scholarly journals Application of Various Machine Learning Techniques in Predicting Total Organic Carbon from Well Logs

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Osama Siddig ◽  
Ahmed Farid Ibrahim ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Organic Carbon ◽  
Total Organic Carbon ◽  
The Other ◽  
Well Logs ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Average Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Empirical Correlations

Unconventional resources have recently gained a lot of attention, and as a consequence, there has been an increase in research interest in predicting total organic carbon (TOC) as a crucial quality indicator. TOC is commonly measured experimentally; however, due to sampling restrictions, obtaining continuous data on TOC is difficult. Therefore, different empirical correlations for TOC have been presented. However, there are concerns about the generalization and accuracy of these correlations. In this paper, different machine learning (ML) techniques were utilized to develop models that predict TOC from well logs, including formation resistivity (FR), spontaneous potential (SP), sonic transit time (Δt), bulk density (RHOB), neutron porosity (CNP), gamma ray (GR), and spectrum logs of thorium (Th), uranium (Ur), and potassium (K). Over 1250 data points from the Devonian Duvernay shale were utilized to create and validate the model. These datasets were obtained from three wells; the first was used to train the models, while the data sets from the other two wells were utilized to test and validate them. Support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and decision tree (DT) were the ML approaches tested, and their predictions were contrasted with three empirical correlations. Various AI methods’ parameters were tested to assure the best possible accuracy in terms of correlation coefficient (R) and average absolute percentage error (AAPE) between the actual and predicted TOC. The three ML methods yielded good matches; however, the RF-based model has the best performance. The RF model was able to predict the TOC for the different datasets with R values range between 0.93 and 0.99 and AAPE values less than 14%. In terms of average error, the ML-based models outperformed the other three empirical correlations. This study shows the capability and robustness of ML models to predict the total organic carbon from readily available logging data without the need for core analysis or additional well interventions.

Estimating the Total Organic Carbon for Unconventional Shale Resources During the Drilling Process: A Machine Learning Approach

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-26
Author(s):  
Ahmed Mahmoud ◽  
Hany Gamal ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Ahmed Alsaihati
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Organic Carbon ◽  
Total Organic Carbon ◽  
Gamma Ray ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Drilling Process ◽  
Validation Data ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Data Points

Abstract Total organic carbon (TOC) is an essential parameter that indicates the quality of unconventional reservoirs. In this study, four machine learning (ML) algorithms of the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), support vector regression (SVR), functional neural networks (FNN), and random forests (RF) were optimized to evaluate the TOC. The novelty of this work is that the optimized models predict the TOC from the bulk gamma-ray (GR) and spectral GR logs of uranium, thorium, and potassium only. The ML algorithms were trained on 749 datasets from Well-1, tested on 226 datasets from Well-2, and validated on 73 data points from Well-3. The predictability of the optimized algorithms was also compared with the available equations. The results of this study indicated that the optimized ANFIS, SVR, and RF models overperformed the available empirical equations in predicting the TOC. For validation data of Well-3, the optimized ANFIS, SVR, and RF algorithms predicted the TOC with AAPE's of 10.6%, 12.0%, and 8.9%, respectively, compared with the AAPE of 21.1% when the FNN model was used. While for the same data, the TOC was assessed with AAPE's of 48.6%, 24.6%, 20.2%, and 17.8% when Schmoker model, ΔlogR method, Zhao et al. correlation, and Mahmoud et al. correlation was used, respectively. The optimized models could be applied to estimate the TOC during the drilling process if the drillstring is provided with GR and spectral GR logging tools.

scholarly journals Application of Deep Learning for Credit Card Approval: A Comparison with Two Machine Learning Techniques

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 286-290
Author(s):  
Md. Golam Kibria ◽  
◽  
Mehmet Sevkli
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Credit Card ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Learning Model ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
The Other ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Deep Learning Model

The increased credit card defaulters have forced the companies to think carefully before the approval of credit applications. Credit card companies usually use their judgment to determine whether a credit card should be issued to the customer satisfying certain criteria. Some machine learning algorithms have also been used to support the decision. The main objective of this paper is to build a deep learning model based on the UCI (University of California, Irvine) data sets, which can support the credit card approval decision. Secondly, the performance of the built model is compared with the other two traditional machine learning algorithms: logistic regression (LR) and support vector machine (SVM). Our results show that the overall performance of our deep learning model is slightly better than that of the other two models.

Application of Various Machine Learning Techniques in Predicting Water Saturation in Tight Gas Sandstone Formation

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Ahmed Farid Ibrahim ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Yasmin Abdelraouf ◽  
Mustafa Al Ramadan
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Water Saturation ◽  
Well Logs ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Tight Gas ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Unseen Data ◽  
Sandstone Formation ◽  
Tight Gas Sandstone

Abstract Water saturation (Sw) is a vital factor for the hydrocarbon in-place calculations. Sw is usually calculated using different equations; however, its values have been inconsistent with the experimental results due to often incorrectness of their underlying assumptions. Moreover, the main hindrance remains in these approaches due to their strong reliance on experimental analysis which are expensive and time-consuming. This study introduces the application of different machine learning (ML) methods to predict Sw from the conventional well logs. Function networks (FN), support vector machine (SVM), and random forests (RF) were implemented to calculate the Sw using gamma-ray (GR) log, Neutron porosity (NPHI) log, and resistivity (Rt) log. A dataset of 782 points from two wells (Well-1 and Well-2) in tight gas sandstone formation was used to build and then validate the different ML models. The data set from Well-1 was applied for the ML models training and testing, then the unseen data from well-2 was used to validate the developed models. The results from FN, SVM and RF models showed their capability of accurately predicting the Sw from the conventional well logging data. The correlation coefficient (R) values between actual and estimated Sw from the FN model were found to be 0.85 and 0.83 compared to 0.98, and 0.95 from the RF model in the case of training and testing sets, respectively. SVM model shows an R-value of 0.95 and 0.85 in the different datasets. The average absolute percentage error (AAPE) was less than 8% in the three ML models. The ML models outperform the empirical correlations that have AAPE greater than 19%. This study provides ML applications to accurately forecast the water saturation using the readily available conventional well logs without additional core analysis or well site interventions.

scholarly journals Evaluation of the Total Organic Carbon (TOC) Using Different Artificial Intelligence Techniques

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (20) ◽  
pp. 5643 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Abdulhamid Mahmoud ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Abdulwahab Z. Ali ◽  
Mohamed Abouelresh ◽  
Abdulazeez Abdulraheem
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Organic Carbon ◽  
Total Organic Carbon ◽  
Well Logs ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Validation Data ◽  
Fuzzy Interference System ◽  
Interference System ◽  
Unseen Data ◽  
Devonian Shale

Total organic carbon (TOC) is an essential parameter used in unconventional shale resources evaluation. Current methods that are used for TOC estimation are based, either on conducting time-consuming laboratory experiments, or on using empirical correlations developed for specific formations. In this study, four artificial intelligence (AI) models were developed to estimate the TOC using conventional well logs of deep resistivity, gamma-ray, sonic transit time, and bulk density. These models were developed based on the Takagi-Sugeno-Kang fuzzy interference system (TSK-FIS), Mamdani fuzzy interference system (M-FIS), functional neural network (FNN), and support vector machine (SVM). Over 800 data points of the conventional well logs and core data collected from Barnett shale were used to train and test the AI models. The optimized AI models were validated using unseen data from Devonian shale. The developed AI models showed accurate predictability of TOC in both Barnett and Devonian shale. FNN model overperformed others in estimating TOC for the validation data with average absolute percentage error (AAPE) and correlation coefficient (R) of 12.02%, and 0.879, respectively, followed by M-FIS and SVM, while TSK-FIS model showed the lowest predictability of TOC, with AAPE of 15.62% and R of 0.832. All AI models overperformed Wang models, which have recently developed to evaluate the TOC for Devonian formation.

scholarly journals The TVGH-NYCU Thal-Classifier: Development of a Machine-Learning Classifier for Differentiating Thalassemia and Non-Thalassemia Patients

Diagnostics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 1725
Author(s):  
Yi-Kai Fu ◽  
Hsueng-Mei Liu ◽  
Li-Hsuan Lee ◽  
Ying-Ju Chen ◽  
Sheng-Hsuan Chien ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Error Rate ◽  
Primary Care Physicians ◽  
Microcytic Anemia ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Average Error ◽  
Classification Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Predictive Values ◽  
Cell Counts

Thalassemia and iron deficiency are the most common etiologies for microcytic anemia and there are indices discriminating both from common laboratory simple automatic counters. In this study a new classifier for discriminating thalassemia and non-thalassemia microcytic anemia was generated via combination of exciting indices with machine-learning techniques. A total of 350 Taiwanese adult patients whose anemia diagnosis, complete blood cell counts, and hemoglobin gene profiles were retrospectively reviewed. Thirteen prior established indices were applied to current cohort and the sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values were calculated. A support vector machine (SVM) with Monte-Carlo cross-validation procedure was adopted to generate the classifier. The performance of our classifier was compared with original indices by calculating the average classification error rate and area under the curve (AUC) for the sampled datasets. The performance of this SVM model showed average AUC of 0.76 and average error rate of 0.26, which surpassed all other indices. In conclusion, we developed a convenient tool for primary-care physicians when deferential diagnosis contains thalassemia for the Taiwanese adult population. This approach needs to be validated in other studies or bigger database.

scholarly journals Total Organic Carbon Content Prediction in Lacustrine Shale Using Extreme Gradient Boosting Machine Learning Based on Bayesian Optimization

Geofluids ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Xingzhou Liu ◽  
Zhi Tian ◽  
Chang Chen
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Organic Carbon ◽  
Total Organic Carbon ◽  
Bayesian Optimization ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Shale Oil ◽  
The Core ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Lacustrine Shale

The total organic carbon (TOC) content is a critical parameter for estimating shale oil resources. However, common TOC prediction methods rely on empirical formulas, and their applicability varies widely from region to region. In this study, a novel data-driven Bayesian optimization extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model was proposed to predict the TOC content using wireline log data. The lacustrine shale in the Damintun Sag, Bohai Bay Basin, China, was used as a case study. Firstly, correlation analysis was used to analyze the relationship between the well logs and the core-measured TOC data. Based on the degree of correlation, six logging curves reflecting TOC content were selected to construct training dataset for machine learning. Then, the performance of the XGBoost model was tested using K -fold cross-validation, and the hyperparameters of the model were determined using a Bayesian optimization method to improve the search efficiency and reduce the uncertainty caused by the rule of thumb. Next, through the analysis of prediction errors, the coefficient of determination ( R 2 ) of the TOC content predicted by the XGBoost model and the core-measured TOC content reached 0.9135. The root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) were 0.63, 0.77, and 12.55%, respectively. In addition, five commonly used methods, namely, Δ log R method, random forest, support vector machine, K -nearest neighbors, and multiple linear regression, were used to predict the TOC content to confirm that the XGBoost model has higher prediction accuracy and better robustness. Finally, the proposed approach was applied to predict the TOC curves of 20 exploration wells in the Damintun Sag. We obtained quantitative contour maps of the TOC content of this block for the first time. The results of this study facilitate the rapid detection of the sweet spots of the lacustrine shale oil.

scholarly journals Utilization of Artificial Neural Network in Predicting the Total Organic Carbon in Devonian Shale Using the Conventional Well Logs and the Spectral Gamma Ray

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Osama Siddig ◽  
Ahmed Abdulhamid Mahmoud ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Pantelis Soupios
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Organic Carbon ◽  
Total Organic Carbon ◽  
Gamma Ray ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Validation Dataset ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Empirical Correlations ◽  
Artificial Neural

Due to high oil and gas production and consumption, unconventional reservoirs attracted significant interest. Total organic carbon (TOC) is a significant measure of the quality of unconventional resources. Conventionally, TOC is measured experimentally; however, continuous information about TOC is hard to obtain due to the samples’ limitations, while the developed empirical correlations for TOC were found to have modest accuracy when applied in different datasets. In this paper, data from Devonian Duvernay shale were used to develop an optimized empirical correlation to predict TOC based on an artificial neural network (ANN). Three wells’ datasets were used to build and validate the model containing over 1250 data points, and each data point includes values for TOC, density, porosity, resistivity, gamma ray and sonic transient time, and spectral gamma ray. The three datasets were used separately for training, testing, and validation. The results of the developed correlation were compared with three available models. A sensitivity and optimization test was performed to reach the best model in terms of average absolute percentage error (AAPE) and correlation coefficient (R) between the actual and predicted TOC. The new correlation yielded an excellent match with the actual TOC values with R values above 0.93 and AAPE values lower than 14%. In the validation dataset, the correlation outperformed the other empirical correlations and resulted in less than 10% AAPE, in comparison with over 20% AAPE in other models. These results imply the applicability of this correlation; therefore, all the correlation’s parameters are reported to allow its use on different datasets.

Using Machine Learning Algorithms on Prediction of Stock Price

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 84-99
Author(s):  
Li-Pang Chen
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Historical Database ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

In this paper, we investigate analysis and prediction of the time-dependent data. We focus our attention on four different stocks are selected from Yahoo Finance historical database. To build up models and predict the future stock price, we consider three different machine learning techniques including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). By treating close price, open price, daily low, daily high, adjusted close price, and volume of trades as predictors in machine learning methods, it can be shown that the prediction accuracy is improved.

A Comparative Study of Different Machine Learning Algorithms for Disease Prediction

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (7) ◽  
pp. 172
Author(s):  
Anantvir Singh Romana
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Subsequent Treatment ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Disease Prediction ◽  
Classification Problems ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Neural Network Classifiers ◽  
Diagnostic Detection

Accurate diagnostic detection of the disease in a patient is critical and may alter the subsequent treatment and increase the chances of survival rate. Machine learning techniques have been instrumental in disease detection and are currently being used in various classification problems due to their accurate prediction performance. Various techniques may provide different desired accuracies and it is therefore imperative to use the most suitable method which provides the best desired results. This research seeks to provide comparative analysis of Support Vector Machine, Naïve bayes, J48 Decision Tree and neural network classifiers breast cancer and diabetes datsets.

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