Report on the Policy Coordination Index for the Belt and Road Initiative (2018)
The Five Connectivities Index (FCI) is a comprehensive index system designed to quantify the level and progress of connectivity in countries through China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). The first connectivity of the five measured is policy coordination, and it is the foundation for the other four. It measures the degree of policy coordination between China and the other countries (94 in 2017) that are participating in the BRI. The average score for the policy coordination of BRI countries was 10.96 in 2018 (for 2017), ranking good coordination, which is consistent with the good level overall of the FCI, which shows that policy coordination between China and the other countries in the BRI was generally good in 2017. The 2018 results show that policy coordination of the 94 countries with China was generally stable, with a few changes. The scores of the countries that work closely with the Chinese Government within the framework of BRI have improved markedly, and the countries that are more passive have lower scores. This paper, interpreting these results, investigates the reasons and specific events that have led to positive and negative effects on policy coordination between China and other BRI countries. In addition, the Pearson correlation measurement for the results of the FCI shows that bilateral political mutual trust is significantly correlated with cooperation results. This indicates that bilateral political mutual trust is the key for ensuring that the BRI is fruitful and stable and has far-reaching effects.