A Lagrangian Perspective on Parameterizing Deep Convection

2019 ◽  
Vol 147 (11) ◽  
pp. 4127-4149 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ron McTaggart-Cowan ◽  
Paul A. Vaillancourt ◽  
Ayrton Zadra ◽  
Leo Separovic ◽  
Shawn Corvec ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Models ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Gray Zone ◽  
Convective Initiation ◽  
Intermittent Behavior ◽  
Cloud Properties ◽  
Deep Moist Convection

Abstract The parameterization of deep moist convection as a subgrid-scale process in numerical models of the atmosphere is required at resolutions that extend well into the convective “gray zone,” the range of grid spacings over which such convection is partially resolved. However, as model resolution approaches the gray zone, the assumptions upon which most existing convective parameterizations are based begin to break down. We focus here on one aspect of this problem that emerges as the temporal and spatial scales of the model become similar to those of deep convection itself. The common practice of static tendency application over a prescribed adjustment period leads to logical inconsistencies at resolutions approaching the gray zone, while more frequent refreshment of the convective calculations can lead to undesirable intermittent behavior. A proposed parcel-based treatment of convective initiation introduces memory into the system in a manner that is consistent with the underlying physical principles of convective triggering, thus reducing the prevalence of unrealistic gradients in convective activity in an operational model running with a 10 km grid spacing. The subsequent introduction of a framework that considers convective clouds as persistent objects, each possessing unique attributes that describe physically relevant cloud properties, appears to improve convective precipitation patterns by depicting realistic cloud memory, movement, and decay. Combined, this Lagrangian view of convection addresses one aspect of the convective gray zone problem and lays a foundation for more realistic treatments of the convective life cycle in parameterization schemes.

Evaluating the conservation of energy variables in simulations of deep moist convection

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
John M. Peters ◽  
Daniel R. Chavas
Keyword(s):  
Heat Capacity ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Squall Line ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Conservation Of Energy ◽  
Deep Moist Convection ◽  
Static Energy ◽  
Hydrostatic Balance ◽  
Latent Heats

AbstractIt is often assumed in parcel theory calculations, numerical models, and cumulus parameterizations that moist static energy (MSE) is adiabatically conserved. However, the adiabatic conservation of MSE is only approximate because of the assumption of hydrostatic balance. Two alternative variables are evaluated here: MSE −IB and MSE +KE, wherein IB is the path integral of buoyancy (B) and KE is kinetic energy. Both of these variables relax the hydrostatic assumption and are more precisely conserved than MSE. This article quantifies the errors that result from assuming that the aforementioned variables are conserved in large eddy simulations (LES) of both disorganized and organized deep convection. Results show that both MSE −IB and MSE +KE better predict quantities along trajectories than MSE alone. MSE −IB is better conserved in isolated deep convection, whereas MSE −IB and MSE +KE perform comparably in squall line simulations. These results are explained by differences between the pressure perturbation behavior of squall lines and isolated convection. Errors in updraft B diagnoses are universally minimized when MSE−IB is assumed to be adiabatically conserved, but only when moisture dependencies of heat capacity and temperature dependency of latent heating are accounted for. When less accurate latent heat and heat capacity formulae were used, MSE−IB yielded poorer B predictions than MSE due to compensating errors. Our results suggest that various applications would benefit from using either MSE −IB or MSE +KE instead of MSE with properly formulated heat capacities and latent heats.

scholarly journals Radiosonde observations of environments supporting deep moist convection initiation during RELAMPAGO-CACTI

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Connor Nelson ◽  
James Marquis ◽  
Adam Varble ◽  
Katja Friedrich
Keyword(s):  
Complex Terrain ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Environmental Parameters ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Spatiotemporal Resolution ◽  
Close Proximity ◽  
Deep Moist Convection ◽  
Convection Initiation

AbstractThe Remote Sensing of Electrification, Lightning, and Mesoscale/Microscale Processes with Adaptive Ground Observations (RELAMPAGO) and Cloud, Aerosol, and Complex Terrain Interactions (CACTI) projects deployed a high-spatiotemporal-resolution radiosonde network to examine environments supporting deep convection in the complex terrain of central Argentina. This study aims to characterize atmospheric profiles most representative of the near-cloud environment (in time and space) to identify the mesoscale ingredients affecting storm initiation and growth. Spatiotemporal autocorrelation analysis of the soundings reveals that there is considerable environmental heterogeneity, with boundary layer thermodynamic and kinematic fields becoming statistically uncorrelated on scales of 1–2 hr and 30 km. Using this as guidance, we examine a variety of environmental parameters derived from soundings collected within close proximity (30 km and 30 min in space and time) of 44 events over 9 days where the atmosphere either: 1) supported the initiation of sustained precipitating convection, 2) yielded weak and short-lived precipitating convection, or 3) produced no precipitating convection in disagreement with numerical forecasts from convection-allowing models (i.e., Null events). There are large statistical differences between the Null event environments and those supporting any convective precipitation. Null event profiles contained larger convective available potential energy, but had low free tropospheric relative humidity, higher freezing levels, and evidence of limited horizontal convergence near the terrain at low levels that likely suppressed deep convective growth. We also present evidence from the radiosonde and satellite measurements that flow-terrain interactions may yield gravity wave activity that affects CI outcome.

The Use of Moisture Flux Convergence in Forecasting Convective Initiation: Historical and Operational Perspectives

2005 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 351-366 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter C. Banacos ◽  
David M. Schultz
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Models ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Moisture Flux ◽  
Cumulus Parameterization ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Convective Initiation ◽  
Moisture Flux Convergence ◽  
Case Examples ◽  
Surface Data ◽  
Deep Moist Convection

Abstract Moisture flux convergence (MFC) is a term in the conservation of water vapor equation and was first calculated in the 1950s and 1960s as a vertically integrated quantity to predict rainfall associated with synoptic-scale systems. Vertically integrated MFC was also incorporated into the Kuo cumulus parameterization scheme for the Tropics. MFC was eventually suggested for use in forecasting convective initiation in the midlatitudes in 1970, but practical MFC usage quickly evolved to include only surface data, owing to the higher spatial and temporal resolution of surface observations. Since then, surface MFC has been widely applied as a short-term (0–3 h) prognostic quantity for forecasting convective initiation, with an emphasis on determining the favorable spatial location(s) for such development. A scale analysis shows that surface MFC is directly proportional to the horizontal mass convergence field, allowing MFC to be highly effective in highlighting mesoscale boundaries between different air masses near the earth’s surface that can be resolved by surface data and appropriate grid spacing in gridded analyses and numerical models. However, the effectiveness of boundaries in generating deep moist convection is influenced by many factors, including the depth of the vertical circulation along the boundary and the presence of convective available potential energy (CAPE) and convective inhibition (CIN) near the boundary. Moreover, lower- and upper-tropospheric jets, frontogenesis, and other forcing mechanisms may produce horizontal mass convergence above the surface, providing the necessary lift to bring elevated parcels to their level of free convection without connection to the boundary layer. Case examples elucidate these points as a context for applying horizontal mass convergence for convective initiation. Because horizontal mass convergence is a more appropriate diagnostic in an ingredients-based methodology for forecasting convective initiation, its use is recommended over MFC.

Numerical Simulations of Interactions between Gravity Waves and Deep Moist Convection

2005 ◽  
Vol 62 (5) ◽  
pp. 1480-1496 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zachary A. Eitzen ◽  
David A. Randall
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Waves ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Velocity Versus ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Vertical Grid ◽  
Wave Energy Flux ◽  
Deep Moist Convection ◽  
Vertically Propagating ◽  
The Tropics ◽  
The Waves

Abstract This study uses a numerical model to simulate deep convection both in the Tropics over the ocean and the midlatitudes over land. The vertical grid that was used extends into the stratosphere, allowing for the simultaneous examination of the convection and the vertically propagating gravity waves that it generates. A large number of trajectories are used to evaluate the behavior of tracers in the troposphere, and it is found that the tracers can be segregated into different types based upon their position in a diagram of normalized vertical velocity versus displacement. Conditional sampling is also used to identify updrafts in the troposphere and calculate their contribution to the kinetic energy budget of the troposphere. In addition, Fourier analysis is used to characterize the waves in the stratosphere; it was found that the waves simulated in this study have similarities to those observed and simulated by other researchers. Finally, this study examines the wave energy flux as a means to provide a link between the tropospheric behavior of the convection and the strength of the waves in the stratosphere.

scholarly journals Size-Resolved Evaluation of Simulated Deep Tropical Convection

2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (7) ◽  
pp. 2161-2182 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabian Senf ◽  
Daniel Klocke ◽  
Matthias Brueck
Keyword(s):  
Deep Convection ◽  
Winter Season ◽  
Power Laws ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Western Atlantic ◽  
Spatial Coupling ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Realistic Representation ◽  
Deep Moist Convection

Abstract Deep moist convection is an inherently multiscale phenomenon with organization processes coupling convective elements to larger-scale structures. A realistic representation of the tropical dynamics demands a simulation framework that is capable of representing physical processes across a wide range of scales. Therefore, storm-resolving numerical simulations at 2.4 km have been performed covering the tropical Atlantic and neighboring parts for 2 months. The simulated cloud fields are combined with infrared geostationary satellite observations, and their realism is assessed with the help of object-based evaluation methods. It is shown that the simulations are able to develop a well-defined intertropical convergence zone. However, marine convective activity measured by the cold cloud coverage is considerably underestimated, especially for the winter season and the western Atlantic. The spatial coupling across the resolved scales leads to simulated cloud number size distributions that follow power laws similar to the observations, with slopes steeper in winter than summer and slopes steeper over ocean than over land. The simulated slopes are, however, too steep, indicating too many small and too few large tropical cloud cells. It is also discussed that the number of larger cells is less influenced by multiday variability of environmental conditions. Despite the identified deficits, the analyzed simulations highlight the great potential of this modeling framework for process-based studies of tropical deep convection.

scholarly journals Image Processing of Radar Mosaics for the Climatology of Convection Initiation in South China

2020 ◽  
Vol 59 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lanqiang Bai ◽  
Guixing Chen ◽  
Ling Huang
Keyword(s):  
South China ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Early Morning ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Late Night ◽  
Morning Peak ◽  
Spatial Modes ◽  
Triggering Mechanisms ◽  
Deep Moist Convection ◽  
Convection Initiation

AbstractA dataset of convection initiation (CI) is of great value in studying the triggering mechanisms of deep moist convection and evaluating the performances of numerical models. In recent years, the data quality of the operationally generated radar mosaics over China has been greatly improved, which provides an opportunity to retrieve a CI dataset from that region. In this work, an attempt is made to reveal the potential of applying a simple framework of objective CI detection for the study of CI climatology in China. The framework was tested using radar mosaic maps in South China that were accessible online. The identified CI events were validated in both direct and indirect ways. On the basis of a direct manual check, nearly all of the identified CI cells had an organized motion. The precipitation echoes of the cells had a median duration of approximately 2.5 h. The CI occurrences were further compared with rainfall estimates to ensure physical consistency. The diurnal cycle of CI occurrence exhibits three major modes: a late-night-to-morning peak at the windward coasts and offshore, a noon-to-late-afternoon peak on the coastal land, and an evening-to-early-morning peak over the northwestern highland. These spatial modes agree well with those of rainfall, indirectly suggesting the reliability of the CI statistics. By processing radar mosaic maps, such a framework could be applied for studying CI climatology over China and other regions.

scholarly journals A Spatiotemporal Water Vapor–Deep Convection Correlation Metric Derived from the Amazon Dense GNSS Meteorological Network

2017 ◽  
Vol 145 (1) ◽  
pp. 279-288 ◽  
Author(s):  
David K. Adams ◽  
Henrique M. J. Barbosa ◽  
Karen Patricia Gaitán De Los Ríos
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Decay Time ◽  
Time Scale ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Model Verification ◽  
Correlation Decay ◽  
Convection Correlation ◽  
The Tropics

Abstract Deep atmospheric convection, which covers a large range of spatial scales during its evolution, continues to be a challenge for models to replicate, particularly over land in the tropics. Specifically, the shallow-to-deep convective transition and organization on the mesoscale are often not properly represented in coarse-resolution models. High-resolution models offer insights on physical mechanisms responsible for the shallow-to-deep transition. Model verification, however, at both coarse and high resolution requires validation and, hence, observational metrics, which are lacking in the tropics. Here a straightforward metric derived from the Amazon Dense GNSS Meteorological Network (~100 km × 100 km) is presented based on a spatial correlation decay time scale during convective evolution on the mesoscale. For the shallow-to-deep transition, the correlation decay time scale is shown to be around 3.5 h. This novel result provides a much needed metric from the deep tropics for numerical models to replicate.

Genesis of Pre–Hurricane Felix (2007). Part II: Warm Core Formation, Precipitation Evolution, and Predictability

2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (6) ◽  
pp. 1730-1744 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhuo Wang ◽  
M. T. Montgomery ◽  
T. J. Dunkerton
Keyword(s):  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Numerical Technique ◽  
Transformation Process ◽  
Tropical Storm ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Warm Core ◽  
Stratiform Precipitation ◽  
Deep Moist Convection

Abstract This is the second of a two-part study examining the simulated formation of Atlantic Hurricane Felix (2007) in a cloud-representing framework. Here several open issues are addressed concerning the formation of the storm’s warm core, the evolution and respective contribution of stratiform versus convective precipitation within the parent wave’s pouch, and the sensitivity of the development pathway reported in Part I to different model physics options and initial conditions. All but one of the experiments include ice microphysics as represented by one of several parameterizations, and the partition of convective versus stratiform precipitation is accomplished using a standard numerical technique based on the high-resolution control experiment. The transition to a warm-core tropical cyclone from an initially cold-core, lower tropospheric wave disturbance is analyzed first. As part of this transformation process, it is shown that deep moist convection is sustained near the pouch center. Both convective and stratiform precipitation rates increase with time. While stratiform precipitation occupies a larger area even at the tropical storm stage, deep moist convection makes a comparable contribution to the total rain rate at the pregenesis stage, and a larger contribution than stratiform processes at the storm stage. The convergence profile averaged near the pouch center is found to become dominantly convective with increasing deep moist convective activity there. Low-level convergence forced by interior diabatic heating plays a key role in forming and intensifying the near-surface closed circulation, while the midlevel convergence associated with stratiform precipitation helps to increase the midlevel circulation and thereby contributes to the formation and upward extension of a tropospheric-deep cyclonic vortex. Sensitivity tests with different model physics options and initial conditions demonstrate a similar pregenesis evolution. These tests suggest that the genesis location of a tropical storm is largely controlled by the parent wave’s critical layer, whereas the genesis time and intensity of the protovortex depend on the details of the mesoscale organization, which is less predictable. Some implications of the findings are discussed.

A High-Resolution Modeling Study of the 24 May 2002 Dryline Case during IHOP. Part I: Numerical Simulation and General Evolution of the Dryline and Convection

2006 ◽  
Vol 134 (1) ◽  
pp. 149-171 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming Xue ◽  
William J. Martin
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Simulation ◽  
Boundary Layer ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Companion Paper ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Initial Condition ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Convective Initiation ◽  
Deep Moist Convection ◽  
Localized Forcing

Abstract Results from a high-resolution numerical simulation of the 24 May 2002 dryline convective initiation (CI) case are presented. The simulation uses a 400 km × 700 km domain with a 1-km horizontal resolution grid nested inside a 3-km domain and starts from an assimilated initial condition at 1800 UTC. Routine as well as special upper-air and surface observations collected during the International H2O Project (IHOP_2002) are assimilated into the initial condition. The initiation of convective storms at around 2015 UTC along a section of the dryline south of the Texas panhandle is correctly predicted, as is the noninitiation of convection at a cold-front–dryline intersection (triple point) located farther north. The timing and location of predicted CI are accurate to within 20 min and 25 km, respectively. The general evolution of the predicted convective line up to 6 h of model time also verifies well. Mesoscale convergence associated with the confluent flow around the dryline is shown to produce an upward moisture bulge, while surface heating and boundary layer mixing are responsible for the general deepening of the boundary layer. These processes produce favorable conditions for convection but the actual triggering of deep moist convection at specific locations along the dryline depends on localized forcing. Interaction of the primary dryline convergence boundary with horizontal convective rolls on its west side provides such localized forcing, while convective eddies on the immediate east side are suppressed by a downward mesoscale dryline circulation. A companion paper analyzes in detail the exact processes of convective initiation along this dryline.

scholarly journals A Five-Year Radar-Based Climatology of Tropopause Folds and Deep Convection over Wales, United Kingdom

2013 ◽  
Vol 141 (5) ◽  
pp. 1693-1707 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bogdan Antonescu ◽  
Geraint Vaughan ◽  
David M. Schultz
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Isolated Cells ◽  
Very High Frequency ◽  
High Resolution Data ◽  
Convective Storms ◽  
Deep Moist Convection ◽  
Upper Level ◽  
Western Side

AbstractA five-year (2006–10) radar-based climatology of tropopause folds and convective storms was constructed for Wales, United Kingdom, to determine how deep, moist convection is modulated by tropopause folds. Based on the continuous, high-resolution data from a very high frequency (VHF) wind-profiling radar located at Capel Dewi, Wales, 183 tropopause folds were identified. Tropopause folds were most frequent in January with a secondary maximum in July. Based on data from the U.K. weather radar network, a climatology of 685 convective storms was developed. The occurrence of convective storms was relatively high year-round except for an abrupt minimum in February–April. Multicellular lines (43.5%) were the most common morphology with a maximum in October, followed by isolated cells (33.1%) with a maximum in May–September, and nonlinear clusters (23.4%) with a maximum in November–January. Convective storms were associated with 104 (56.8%) of the tropopause folds identified in this study, with the association strongest in December. Of the 55 tropopause folds observed on the eastern side of an upper-level trough, 37 (67.3%) were associated with convective storms, most commonly in the form of multicellular lines. Of the 128 tropopause folds observed on the western side of an upper-level trough, 42 (32.8%) were associated with convective storms, most commonly isolated cells. These results suggest that more organized storms tend to form in environments favorable for synoptic-scale ascent.

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