scholarly journals Improved Detection of Interannual Cloud Variability over the Southern Hemisphere Using Legacy Satellites

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (19) ◽  
pp. 8225-8236
Author(s):  
Shay Liu ◽  
Paul W. Staten ◽  
Brian H. Kahn
Keyword(s):  
Brightness Temperature ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
South Pacific Convergence Zone ◽  
Jet Streams ◽  
High Cloud ◽  
Modes Of Variability ◽  
Cloud Properties

AbstractShifts in deep tropical convection and midlatitude jet streams both manifest themselves in high cloud anomalies. Such anomalies may play a significant role in local to global climate processes. This work investigates how high cloud properties covary with two primary interannual modes of variability in the Southern Hemisphere (SH): El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the southern annular mode (SAM). In contrast to several recent studies that utilize the latest remote sensing datasets (e.g., CloudSat), we employ a novel combination of imager and sounder data from legacy satellite instruments. Using these legacy data, we confirm the poleward shift of high cloud fields in the SH midlatitudes with SAM seen in other recent studies and characterize the opposing impacts of SAM and ENSO on the South Pacific convergence zone and Southern Hemisphere storm tracks. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the standard deviation of brightness temperature data from the window channel acts as a surrogate for high cloud fraction in the tropics and midlatitudes. Our results reconcile apparent differences in recent studies and suggest that brightness temperature standard deviations are climate relevant, in addition to being largely insensitive to instrument calibration.

Coincident recruitment patterns of Southern Hemisphere fishes

2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (2) ◽  
pp. 270-278 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudio Castillo-Jordán ◽  
Neil L. Klaer ◽  
Geoffrey N. Tuck ◽  
Stewart D. Frusher ◽  
Luis A. Cubillos ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
New Zealand ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Fish Stock ◽  
Climate Indices ◽  
Dynamic Factor ◽  
Recruitment Patterns

Three dominant recruitment patterns were identified across 30 stocks from Australia, New Zealand, Chile, South Africa, and the Falkland Islands using data from 1980 to 2010. Cluster and dynamic factor analysis provided similar groupings. Stocks exhibited a detectable degree of synchrony among species, in particular the hakes and lings from Australia, New Zealand, Chile, and South Africa. We tested three climate indices, the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), Southern Annular Mode (SAM), and Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), to explore their relationship with fish stock recruitment patterns. The time series of IPO and SOI showed the strongest correlation with New Zealand hoki (blue grenadier, Macruronus novaezelandiae) and Australian jackass morwong (Nemadactylus macropterus) (r = 0.50 and r = –0.50), and SAM was positively related to Australian Macquarie Island Patagonian toothfish (Dissostichus eleginoides) (r = 0.49). Potential linkages in recruitment patterns at sub-basin, basin, and multibasin scales and regional and global climate indices do account for some of the variation, playing an important role for several key Southern Hemisphere species.

scholarly journals Triggering the Indian Ocean Dipole from the Southern Hemisphere

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lian-Yi Zhang ◽  
Yan Du ◽  
Wenju Cai ◽  
Zesheng Chen ◽  
Tomoki Tozuka ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Indian Ocean Dipole ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Triggering Mechanism ◽  
Phase Development ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
High System ◽  
The Tropics

<p>This study identifies a new triggering mechanism of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) from the Southern Hemisphere. This mechanism is independent from the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and tends to induce the IOD before its canonical peak season. The joint effects of this mechanism and ENSO may explain different lifetimes and strengths of the IOD. During its positive phase, development of sea surface temperature cold anomalies commences in the southern Indian Ocean, accompanied by an anomalous subtropical high system and anomalous southeasterly winds. The eastward movement of these anomalies enhances the monsoon off Sumatra-Java during May-August, leading to an early positive IOD onset. The pressure variability in the subtropical area is related with the Southern Annular Mode, suggesting a teleconnection between high-latitude and mid-latitude climate that can further affect the tropics. To include the subtropical signals may help model prediction of the IOD event.</p>

Antarctic climate response to large volcanic eruptions in the historical period

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Natália Silva ◽  
Ilana Wainer ◽  
Myriam Khodri
Keyword(s):  
20Th Century ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Causal Link ◽  
Historical Period ◽  
Temperature Changes ◽  
Modes Of Variability ◽  
Natural Modes ◽  
Open Questions

<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Large tropical volcanic eruptions are well known to change the global climate and maybe even interfere with some natural modes of variability such as El Niño Southern Oscillation. As they inject a high amount of sulfur gas into the stratosphere, sulfate aerosol loading increases a few months after the eruption, which is then transported globally. Large tropical events may, therefore, affect extratropical climate variability. For example, temperature changes have been identified in Antarctica after the Pinatubo eruption in 1991, as warming in the peninsula. However, a causal link with the eruption and, more generally, a possible influence of large tropical volcanic eruptions on the Southern Hemisphere climate are still open questions. In this study we aim to focus on the five biggest eruptions of the historical period (Krakatau — Aug/1883, Santa María — Oct/1902, Mt Agung — Mar/1963, El Chichón — Apr/1982 and Pinatubo — Jun/1991) by assessing two CMIP6 class models (IPSL-CM6A-LR Large Ensemble and BESM) and two Reanalyses (NOAA 20th Century Reanalysis and ECMWF's ERA 20th Century). </span></p>

scholarly journals Teleconnections and relationship between ENSO and SAM in reconstructions and models over the past millennium

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christoph Dätwyler ◽  
Martin Grosjean ◽  
Nathan J. Steiger ◽  
Raphael Neukom
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Negative Temperature ◽  
Internal Variability ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Teleconnection Patterns ◽  
Modes Of Variability ◽  
Proxy Records ◽  
Climate Model Simulations ◽  
Instrumental Records

Abstract. The climate of the Southern Hemisphere (SH) is strongly influenced by variations in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). Due to the temporally very limited instrumental records in most parts of the SH, very little is known about the relationship between these two key modes of variability and its stability over time. Here, we use proxy-based reconstructions and climate model simulations to quantify changes in tropical-extratropical SH teleconnections as represented by the correlation between the ENSO and SAM indices. Reconstructions indicate mostly negative correlations back to around 1400 CE confirming the pattern seen in the instrumental record over the last few decades. An ensemble of last millennium simulations of the model CESM1 confirms this pattern with very stable ensemble mean correlations around −0.3. Individual forced simulations, the pre-industrial control run and the proxy-based reconstructions indicate intermittent periods of positive correlations and particularly strong negative correlations. The fluctuations of the ENSO-SAM correlations are not significantly related to solar nor volcanic forcing in both proxy and model data, indicating that they are driven by internal variability in the climate system. Pseudoproxy experiments indicate that the currently available proxy records are able to reproduce the tropical-extratropical teleconnection patterns back to around 1600 CE. We analyse the spatial temperature and sea level pressure patterns during periods of positive and particularly strong negative teleconnections in the CESM model. Results indicate no consistent pattern during periods where the ENSO-SAM teleconnection changes its sign. However, periods of very strong negative SH teleconnections are associated with negative temperature anomalies across large fractions of the extra-tropical Pacific and a strengthening of the Aleutian Low.

Southern skies: Australian atmospheric research and global climate change

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruth A. Morgan
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Environmental History ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Environmental Change ◽  
Published Data ◽  
Global Knowledge ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Leading Role

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to examine the role of Australian climate scientists in advancing the state of knowledge about the causes and mechanisms of climatic change and variability in the Southern Hemisphere during the 1970 and 1980s.Design/methodology/approachThe paper uses the methods and insights of environmental history and the history of science to analyse archival and published data pertaining to research on atmospheric pollution, the Southern Oscillation and the regional impacts of climate change.FindingsAustralia's geopolitical position, political interests and environmental sensitivities encouraged Australian scientists and policymakers to take a leading role in the Southern Hemisphere in the study of global environmental change.Originality/valueThis article builds on critiques of the ways in which planetary and global knowledge and governance disguise the local and situated scientific and material processes that construct, sustain and configure them.

Does the El Niño–Southern Oscillation control the interhemispheric radiocarbon offset?

2007 ◽  
Vol 67 (1) ◽  
pp. 174-180 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chris S.M. Turney ◽  
Jonathan G. Palmer
Keyword(s):  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
El Niño Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Nino Southern Oscillation ◽  
Mean Values

AbstractSince the 1970s it has been recognised that Southern Hemisphere samples have a lower radiocarbon content than contemporaneous material in the Northern Hemisphere. This interhemispheric radiocarbon offset has traditionally been considered to be the result of a greater surface area in the southern ocean and high-latitude deepwater formation. This is despite the fact that the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is known to play a significant role in controlling the interannual variability of atmospheric carbon dioxide by changing the flux of ‘old’ CO2 from the tropical Pacific. Here we demonstrate that over the past millennium, the Southern Hemisphere radiocarbon offset is characterised by a pervasive 80-yr cycle with a step shift in mean values coinciding with the transition from the Medieval Warm Period to the Little Ice Age. The observed changes suggest an ENSO-like role in influencing the interhemispheric radiocarbon difference, most probably modulated by the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, and supports a tropical role in forcing centennial-scale global climate change.

Tracking the South Pacific convergence zone variability and recent acidification reconstructed from tropical corals

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sara Todorović ◽  
Henry C. Wu ◽  
Braddock Linsley ◽  
Delphine Dissard ◽  
Henning Kuhnert ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
South Pacific Convergence Zone ◽  
Convergence Zone ◽  
Climatic Fluctuations ◽  
Ph Variation ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Strong Trend ◽  
Tropical Oceans

<p>Massive tropical corals represent one of the most important natural archives of modern climate change. Coral based reconstructions give us the possibility to extend the instrumental oceanographic records and observe hydrographic variability on seasonal to interdecadal scales in tropical oceans. South Pacific convergence zone (SPCZ) variability, Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events are major drivers of global climate and may exert control on regional CO<sub>2</sub> absorption, outgassing and pH variability.</p><p><em>Porites</em> sp. corals from Tonga and Rotuma (Fijian dependency) are being analyzed for multi-proxy (e.g. Sr/Ca, δ<sup>18</sup>O, δ<sup>13</sup>C, δ<sup>11</sup>B, B/Ca) reconstructions of sea surface temperature and salinity (SST, SSS) and carbonate chemistry, on a monthly to annual resolution. Preliminary data of the Rotuma <em>Porites</em> sp. coral shows δ<sup>18</sup>O has been decreasing by 0.004 ‰ per year at the end of the 20th century, suggesting freshening and/or warming of the surface water. In the same period, we observe a δ<sup>13</sup>C decrease of 0.017 ‰ per year in-line with the anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> driven Suess effect. Initial results of the δ<sup>11</sup>B Tonga <em>Porites</em> sp. show high interannual variability, and a strong trend of decrease of -0.0626 ‰ per year in the last five decades of the record (1949-2004) suggesting acidification. The results are in agreement with published coral-based reconstructions from the region.</p><p>When completed, the new records will facilitate exploring the effects of modern anthropogenic influence on ocean carbonate system and pH variation, and the relationship between them and interannual and decadal-interdecadal climatic fluctuations.</p>

ENSO and SAM influence on the generation of long episodes of Rossby Wave Packets during Southern Hemisphere Summer

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iago Perez ◽  
Marcelo Barreiro ◽  
Cristina Masoller
Keyword(s):  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Southern Hemisphere ◽  
Rossby Wave ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Wave Packets ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Frequency Of Occurrence ◽  
Atmospheric Conditions ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Time Duration

<p>Rossby Wave Packets (RWPs) are key to the improvement of  long-range forecasting and for the prediction of sub-seasonal extremes. Several studies have focused on their properties, such as time duration, trajectory, areas of detection and dissipation as well as interannual variability in the northern hemisphere, but only a few of them have focused in the southern hemisphere. Here we study the influence of low-frequency climate modes on RWPs during southern hemisphere summer using NCEP DOE 2 Reanalysis data. Focusing on long-lived RWPs, which we define as RWPs with a lifespan above 8 days,  we determine how El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) modify their frequency of occurrence and their main areas of detection and dissipation. We found that during El Niño and negative SAM years, the number of long-lived RWPs is maximum. In addition, years with the highest amount of long-lived RWPs show a zonally symmetric and narrow upper level jet that is shifted northward from its climatological position. On the other hand, when the jet is shifted southward, particularly in the southeastern Pacific, during positive SAM phases, only a small number of long-lived RWPs is detected. Therefore, negative SAM conditions provide a background mean flow that favours the occurrence of long-lived RWPs while positive SAM conditions have the opposite effect. The dependence on ENSO phase is not as symmetric: while El Niño sets atmospheric conditions that favour the formation of long-lived RWPs, La Niña years present high interannual variability in the frequency of occurrence. Furthermore, in El Niño events the main formation area is between 61-120ºE and the main dissipation area between 300-359ºE. During La Niña events, the main formation area is located by 241-300ºE and no main dissipation area is identified. In the case of positive SAM two main formation areas appear at 61-120ºE and 241-300ºE and two main dissipation areas within 121-180 and 301-359ºE. Lastly in the case of negative SAM one main formation area at 241-300ºE is detected and no main dissipation area is detected. The robustness of the results was tested repeating the analysis using data from the ERA5 Reanalysis and supports the finding that the maximum number of long-lived RWPs occur during negative SAM and El Niño years</p>

scholarly journals Antarctic Sea Ice Climatology, Variability, and Late Twentieth-Century Change in CCSM4

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (14) ◽  
pp. 4817-4838 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Landrum ◽  
Marika M. Holland ◽  
David P. Schneider ◽  
Elizabeth Hunke
Keyword(s):  
Twentieth Century ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Austral Summer ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Cold Bias ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Climate System Model ◽  
Modes Of Variability ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice

Abstract A preindustrial control run and an ensemble of twentieth-century integrations of the Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4), are evaluated for Antarctic sea ice climatology, modes of variability, trends, and covariance with related physical variables such as surface temperature and sea level pressure. Compared to observations, the mean ice cover is too extensive in all months. This is in part related to excessively strong westerly winds over ~50°–60°S, which drive a large equatorward meridional ice transport and enhanced ice growth near the continent and also connected with a cold bias in the Southern Ocean. In spite of these biases in the climatology, the model’s sea ice variability compares well to observations. The leading mode of austral winter sea ice concentration exhibits a dipole structure with anomalies of opposite sign in the Atlantic and Pacific sectors. Both the El Niño–Southern Oscillation and the southern annular mode (SAM) project onto this mode. In twentieth-century integrations, Antarctic sea ice area exhibits significant decreasing annual trends in all six ensemble members from 1950 to 2005, in apparent contrast to observations that suggest a modest ice area increase since 1979. Two ensemble members show insignificant changes when restricted to 1979–2005. The ensemble mean shows a significant increase in the austral summer SAM index over 1960–2005 and 1979–2005 that compares well with the observed SAM trend. However, Antarctic warming and sea ice loss in the model are closely connected to each other and not to the trend in the SAM.

scholarly journals Interactions of ENSO, the IOD, and the SAM in CMIP3 Models

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (6) ◽  
pp. 1688-1704 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenju Cai ◽  
Arnold Sullivan ◽  
Tim Cowan
Keyword(s):  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Intercomparison Project ◽  
Wave Trains ◽  
Induced Signal ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract Simulations of individual global climate drivers using models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 3(CMIP3) have been examined; however, the relationship among them has not been assessed. This is carried out to address several important issues, including the likelihood of the southern annular mode (SAM) forcing Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) events and the possible impact of the IOD on El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. Several conclusions emerge from statistics based on multimodel outputs. First, ENSO signals project strongly onto the SAM, although ENSO-forced signals tend to peak before ENSO. This feature is similar to the situation associated with the IOD. The IOD-induced signal over southern Australia, through stationary equivalent Rossby barotropic wave trains, peak before the IOD itself. Second, there is no control by the SAM on the IOD, in contrast to what has been suggested previously. Indeed, no model produces a SAM–IOD relationship that supports a positive (negative) SAM driving a positive (negative) IOD event. This is the case even in models that do not simulate a statistically significant relationship between ENSO and the IOD. Third, the IOD does have an impact on ENSO. The relationship between ENSO and the IOD in the majority of models is far weaker than the observed. However, the ENSO’s influence on the IOD is boosted by a spurious oceanic teleconnection, whereby ENSO discharge–recharge signals transmit to the Sumatra–Java coast, generating thermocline anomalies and changing IOD properties. Without the spurious oceanic teleconnection, the influence of the IOD on ENSO is comparable to the impact of ENSO on the IOD. Other model deficiencies are discussed.

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