Abstract 16930: Despite Prior Results, Heart Transplant Recipients Over 70 Have Worse Survival Outcomes Based on the 2019 United Network for Organ Sharing Database
Introduction: As the prevalence of heart failure increases by age, it is critical we understand the role of heart transplantation (HTx) in older patients. Recent long term studies have indicated no difference in HTx outcomes between recipients 70 years or older and those ages 60-69. But these studies included data from the 1980-90s, introducing significant variance due poorer outcomes across age groups in that era. We analyzed the most recent United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database, stratified by time frames before and after 2000, to demonstrate this statistical discrepancy and derive a more representative comparison of modern survival by age group. Hypothesis: HTx recipients 70+ years old may not actually have comparable survival to those 60-69 years of age, when assessing more recent HTx data. Methods: All UNOS HTx recipients over 60 years of age (n=20,446) were divided into 2 cohorts: those 60-69 and those ≥70 years old, which were analyzed over two time frames: transplant date 1987-1999 and 2000-2019. Demographic data (gender, ethnicity, BMI) as well as peri-operative factors (ICU stay, ischemic time, and length of stay) were evaluated for significance using Chi-Squared and H-Tests as appropriate. Kaplan-Meier Curve with log-rank tests were used to assess 10 year survival outcomes. Results: 19,129 patients were 60-69 years old, and 1,317 were ≥70 years old, with mean ages of 64.0±2.7 and 71.3±1.6 years respectively. The distribution of demographic and peri-operative factors was significantly different between the cohorts, with p<0.05 for values. Survival analysis indicated no significance in the earlier timeframe (1987-1999) with p=0.341, but indicated significance in the later timeframe (2000-2019), with p=0.004. Conclusion: The results indicate that since 2000, recipients 60-69 years of age have better 10- year post transplant survival than older recipients, a relationship previously obscured by worse outcomes in early data.