scholarly journals Clinicopathologic Features and Prognostic Factors in Alpha-Fetoprotein-Producing Colorectal Cancer: Analysis of 78 Cases

2018 ◽  
Vol 51 (5) ◽  
pp. 2052-2064 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Feng ◽  
Yaqi Li ◽  
Weixing Dai ◽  
Shaobo Mo ◽  
Qingguo Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Liver Metastasis ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Elevated Serum ◽  
Alpha Fetoprotein ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Cancer Center ◽  
Clinicopathologic Characteristics

Background/Aims: Alpha-fetoprotein-producing colorectal cancer (AFPP-CRC) is quite rarely seen. This study aimed to elucidate the clinicopathologic characteristics and prognostic factors of AFPP-CRC. Methods: Among 5,051 colorectal cancer patients receiving surgery in the Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center from 2006 to 2016, we identified 78 patients with elevated serum level of AFP (> 10 µg/L) preoperatively. A propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed which matched 75 AFPP-CRC patients to the same number of AFP-negative colorectal cancer (AFPN-CRC) patients. Kaplan-Meier curves were compared using the log-rank test and multivariable analysis was performed to evaluate the effect of AFP-positivity while adjusting confounding factors. 27 patients were available for immunohistochemical analysis. We conducted functional experiments to characterize the tumorigenicity of AFP. Results: Patients with AFPP-CRC had a significantly higher incidence of advanced TNM stage and liver metastasis. Overall survival was significantly different between two groups before and after PSM, and AFP-positivity was one of the strongest predictors of overall survival in the multivariable model (HR 4.11, CI 95%: 1.43-11.76, p = 0.009) after PSM. We further investigated prognostic factors affecting prognosis in AFPP-CRC and found that the presence of liver metastasis was the only independent prognostic factor (HR 4.95, CI 95%: 1.48-16.48, p = 0.009). AFP expression was significantly positively correlated with HGF and c-Met expression. Transwell invasion assay revealed significantly increased cell motility with AFP overexpression. Conclusion: AFP-positivity is a significant negative predictor of overall survival in patients with colorectal cancer, which may be mediated by HGF/c-Met signaling pathway.

scholarly journals PCV for Oligodendroglial Tumors: In Search of Prognostic Factors for Response and Survival

2001 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 215-223 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Fortin ◽  
David. R. Macdonald ◽  
J. Gregory Cairncross ◽  
Larry Stitt
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Survival Rates ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Cancer Center ◽  
Chemotherapy Response ◽  
Initial Symptom ◽  
Oligodendroglial Tumors ◽  
Vascular Proliferation ◽  
Predicting Outcome

Background:We report survival and pretreatment prognostic factors for survival and chemosensitivity in 53 oligodendrogliomas treated with PCV (procarbazine, lomustine and vincristine) chemotherapy.Methods:A total of 53 patients with histologically proven oligodendroglioma, anaplastic oligodendroglioma or oligo-astrocytoma and treated with PCVwere extracted from the London Regional Cancer Center database. A retrospective review was conducted to evaluate overall survival and pretreatment prognostic factors for survival and chemosensitivity.Results:The median survival time from diagnosis was 123.6 months. The overall five- and ten-year survival rates were 72.7% and 52.7% respectively. Age <40, seizure as an initial symptom, absence of cognitive deficit and presence of a homogeneous hypodense lesion without contrast enhancement on the initial pretreatment CT scan were all factors independently associated with favorable outcome. The presence of increased cellularity, pleomorphism, mitosis, vascular proliferation and grading as an anaplastic lesion using these surrogates on pathological assessment, were all associated with an unfavorable outcome in univariable analysis. In multivariable analysis, only the anaplastic grading and presence of increased cellularity were significant determinants of unfavorable survival. The only factor adversely associated with chemosensitivity was the presence of a focal symptom at presentation.Conclusion:Overall survival is significantly longer in oligodendroglial lesions than in fibrillary astrocytic tumors. A two tier grading system using standard morphological features seems accurate in predicting outcome in these patients. The presence of a neoplastic astrocytic component does not seem to impact the outcome. No clinical, radiological or pathological factor could be identified to reliably predict chemotherapy response.

scholarly journals Survival Predictors of Metastatic Adrenocortical Carcinoma: a SEER-based Retrospective Study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ningning Yang ◽  
Qingqing Wang ◽  
Fengxia Chen ◽  
Haibin Ou ◽  
Yangyang Zeng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Liver Metastasis ◽  
Adrenocortical Carcinoma ◽  
Poor Prognosis ◽  
Lung Metastases ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Survival Outcome ◽  
Metastatic Site ◽  
Survival Predictors

Abstract Background: Metastatic adrenocortical carcinomas (MAC) have a poor prognosis. Advanced adrenocortical carcinoma often metastasizes to lung and liver. Prognostic factors of MAC have been rarely reported. This study aims to identify the association between specific metastasis and overall survival (OS) in MAC and determine the survival predictors for MAC patients.Methods: MAC patients' data was obtained from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2016. Survival differences were analyzed by Kaplan–Meier analysis and log-rank tests. Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify the prognostic factors associated with overall survival.Results: A total of 152 MAC patients were selected, among whom 77 patients (50.7%) were diagnosed with one metastatic site, 75 (49.3%) diagnosed with more than one distant metastasis. For the whole MAC cohort, multivariable analysis showed that year of diagnosis between 2013 and 2016, without liver metastasis, surgery and chemotherapy were significantly favorable predictors of OS. For patients with one metastatic site, lung metastases had a better survival outcome than liver metastases(p=0.037). Besides, compared with patients who didn’t received surgery, patients underwent surgery were correlated with longer OS (p=0.004). For patients with more than one site of distant metastases, married status, surgery, and chemotherapy predicted a better OS. Radiotherapy did not improve overall survival outcomes in the three cohort.Conclusion: Liver metastasis has a poor prognosis. Year of diagnosis, metastatic sites, surgery and chemotherapy were significant prognostic factors for OS in MAC patients. For patients with single metastasis, surgery was a favorable prognostic factor, while married patients, surgery and chemotherapy predicted a better survival outcome in patients with more than one metastasis. Based on the collective findings, surgery can be regarded as the preferred treatment option for all MAC patients. Besides, chemotherapy is also a good choice for patients with multiple metastases.

Enhancing risk stratification in primary mediastinal nonseminomatous germ cell tumors (PMNSGCT): A 27-year experience at a tertiary cancer center.

2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 373-373
Author(s):  
Andrea Necchi ◽  
Salvatore Lo Vullo ◽  
Patrizia Giannatempo ◽  
Elena Farè ◽  
Daniele Raggi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Elevated Serum ◽  
Germ Cell Tumors ◽  
Good Prognosis ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Cancer Center ◽  
High Survival ◽  
Prognostic Impact ◽  
Final Histology

373 Background: Mediastinal GCTs and PMNSGCTs poorly benefit from CT and half of patients (pts) still die for disease. Enhancing the risk stratification may result in tailoring a personalized treatment strategy since diagnosis. Methods: Between 1985 and 2012, 87 pts with PM-GCT were treated at our center. Of them, pure seminomatous histology was excluded. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was conducted to examine the prognostic impact of these candidate factors on overall survival (OS): type of 1st-line CT (high [HDCT] vs conventional dose [CDCT]), post-CT surgery, type of baseline elevated serum tumor marker (STM), presence of lung or liver-bone-brain metastases (LBB), STM response (still elevated vs normal or normalized), and histology (viable cancer [VC] vs necrosis/teratoma [NT]). OS curves were compared by Kaplan Meier method with the log-rank test. Results: The study included 68 cases with PMNSGCT. Median age was 28.5 yrs (IQR: 23-35). 12 pts (17.7%) presented with mediastinal syndrome, 23 (33.8%) had lung and 7 (10.3%) LBB metastases. 12 pts received upfront HDCT and 45 pts (66.2%) underwent post-CT surgery. The final model of poor prognostic factors included no surgery (HR: 8.74, 95%CI, 1.77-43.01), surgery + VC (HR: 6.97, 95%CI, 1.46-33.30), and lung metastases (HR: 2.92, 95%CI, 0.99-8.64). The model demonstrated moderate discriminatory ability for OS (c-statistic=0.68). A risk stratification model based on the combination of these factors and accounting for a 50% five-year survival cutoff identified 2 groups (poor prognosis, N=28 vs good prognosis, N=26) with distinct overall survival curves (p<0.001). Pre-operative STM and final histology were not associated (p=0.574 at Chi squared test). 5-yr OS after receiving 2nd line CT (n=25) was 18.7% (95%CI, 7.9-44.5). Results are limited by small numbers. Conclusions: Pts with PMNSGCT classified as having a good prognosis in this model had a fairly high survival estimate, while a strategy of consolidation CT for pts with poorest risk features warrants investigation, once the model is confirmed. The effect of surgery on survival was independent of post-CT STM, which also poorly predicted final histology.

Outcome of patients with colorectal cancer undergoing lung metastases resection: a single-institution retrospective analysis

2020 ◽  
pp. 030089162093079
Author(s):  
Marco Mammana ◽  
Francesca Bergamo ◽  
Letizia Procaccio ◽  
Marco Schiavon ◽  
Fotios Loupakis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Postoperative Chemotherapy ◽  
Single Institution ◽  
Relapse Free Survival ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Lung Metastasectomy

Introduction: This study was undertaken to review a single-institution cohort of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer undergoing lung resection after a multidisciplinary evaluation and to investigate the main prognostic factors for survival. Methods: Medical records of 129 patients undergoing lung metastasectomy for colorectal cancer with curative intent from 2001 to 2017 were reviewed. Tissue samples from the primary tumor were analyzed with a multiplex genotyping system for the detection of mutations in RAS and BRAF genes. Survival analyses were carried out by the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariable analyses were performed using the log-rank test and the Cox regression model. Results: Postoperative morbidity and mortality were 13.2% and 0%, respectively. At a median follow-up time of 62.5 months, median overall survival was 90.5 months and median relapse-free survival was 42.8 months. Multivariable analysis for overall survival identified synchronous versus metachronous metastatic presentation as the only prognostic factor, whereas relapse-free survival was independently associated with synchronous versus metachronous metastatic presentation, number of metastases, and postoperative chemotherapy. Conclusions: This study shows particularly favorable survival outcomes for patients undergoing lung metastasectomy. The validity of some of the main prognostic factors was confirmed and a positive effect of postoperative chemotherapy on relapse-free survival was shown. Contrary to other reports, the presence of KRAS mutations was not associated with significant survival differences. Further studies are needed in order to clarify the interactions between molecular, clinical, and pathologic characteristics and treatment-related factors.

scholarly journals SURVIVAL OF PATIENTS WITH COLORECTAL CANCER IN A CANCER CENTER

2020 ◽  
Vol 57 (2) ◽  
pp. 172-177
Author(s):  
Samuel AGUIAR JUNIOR ◽  
Max Moura de OLIVEIRA ◽  
Diego Rodrigues Mendonça e SILVA ◽  
Celso Abdon Lopes de MELLO ◽  
Vinicius Fernando CALSAVARA ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
Rectal Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Disease Stage ◽  
Cancer Center ◽  
Risk Of Death

ABSTRACT BACKGROUND: Hospital-based studies recently have shown increases in colorectal cancer survival, and better survival for women, young people, and patients diagnosed at an early disease stage. OBJECTIVE: To describe the overall survival and analyze the prognostic factors of patients treated for colorectal cancer at an oncology center. METHODS: The analysis included patients diagnosed with colon and rectal adenocarcinoma between 2000 and 2013 and identified in the Hospital Cancer Registry at A.C.Camargo Cancer Center. Overall 5-year survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and prognostic factors were evaluated in a Cox regression model. Hazard ratios (HR) are reported with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: Of 2,279 colorectal cancer cases analyzed, 58.4% were in the colon. The 5-year overall survival rate for colorectal cancer patients was 63.5% (65.6% and 60.6% for colonic and rectal malignancies, respectively). The risk of death was elevated for patients in the 50-74-year (HR=1.24, 95%CI =1.02-1.51) and ≥75-year (HR=3.02, 95%CI =2.42-3.78) age groups, for patients with rectal cancer (HR=1.37, 95%CI =1.11-1.69) and for those whose treatment was started >60 days after diagnosis (HR=1.22, 95%CI =1.04-1.43). The risk decreased for patients diagnosed in recent time periods (2005-2009 HR=0.76, 95%CI =0.63-0.91; 2010-2013 HR=0.69, 95%CI =0.57-0.83). CONCLUSION: Better survival of patients with colorectal cancer improves with early stage and started treatment within 60 days of diagnosis. Age over 70 years old was an independent factor predictive of a poor prognosis. The overall survival increased to all patients treated in the period 2000-2004 to 2010-2013.

scholarly journals Factors associated with the survival of colorectal cancer in Mexico

2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 315-324 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos Quezada-Gutiérrez ◽  
María Teresa Álvarez-Bañuelos ◽  
Jaime Morales-Romero ◽  
Clara Luz Sampieri ◽  
Raúl Enrique Guzmán-García ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Clinical Stage ◽  
Public Health Problem ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Cancer Center ◽  
Advanced Clinical Stage ◽  
Probability Of Survival ◽  
Kaplan Meier

Background/Aims: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a public health problem. In Mexico, there have been no recent studies conducted on survival in terms of this pathology or on the influence of prognostic factors. The study aims to determine the probability of survival in patients with CRC presence of low levels of schooling and a rural population, adjusted for clinical stage and type of treatment.Methods: A retrospective study was conducted in a cohort of 305 patients with CRC treated at State Cancer Center, located in Veracruz-Mexico; the follow-up period of 60 months (2012–2016). The survival probability was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier estimator and the log-rank test with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Prognostic factors were determined using hazard ratio (HR) multivariate Cox regression analysis.Results: Overall survival was 40% at 60 months. Subjects in the age group ≥ 65 years had a low survival rate of 28% (<i>P</i>= 0.026) and an advanced clinical stage of 22% (<i>P</i>< 0.001). Of the patients with bone metastasis, none survived longer than 5 years (<i>P</i>= 0.008). With respect to the unfavorable prognostic factors identified in the multivariate analysis, a decreased level of schooling was associated with an HR of 7.6 (95% CI, 1.1–54.7), advanced clinical stage was associated with an HR of 2.1 (95% CI, 1.2–4.0), and the presence of metastasis had an HR of 1.8 (95% CI, 1.1–2.9).Conclusions: Poor prognostic factors include an advanced clinical stage, the presence of metastasis and a low level of schooling. These findings confirm the importance of screening for early diagnosis, diminishing the barriers to accessing treatment and prospectively monitoring the population.

scholarly journals Blood cholesterol-to-lymphocyte ratio as a novel prognostic marker to predict postoperative overall survival in patients with colorectal cancer

2022 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Siyu Zhou ◽  
Qian He ◽  
Nengquan Sheng ◽  
Jianfeng Gong ◽  
Jiazi Ren ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Multivariate Analyses ◽  
Cholesterol Metabolism ◽  
Blood Cholesterol ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Calibration Plot ◽  
Lymphocyte Ratio ◽  
Kaplan Meier

Abstract Background Lipid disequilibrium and systemic inflammation are reported to correlate with tumorigenesis and development of colorectal cancer (CRC). We construct the novel biomarker cholesterol-to-lymphocyte ratio (CLR) to reflect the synergistic effect of cholesterol metabolism and inflammation on CRC outcomes. This study aims to investigate the clinical significance of CLR and establish a prognostic model for CRC. Methods Our study retrospectively enrolled 223 CRC patients who underwent curative surgical resection. The Kaplan-Meier method was employed to estimate the overall survival (OS) rates, and the association between serological biomarkers and survival was assessed with a log-rank test. Cox proportional hazard regression was applied in the univariate and multivariate analyses to identify independent prognostic factors, which were then used to develop a predictive nomogram model for OS in CRC. The nomogram was evaluated by the C-index, receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC) analysis, and calibration plot. All cases were grouped into three stratifications according to the total risk points calculated from the nomogram, and the difference in OS between them was assessed with the Kaplan-Meier method. Results At the end of the study, death occurred in 47 (21%) cases. Patients with low CLR (< 3.23) had significantly prolonged survival (P < 0.001). Multivariate analyses revealed that N stage (P < 0.001), harvested lymph nodes (P = 0.021), and CLR (P = 0.005) were independent prognostic factors for OS and a prognostic nomogram was established based on these variables. The nomogram showed good calibration and predictive performance with a superior C-index than TNM stage (0.755 (0.719–0.791) vs. 0.663 (0.629–0.697), P = 0.001). Patients of different risk stratifications based on the total score of nomogram showed distinct survival (P < 0.001). Conclusions The nomogram based on CLR and other clinical features can be used as a potentially convenient and reliable tool in predicting survival in patients with CRC.

scholarly journals Prognostic Factors of Radiofrequency Ablation plus Systemic Chemotherapy for Unresectable Colorectal Cancer with Liver Metastasis

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Ky Thai Doan ◽  
Long Nguyễn Việt ◽  
Thinh Nguyen Tien ◽  
Binh Nguyen Canh ◽  
Hoai Ngo Thi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Multivariate Analysis ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Radiofrequency Ablation ◽  
Liver Metastasis ◽  
Systemic Chemotherapy ◽  
Univariate Analysis ◽  
Survival Rates ◽  
Liver Lesions

Introduction. Survival outcomes in patients with unresectable colorectal cancer (CRC) liver metastasis treated by radiofrequency ablation (RFA) combined with systemic chemotherapy and correlation with potential prognostic factors were investigated. Material and Methods. A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 61 CRC patients with unresectable liver metastasis who underwent liver tumor-directed percutaneous RFA combined with conventional systemic chemotherapy between October 2013 and September 2018. Survival analyses were conducted using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the log-rank test was used to characterize differences in the median survival time and the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year overall survival rates of subgroups to identify prognostic factors. Results. Median overall survival and progression-free survival of all patients were 32 and 14 months, respectively. The cumulative survival rates at 1-, 3-, and 5-years were 93.2%; 44.5%, and 38.2%, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed that pre-RFA serum CEA levels, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) status, number of liver lesions, the size of the largest lesion, and the total lesion size were prognostic factors. However, multivariate analysis demonstrated that only the number of liver lesions and the size of the largest lesion were independent prognostic factors for survival. Conclusion. RFA plus systemic chemotherapy provides an encouraging survival outcome for patients with unresectable CRC liver metastasis. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the number and size of liver metastatic lesions are independent prognostic factors for survival.

Prognostic value of genomic alterations (GA) on overall survival in appendiceal adenocarcinoma (AA).

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 554-554
Author(s):  
Alexandre A Jacome ◽  
Kanwal Pratap Singh Raghav ◽  
Kenna Rael Shaw ◽  
Keith F. Fournier ◽  
Richard Eldon Royal ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Cox Model ◽  
Univariate Analysis ◽  
Stage Iv ◽  
Tumor Grade ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Cancer Center ◽  
Rare Tumors

554 Background: AA are extremely rare tumors, with potentially aggressive clinical behavior. The characterization of the molecular alterations of the disease is poorly described, as well as its association with clinical outcomes. The present study aims to evaluate the prognostic influence of GA on overall survival (OS) of AA patients (pts). Methods: We performed a retrospective study involving AA pts at MD Anderson Cancer Center between October 2012 and April 2017 who underwent next-generation sequencing (NGS) (at least 45 genes), using either tumor tissue specimens or peripheral blood for cell-free DNA (cfDNA). GA identified by NGS and clinicopathological variables were correlated with OS. Survival curves were performed by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with log-rank test. Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors was performed by the Cox model. Results: A total of 78 pts were identified, of which 35 had died (45%) in a median follow-up time of 4.8 y. The majority of pts presented with stage IV disease (72%); 46% underwent cytoreductive surgery (CRS) + HIPEC. Tissue-based and cfDNA-based sequencing were performed on 73% and 23% of the pts, respectively, and 4% had both. The most frequent GA were KRAS (62%), TP53 (36%), GNAS (28%), SMAD4 (18%), PIK3CA (16%), and APC (15%). By univariate analysis, stage, tumor grade, and CRS + HIPEC demonstrated prognostic value (p < 0.05). Multivariate subset analysis of stage IV pts adjusting for age, tumor grade (TG), CRS + HIPEC, KRAS, GNAS, and p53, demonstrated that poorly differentiated tumors and a KRAS mutated tumor resulted in worse OS (HR: 12.1 and HR: 3.9, respectively, both with p < 0.05) and CRS + HIPEC resulted in an improved OS (HR: 0.32, p < 0.05). Conclusions: Our analysis indicates that TG and the presence of the KRAS mutation are poor prognostic factors in the OS of pts with AA. CRS + HIPEC offers survival advantage . Molecular characterization and prognostication of these rare tumors may help guide therapy. These findings need validation, thereby continued evaluation in a larger population and utilizing a wider molecular platform is ongoing.

scholarly journals AB0619 PROGNOSTIC FACTORS OF PATIENTS WITH ANTI-MDA5 ANTIBODY-POSITIVE DERMATOMYOSITIS COMPLICATED WITH INTERSTITIAL PNEUMONIA -A JAPANESE SINGLE CENTER STUDY-

2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 1605.1-1605
Author(s):  
A. Umeda ◽  
M. Sawada ◽  
N. Watanabe ◽  
M. Suzuki ◽  
T. Naganawa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Interstitial Pneumonia ◽  
Serum Ferritin ◽  
Protective Factor ◽  
Detection System ◽  
Ferritin Level ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
University Hospital ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Roc Curve Analysis

Background:Anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 antibody (anti-MDA5 Ab)-positive dermatomyositis (DM) is frequently associated with rapidly progressive interstitial pneumonia (RPIP), whose prognosis is assumed to be poor[1]. Although outcome of DM-RPIP has been reported to be improved by early immunosuppressive therapy, we still experience the cases with severe outcome. Only several reports mentioned the prognostic factors and they have not been fully elucidated.Objectives:To identify the predictors of prognosis in patients with anti-MDA5 Ab-positive DM associated with interstitial pneumonia (DM-IP).Methods:Anti-MDA5 Ab-positive DM-IP patients admitted to Fujita Health University Hospital between January 2010 and October 2019 were consecutively included and stratified into 2 groups, the survived and the deceased groups. DM was diagnosed according to the criteria proposed by Bohan and Peter[2]. Clinically amyopathic DM was diagnosed according to the criteria proposed by Sontheimer [3]. Diagnosis of IP was based on findings of high resolution CT scan (HRCT). The definition of RPIP was rapid exacerbation of hypoxemia or HRCT findings in a period of days to one month after the onset. Clinical features and prognosis of the patients were collected retrospectively and compared between groups. Candidates of predictors are extracted by the univariable analysis using Fisher’s exact test for dichotic parameters and Wilcoxon signed-rank test for continuous parameters and multivariable analysis using logistic regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was examined to obtain the cut-off level. Survival was examined using Kaplan-Meier method and Log-rank test.Results:Twenty-one patients were involved. Eight were deceased and 13 were survived. The deceased group had a higher ratio of male (75% versus 25%, p= 0.018). All deceased cases were with RPIP and 67 % in the survived cases. Levels of serum ferritin (4490 versus 646 ng/mL, p = 0.0026), CRP (2.1 versus 0.9 mg/dL, p = 0.0490), CK (1150 versus 290 U/L, p = 0.017), AST (194 versus 108 U/L, p = 0.025) and LDH (674 versus 368 U/L, p = 0.011) were higher in the deceased group. Interestingly, skin ulcers were tended to be more frequent (12.5% versus 87.5%, p= 0.0587), and anti-SS-A antibody was also more frequently detected (14.3% versus 85.7%, p=0.0072) in the survived group. Using ROC analysis cut-off values were 963 ng/mL for serum ferritin level (sensitivity 100%, specificity 83%), 0.7 mg/dL for CRP (sensitivity 75%, specificity 69%), 308 U/L for CK (sensitivity 88%, specificity 77%), 62 U/L for ALT (sensitivity 100%, specificity 62%), and 454 U/L for LDH (sensitivity 88%, specificity 77%). Patients were divided into two groups based on these cut-offs or based on dichotic parameters and survival was examined between 2 groups. Except CRP and anti-SS-A antibody, survival was significantly worse in parameter-positive or higher groups. Interestingly, anti-SS-A antibody-positive group had better outcome compared with those without.Conclusion:In our analysis, novel candidates such as serum CK, AST, and LDH levels were newly extracted and parameters previously reported was also included and those were also associated with the clinical outcome. In addition, anti-SS-A antibody was identified as a novel protective factor associated with a good outcome.References:[1]Nakashima R, Hosono Y, Mimori T. Clinical significance and new detection system of autoantibodies in myositis with interstitial lung disease. Lupus 2016;25:925-33.[2]Bohan A, Peter JB. Polymyositis and dermatomyositis. N Eng J Med 1975;292:344-7.[3]Sontheimer RD. Dermatomyositis: an overview of recent progress with emphasis on dermatologic aspects. Dermatol Clin 2000;20:387-408.Disclosure of Interests:None declared

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