A parameterization of slantwise convection in the WRF model

Author(s):  
Ting-Chen Chen ◽  
Man-Kong Yau ◽  
Daniel J. Kirshbaum

Abstract In this study, we introduce a parameterization scheme for slantwise convection (SC) to be considered for models that are too coarse to resolve slantwise convection explicitly (with a horizontal grid spacing coarser than 15 km or less). This SC scheme operates in a locally defined 2D cross-section perpendicular to the deep-layer-averaged thermal wind. It applies momentum tendency to adjust the environment toward slantwise neutrality with a prescribed adjustment timescale. Condensational heating and the associated moisture loss are also considered. To evaluate the added value of the SC scheme, we implement it in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to supplement the existing cumulus parameterization schemes for upright convection and test for two different numerical setups: a 2D idealized, unforced release of conditional symmetric instability (CSI) in an initially conditionally stable environment, and a 3D real-data precipitation event containing both CSI and conditional instability along the cold front of a cyclonic storm near the UK. Both test cases show significant improvements for the coarse-gridded (40-km) simulations when parameterizing slantwise convection. Compared to the 40-km simulations with only the upright convection scheme, the counterparts with the additional SC scheme exhibit a larger extent of CSI neutralization, generate a stronger grid-resolved slantwise circulation, and produce greater amounts of precipitation, all in better agreement with the corresponding fine-gridded reference simulations. Given the importance of slantwise convection in midlatitude weather systems, our results suggest that there exist potential benefits of parameterizing slantwise convection in general circulation models.

2015 ◽  
Vol 54 (7) ◽  
pp. 1556-1568 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. García-Díez ◽  
J. Fernández ◽  
D. San-Martín ◽  
S. Herrera ◽  
J. M. Gutiérrez

AbstractLimited area models (LAMs) are widely used tools to downscale the wind speed forecasts issued by general circulation models. However, only a few studies have systematically analyzed the value added by the LAMs to the coarser-resolution-model wind. The goal of the present work is to investigate how added value depends on the resolution of the driving global model. With this aim, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model was used to downscale three different global datasets (GFS, ERA-Interim, and NCEP–NCAR) to a 9-km-resolution grid for a 1-yr period. Model results were compared with a large set of surface observations, including land station and offshore buoy data. Substantial biases were found at this resolution over mountainous terrain, and a slight modification to the subgrid orographic drag parameterization was introduced to alleviate the problem. It was found that, at this resolution, WRF is able to produce significant added value with respect to the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis and ERA-Interim but only a small amount of added value with respect to GFS forecasts. Results suggest that, as model resolution increases, traditional skill scores tend to saturate. Thus, adding value to high-resolution global models becomes significantly more difficult.


Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 761 ◽  
Author(s):  
Theodoros Katopodis ◽  
Iason Markantonis ◽  
Nadia Politi ◽  
Diamando Vlachogiannis ◽  
Athanasios Sfetsos

In the context of climate change and growing energy demand, solar technologies are considered promising solutions to mitigate Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions and support sustainable adaptation. In Greece, solar power is the second major renewable energy, constituting an increasingly important component of the future low-carbon energy portfolio. In this work, we propose the use of a high-resolution regional climate model (Weather Research and Forecasting model, WRF) to generate a solar climate atlas for the near-term climatological future under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. The model is set up with a 5 × 5 km2 spatial resolution, forced by the ERA-INTERIM for the historic (1980–2004) period and by the EC-EARTH General Circulation Models (GCM) for the future (2020–2044). Results reaffirm the high quality of solar energy potential in Greece and highlight the ability of the WRF model to produce a highly reliable future climate solar atlas. Projected changes between the annual historic and future RCPs scenarios indicate changes of the annual Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) in the range of ±5.0%. Seasonal analysis of the GHI values indicates percentage changes in the range of ±12% for both scenarios, with winter exhibiting the highest seasonal increases in the order of 10%, and autumn the largest decreases. Clear-sky fraction fclear projects increases in the range of ±4.0% in eastern and north continental Greece in the future, while most of the Greek marine areas might expect above 220 clear-sky days per year.


2004 ◽  
Vol 39 ◽  
pp. 293-299 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michiel M. Helsen ◽  
Roderik S. W. Van De Wal ◽  
Michiel R. Van Den Broeke ◽  
Erik R. Th. Kerstel ◽  
Valérie Masson-Delmotte ◽  
...  

AbstractWe consider a specific accumulation event that occurred in January 2002 in western Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica. Snow samples were obtained a few days after accumulation. We combine meteorological analyses and isotopic modelling to describe the isotopic composition of moisture during transport. Backward trajectories were calculated, based on European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts operational archive data so that the history of the air parcels transporting water vapour to the accumulation site could be reconstructed. This trajectory study showed that the air masses were not (super)saturated along most of the transport path, which is in contrast with assumptions in Lagrangian fractionation models and probably true for most precipitation events in Antarctica. The modelled fractionation along the trajectories was too limited to explain the measured isotopic content of the snow. It is shown that the observed isotopic composition of precipitation resulted from fractionation of initially more depleted water. This lower initial isotopic composition of water vapour might result from atmospheric mixing with more depleted air along the trajectory or from earlier condensation cycles, not captured by the trajectories. This is in accordance with isotope fields resulting from general circulation models, indicating a gradient in isotopic composition from the Equator to Antarctica.


2019 ◽  
Vol 77 (1) ◽  
pp. 113-129
Author(s):  
Mahnoosh Haghighatnasab ◽  
Mohammad Mirzaei ◽  
Ali R. Mohebalhojeh ◽  
Christoph Zülicke ◽  
Riwal Plougonven

Abstract The parameterization of inertia–gravity waves (IGWs) is of considerable importance in general circulation models. Among the challenging issues faced in studies concerned with parameterization of IGWs is the estimation of diabatic forcing in a way independent of the physics parameterization schemes, in particular, convection. The requirement is to estimate the diabatic heating associated with balanced motion. This can be done by comparing estimates of balanced vertical motion with and without diabatic effects. The omega equation provides the natural method of estimating balanced vertical motion without diabatic effects, and several methods for including diabatic effects are compared. To this end, the assumption of spatial-scale separation between IGWs and balanced flows is combined with a suitable form of the balanced omega equation. To test the methods constructed for estimating diabatic heating, an idealized numerical simulation of the moist baroclinic waves is performed using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model in a channel on the f plane. In overall agreement with the diabatic heating of the WRF Model, in the omega-equation-based estimates, the maxima of heating appear in the warm sector of the baroclinic wave and in the exit region of the upper-level jet. The omega-equation-based method with spatial smoothing for estimating balanced vertical motion is thus presented as the proper way to evaluate diabatic forcing for parameterization of IGWs.


2016 ◽  
Vol 56 ◽  
pp. 16.1-16.17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akio Arakawa ◽  
Joon-Hee Jung ◽  
Chien-Ming Wu

Abstract One of the most important contributions of Michio Yanai to tropical meteorology is the introduction of the concepts of apparent heat source Q1 and apparent moisture sink Q2 in the large-scale heat and moisture budgets of the atmosphere. Through the inclusion of unresolved eddy effects, the vertical profiles of apparent sources (and sinks) are generally quite different from those of true sources taking place locally. In low-resolution models, such as the conventional general circulation models (GCMs), cumulus parameterization is supposed to determine the apparent sources for each grid cell from the explicitly predicted grid-scale processes. Because of the recent advancement of computer technology, however, increasingly higher horizontal resolutions are being used even for studying the global climate, and, therefore, the concept of apparent sources must be expanded rather drastically. Specifically, the simulated apparent sources should approach and eventually converge to the true sources as the horizontal resolution is refined. For this transition to take place, the conventional cumulus parameterization must be either generalized so that it is applicable to any horizontal resolutions or replaced with the mean effects of cloud-scale processes explicitly simulated by a cloud-resolving model (CRM). These two approaches are called ROUTE I and ROUTE II for unifying low- and high-resolution models, respectively. This chapter discusses the conceptual and technical problems in exploring these routes and reviews the authors’ recent work on these subjects.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
James Ciarlo ◽  
Erika Coppola ◽  
Emanuela Pichelli ◽  
Jose Abraham Torres Alavez ◽  

<p>Downscaling data from General Circulation Models (GCMs) with Regional Climate Models (RCMs) is a computationally expensive process, even more so running at the convection permitting scale (CP). Despite the high-resolution products of these simulations, the Added Value (AV) of these runs compared to their driving models is an important factor for consideration. A new method was recently developed to quantify the AV of historical simulations as well as the Climate Change Downscaling Signal (CCDS) of forecast runs. This method presents these quantities spatially and thus the specific regions with the most AV can be identified and understood.</p><p>An analysis of daily precipitation from a 55-model EURO-CORDEX ensemble (at 12 km resolution) was assessed using this method. It revealed positive AV throughout the domain with greater emphasis in regions of complex topography, coast-lines, and the tropics. Similar CCDS was obtained when assessing the RCP 8.5 far future runs in these domains. This paper looks more closely at the CCDS obtained with this method and compares it to other climate change signals described in other studies.</p><p>The same method is now being applied to assess the AV and CCDS of daily precipitation from an ensemble of models at the CP scale (~3 km) over different domains within Europe. The current stage of the analysis is also looking into the AV of using hourly precipitation instead of daily.</p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 54 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 1113-1130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jia Wu ◽  
Xuejie Gao

Abstract Simulation of surface air temperature over China from a set of regional climate model (RCM) climate change experiments are analyzed with the focus on bias and change signal of the RCM and driving general circulation models (GCMs). The set consists of 4 simulations by the RCM of RegCM4 driven by 4 different GCMs for the period of 1979–2099 under the mid-range RCP4.5 (representative concentration pathway) scenario. Results show that for present day conditions, the RCM provides with more spatial details of the distribution and in general reduces the biases of GCM, in particular in DJF (December–January–February) and over areas with complex topography. Bias patterns show some correlation between the RCM and driving GCM in DJF but not in JJA (June–July–August). In JJA, the biases in RCM simulations show similar pattern and low sensitivity to the driving GCM, which can be attributed to the large effect of internal model physics in the season. For change signals, dominant forcings from the driving GCM are evident in the RCM simulations as shown by the magnitude, large scale spatial distribution, as well as interannual variation of the changes. The added value of RCM projection is characterized by the finer spatial detail in sub-regional (river basins) and local scale. In DJF, profound warming over the Tibetan Plateau is simulated by RCM but not GCMs. In general no clear relationships are found between the model bias and change signal, either for the driving GCMs or nested RCM.


2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (11) ◽  
pp. 4513-4524 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeff Willison ◽  
Walter A. Robinson ◽  
Gary M. Lackmann

Abstract Mesoscale condensational heating can increase the sensitivity of modeled extratropical cyclogenesis to horizontal resolution. Here a pseudo global warming experiment is presented to investigate how this heating-enhanced sensitivity to resolution changes in a warmer and thus moister atmosphere. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model with 120- and 20-km grid spacing is used to simulate current and future climates. It is found that the North Atlantic storm-track response to global warming is amplified at the higher model resolution. The most dramatic changes occur over the northeastern Atlantic, where resolution typical of current general circulation models (GCMs) results in a smaller global warming response in comparison with that in the 20-km simulations. These results suggest that caution is warranted when interpreting projections from coarse-resolution GCMs of future cyclone activity over the northeastern Atlantic.


Author(s):  
Chibuike Chiedozie Ibebuchi

Abstract This study addresses the applicability of general circulation models (GCMs) in studying the impact of climate change on hydrology. The statistical downscaling of precipitation based on circulation types (CTs) derived from the (fuzzy) obliquely rotated principal component analysis is suggested as a robust methodology in using climate models to research the impact of climate change on hydrology. The methodology allows understanding of the mechanism of atmospheric circulation in the study region, and the physical relationship between atmospheric circulation and the regional hydrological cycle. The capability of climate simulations from the MPI-ESM GCM to reproduce the observed CTs in the target region is examined in light of the uncertainty of atmospheric GCMs when used for circulation typing. The results were discussed and it showed that, generally, the analyzed GCM can reproduce the underlying physics of atmospheric circulation in the study region, represented by the CTs, together with their dominant periods, probability of occurrence, and annual frequency of occurrence with modest biases. Generally, the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) simulation indicates some improvement for the CT-based analysis relative to the CMIP5 counterpart; however, this depends on the analyzed CT.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
James M. Ciarlo` ◽  
Erika Coppola ◽  
Adriano Fantini ◽  
XueJie Gao ◽  
Yao Tong ◽  
...  

<p>Regional Climate Models (RCMs) have undergone substantial development, resulting in increasingly reliable high-resolution simulations. Despite this, the added value of these simulations compared to their driving General Circulation Models (GCMs) has been a recurring issue. Past studies have used different techniques to quantify the added value of a RCM. A new method is now being presented, based on these past studies, that quantifies the added value and presents it spatially. The method was also adapted to assess the Downscaling Signal (DS) in climate change simulations and compare this to the added value.</p><p>This new method has been used to assess the daily precipitation of the 55-model EURO-CORDEX ensemble and the CORDEX-CORE ensemble, focusing especially on the higher-end of the PDFs. This revealed an overall positive added value across all domains, especially in areas of complex topography, cost-lines, and tropical regions. This DS was similar to that of the added value when looking at RCP 8.5 far-future simulations.</p>


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