated neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) occurs in a wide range of systemic diseases. This study examined the clinical utility of plasma NGAL to predict intensive care unit (ICU) and in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients. A total of 62 patients hospitalized in a mixed ICU were included; pNGAL, creatinine, and C-reactive protein (CRP) were assayed on four consecutive days (D1-D4) following ICU admission. APACHE II score (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation) was calculated 24 h post-admission. ICU mortality reached 35% and in-hospital mortality was 39%. The median pNGAL at admission was 142.5 (65.6–298.3) ng/mL. pNGAL was significantly higher in non-survivors compared to survivors. The highest accuracy for ICU mortality prediction was achieved at the pNGAL cutoff of 93.91 ng/mL on D4 area under the curve (AUC) = 0.89; 95%CI 0.69–0.98 and for in-hospital mortality prediction was achieved at the pNGAL cutoff of 176.64 ng/mL on D3 (AUC = 0.86; 95%CI 0.69–0.96). The APACHE II score on ICU admission predicted ICU mortality with AUC = 0.89 (95%CI 0.79–0.96) and in-hospital mortality with AUC = 0.86 (95%CI 0.75–0.94). Although pNGAL on D1 poorly correlated with APACHE II (R = 0.3; p = 0.01), the combination of APACHE II and pNGAL on D1 predicted ICU mortality with AUC = 0.90 (95%CI 0.79–0.96) and in-hospital mortality with AUC = 0.95 (95%CI 0.78–0.99). Maximal CRP during study observation failed to predict ICU mortality (AUC = 0.62; 95%CI 0.49–0.74), but helped to predict in-hospital mortality (AUC = 0.67; 95%CI 0.54–0.79). Plasma NGAL with combination with the indices of critical illness is a useful biomarker for predicting mortality in heterogeneous population of ICU patients.


2018 ◽  
Vol 46 (3) ◽  
pp. 1254-1262 ◽  
Author(s):  
Surat Tongyoo ◽  
Tanuwong Viarasilpa ◽  
Chairat Permpikul

Objective To compare the outcomes of patients with and without a mean serum potassium (K+) level within the recommended range (3.5–4.5 mEq/L). Methods This prospective cohort study involved patients admitted to the medical intensive care unit (ICU) of Siriraj Hospital from May 2012 to February 2013. The patients’ baseline characteristics, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score, serum K+ level, and hospital outcomes were recorded. Patients with a mean K+ level of 3.5 to 4.5 mEq/L and with all individual K+ values of 3.0 to 5.0 mEq/L were allocated to the normal K+ group. The remaining patients were allocated to the abnormal K+ group. Results In total, 160 patients were included. Their mean age was 59.3±18.3 years, and their mean APACHE II score was 21.8±14.0. The normal K+ group comprised 74 (46.3%) patients. The abnormal K+ group had a significantly higher mean APACHE II score, proportion of coronary artery disease, and rate of vasopressor treatment. An abnormal serum K+ level was associated with significantly higher ICU mortality and incidence of ventricular fibrillation. Conclusion Critically ill patients with abnormal K+ levels had a higher incidence of ventricular arrhythmia and ICU mortality than patients with normal K+ levels.


Author(s):  
F.D. Martos-Benítez ◽  
I. Cordero-Escobar ◽  
A. Soto-García ◽  
I. Betancourt-Plaza ◽  
I. González-Martínez

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 7-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvio A. Ñamendys-Silva ◽  
María O. González-Herrera ◽  
Julia Texcocano-Becerra ◽  
Angel Herrera-Gómez

Purpose: To assess the characteristics of critically ill patients with gynecological cancer, and to evaluate their prognosis. Methods: Fifty-two critically ill patients with gynecological cancer admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) were included. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were used to identify factors associated with hospital mortality. Results: Thirty-five patients (67.3%) had carcinoma of the cervix uteri and 11 (21.2%) had ovarian cancer. The mortality rate in the ICU was 17.3% (9 of 52) and hospital mortality rate were 23%(12 of 52). In the multivariate analysis, independent prognostic factors for hospital mortality were vasopressor use (odds ratio [OR] = 8.60, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.05-36; P = .03) and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score (OR = 1.43, 95% CI 1.01-2.09; P = .048). Conclusions: The independent prognostic factors for hospital mortality were the need for vasopressors and the APACHE II score.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kongmiao Lu ◽  
Xuping Shen ◽  
Xiangxin Zheng ◽  
Xin Xu ◽  
Zhijun Xu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Refeeding syndrome (RFS) is a group of metabolic disorders associated with refeeding after starvation. However, the diagnostic criteria of RFS are highly heterogeneous. This study aimed to identify the best diagnostic criteria of RFS in critically ill patients.Methods: A multicenter, parallel, prospective trial enrolled patients (≥18 years) with mechanical ventilation for more than 3 days. RFS, defined as new-onset hypophosphatemia (<0.87mmol/L) within 72h after feeding and a decreased concentration of serum phosphate of more than 30%, from four hospital ICU of Zhejiang provinces in China. The primary endpoint was the 28-day mortality. Results: Between May 1, 2019 and April 30, 2020, 312 patients were enrolled. Of these, 302 patients were included and completed the trial. Except for APACHE II, there were no significant differences in age, gender, admission type, diagnosis, furosemide application, and hormone application. In the RFS2 and RFS3 groups, the APACHE II score was significantly higher than the non-RFS group (p=0.009 and p=0.01, respectively). In the nutritional baseline data, there were no significant differences between the groups in the PNI index, time to start of nutrition treatment, percentage of start nutrition within 48 hours, parenteral nutrition, feeding intolerance, and caloric intake and protein intake within first week. The NRS2002 score in group 2 and 3 was higher than the non-RFS group (p<0.001 and p=0.001, respectively). Moreover, the BMI index in group 3 was lower than the non-RFS group(p=0.001). Furthermore, the 28-day mortality increased in group 2 compared with the non-RFS group. The length of hospital stay in group 3 was significantly longer than that in the non-RFS group (p=0.008). More importantly, according to the preliminary RFS2 screening criteria, patients were further divided into patients with modified RFS and modified non-RFS. The nosocomial infection rate and 28- or 90-day mortality in the modified RFS group were higher than those of the modified non-RFS group (p=0.006 and p=0.02, respectively).Conclusions: The optimal criterion of RFS was a decrease in serum phosphate level of 0.65mmol/L and below, and a reduction of greater than 0.16 mmol/L within 72 h after starting nutritional support. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov database, NCT04005300. Registered 1 July 2019, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/ NCT04005300


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tobias Lahmer

Background: Superinfections, including invasive pulmonary aspergillosis (IPA), are well-known complications of critically ill patients with severe viral pneumonia. Aim of this study was to evaluate the incidence, risk factors and outcome of IPA in critically ill patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia. Methods: We prospectively screened 32 critically ill patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia for a time period of 28 days using a standardized study protocol for oberservation of developement of COVID-19 associated invasive pulmonary aspergillosis (CAPA). We collected laboratory, microbiological, virological and clinical parameters at defined timepoints in combination with galactomannan-antigen-detection from bronchial aspirates. We used logistic regression analyses to assess if COVID-19 was independently associated with IPA and compared it with matched controls. Findings: CAPA was diagnosed at a median of 4 days after ICU admission in 11/32 (34%) of critically ill patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia as compared to 8% in the control cohort. In the COVID-19 cohort, mean age, APACHE II score and ICU mortality were higher in patients with CAPA than in patients without CAPA (36% versus 9.5%; p<0.001). ICU stay (21 versus 17 days; p=0.340) and days of mechanical ventilation (20 versus 15 days; p=0.570) were not different between both groups. In regression analysis COVID-19 and APACHE II score were independently associated with IPA. Interpretation: CAPA is highly prevalent and associated with a high mortality rate. COVID-19 is independently associated with invasive pulmonary aspergillosis. A standardized screening and diagnostic approach as presented in our study can help to identify affected patients at an early stage.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (43) ◽  
pp. 2458-2462
Author(s):  
Harjot Singh ◽  
Amit Kumar Ranjan ◽  
Ranjan Kumar

BACKGROUND Hypomagnesaemia is associated with other electrolyte abnormalities like hypokalaemia, hyponatremia, and hypophosphatemia. We wanted to study the serum magnesium levels in critically ill patients, and correlate the serum magnesium levels with patient outcome and other parameters like duration of stay in ICU, ventilator support and APACHE-II (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation-II) score. METHODS The study included all the cases admitted in the ICU of Narayan Medical College & Hospital, with variable medical conditions within 6 months fulfilling the inclusion criteria. Demographic data (age and sex), medical history, surgical history, medications administrated and length of ICU stay were recorded for each patient. The severity scoring system used was Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation-II (APACHE-II). RESULTS Prevalence of Hypomagnesaemia in the present study was 60.2 %. Mortality and mechanical ventilator support (2.7 % and 28.4 %) in normomagnesemia subjects were significantly lesser than hypomagnesaemia subjects (33.9 % and 54.5 % respectively). CONCLUSIONS Hypomagnesaemia is a common electrolyte imbalance in critically ill patients. It is associated with higher mortality and morbidity in critically ill patients and is also associated with more frequent and more prolonged ventilatory support. KEYWORDS Critically Ill, Hypomagnesaemia, APACHE-II Score, Mortality, Ventilator Support


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