Statistical and Probabilistic Analysis of Thermal-Fatigue Test Data Generated Using V-Shape Specimen Testing Method

Author(s):  
Zhigang Wei ◽  
Burt Lin ◽  
Kay Ellinghaus ◽  
Markus Pieszkalla ◽  
D. Gary Harlow ◽  
...  

V-shape specimen testing is a relatively new, simple and useful technique to characterize the thermal-fatigue resistance of materials subjected to combined thermal/mechanical loadings, and to rank and select materials. However, the V-shape specimen test data, similar to many other life test data, always contain an inherent scatter not only because of material non-uniformity but also of the difficulties in operating control, such as loading, boundary conditions, and environment. Therefore, statistical and probabilistic approaches have to be used to interpret the test data in order to implement the observations into new product designs. In this paper, the V-shape specimen test data are selected, analyzed and the scatter properties of the test data are fitted using several continuous probability distribution functions. The results are compared, and the root failure mechanisms of the V-specimens are also discussed. Finally, the main observations are summarized, and a recommendation is provided.

Author(s):  
Shigeo Shimizu ◽  
Hirokazu Shimoda ◽  
Katsuji Tosha

A study on the life distribution and reliability for roller guides with cage is carried out with a total number of 90 test samples in two lots (Ns = 38 and 52), and fatigue life distribution functions, such as two and three parameters Weibull distribution, and log-normal distribution are used for analyzing the test data. The basic dynamic load rating formula standardized by ISO in 2004 is also compared with the life test data in relation to the effect of crowning on both ends of the carriage raceway. Weibull slope, compatibility of distribution functions and λbm factor are also examined.


Author(s):  
Jianping Fan ◽  
Jing Wang ◽  
Meiqin Wu

The two-dimensional belief function (TDBF = (mA, mB)) uses a pair of ordered basic probability distribution functions to describe and process uncertain information. Among them, mB includes support degree, non-support degree and reliability unmeasured degree of mA. So it is more abundant and reasonable than the traditional discount coefficient and expresses the evaluation value of experts. However, only considering that the expert’s assessment is single and one-sided, we also need to consider the influence between the belief function itself. The difference in belief function can measure the difference between two belief functions, based on which the supporting degree, non-supporting degree and unmeasured degree of reliability of the evidence are calculated. Based on the divergence measure of belief function, this paper proposes an extended two-dimensional belief function, which can solve some evidence conflict problems and is more objective and better solve a class of problems that TDBF cannot handle. Finally, numerical examples illustrate its effectiveness and rationality.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 3310
Author(s):  
Marzio Invernizzi ◽  
Federica Capra ◽  
Roberto Sozzi ◽  
Laura Capelli ◽  
Selena Sironi

For environmental odor nuisance, it is extremely important to identify the instantaneous concentration statistics. In this work, a Fluctuating Plume Model for different statistical moments is proposed. It provides data in terms of mean concentrations, variance, and intensity of concentration. The 90th percentile peak-to-mean factor, R90, was tested here by comparing it with the experimental results (Uttenweiler field experiment), considering different Probability Distribution Functions (PDFs): Gamma and the Modified Weibull. Seventy-two percent of the simulated mean concentration values fell within a factor 2 compared to the experimental ones: the model was judged acceptable. Both the modelled results for standard deviation, σC, and concentration intensity, Ic, overestimate the experimental data. This evidence can be due to the non-ideality of the measurement system. The propagation of those errors to the estimation of R90 is complex, but the ranges covered are quite repeatable: the obtained values are 1–3 for the Gamma, 1.5–4 for Modified Weibull PDF, and experimental ones from 1.4 to 3.6.


1997 ◽  
Vol 78 (10) ◽  
pp. 1904-1907 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weinan E ◽  
Konstantin Khanin ◽  
Alexandre Mazel ◽  
Yakov Sinai

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hamed Farhadi ◽  
Manousos Valyrakis

<p>Applying an instrumented particle [1-3], the probability density functions of kinetic energy of a coarse particle (at different solid densities) mobilised over a range of above threshold flow conditions conditions corresponding to the intermittent transport regime, were explored. The experiments were conducted in the Water Engineering Lab at the University of Glasgow on a tilting recirculating flume with 800 (length) × 90 (width) cm dimension. Twelve different flow conditions corresponding to intermittent transport regime for the range of particle densities examined herein, have been implemented in this research. Ensuring fully developed flow conditions, the start of the test section was located at 3.2 meters upstream of the flume outlet. The bed surface of the flume is flat and made up of well-packed glass beads of 16.2 mm diameter, offering a uniform roughness over which the instrumented particle is transported. MEMS sensors are embedded within the instrumented particle with 3-axis gyroscope and 3-axis accelerometer. At the beginning of each experimental run, instrumented particle is placed at the upstream of the test section, fully exposed to the free stream flow. Its motion is recorded with top and side cameras to enable a deeper understanding of particle transport processes. Using results from sets of instrumented particle transport experiments with varying flow rates and particle densities, the probability distribution functions (PDFs) of the instrumented particles kinetic energy, were generated. The best-fitted PDFs were selected by applying the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and the results were discussed considering the light of the recent literature of the particle velocity distributions.</p><p>[1] Valyrakis, M.; Alexakis, A. Development of a “smart-pebble” for tracking sediment transport. In Proceedings of the International Conference on Fluvial Hydraulics (River Flow 2016), St. Louis, MO, USA, 12–15 July 2016.</p><p>[2] Al-Obaidi, K., Xu, Y. & Valyrakis, M. 2020, The Design and Calibration of Instrumented Particles for Assessing Water Infrastructure Hazards, Journal of Sensors and Actuator Networks, vol. 9, no. 3, 36.</p><p>[3] Al-Obaidi, K. & Valyrakis, M. 2020, Asensory instrumented particle for environmental monitoring applications: development and calibration, IEEE sensors journal (accepted).</p>


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