scholarly journals Estimation of Maximum Daily Fresh Snow Accumulation Using an Artificial Neural Network Model

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gun Lee ◽  
Dongkyun Kim ◽  
Hyun-Han Kwon ◽  
Eunsoo Choi
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Spatial Variability ◽  
Correlation Coefficient ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Fresh Snow ◽  
High Spatial Variability

For estimation of maximum daily fresh snow accumulation (MDFSA), a novel model based on an artificial neural network (ANN) was proposed. Daily precipitation, mean temperature, and minimum temperature were used as the input data for the ANN model. The ANN model was regularized and trained using a set of 19,923 data points, observed daily in South Korea between 1960 and 2016. Leave-one-out cross validation was performed to validate the model. When the input data were known at the gauged locations, the correlation coefficient between the observed MDFSA and the estimated one by the ANN model was 0.90. When the input data were spatially interpolated at ungauged locations using the ordinary kriging (OK) method, the correlation coefficient was 0.40. The difference in correlation coefficients between the two methods implies that, while the ANN model itself has good performance, a significant portion of the uncertainty of the estimated MDFSA at ungauged locations comes from high spatial variability of the input variables that cannot be captured by the network of in situ gauges. However, these correlation coefficients were significantly greater than the correlation coefficient obtained by spatially interpolating the MDFSA values with the OK method (R = 0.20). These findings suggest that our ANN model significantly reduces the uncertainty of the estimated MDFSA caused by its high spatial variability.

Prediction of Surface SO2 Concentration in Shanghai Using Artificial Neural Network

2014 ◽  
Vol 522-524 ◽  
pp. 44-47 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dan Xue ◽  
Qian Liu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Daily Precipitation ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Sea Level Pressure ◽  
Neuron Number ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Lm Algorithm

Air quality has been deteriorated seriously in Shanghai as a result of urbanization and modernization. A three-layer Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model was developed to forecast the surface SO2 concentration. The subsequent SO2 concentration being the output parameter of this study was estimated by six input parameters such as preceding SO2 concentrations, average daily temperature, sea-level pressure, relative humidity, average daily wind speed and average daily precipitation. Levenberg-Marquarde (LM) backpropagation was tested as the best algorithm and the optimal neuron number for the LM algorithm was found to be eight. ANN testing outputs were proven to be satisfactory with correlation coefficients of about 0.765.

scholarly journals Artificial Neural Network Model for Managing and Forecasting Water Reservoir Discharge (Hemren Reservoir as A Case Study)

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 132-143
Author(s):  
ABBAS M. ABD ◽  
SAAD SH. SAMMEN
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Correlation Coefficient ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Water Reservoir ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Artificial Neural

The prediction of different hydrological phenomenon (or system) plays an increasing role in the management of water resources. As engineers; it is required to predict the component of natural reservoirs’ inflow for numerous purposes. Resulting prediction techniques vary with the potential purpose, characteristics, and documented data. The best prediction method is of interest of experts to overcome the uncertainty, because the most hydrological parameters are subjected to the uncertainty. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) approach has adopted in this paper to predict Hemren reservoir inflow. Available data including monthly discharge supplied from DerbendiKhan reservoir and rain fall intensity falling on the intermediate catchment area between Hemren-DerbendiKhan dams were used.A Back Propagation (LMBP) algorithm (Levenberg-Marquardt) has been utilized to construct the ANN models. For the developed ANN model, different networks with different numbers of neurons and layers were evaluated. A total of 24 years of historical data for interval from 1980 to 2004 were used to train and test the networks. The optimum ANN network with 3 inputs, 40 neurons in both two hidden layers and one output was selected. Mean Squared Error (MSE) and the Correlation Coefficient (CC) were employed to evaluate the accuracy of the proposed model. The network was trained and converged at MSE = 0.027 by using training data subjected to early stopping approach. The network could forecast the testing data set with the accuracy of MSE = 0.031. Training and testing process showed the correlation coefficient of 0.97 and 0.77 respectively and this is refer to a high precision of that prediction technique.

scholarly journals Prediction of the Bicarbonate Amount in Drinking Water in the Region of Médéa Using Artificial Neural Network Modelling

2020 ◽  
Vol 69 (11-12) ◽  
pp. 595-602
Author(s):  
Hichem Tahraoui ◽  
Abd Elmouneïm Belhadj ◽  
Adhya Eddine Hamitouche
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Drinking Water ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Correlation Coefficient ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Network Modelling ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Artificial Neural

The region of Médéa (Algeria) located in an agricultural site requires a large amount of drinking water. For this purpose, the water analyses in question are imperative. To examine the evolution of the drinking water quality in this region, firstly, an experimental protocol was done in order to obtain a dataset by taking into account several physicochemical parameters. Secondly, the obtained data set was divided into two parts to form the artificial neural network, where 70 % of the data set was used for training, and the remaining 30 % was also divided into two equal parts: one for testing and the other for validation of the model. The intelligent model obtained was evaluated as a function of the correlation coefficient nearest to 1 and lowest mean square error (RMSE). A set of 84 data points were used in this study. Eighteen parameters in the input layer, five neurons in the hidden layer, and one parameter in the output layer were used for the ANN modelling. Levenberg Marquardt learning (LM) algorithm, logarithmic sigmoid, and linear transfer function were used, respectively, for the hidden and the output layers. The results obtained during the present study showed a correlation coefficient of <i>R</i> = 0.99276 with root mean square error RMSE = 11.52613 mg dm<sup>–3</sup>. These results show that obtained ANN model gave far better and more significant results. It is obviously more accurate since its relative error is small with a correlation coefficient close to unity. Finally, it can be concluded that obtained model can effectively predict the rate of soluble bicarbonate in drinking water in the Médéa region.

scholarly journals Using artificial neural network in simulating of the streamflow in the Srepok watershed

2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 114-120 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khoi Nguyen Dao ◽  
Phuong Ai Huynh
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Correlation Analysis ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Time Lag ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Ann Models ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

In this study, artificial neural network (ANN) model was used to simulate the streamflow in the Srepok watershed, Vietnam. Correlation analysis of time series for precipitation and streamflow was employed to determine input data for the ANN model. This result indicated a significant correlation up to 2 day time lag and 1 day time lag for the precipitation and streamflow series data, respectively. According to the correlation analysis, three ANN models including ANN1, ANN2, and ANN3 were investigated. A 3-year data record for the precipitation and streamflow was used for ANN training and testing. The result of ANN training and testing showed that the ANN2 with 3 input data (P(t), P(t-1), and Q(t- 1)) gave the best simulation (NSE = 0.95 for training period and NSE = 0.96 for testing period) comparing to those of ANN1 and ANN3. In addition, the comparison of ANNs showed that the increase of the input data did not offer the better result.

scholarly journals Kajian HKSA Antimalaria Senyawa Turunan Quinolon-4(1H)-imines Menggunakan Metode MLR-ANN

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-26
Author(s):  
Jafar La Kilo ◽  
Akram La Kilo
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Correlation Coefficient ◽  
Qsar Model ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Multilinear Regression ◽  
Qsar Study ◽  
Structure Activity ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Quantitatif Structure-Activity Relationship (QSAR) study of 22 antimalarial compounds of Quinolon-4(1H)-imines derivatives has been done using multilinear regression (MLR) and artificial neural network (ANN) methods. The best QSAR model was obtained from ANN analysis indicated by its higher correlation coefficient (r2) compared to MLR method, i.e. 0.931 with most influential descriptors is qC1, qC5, qC11, qN14 and log P.Keywords: Quinolon-4(1H)-imines, Antimalarial, QSAR, MLR-ANNTelah dilakukan kajian analisis Hubungan Kuantitatif Struktur Aktivitas (HKSA) terhadap 22 senyawa antimalaria turunan Quinolon-4(1H)-imines menggunakan metode regresi multilinear (MLR) dan artificial neural network (ANN). Model HKSA terbaik diperoleh dari hasil analisis menggunakan metode ANN yang ditunjukkan oleh nilai koefisien korelasi (r2) paling tinggi dibandingkan dengan metode MLR yaitu sebesar 0,931 dengan deskriptor paling berpengaruh terhadap aktivitas antimalaria turunan Quinolon-4(1H)-imines, yaitu qC1, qC5, qC11, qN14 dan log P.Kata Kunci: Quinolon-4(1H)-imines, Antimalaria, HKSA, MLR-ANN

scholarly journals Forecasting monthly rainfall using autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA) and artificial neural network (ANN) model: A case study of Junagadh, Gujarat, India

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 35-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. K. Dwivedi ◽  
J.H. Kelaiya ◽  
G. R. Sharma
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Correlation Coefficient ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Propagation Model ◽  
Monthly Rainfall ◽  
Hydrological Processes ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Testing Data ◽  
Back Propagation Model

The onset, withdrawal and quantity of rainfall greatly influence the agricultural yield, economy, water resources, power generation and ecosystem. Time series modelling has been extensively used in stochastic hydrology for predicting various hydrological processes. The principles of stochastic processes have been increasingly and successfully applied in the past three decades to model many of the hydrological processes which are stochastic in nature. Time lagged models extract maximum possible information from the available record for forecasting. Artificial neural network has been found to be effective in modelling hydrological processes which are stochastic in nature. The ARIMA model was used to simulate and forecast rainfall using its linear approach and the performance of the model was compared with ANN. The computational approach of ANN is inspired from nervous system of living beings and the neurons possess the parallel distribution processing nature. ANN has proven to be a reliable tool for modelling compared to conventional methods like ARIMA and therefore ANN has been used in this study to estimate rainfall. In this study, rainfall estimation of Junagadh has been attempted using monthly rainfall training data of 32 years (1980-2011) and testing data of 5 years (2012-2016). A number of ANN model structures were tested, and the appropriate ANN model was selected based on its performance measures like root mean square error and correlation coefficient. The correlation coefficient Seasonal ARIMA (1,0,0)(3,1,1)12 and ANN back-propagation model (5-12-1) on the testing data was found to be 0.75 and 0.79 respectively. Seasonal ARIMA (1,0,0)(3,1,1)12 and ANN back-propagation model (5-12-1) were used for forecasting rainfall of 5 years (2017-2021).

Modelling Adjusted Baseline Energy in an Office Building Using Artificial Neural Network

2015 ◽  
Vol 785 ◽  
pp. 655-660 ◽  
Author(s):  
F.M.A. Rahman ◽  
Nofri Yenita Dahalan ◽  
Nor Shahida Razali
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Energy Use ◽  
Energy Savings ◽  
Regression Technique ◽  
Office Building ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Artificial Neural

This paper proposes Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to determine adjusted baseline energy for quantifying energy savings from an energy efficiency program implemented in an office building. The input data to the ANN includes number of working days and cooling degree days (CDD) each month for one year period before implementation of the retrofitting program. On the other hand, output data is baseline energy use (i.e. energy use before retrofit). Since the input data to the network encompasses of 36 months set of data only, Bootstrap method is used to generate more input data without changing the input and output trend of the original data set. This is performed to increase validity of the training process. Once the optimum training parameters have been obtained, adjusted baseline energy is determined by feeding the number of working days and CDDs in the post-retrofit period (i.e. 12 months set of data) to the network. Energy savings is then calculated by comparing the adjusted baseline energy with the energy use after implementing the retrofit program. The performances of the ANN model are then compared with Multi-regression technique in term of R2, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Mean Square Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD). Results show that the proposed ANN model has smaller errors and R2 closer to one compare to Multi-regression technique.

Temperature Rise Prediction of Oil-Air Lubricated Angular Contact Ball Bearings Using Artificial Neural Network

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 248-261
Author(s):  
Baomin Wang ◽  
Xiao Chang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Temperature Rise ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Ball Bearing ◽  
Influence Factors ◽  
Ball Bearings ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Angular Contact Ball Bearing ◽  
Artificial Neural

Background: Angular contact ball bearing is an important component of many high-speed rotating mechanical systems. Oil-air lubrication makes it possible for angular contact ball bearing to operate at high speed. So the lubrication state of angular contact ball bearing directly affects the performance of the mechanical systems. However, as bearing rotation speed increases, the temperature rise is still the dominant limiting factor for improving the performance and service life of angular contact ball bearings. Therefore, it is very necessary to predict the temperature rise of angular contact ball bearings lubricated with oil-air. Objective: The purpose of this study is to provide an overview of temperature calculation of bearing from many studies and patents, and propose a new prediction method for temperature rise of angular contact ball bearing. Methods: Based on the artificial neural network and genetic algorithm, a new prediction methodology for bearings temperature rise was proposed which capitalizes on the notion that the temperature rise of oil-air lubricated angular contact ball bearing is generally coupling. The influence factors of temperature rise in high-speed angular contact ball bearings were analyzed through grey relational analysis, and the key influence factors are determined. Combined with Genetic Algorithm (GA), the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model based on these key influence factors was built up, two groups of experimental data were used to train and validate the ANN model. Results: Compared with the ANN model, the ANN-GA model has shorter training time, higher accuracy and better stability, the output of ANN-GA model shows a good agreement with the experimental data, above 92% of bearing temperature rise under varying conditions can be predicted using the ANNGA model. Conclusion: A new method was proposed to predict the temperature rise of oil-air lubricated angular contact ball bearings based on the artificial neural network and genetic algorithm. The results show that the prediction model has good accuracy, stability and robustness.

scholarly journals Artificial neural network, predictor variables and sensitivity threshold for DNA methylation-based age prediction using blood samples

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhonghui Thong ◽  
Jolena Ying Ying Tan ◽  
Eileen Shuzhen Loo ◽  
Yu Wei Phua ◽  
Xavier Liang Shun Chan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Sensitivity Threshold ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Blood Samples ◽  
Ann Models ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Age Prediction

AbstractRegression models are often used to predict age of an individual based on methylation patterns. Artificial neural network (ANN) however was recently shown to be more accurate for age prediction. Additionally, the impact of ethnicity and sex on our previous regression model have not been studied. Furthermore, there is currently no age prediction study investigating the lower limit of input DNA at the bisulfite treatment stage prior to pyrosequencing. Herein, we evaluated both regression and ANN models, and the impact of ethnicity and sex on age prediction for 333 local blood samples using three loci on the pyrosequencing platform. Subsequently, we trained a one locus-based ANN model to reduce the amount of DNA used. We demonstrated that the ANN model has a higher accuracy of age prediction than the regression model. Additionally, we showed that ethnicity did not affect age prediction among local Chinese, Malays and Indians. Although the predicted age of males were marginally overestimated, sex did not impact the accuracy of age prediction. Lastly, we present a one locus, dual CpG model using 25 ng of input DNA that is sufficient for forensic age prediction. In conclusion, the two ANN models validated would be useful for age prediction to provide forensic intelligence leads.

scholarly journals Estimation of the Hot Swap Circulation Current of a Multiple Parallel Lithium Battery System with an Artificial Neural Network Model

Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 1448
Author(s):  
Nam-Gyu Lim ◽  
Jae-Yeol Kim ◽  
Seongjun Lee
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Lithium Battery ◽  
Battery Pack ◽  
Battery Management ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Battery System ◽  
Load Current ◽  
Circulating Current ◽  
Artificial Neural

Battery applications, such as electric vehicles, electric propulsion ships, and energy storage systems, are developing rapidly, and battery management issues are gaining attention. In this application field, a battery system with a high capacity and high power in which numerous battery cells are connected in series and parallel is used. Therefore, research on a battery management system (BMS) to which various algorithms are applied for efficient use and safe operation of batteries is being conducted. In general, maintenance/replacement of multi-series/multiple parallel battery systems is only possible when there is no load current, or the entire system is shut down. However, if the circulating current generated by the voltage difference between the newly added battery and the existing battery pack is less than the allowable current of the system, the new battery can be connected while the system is running, which is called hot swapping. The circulating current generated during the hot-swap operation is determined by the battery’s state of charge (SOC), the parallel configuration of the battery system, temperature, aging, operating point, and differences in the load current. Therefore, since there is a limit to formulating a circulating current that changes in size according to these various conditions, this paper presents a circulating current estimation method, using an artificial neural network (ANN). The ANN model for estimating the hot-swap circulating current is designed for a 1S4P lithium battery pack system, consisting of one series and four parallel cells. The circulating current of the ANN model proposed in this paper is experimentally verified to be able to estimate the actual value within a 6% error range.

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