Potential development of spatial dynamics modeling research in Indonesia for environmental carrying capacity analysis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
I Wayan Gede Krisna Arimjaya ◽  
Supriatna Supriatna
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arti Aulia ◽  
Supriatna . ◽  
Masita Dwi Mandini Manessa ◽  
Yoanna Ristya

Parangtritis coastal village is located on the southern coast of Bantul Regency that popular with tourism and capture fisheries activities. The advantages of the tourism and capture fisheries sector make Parangtritis Village seen as a field to earn a living and causes healing in population or people income of Parangtritis Village. This situation can affect the need for space and land, which can have an impact on decreasing the carrying capacity of the environment so that predictions are needed on land availability using a model of spatial dynamics. This study aims to build a model of spatial dynamics for land availability and analyze the relationship among these models with the education level and income of Parangtritis Village. The methods that used in this study is a spatial dynamics modeling method which using population data for 2008-2018 and Google Earth imagery in 2008, 2013, and 2018, and interview with grid area used for the level of education and income. The development of the built area observed through a spatial dynamics model of the relationship between population growth and land availability in the period 2008-2100. The model prediction shows that the developed land has developed from the appropriate area to meet the regional capacity that is not appropriate in 2039. The analysis results showed that the fastest growth of the built-up area was in areas with high levels of education and high-income levels.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 229-237
Author(s):  
Enggar Hastoyuando ◽  
Widodo Brontowiyono ◽  
Nur Aini Iswati Hasanah

AbstractEast Surabaya, an area that is developing intensively, is known for its excessive problems, including a water shortage which reoccurs every year. The main objective of this study is to investigate the environmental carrying capacity based on the available water resources in East Surabaya, Indonesia. The method used consists of determining the ratio between supply and demand in order to obtain the carrying capacity of the local environment. The results show that the carrying capacity in East Surabaya in the year 2030 is of conditional sustain and amounts to 1.0. Generally, the deficit status (overshoot) occurs between May and November and conditional sustain in April and December, with the condition of surplus (sustain) occurring from January to March. However, further action is needed to conserve water during the surplus months and thus meet the needs arising during the deficit months.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Zhou Jiang ◽  
Zhenwu Wei

Grassland resources are an important part of land resources. Moreover, it has the functions of regulating the climate, windproof and sand fixation, conserving water sources, maintaining water and soil, raising livestock, providing food, purifying the air, and beautifying the environment in terrestrial ecosystems. Grassland resource evaluation is of great significance to the sustainable development of grassland resources. Therefore, this paper improves the BP neural network, uses the comprehensive index method to calculate the weights in the analytic hierarchy process, and constructs a water resources carrying capacity research and analysis system based on the entropy weight extension decision theory. Meanwhile, this paper analyzes different levels of resource and environmental carrying capacity to achieve the purpose of comprehensive evaluation of resource and environmental carrying capacity. In addition, based on the theory of sustainable development, under the guidance of the principle of index system construction, this paper studies the actual situation of grassland resources and the availability and operability of data, and combines with the opinions given by experts to form an evaluation index system of grassland resources and environmental carrying capacity. Finally, through the actual case study analysis, it is concluded that the model constructed in this paper has a certain effect.


2018 ◽  
Vol 73 ◽  
pp. 02007
Author(s):  
Ari Wulandari ◽  
Maryono Maryono ◽  
Agus Setyawan

The development of nature tourism in conservation areas such as in Taman Hutan Raya (Tahura) should be able to minimize the negative impact for the ecosystem. Tourism activities on the utilization block of Tahura must be limited by applying ecotourism concept which is concerned with environmental conservation and not the concept of mass tourism that is oriented on the number of visitors. Tahura K.G.P.A.A. Mangkunagoro I, every year has increased the number of tourist arrivals, most occur in 2016 and 2017 that is equal to 62.8% and 63.5%. This condition harmful the environment if it is not managed in a sustainable way that considers the carrying capacity of its environment. Therefore, a study was conducted to calculate the environmental carrying capacity in the utilization blocks of Tahura K.G.P.A.A. Mangkunagoro I using the method of calculating the physical carrying capacity (PCC), real carrying capacity (RCC) and effective carrying capacity (ECC) with the formula developed by Cifuentes (1992). The results of the calculation of environmental carrying capacity can be used as recommendation of the types of tourist activities that can be done, the arrangement of tourist visits, the type of facility that can be built in accordance with the rules of conservation and the number of officers required.


2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (6) ◽  
pp. 1057-1066 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Xie ◽  
Xuyong Li ◽  
Chunsheng Yang ◽  
Yang Yu

Water shortage is a major problem in northern China, because of a huge population and rapid economic growth. Taking the Luanhe River Basin (LRB) as a study area, we set up a System Dynamics (SD) model of the basin for the period 2005–2010, and considered various important socioeconomic and environmental factors and their correlation. Significant trends for the period 2011–2030 were simulated and the water resource carrying capacity (WRCC) of the LRB and its trends over the next 30 years were analyzed. The results indicate a decreasing trend of WRCC in the basin and that current economic growth is not sustainable. The study investigated possible optimized allocation projects. The most apt project would involve a combination of strategies that could considerably increase the WRCC, reduce demand, and improve water quality.


2015 ◽  
Vol 1092-1093 ◽  
pp. 1202-1208
Author(s):  
Ming Xia Jing

This paper predicted HuangShui River carrying capacity level of environmental resources at the end of the "twelfth five-year" period and even longer, based on the economic and social development in the base year 2011 data, to provide reference for the development of various government related department reference.


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