ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND GROWTH: NEW EVIDENCE FROM A NON-LINEAR PANEL AND A SAMPLE OF DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

2015 ◽  
Vol 60 (02) ◽  
pp. 1550018 ◽  
Author(s):  
TOLGA OMAY ◽  
NICHOLAS APERGIS ◽  
HÜLYA ÖZÇELEBI
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Smooth Transition ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Causality Tests

This paper investigates the relationship between economic growth and energy consumption through non-linear causality tests. Eight developing countries from Europe and Central Asia spanning the period 1993 to 2008 are selected for the purpose of panel empirical analysis. Panel unit root and panel cointegration tests with and without considering cross section dependency (CD) problems are implemented. Next, linear panel cointegration tests are employed and, finally, a two-regime Dynamic Panel Smooth Transition Vector Error Correction (PSTRVEC) model is estimated for testing the presence of non-linear short- and long-run causality. To this end, a new estimator, called the Dynamic Non-linear Pooled Common Correlated Effect Estimator (DNPCCEE) is proposed. The empirical findings indicate that short and long-run causalities are regime-dependent.

scholarly journals International Logistics and Cross-Border E-Commerce Trade: Who Matters Whom?

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 1745
Author(s):  
Yugang He ◽  
Renhong Wu ◽  
Yong-Jae Choi
Keyword(s):  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Cross Border ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
Short Run

Unlike previous papers on international logistics and cross-border e-commerce trade, this paper sets Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries as an example to explore the dynamic interaction between international logistics and cross-border e-commerce trade. The panel data for the period 2000–2018 will be employed to perform an empirical analysis via a host of econometric techniques, such as panel unit root tests, panel cointegration tests, panel causality tests and the panel vector error correction model. Incorporating with other control variables, we find that there is a long-term relationship between international logistics and cross-border e-commerce trade. Specifically speaking, in the long-run, international logistics has a positive and significant effect on cross-border e-commerce trade. However, in the short-run, international logistics has a negative and significant effect on cross-border e-commerce trade. Furthermore, the results suggest that deviation from a cointegration system of cross-border e-commerce trade and international logistics will lead to the cross-border e-commerce trade and international logistics changing within the range of approximately 2.2% to 47.2% in the next period. Therefore, referring to these findings, each OECD country’s government should take up corresponding policies to ensure the sustainable development of both international logistics and cross-border e-commerce trade.

scholarly journals PENGARUH STRUKTUR KEPEMILIKAN DAN STRUKTUR MODAL TERHADAP HARGA SAHAM

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 89
Author(s):  
Rani Raharjanti ◽  
Nur Setyowati
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Managerial Ownership ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Equity Ratio

This paper aims to investigate the short and long run behavior of ownership structure, capital structure and Indonesian Stock Price over the period from 2007 to 2016. To capture the long run relationships, we used the panel cointegration by Pedroni (1999, 2000, 2004), while the short run relationship are measured by Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The main findings are as follows. First, the result of most results of Pedroni’s panel cointegration tests, suggest the null hypothesis of no cointegration is rejected. In consequence, this result suggests that there is a cointegration between stock price, managerial ownership, institutional ownership, public ownership, debt to equity ratio and earnings per share. Second, the results of VECM indicate that in the short run, only managerial ownership that will influence the stock price.

scholarly journals PENGARUH STRUKTUR KEPEMILIKAN DAN STRUKTUR MODAL TERHADAP HARGA SAHAM

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 89
Author(s):  
Rani Raharjanti ◽  
Nur Setyowati
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Managerial Ownership ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Equity Ratio

This paper aims to investigate the short and long run behavior of ownership structure, capital structure and Indonesian Stock Price over the period from 2007 to 2016. To capture the long run relationships, we used the panel cointegration by Pedroni (1999, 2000, 2004), while the short run relationship are measured by Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The main findings are as follows. First, the result of most results of Pedroni’s panel cointegration tests, suggest the null hypothesis of no cointegration is rejected. In consequence, this result suggests that there is a cointegration between stock price, managerial ownership, institutional ownership, public ownership, debt to equity ratio and earnings per share. Second, the results of VECM indicate that in the short run, only managerial ownership that will influence the stock price.

scholarly journals Zakat Distribution and Growth in the Federal Territory of Malaysia

2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (8) ◽  
pp. 449-456
Author(s):  
Mohammed B. Yusoff
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This research paper aims to examine the impact of zakat distribution on growth in the Federal Territory Malaysia. Specifically, an econometric study is carried out to examine the ability of zakat expenditure to affect real economic growth in the Federal Territory Malaysia by employing various econometric procedures such as the unit root tests, the cointegration tests, the vector error-correction model (VECM), and the Granger causality tests. The findings of the study suggest that zakat expenditure has a positive relationship with real GDP in the long-run. The Granger causality test indicates that zakat spending causes real economic growth with no feedback. In other words, zakat expenditure could boost GDP in the Federal Territory Malaysia both in the short-run and long-run.

Unemployment and its Impact on Economic Growth in the European Union

2015 ◽  
pp. 12-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Murat Cetin ◽  
Davuthan Gunaydın ◽  
Hakan Cavlak ◽  
Birol Topcu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

Unemployment has become an increasingly serious economic and social problem in many European countries. Theoretically, unemployment has a negative effect on economic growth and development. This chapter examines the impact of unemployment on economic growth in 15 EU countries from 1984 to 2012 by using several panel data techniques. Panel unit root tests suggest that the series employed in the study are stationary at first differences. In other words, the series are integrated of order one, I(1). Panel cointegration tests show that the variables are cointegrated over the period implying a long-run relationship between the variables. Panel OLS estimations show that the impact of unemployment on economic growth is negative and statistically significant. This indicates that unemployment decreases economic growth in these countries. Finally, Granger causality tests based on vector error correction model suggest that there is a bi-directional causality between the variables in the short and long run. The findings may provide some policy implications.

scholarly journals Twin deficits in small open Baltic economies

2014 ◽  
Vol 61 (2) ◽  
pp. 227-239
Author(s):  
Veronika Suliková ◽  
Marianna Sinicáková ◽  
Denis Horváth
Keyword(s):  
Current Account ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Budget Balance ◽  
Twin Deficits ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Baltic Countries ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Causality Tests

This paper analyzes the twin deficit hypothesis - simultaneous current account deficit and budget deficit - in three small open Baltic countries (Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania) running under certain forms of the fixed exchange rate regime. The idea of twin deficits is tested using the vector error correction model (VECM), Granger causality tests and forecast variance decomposition, involving three variables: current account, budget balance, and investments. The new estimates confirm significant long-run positive relation between budget balance and current account in Estonia and Lithuania on one hand and the negative one in case of budget balance and investments in all three considered countries. The results of the analysis are specific to each country as they depend on their particular macroeconomic background. The contribution was elaborated within the project VEGA 1/0973/11.

Terrorism, environmental pollution, foreign direct investment (FDI), energy consumption, and economic growth: Evidences from China, India, Israel, and Turkey

2020 ◽  
pp. 0958305X2091940
Author(s):  
Melike E Bildirici
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Environmental Pollution ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Panel Causality ◽  
Policy And Strategy ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
Causality Tests

In this paper, it was aimed to investigate the relation between economic growth, terrorism, foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow, environmental pollution, and energy consumption in China, India, Israel, and Turkey for a time span of 43 years from 1975 to 2017. Three different panel cointegration methods to determine the cointegration relation and two different causality methods to find the direction of causality were simultaneously used, since the presence of cointegration and direction of causality are fundamental to design economic policy and strategy. After similar results from panel cointegration tests were obtained, the causality tests were applied. Panel causality tests determined the evidence of uni-directional causality from terrorism, FDI, and energy usage to CO2 emission.

scholarly journals Dynamic Inflation and Economic Growth Nexus in Bangladesh

2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 35
Author(s):  
Md. Nezum Uddin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
Eigen Value ◽  
Integrating Vector

This scholarly article seeks to spotlight the inextricable link between economic expansion and inflation in Bangladesh for the past three decades from 1987 to 2017. The nature of the relationship between these two macroeconomic variables is a boiling topic of research. The data on both the GDP growth and inflation rates supplied by the World Bank have been used to study the nexus. Different relevant tests (DF, ADF, PP and KPSS test) found unit root in the variables, but this problem is disappeared at the first difference. Cointegration tests display the long-run connection between the variables at the period. Max-Eigen value Statistic Trace Statistic expose there may be a second integrating vector. The vector error correction model (VECM) finds short dynamics among inflation and economic development, and the adjustment speed at 39% and 82% respectively for the variables—GDP growth rate and inflation. This empirical study has found a significant correlation between inflation and economic growth in Bangladesh during the study period

scholarly journals Nexus Between Carbon Emissions, Energy Consumption, Urbanization and Economic Growth in Asia: Evidence From Common Correlated Effects Mean Group Estimator (CCEMG)

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yusuf Babatunde Adeneye ◽  
Amar Hisham Jaaffar ◽  
Chai Aun Ooi ◽  
Say Keat Ooi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Carbon Emission ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Energy Prices ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
Common Correlated Effects

This study investigates the dynamic relationships between carbon emission, urbanization, energy consumption, and economic growth in a panel of 42 Asian countries for the period 2000–2014 using dynamic common correlated effects panel data modeling. This study employs second generation cross-sectional Pesaran (J. Appl. Econom., 2007, 22(2), 265-312) panel unit root, Westerlund panel cointegration tests (Econom. Stat., 2007, 69(6), 709-748), and Pesaran’s (Econometrica, 2006, 74(4), 967-1012) common correlated effects mean group estimation technique. These approaches allow for cross-sectional dependence, and are robust to the presence of common factors, serial correlation, and slope heterogeneity. The Common Correlated Effect Mean Group test reveals a high average coefficient of 0.602 between carbon emission and energy consumption while low coefficients of 0.114 and 0.184 for the pairs of carbon emission-urbanization and carbon emission-GDP, respectively for the panel as a whole, suggesting a cointegration between carbon emission, urbanization, energy consumption, and economic growth. The results indicate that there is relatively high carbon emission especially for highly populated and geopolitical risk Asian countries in the short run. Findings reveal long run relationships between the variables, which is attributed to the on-going carbon taxation and energy prices. Our results are robust to PMG-ARDL estimator. Overall, these findings cast important implications on renewable energy policy and urban planning insights for the policymakers.

scholarly journals Energy and economic growth in G20 countries: Panel cointegration analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aynur Pala
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Global Warming ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
Dynamic Ols

Rising economic performance has enlarged energy demand, carbon emissions and global warming. Policymakers need to avoid global warming. Therefore, energy-growth nexus is important. This paper empirically investigates the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth for a panel of G20 countries over the period 1990-2016. For this purpose, the paper considers the panel cointegration and panel vector error correction model. Panel cointegration test set out a long-run equilibrium relationship. Long-run relationship is estimated using a Fully Modified OLS (FMOLS) and Dynamic OLS (DOLS). The results show that causality run from energy consumption to GDP. It is indicates that “growth hypothesis” is valid for G20 countries.

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