scholarly journals A Hybrid Approach for Short-Term Forecasting of Wind Speed

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sivanagaraja Tatinati ◽  
Kalyana C. Veluvolu

We propose a hybrid method for forecasting the wind speed. The wind speed data is first decomposed into intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) with empirical mode decomposition. Based on the partial autocorrelation factor of the individual IMFs, adaptive methods are then employed for the prediction of IMFs. Least squares-support vector machines are employed for IMFs with weak correlation factor, and autoregressive model with Kalman filter is employed for IMFs with high correlation factor. Multistep prediction with the proposed hybrid method resulted in improved forecasting. Results with wind speed data show that the proposed method provides better forecasting compared to the existing methods.

2013 ◽  
Vol 392 ◽  
pp. 622-627 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao Jing Dang ◽  
Hao Yong Chen ◽  
Xiao Ming Jin

In this paper, a method for wind speed forecasting based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and Support Vector machine is proposed. Compared with the approach based on Support Vector machine only, the method in this paper use EMD to decompose the data of wind power into several independent intrinsic mode functions (IMF),then model each component with the SVM model and get the final value of the overall wind power prediction. Experiments show the efficiency of the approach with a higher forecasting accuracy.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dechen Yao ◽  
Jianwei Yang ◽  
Xi Li ◽  
Chunqing Zhao

Vibration signals resulting from railway rolling bearings are nonstationary by nature; this paper proposes a hybrid approach for the fault diagnosis of railway rolling bearings using segment threshold wavelet denoising (STWD), empirical mode decomposition (EMD), genetic algorithm (GA), and least squares support vector machine (LSSVM). The original signal is first denoised using STWD as a prefilter, which improves the subsequent decomposition into a number of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) using EMD. Secondly, the IMF energy-torques are extracted as feature parameters. Concurrently, a GA is employed to optimize the LSSVM to improve the classification accuracy. Finally, the extracted features are used as inputs for classification by the GA-LSSVM. Actual railway rolling bearing vibration signals are used to experimentally verify the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results show that the novel method is effective and accurate for fault diagnosis of railway rolling bearings.


2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sajjad Afrakhteh ◽  
Ahmad Ayatollahi ◽  
Fatemeh Soltani

Abstract In this study, we propose a method for detecting obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) based on the features extracted from empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and the neural networks trained by particle swarm optimization (PSO) in the classification phase. After extracting the features from the intrinsic mode functions (IMF) of each heart rate variability (HRV) signal of each segment, these features were applied to the input of popular classifiers such as multi-layer perceptron neural networks (MLPNN), Naïve Bayes, linear discriminant analysis (LDA), k-nearest neighborhood (KNN), and support vector machines (SVM) were applied. The results show that the MLPNN learned with back propagation (BP) algorithm has a diagnostic accuracy of less than 90%, and this may be due to being derivative based property of the BP algorithm, which causes trapping in the local minima. For Improving MLPNN’s performance, we used the PSO algorithm instead of the BP method in training part. Therefore, the MLPNN’s accuracy improved from 89.36 to 97.66% after the application of the PSO algorithm. The proposed method has also reached to 97.78 and 97.96% in sensitivity and specificity, respectively. So, it can be concluded that the proposed method achieves better or comparable results when compared with the previous works in this field.


2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 1754 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tongxiang Liu ◽  
Shenzhong Liu ◽  
Jiani Heng ◽  
Yuyang Gao

Wind speed forecasting plays a crucial role in improving the efficiency of wind farms, and increases the competitive advantage of wind power in the global electricity market. Many forecasting models have been proposed, aiming to enhance the forecast performance. However, some traditional models used in our experiment have the drawback of ignoring the importance of data preprocessing and the necessity of parameter optimization, which often results in poor forecasting performance. Therefore, in order to achieve a more satisfying performance in forecasting wind speed data, a new short-term wind speed forecasting method which consists of Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) for data preprocessing, and the Support Vector Machine (SVM)—whose key parameters are optimized by the Cuckoo Search Algorithm (CSO)—is developed in this paper. This method avoids the shortcomings of some traditional models and effectively enhances the forecasting ability. To test the prediction ability of the proposed model, 10 min wind speed data from wind farms in Shandong Province, China, are used for conducting experiments. The experimental results indicate that the proposed model cannot only improve the forecasting accuracy, but can also be an effective tool in assisting the management of wind power plants.


Author(s):  
Lin Li ◽  
Yixiang Huang ◽  
Jianfeng Tao ◽  
Chengliang Liu

Monitoring for internal leakage of hydraulic cylinders is vital to maintain the efficiency and safety of hydraulic systems. An intelligent classifier is proposed to automatically evaluate internal leakage levels based on the newly extracted features and random forest algorithm. The inlet and outlet pressures as well as the pressure differences of two chambers are chosen as the monitoring parameters for leakage identification. The empirical mode decomposition method is used to decompose the raw pressure signals into a series of intrinsic mode functions to obtain the essence in experimental signals. Then, the features extracted from intrinsic mode functions in terms of statistical analysis are formed the input vector to train the leakage detector. The classifier based on random forest is established to categorize internal leakage into proper levels. The accuracy of the internal leakage evaluator is verified by the experimental pressure signals. Moreover, an internal leakage evaluator is established based on the support vector machine algorithm, in which the wavelet transform is applied for feature extraction. The accuracy and efficiency of different classifiers are compared based on leakage experiments. The results show that the classifier trained by the intrinsic mode function features in terms of random forest algorithm may more effectively and accurately identify internal leakage levels of hydraulic cylinders. The leakage evaluator provides probability for online monitoring of the internal leakage of hydraulic cylinders based on the inherent sensors.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liye Zhao ◽  
Wei Yu ◽  
Ruqiang Yan

This paper presents an improved gearbox fault diagnosis approach by integrating complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) with permutation entropy (PE). The presented approach identifies faults appearing in a gearbox system based on PE values calculated from selected intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) of vibration signals decomposed by CEEMD. Specifically, CEEMD is first used to decompose vibration signals characterizing various defect severities into a series of IMFs. Then, filtered vibration signals are obtained from appropriate selection of IMFs, and correlation coefficients between the filtered signal and each IMF are used as the basis for useful IMFs selection. Subsequently, PE values of those selected IMFs are utilized as input features to a support vector machine (SVM) classifier for characterizing the defect severity of a gearbox. Case study conducted on a gearbox system indicates the effectiveness of the proposed approach for identifying the gearbox faults.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sizhou Sun ◽  
Jingqi Fu ◽  
Feng Zhu ◽  
Nan Xiong

The aims of this study contribute to a new hybrid model by combining ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) with multikernel function least square support vector machine (MKLSSVM) optimized by hybrid gravitation search algorithm (HGSA) for short-term wind speed prediction. In the forecasting process, EEMD is adopted to make the original wind speed data decomposed into intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and one residual firstly. Then, partial autocorrelation function (PACF) is applied to identify the correlation between the corresponding decomposed components. Subsequently, the MKLSSVM using multikernel function of radial basis function (RBF) and polynomial (Poly) kernel function by weight coefficient is exploited as core forecasting engine to make the short-term wind speed prediction. To improve the regression performance, the binary-value GSA (BGSA) in HGSA is utilized as feature selection approach to remove the ineffective candidates and reconstruct the most relevant feature input-matrix for the forecasting engine, while real-value GSA (RGSA) makes the parameter combination optimization of MKLSSVM model. In the end, these respective decomposed subseries forecasting results are combined into the final forecasting values by aggregate calculation. Numerical results and comparable analysis illustrate the excellent performance of the EEMD-HGSA-MKLSSVM model when applied in the short-term wind speed forecasting.


2018 ◽  
Vol 05 (02) ◽  
pp. 092-098
Author(s):  
Pushpa Balakrishnan ◽  
S. Hemalatha ◽  
Dinesh Nayak Shroff Keshav

Abstract Background Epilepsy is a common neurological disorder characterized by seizures and can lead to life-threatening consequences. The electroencephalogram (EEG) is a diagnostic test used to analyze brain activity in various neurological conditions including epilepsy and interpreted by the clinician for appropriate diagnosis. However, the process of EEG analysis for diagnosis can be automated using machine learning algorithms (MLAs) to aid the clinician. The objective of the study was to test different algorithms that could be used for the detection of seizures. Materials and Methods Video EEG (vEEG) was collected from subjects diagnosed to have episodes of seizures. The epilepsy dataset thus obtained was subjected to empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and the signal was decomposed into intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). The first five levels of decomposition were considered for analysis as per the established protocol. Statistical features such as interquartile range (IQR), entropy, and mean absolute deviation (MAD) were extracted from these IMFs. Results In this study, different MLAs such as nearest neighbor (NN), naïve Bayes (NB), and support vector machines (SVMs) were used to distinguish between normal (interictal) and abnormal (ictal) states. The demonstrated accuracy rates were 97.32% for NN, 99.02% for NB, and 93.75% for SVM. Conclusion Based on this accuracy and sensitivity, it may be posited that the NB classifier provides significantly better results for the detection of abnormal signals indicating that MLA can detect the seizure with better accuracy.


Processes ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 177 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhufeng Lei ◽  
Wenbin Su

The prediction of mold level is a basic and key problem of continuous casting production control. Many current techniques fail to predict the mold level because of mold level is non-linear, non-stationary and does not have a normal distribution. A hybrid model, based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and support vector regression (SVR), is proposed to solve the mold level in this paper. Firstly, the EMD algorithm, with adaptive decomposition, is used to decompose the original mold level signal to many intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). Then, the SVR model optimized by genetic algorithm (GA) is used to predict the IMFs and residual sequences. Finally, the equalization of the predict results is reconstructed to obtain the predict result. Several hybrid predicting methods such as EMD and autoregressive moving average model (ARMA), EMD and SVR, wavelet transform (WT) and ARMA, WT and SVR are discussed and compared in this paper. These methods are applied to mold level prediction, the experimental results show that the proposed hybrid method based on EMD and SVR is a powerful tool for solving complex time series prediction. In view of the excellent generalization ability of the EMD, it is believed that the hybrid algorithm of EMD and SVR is the best model for mold level predict among the six methods, providing a new idea for guiding continuous casting process improvement.


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