Abstract P207: Association Between a 20-year CVD-risk Score Based on Modifiable Lifestyles and Total and Cause Specific Mortality Among US Men and Women

Circulation ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 135 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mercedes Sotos-Prieto ◽  
Howard D Sesso ◽  
Frank B Hu ◽  
Walter C Willett ◽  
Stephanie E Chiuve

Background: The previously validated Healthy Heart Score, based on modifiable health behaviors (diet, physical activity, alcohol intake, smoking, and body weight), effectively predicted the 20-year risk of CVD in mid-adulthood. While these lifestyle behaviors are independently associated with many chronic diseases, it remains unknown whether the Healthy Heart Score may extend to an association with overall mortality risk. Thus, we examined the Healthy Heart Score and total and cause-specific mortality in the Nurses’ Health Study (NHS) and Health Professional Follow-up Study (HPFS). Methods: We conducted a prospective analysis among 58,319 women in the NHS (1984-2010) aged 30-55 y and 30,713 in men in the HPFS (1986-2010) aged 40-75 y free of cancer and CVD at baseline. The Healthy Heart Score was calculated at baseline and included 9 factors that best estimated CVD risk: current smoking, higher BMI, low physical activity, lack of moderate alcohol consumption, low intakes of fruits and vegetables, cereal fiber, and nuts, and high intakes of sugar-sweetened beverages and red and processed meats). Cox proportional hazards models estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) and adjusted for various demographics, medical history, medication use and total energy. Results: During 2,075,504 years of follow-up, there were 19,181 total deaths, including 11,464 in women and 7,717 in men. Compared to participants with the lowest predicted 20-year CVD risk based on the Healthy Heart Score (1 st quintile, median CVD risk: 0.01%), participants with the highest predictive CVD risk (5 th quintile, median CVD risk: 0.03%) had a pooled HR (95%CI) of 2.26 (1.86, 2.13) for total mortality; 2.89 (95 CI%, 1.93, 4.32) for CVD mortality; and 2.55 (95% CI 2.39, 2.72) for cancer mortality. Participants in the 5 th quintile vs . the 1 st quintile of the Healthy Heart Score had also a significantly greater risk of death due to CHD (3.40 [2.20, 5.26]), stroke (1.77 [1.00, 3.14]), lung cancer (6.02 [2.83, 12.79]), breast cancer (1.45 [1.13, 1.85]), colon cancer (1.51 (1.17, 1.94)), respiratory disease (3.94 (1.03, 15.14)), and diabetes (3.63 (2.00, 6.59)). Conclusion: The Healthy Heart Score, comprised of 9 self-reported, modifiable lifestyle predictors of CVD, is strongly associated with a greater risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality. This risk score is a potentially useful tool for risk assessment and counseling of healthy lifestyles to promote longevity

Circulation ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 137 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Paulette D Chandler ◽  
Deirdre Tobias ◽  
Jule E Buring ◽  
I-Min Lee ◽  
Daniel Chasman ◽  
...  

Background: Given the increased prevalence of cancer survivors in the United States, it is imperative to define risk factors for potential reductions in total and cause-specific mortality. Physical activity (PA) represents a promising target for intervention. Design: We prospectively evaluated PA from questionnaires before and after cancer diagnosis with total and cause-specific mortality among 13,297 subjects diagnosed with invasive cancer combined from the Physicians’ Health Study (PHS) (n=6328), Physicians’ Health Study II (PHS II) (n=912), and Women's Health Study (WHS) (n=6057). WHS and PHS participants were free of baseline cancer; PHS II participants reported no active cancer at baseline. We ascertained PA before and after an incident cancer diagnosis based on reports on repeated follow-up questionnaires. Death was ascertained by medical records and death certificates. Cox regression estimated combined hazard ratios (HRs) of mortality by PA adjusted for age, randomized treatments, BMI, and other lifestyle/demographic factors. We evaluated the interaction between PA before and after cancer diagnosis by comparing PA ≤1 versus ≥2 times/wk. Results: The mean follow-up after cancer diagnosis was 8.0, 7.5, and 5.2 y for WHS, PHS, and PHS II, respectively, during which there were 5623 deaths (WHS, 2164; PHS, 3269; PHS II; 190). Higher PA before cancer diagnosis was associated with significantly lower mortality. Compared with PA ≤ once/wk, the HRs (95% CIs) associated with PA 2-4 and >4 times/wk were 0.87 (0.82-0.93) and 0.88 (0.82-0.94) for total mortality; 0.77 (0.63-0.95) and 0.79 (0.62-0.997) for CVD mortality, and 0.90 (0.83-0.98) and 0.90 (0.83-0.98) for cancer mortality. Higher PA after cancer diagnosis was associated with significantly lower total and cancer mortality and non-significantly lower CVD mortality, with HRs (95% CIs) of 0.65 (0.58-0.72) and 0.66 (0.59-0.73) for total mortality; 0.78 (0.59-1.03) and 0.82 (0.61-1.10) for CVD mortality, and 0.66 (0.57-0.77) and 0.64 (0.55-0.74) for cancer mortality. There was a significant interaction of PA before and after cancer diagnosis for total (p int =0.02) and cancer (p int =0.007) mortality, but not CVD mortality (p int =0.38). Conclusions: Greater PA both before and after cancer diagnosis were significantly associated with lower total and cancer mortality. Higher PA before cancer diagnosis was also associated with lower CVD mortality. PA may be an important target for lower mortality after cancer diagnosis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. 1036-1036
Author(s):  
Marta Guasch-Ferre ◽  
Yanping Li ◽  
Walter Willett ◽  
Qi Sun ◽  
Laura Sampson ◽  
...  

Abstract Objectives The association between olive oil intake and the risk of mortality has not been evaluated before in the US population. Our objective was to examine whether olive oil intake is associated with total and cause-specific mortality in two prospective cohorts of US men and women. We hypothesize that higher olive oil consumption is associated with lower risk of total and cause-specific mortality. Methods We followed 61,096 women (Nurses’ Health Study, 1990–2016) and 31,936 men (Health Professionals Follow-up Study, 1990–2016) who were free of diabetes, cardiovascular disease and cancer at baseline. Diet was assessed by a semi quantitative food frequency questionnaire at baseline and then every 4 years. Cox proportional hazards regressions were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results During 26 years of follow-up, 32,868 deaths occurred. Compared with those participants who never consumed olive oil, those with higher olive oil intake (>1/2 tablespoon/d or >8g/d) had 15% lower risk of total mortality [pooled hazard ratio (95% confidence interval): 0.85 (0.81, 0.88)] after adjustment for potential confounders. Higher olive oil intake was associated with 15% lower risk of CVD death [0.85 (0.78, 0.92)], 38% lower risk of neurodegenerative disease death [0.62 (0.54, 0.71)], and 12% lower risk of respiratory death [0.88 (0.77, 1.00)]. Replacing 10 g of margarine, mayonnaise, and dairy fat with the equivalent amount of olive oil was associated with 7–20% lower risk of total mortality, and death from CVD, cancer, neurodegenerative, and respiratory diseases. No significant associations were observed when olive oil was replacing other vegetable oils combined (corn, safflower, soybean and canola oil). Conclusions We observed that higher olive oil intake was associated with a lower risk of total mortality and cause-specific mortality in a large prospective cohort of U.S. men and women. The substitution of margarine, mayonnaise, and dairy fat with olive oil was associated with a reduced risk of mortality. Funding Sources This work was supported by grants from the National Institutes of Health.


Circulation ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 140 (12) ◽  
pp. 979-991 ◽  
Author(s):  
Megu Y. Baden ◽  
Gang Liu ◽  
Ambika Satija ◽  
Yanping Li ◽  
Qi Sun ◽  
...  

Background: Plant-based diets have been associated with lower risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular disease (CVD) and are recommended for both health and environmental benefits. However, the association between changes in plant-based diet quality and mortality remains unclear. Methods: We investigated the associations between 12-year changes (from 1986 to 1998) in plant-based diet quality assessed by 3 plant-based diet indices (score range, 18–90)—an overall plant-based diet index (PDI), a healthful PDI, and an unhealthful PDI—and subsequent total and cause-specific mortality (1998–2014). Participants were 49 407 women in the Nurses’ Health Study (NHS) and 25 907 men in the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (HPFS) who were free from CVD and cancer in 1998. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional-hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. Results: We documented 10 686 deaths including 2046 CVD deaths and 3091 cancer deaths in the NHS over 725 316 person-years of follow-up and 6490 deaths including 1872 CVD deaths and 1772 cancer deaths in the HPFS over 371 322 person-years of follow-up. Compared with participants whose indices remained stable, among those with the greatest increases in diet scores (highest quintile), the pooled multivariable-adjusted HRs for total mortality were 0.95 (95% CI, 0.90–1.00) for PDI, 0.90 (95% CI, 0.85–0.95) for healthful PDI, and 1.12 (95% CI, 1.07–1.18) for unhealthful PDI. Among participants with the greatest decrease (lowest quintile), the multivariable-adjusted HRs were 1.09 (95% CI, 1.04–1.15) for PDI, 1.10 (95% CI, 1.05–1.15) for healthful PDI, and 0.93 (95% CI, 0.88–0.98) for unhealthful PDI. For CVD mortality, the risk associated with a 10-point increase in each PDI was 7% lower (95% CI, 1–12%) for PDI, 9% lower (95% CI, 4–14%) for healthful PDI, and 8% higher (95% CI, 2–14%) for unhealthful PDI. There were no consistent associations between changes in plant-based diet indices and cancer mortality. Conclusions: Improving plant-based diet quality over a 12-year period was associated with a lower risk of total and CVD mortality, whereas increased consumption of an unhealthful plant-based diet was associated with a higher risk of total and CVD mortality.


2021 ◽  
pp. oemed-2021-107393
Author(s):  
David Martinez Gomez ◽  
Pieter Coenen ◽  
Carlos Celis-Morales ◽  
Jorge Mota ◽  
Fernando Rodriguez-Artalejo ◽  
...  

ObjectivesWe examined the associations of history and duration in high occupational physical activity (OPA) with long-term total and cause-specific mortality.MethodsThe sample included 322 126 participants (135 254 women) from the National Institutes of Health–AARP Diet and Health Study, established in 1995–1996. History and duration in high OPA were reported by participants. All-cause, cardiovascular, cancer and other cause mortality records available through 31 December 2011.ResultsThe prevalence of high OPA was 52.1% in men and 16.1% in women. During 13.6 years (SD, 3.3) of follow-up, 73 563 participants (25 219 women) died. In age-adjusted models, the risk of death was higher among men (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.16) and women (HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.18 to 1.26) with a history of high OPA. However, these associations were substantially attenuated in women (HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.07, an 81.8% attenuation) and eliminated in men (HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.99 to 1.04, 85.7% attenuation) after multivariable adjustments. Similar important attenuation results were found when examining duration in high OPA, as well as using cause-specific deaths as the outcomes. Educational attainment and smoking patterns were the main contributors in the excess mortality among people working in highly physically active jobs in both men and women.ConclusionParticipating in high OPA was not consistently associated with a higher mortality risk, after adjustments for education and smoking factors. Workers in high OPA should be aware that they might not be getting all well-known health benefits of being physically active if they are only very active at work.


Neurology ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 90 (2) ◽  
pp. e135-e141 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yinge Li ◽  
Yanping Li ◽  
John W. Winkelman ◽  
Arthur S. Walters ◽  
Jiali Han ◽  
...  

ObjectiveWe prospectively examined whether women with physician-diagnosed restless legs syndrome (RLS) had a higher risk of total and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality relative to those without RLS.MethodsThe current study included 57,417 women (mean age 67 years) from the Nurses' Health Study without cancer, renal failure, and CVD at baseline (2002). Main outcomes were total and CVD mortality. We used the Cox proportional hazards model to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all-cause and CVD-specific mortality based on RLS status, adjusting for age, presence of major chronic diseases, and other potential confounders.ResultsWe documented 6,448 deaths during 10 years of follow-up. We did not observe a significant association between presence of physician-diagnosed RLS and high risk of total mortality (adjusted HR 1.15, 95% CI 0.98–1.34). When cause-specific mortality was studied, participants with RLS had a significantly higher risk of CVD mortality (adjusted HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.02–2.00) relative to those without RLS after adjustment for potential confounders. Longer duration of RLS diagnosis was significantly associated with a higher risk of CVD mortality (p for trend = 0.04). Excluding participants with common RLS comorbidities strengthened the association between RLS and total (adjusted HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.03–1.97) and CVD mortality (adjusted HR 2.27, 95% CI 1.21–4.28). However, we did not find a significant association between RLS and mortality due to cancer and other causes.ConclusionsWomen with RLS had a higher CVD mortality rate, which may not be fully explained by common co-occurring disorders of RLS.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaobing Feng ◽  
Wenzhen Li ◽  
Man Cheng ◽  
Weihong Qiu ◽  
Ruyi Liang ◽  
...  

Abstract ObjectivesWe expected to explore the associations of hearing loss and hearing thresholds at different frequencies with total and cause-specific mortality.Methods11,732 individuals derived from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2012 were included in this study. Data of death was extracted from the NHANES Public-Use Linked Mortality File through December 31, 2015. Cox proportional hazards models were used to explore the associations between hearing loss, hearing thresholds at different frequencies and total or cause-specific mortality. ResultsA total of 1,253 deaths occurred with a median follow-up of 12.15 years. A significant positive dose-response relationship between hearing loss in speech frequency and total mortality was observed, and the HRs and 95% CIs were 1.16 (0.91, 1.47), 1.54 (1.19, 2.00) and 1.85 (1.36, 2.50), respectively for mild, moderate and severe speech-frequency hearing loss (SFHL) with a P trend of 0.0003. In addition, moderate (HR: 1.90, 95%CI: 1.20-3.00) and greater (3.50, 1.38-8.86) SFHL significantly elevated risk of heart disease mortality. Moreover, hearing thresholds of >25 dB at 500, 1000, or 2000 Hz were significantly associated with elevated mortality from all causes (1.40, 1.17-1.68; 1.44, 1.20-1.73; and 1.33, 1.10-1.62, respectively) and heart disease (1.89, 1.08-3.34; 1.95, 1.21-3.16; and 1.89, 1.16-3.09, respectively). ConclusionHearing loss is associated with increased risks of total mortality and heart disease mortality, especially for hearing loss at speech frequency. Preventing or inhibiting the pathogenic factors of hearing loss is important for reducing the risk of death.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hang Li ◽  
Xiulong Wu ◽  
Yansen Bai ◽  
Wei Wei ◽  
Guyanan Li ◽  
...  

AbstractSystemic immune-inflammation index (SII) emerged as a biomarker of chronic inflammation and an independent prognostic factor for many cancers. We aimed to investigate the associations of SII level with total and cause-specific mortality risks in the general populations, and the potential modification effects of lifestyle-related factors on the above associations. In this study, we included 30,521 subjects from the Dongfeng-Tongji (DFTJ) cohort and 25,761 subjects from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999–2014. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the associations of SII with mortality from all-cause, cardiovascular diseases (CVD), cancer and other causes. In the DFTJ cohort, compared to subjects in the low SII subgroup, those within the middle and high SII subgroups had increased risks of total mortality [hazard ratio, HR (95% confidence interval, CI) = 1.12 (1.03–1.22) and 1.26 (1.16–1.36), respectively) and CVD mortality [HR (95%CI) = 1.36 (1.19–1.55) and 1.50 (1.32–1.71), respectively]; those within the high SII subgroup had a higher risk of other causes mortality [HR (95%CI) = 1.28 (1.09–1.49)]. In the NHANES 1999–2014, subjects in the high SII subgroup had higher risks of total, CVD, cancer and other causes mortality [HR (95%CI) = 1.38 (1.27–1.49), 1.33 (1.11–1.59), 1.22 (1.04–1.45) and 1.47 (1.32–1.63), respectively]. For subjects with a high level of SII, physical activity could attenuate a separate 30% and 32% risk of total and CVD mortality in the DFTJ cohort, and a separate 41% and 59% risk of total and CVD mortality in the NHANES 1999–2014. Our study suggested high SII level may increase total and CVD mortality in the general populations and physical activity exerted a beneficial effect on the above associations.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. 226-226
Author(s):  
Xiaoran Liu ◽  
Marta Liu Guasch-Ferré ◽  
Deirdre Liu ◽  
Yanping Li

Abstract Objectives We aim to 1) examine the association between walnut consumption and subsequent total and cause-specific mortality; 2) to estimate life expectancy that would be potentially gained by varying intake of walnuts in U.S. women and men. Methods Walnut consumption was assessed using validated food frequency questionnaires in 1998 (baseline year) and updated every 4 years. We included data from 68,308 women of the Nurses’ Health Study (1998–2016) and 26,760 men of the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1998–2016) who were free of cancer, heart disease, and stroke at baseline. We used Cox regression models adjusting for confounders to estimate mortality risk associated with walnut consumption stratified by sex and dietary quality. We used population based multistate life tables to calculate the differences in life expectancy and years lived in relation to walnut consumption. Results During up to 18 years of follow-up, we documented 30,502 deaths from any cause. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for total mortality across categories of walnut intake (servings/week), as compared to non-consumers, were 0.91 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.89–0.94), for <1 serving/week, 0.87 (95% CI, 0.83–0.92) for 1 serving/week, 0.79 (95% CI, 0.75–0.85), for 2–4 servings/week, and 0.77 (95% CI,: 0.71–0.81) for >= 5 servings/week (P for trend <0.0001). Per 0.5 serving/day walnut consumption was associated of a reduced risk of total mortality (HR: 0.82, 95% CI,: 0.77–0.88), CVD mortality (HR: 0.78, 95% CI,: 0.67–0.33), and cancer mortality (HR: 0.93, 95% CI:, 0.81–1.07) in participants with a suboptimal diet (AHEI score <60% of cohort distribution). A greater life expectancy of 1.78 years in women and 1.94 years in men was observed among those who consumed walnuts more than 5 servings/week, compared to non-consumers at age 60. Conclusions Higher walnut consumption was associated with lower risk for total mortality and longer estimated life expectancy among U.S. men and women of two prospective cohort studies. Our results provide evidence on the potential role of walnut in the prevention of premature death. Funding Sources UM1 CA186107, UM1 CA176726, UM1 CA167552 Y.L. was partly funded by the California Walnut Commission. The funders have no roles in the design and conduct of the study.


Nutrients ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 2699
Author(s):  
Xiaoran Liu ◽  
Marta Guasch-Ferré ◽  
Deirdre K. Tobias ◽  
Yanping Li

Walnut consumption is associated with health benefits. We aimed to (1) examine the association between walnut consumption and mortality and (2) estimate life expectancy in relation to walnut consumption in U.S. adults. We included 67,014 women of the Nurses’ Health Study (1998–2018) and 26,326 men of the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1998–2018) who were free of cancer, heart disease, and stroke at baseline. We used Cox regression models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). During up to 20 years of follow-up, we documented 30,263 deaths. The hazard ratios for total mortality across categories of walnut intake (servings/week), as compared to non-consumers, were 0.95 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.91, 0.98) for <1 serving/week, 0.94 (95% CI, 0.89, 0.99) for 1 serving/week, 0.87 (95% CI, 0.82, 0.93) for 2–4 servings/week, and 0.86 (95% CI, 0.79, 0.93) for >=5 servings/week (p for trend <0.0001). A greater life expectancy at age 60 (1.30 years in women and 1.26 years in men) was observed among those who consumed walnuts more than 5 servings/week compared to non-consumers. Higher walnut consumption was associated with a lower risk of total and CVD mortality and a greater gained life expectancy among U.S. elder adults.


Circulation ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 116 (suppl_16) ◽  
Author(s):  
Christin Heidemann ◽  
Matthias B Schulze ◽  
Oscar H Franco ◽  
Rob M van Dam ◽  
Christos S Mantzoros ◽  
...  

Background: Few studies have investigated the impact of dietary patterns that reflect existing eating habits on the risk of all-cause or cause-specific mortality. Objective: To prospectively examine the relation between major dietary patterns and the risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality among women of the Nurses’ Health Study. Methods: The participants included 72,113 women aged 35 to 55 years without a history of cancer, myocardial infarction, angina, coronary artery surgery, stroke, or diabetes at baseline. Dietary patterns were derived by factor analysis using information from five repeated, validated food frequency questionnaires that were administrated at baseline and every 2 to 4 years during the follow-up period (1984–2002). Cox proportional hazards regression was used to adjust for covariates including age, cigarette smoking, physical activity, body mass index, and further suspected risk factors. Results: Two major dietary patterns were identified. High prudent pattern scores represented high intakes of vegetables, fruit, legumes, fish, poultry, and whole grains, whereas high western pattern scores represented high intakes of red meat, processed meat, refined grains, french fries, condiments, and sweets and desserts. During 18 years of follow-up (633,516 person-years), we ascertained 6,011 deaths, including 3,139 cancer deaths and 1,154 cardiovascular deaths. After adjustment for potential confounders, the prudent diet was inversely associated with all-cause mortality (relative risk [RR] = 0.83 for highest versus lowest quintile, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.76 – 0.90, p for trend < 0.0001) and cardiovascular mortality (RR = 0.72, 95% CI = 0.60 – 0.87, p for trend = 0.0007), but not with cancer mortality (RR = 0.99, 95% CI = 0.88 –1.11, p for trend = 0.87). The western pattern was directly associated with all-cause mortality (RR = 1.21, 95% CI = 1.11–1.32, p for trend < 0.0001), cardiovascular mortality (RR = 1.22, 95% CI = 1.00 –1.48, p for trend = 0.01), and cancer mortality (RR = 1.15, 95% CI = 1.02–1.29, p for trend = 0.004). Conclusions: These data provide evidence that a high prudent pattern score and a low western pattern score may reduce the risk of total and cause-specific mortality.


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