scholarly journals SHMF: Interest Prediction Model with Social Hub Matrix Factorization

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Chaoyuan Cui ◽  
Hongze Wang ◽  
Yun Wu ◽  
Sen Gao ◽  
Shu Yan
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Matrix Factorization ◽  
Practical Significance ◽  
Communication Tool ◽  
User Interest ◽  
Sina Weibo ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Efficiency And Effectiveness ◽  
Interest Prediction ◽  
Blog Posts

With the development of social networks, microblog has become the major social communication tool. There is a lot of valuable information such as personal preference, public opinion, and marketing in microblog. Consequently, research on user interest prediction in microblog has a positive practical significance. In fact, how to extract information associated with user interest orientation from the constantly updated blog posts is not so easy. Existing prediction approaches based on probabilistic factor analysis use blog posts published by user to predict user interest. However, these methods are not very effective for the users who post less but browse more. In this paper, we propose a new prediction model, which is called SHMF, using social hub matrix factorization. SHMF constructs the interest prediction model by combining the information of blogs posts published by both user and direct neighbors in user’s social hub. Our proposed model predicts user interest by integrating user’s historical behavior and temporal factor as well as user’s friendships, thus achieving accurate forecasts of user’s future interests. The experimental results on Sina Weibo show the efficiency and effectiveness of our proposed model.

scholarly journals Evaluation of a highly refined prediction model in knowledge-based volumetric modulated arc therapy planning for cervical cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingli Wang ◽  
Huikuan Gu ◽  
Jiang Hu ◽  
Jian Liang ◽  
Sisi Xu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cervical Cancer ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Volumetric Modulated Arc Therapy ◽  
Model Evolution ◽  
Prediction Ability ◽  
Knowledge Based ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Arc Therapy ◽  
Knowledge Based Planning

Abstract Background and purpose To explore whether a highly refined dose volume histograms (DVH) prediction model can improve the accuracy and reliability of knowledge-based volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT) planning for cervical cancer. Methods and materials The proposed model underwent repeated refining through progressive training until the training samples increased from initial 25 prior plans up to 100 cases. The estimated DVHs derived from the prediction models of different runs of training were compared in 35 new cervical cancer patients to analyze the effect of such an interactive plan and model evolution method. The reliability and efficiency of knowledge-based planning (KBP) using this highly refined model in improving the consistency and quality of the VMAT plans were also evaluated. Results The prediction ability was reinforced with the increased number of refinements in terms of normal tissue sparing. With enhanced prediction accuracy, more than 60% of automatic plan-6 (AP-6) plans (22/35) can be directly approved for clinical treatment without any manual revision. The plan quality scores for clinically approved plans (CPs) and manual plans (MPs) were on average 89.02 ± 4.83 and 86.48 ± 3.92 (p < 0.001). Knowledge-based planning significantly reduced the Dmean and V18 Gy for kidney (L/R), the Dmean, V30 Gy, and V40 Gy for bladder, rectum, and femoral head (L/R). Conclusion The proposed model evolution method provides a practical way for the KBP to enhance its prediction ability with minimal human intervene. This highly refined prediction model can better guide KBP in improving the consistency and quality of the VMAT plans.

Outburst prediction and influencing factors analysis based on Boruta-Apriori and BO-SVM algorithms

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Zhang Zixian ◽  
Liu Xuning ◽  
Li Zhixiang ◽  
Hu Hongqiang
Keyword(s):  
Feature Selection ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Influencing Factors ◽  
Association Rules ◽  
Coal And Gas Outburst ◽  
Feature Subset ◽  
Gas Outburst ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Optimal Feature Subset ◽  
Feature Dimension

The influencing factors of coal and gas outburst are complex, now the accuracy and efficiency of outburst prediction and are not high, in order to obtain the effective features from influencing factors and realize the accurate and fast dynamic prediction of coal and gas outburst, this article proposes an outburst prediction model based on the coupling of feature selection and intelligent optimization classifier. Firstly, in view of the redundancy and irrelevance of the influencing factors of coal and gas outburst, we use Boruta feature selection method obtain the optimal feature subset from influencing factors of coal and gas outburst. Secondly, based on Apriori association rules mining method, the internal association relationship between coal and gas outburst influencing factors is mined, and the strong association rules existing in the influencing factors and samples that affect the classification of coal and gas outburst are extracted. Finally, svm is used to classify coal and gas outbursts based on the above obtained optimal feature subset and sample data, and Bayesian optimization algorithm is used to optimize the kernel parameters of svm, and the coal and gas outburst pattern recognition prediction model is established, which is compared with the existing coal and gas outbursts prediction model in literatures. Compared with the method of feature selection and association rules mining alone, the proposed model achieves the highest prediction accuracy of 93% when the feature dimension is 3, which is higher than that of Apriori association rules and Boruta feature selection, and the classification accuracy is significantly improved, However, the feature dimension decreased significantly; The results show that the proposed model is better than other prediction models, which further verifies the accuracy and applicability of the coupling prediction model, and has high stability and robustness.

Ground Motion Prediction Model for the Peak Inelastic Displacement of Single-Degree-of-Freedom Bilinear Systems

2018 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 1177-1199 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pablo Heresi ◽  
Héctor Dávalos ◽  
Eduardo Miranda
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Ground Motion ◽  
Degree Of Freedom ◽  
Motion Prediction ◽  
Ground Motion Prediction ◽  
Vibration Period ◽  
Single Degree Of Freedom ◽  
Inelastic Displacement ◽  
Single Degree ◽  
Proposed Model

This paper presents a ground motion prediction model (GMPM) for estimating medians and standard deviations of the random horizontal component of the peak inelastic displacement of 5% damped single-degree-of-freedom (SDOF) systems, with bilinear hysteretic behavior and 3% postelastic stiffness ratio, directly as a function of the earthquake magnitude and the distance to the source. The equations were developed using a mixed effects model, with 1,662 recorded ground motions from 63 seismic events. In the proposed model, the median is computed as a function of the vibration period and the normalized strength of the system, as well as the event magnitude and the Joyner-Boore distance to the source. The standard deviation of the model is computed as a function of the vibration period and the normalized strength of the system. The proposed model has the advantage of not requiring an auxiliary elastic GMPM to predict the median and dispersion of peak inelastic displacement.

scholarly journals Retweet Prediction Based on User Behavior

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Syeda Nadia Firdaus
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Social Networks ◽  
Social Network ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Matrix Factorization ◽  
Information Diffusion ◽  
User Behavior ◽  
Past Research ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Impact

Social network is a hot topic of interest for researchers in the field of computer science in recent years. These social networks such as Facebook, Twitter, Instagram play an important role in information diffusion. Social network data are created by its users. Users’ online activities and behavior have been studied in various past research efforts in order to get a better understanding on how information is diffused on social networks. In this study, we focus on Twitter and we explore the impact of user behavior on their retweet activity. To represent a user’s behavior for predicting their retweet decision, we introduce 10-dimentional emotion and 35-dimensional personality related features. We consider the difference of a user being an author and a retweeter in terms of their behaviors, and propose a machine learning based retweet prediction model considering this difference. We also propose two approaches for matrix factorization retweet prediction model which learns the latent relation between users and tweets to predict the user’s retweet decision. In the experiment, we have tested our proposed models. We find that models based on user behavior related features provide good improvement (3% - 6% in terms of F1- score) over baseline models. By only considering user’s behavior as a retweeter, the data processing time is reduced while the prediction accuracy is comparable to the case when both retweeting and posting behaviors are considered. In the proposed matrix factorization models, we include tweet features into the basic factorization model through newly defined regularization terms and improve the performance by 3% - 4% in terms of F1-score. Finally, we compare the performance of machine learning and matrix factorization models for retweet prediction and find that none of the models is superior to the other in all occasions. Therefore, different models should be used depending on how prediction results will be used. Machine learning model is preferable when a model’s performance quality is important such as for tweet re-ranking and tweet recommendation. Matrix factorization is a preferred option when model’s positive retweet prediction capability is more important such as for marketing campaign and finding potential retweeters.

scholarly journals Retweet Prediction Based on User Behavior

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Syeda Nadia Firdaus
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Social Networks ◽  
Social Network ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Matrix Factorization ◽  
Information Diffusion ◽  
User Behavior ◽  
Past Research ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Impact

Social network is a hot topic of interest for researchers in the field of computer science in recent years. These social networks such as Facebook, Twitter, Instagram play an important role in information diffusion. Social network data are created by its users. Users’ online activities and behavior have been studied in various past research efforts in order to get a better understanding on how information is diffused on social networks. In this study, we focus on Twitter and we explore the impact of user behavior on their retweet activity. To represent a user’s behavior for predicting their retweet decision, we introduce 10-dimentional emotion and 35-dimensional personality related features. We consider the difference of a user being an author and a retweeter in terms of their behaviors, and propose a machine learning based retweet prediction model considering this difference. We also propose two approaches for matrix factorization retweet prediction model which learns the latent relation between users and tweets to predict the user’s retweet decision. In the experiment, we have tested our proposed models. We find that models based on user behavior related features provide good improvement (3% - 6% in terms of F1- score) over baseline models. By only considering user’s behavior as a retweeter, the data processing time is reduced while the prediction accuracy is comparable to the case when both retweeting and posting behaviors are considered. In the proposed matrix factorization models, we include tweet features into the basic factorization model through newly defined regularization terms and improve the performance by 3% - 4% in terms of F1-score. Finally, we compare the performance of machine learning and matrix factorization models for retweet prediction and find that none of the models is superior to the other in all occasions. Therefore, different models should be used depending on how prediction results will be used. Machine learning model is preferable when a model’s performance quality is important such as for tweet re-ranking and tweet recommendation. Matrix factorization is a preferred option when model’s positive retweet prediction capability is more important such as for marketing campaign and finding potential retweeters.

scholarly journals Development of Macroscopic Cell-Based Logistic Lane Change Prediction Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Christina Ng ◽  
Susilawati Susilawati ◽  
Md Abdus Samad Kamal ◽  
Irene Mei Leng Chew
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Transmission Model ◽  
Lane Change ◽  
Traffic Data ◽  
Cell Transmission Model ◽  
Traffic State ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Change Prediction

This paper aims at developing a macroscopic cell-based lane change prediction model in a complex urban environment and integrating it into cell transmission model (CTM) to improve the accuracy of macroscopic traffic state estimation. To achieve these objectives, first, based on the observed traffic data, the binary logistic lane change model is developed to formulate the lane change occurrence. Second, the binary logistic lane change is integrated into CTM by refining CTM formulations on how the vehicles in the cell are moving from one cell to another in a longitudinal manner and how cell occupancy is updated after lane change occurrences. The performance of the proposed model is evaluated by comparing the simulated cell occupancy of the proposed model with cell occupancy of US-101 next generation simulation (NGSIM) data. The results indicated no significant difference between the mean of the cell occupancies of the proposed model and the mean of cell occupancies of actual data with a root-mean-square-error (RMSE) of 0.04. Similar results are found when the proposed model was further tested with I80 highway data. It is suggested that the mean of cell occupancies of I80 highway data was not different from the mean of cell occupancies of the proposed model with 0.074 RMSE (0.3 on average).

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