A High-Resolution Modeling Study of the 24 May 2002 Dryline Case during IHOP. Part I: Numerical Simulation and General Evolution of the Dryline and Convection

2006 ◽  
Vol 134 (1) ◽  
pp. 149-171 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming Xue ◽  
William J. Martin
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Simulation ◽  
Boundary Layer ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Companion Paper ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Initial Condition ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Convective Initiation ◽  
Deep Moist Convection ◽  
Localized Forcing

Abstract Results from a high-resolution numerical simulation of the 24 May 2002 dryline convective initiation (CI) case are presented. The simulation uses a 400 km × 700 km domain with a 1-km horizontal resolution grid nested inside a 3-km domain and starts from an assimilated initial condition at 1800 UTC. Routine as well as special upper-air and surface observations collected during the International H2O Project (IHOP_2002) are assimilated into the initial condition. The initiation of convective storms at around 2015 UTC along a section of the dryline south of the Texas panhandle is correctly predicted, as is the noninitiation of convection at a cold-front–dryline intersection (triple point) located farther north. The timing and location of predicted CI are accurate to within 20 min and 25 km, respectively. The general evolution of the predicted convective line up to 6 h of model time also verifies well. Mesoscale convergence associated with the confluent flow around the dryline is shown to produce an upward moisture bulge, while surface heating and boundary layer mixing are responsible for the general deepening of the boundary layer. These processes produce favorable conditions for convection but the actual triggering of deep moist convection at specific locations along the dryline depends on localized forcing. Interaction of the primary dryline convergence boundary with horizontal convective rolls on its west side provides such localized forcing, while convective eddies on the immediate east side are suppressed by a downward mesoscale dryline circulation. A companion paper analyzes in detail the exact processes of convective initiation along this dryline.

A Lagrangian Perspective on Parameterizing Deep Convection

2019 ◽  
Vol 147 (11) ◽  
pp. 4127-4149 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ron McTaggart-Cowan ◽  
Paul A. Vaillancourt ◽  
Ayrton Zadra ◽  
Leo Separovic ◽  
Shawn Corvec ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Models ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Gray Zone ◽  
Convective Initiation ◽  
Intermittent Behavior ◽  
Cloud Properties ◽  
Deep Moist Convection

Abstract The parameterization of deep moist convection as a subgrid-scale process in numerical models of the atmosphere is required at resolutions that extend well into the convective “gray zone,” the range of grid spacings over which such convection is partially resolved. However, as model resolution approaches the gray zone, the assumptions upon which most existing convective parameterizations are based begin to break down. We focus here on one aspect of this problem that emerges as the temporal and spatial scales of the model become similar to those of deep convection itself. The common practice of static tendency application over a prescribed adjustment period leads to logical inconsistencies at resolutions approaching the gray zone, while more frequent refreshment of the convective calculations can lead to undesirable intermittent behavior. A proposed parcel-based treatment of convective initiation introduces memory into the system in a manner that is consistent with the underlying physical principles of convective triggering, thus reducing the prevalence of unrealistic gradients in convective activity in an operational model running with a 10 km grid spacing. The subsequent introduction of a framework that considers convective clouds as persistent objects, each possessing unique attributes that describe physically relevant cloud properties, appears to improve convective precipitation patterns by depicting realistic cloud memory, movement, and decay. Combined, this Lagrangian view of convection addresses one aspect of the convective gray zone problem and lays a foundation for more realistic treatments of the convective life cycle in parameterization schemes.

High Resolution HIRLAM Simulations of the Role of Low-Level Sea-Breeze Convergence in Initiating Deep Moist Convection in the Eastern Iberian Peninsula

2014 ◽  
Vol 154 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-100 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cesar Azorin-Molina ◽  
Sander Tijm ◽  
Elizabeth E. Ebert ◽  
Sergio-M. Vicente-Serrano ◽  
Maria-Jose Estrela
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Iberian Peninsula ◽  
Sea Breeze ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Deep Moist Convection

Practical Predictability of the 20 May 2013 Tornadic Thunderstorm Event in Oklahoma: Sensitivity to Synoptic Timing and Topographical Influence

2015 ◽  
Vol 143 (8) ◽  
pp. 2973-2997 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yunji Zhang ◽  
Fuqing Zhang ◽  
David J. Stensrud ◽  
Zhiyong Meng
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Vertical Mixing ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Mesoscale Convective System ◽  
Convective System ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Atmospheric Conditions ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Deep Moist Convection ◽  
Simulation Time

Abstract The practical predictability of severe convective thunderstorms during the 20 May 2013 severe weather event that produced the catastrophic enhanced Fujita scale 5 (EF-5) tornado in Moore, Oklahoma, was explored using ensembles of convective-permitting model simulations. The sensitivity of initiation and the subsequent organization and intensity of the thunderstorms to small yet realistic uncertainties in boundary layer and topographical influence within a few hours preceding the thunderstorm event was examined. It was found that small shifts in either simulation time or terrain configuration led to considerable differences in the atmospheric conditions within the boundary layer. Small shifts in simulation time led to changes in low-level moisture and instability, primarily through the vertical distribution of moisture within the boundary layer due to vertical mixing during the diurnal cycle as well as advection by low-level jets, thereby influencing convection initiation. Small shifts in terrain led to changes in the wind field, low-level vertical wind shear, and storm-relative environmental helicity, altering locally enhanced convergence that may trigger convection. After initiation, an upscale growth of errors resulting from deep moist convection led to large forecast uncertainties in the timing, intensity, structure, and organization of the developing mesoscale convective system and its embedded supercells.

Development and Application of a Compact, Tunable, Solid-State Airborne Ozone Lidar System for Boundary Layer Profiling

2011 ◽  
Vol 28 (10) ◽  
pp. 1258-1272 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. J. Alvarez ◽  
C. J. Senff ◽  
A. O. Langford ◽  
A. M. Weickmann ◽  
D. C. Law ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Air Quality ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Companion Paper ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Airborne Lidar ◽  
Laser Source ◽  
Atmospheric Conditions ◽  
Lidar System ◽  
Advanced Analysis

Abstract The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Earth System Research Laboratory/Chemical Sciences Division (NOAA/ESRL/CSD) has developed a versatile, airborne lidar system for measuring ozone and aerosols in the boundary layer and lower free troposphere. The Tunable Optical Profiler for Aerosol and Ozone (TOPAZ) lidar was deployed aboard a NOAA Twin Otter aircraft during the Texas Air Quality Study (TexAQS 2006) and the California Research at the Nexus of Air Quality and Climate Change (CalNex 2010) field campaigns. TOPAZ is capable of measuring ozone concentrations in the lower troposphere with uncertainties of several parts per billion by volume at 90-m vertical and 600-m horizontal resolution from an aircraft flying at 60 m s−1. The system also provides uncalibrated aerosol backscatter profiles at 18-m vertical and 600-m horizontal resolution. TOPAZ incorporates state-of-the-art technologies, including a cerium-doped lithium calcium aluminum fluoride (Ce:LiCAF) laser, to make it compact and lightweight with low power consumption. The tunable, three-wavelength UV laser source makes it possible to optimize the wavelengths for differing atmospheric conditions, reduce the interference from other atmospheric constituents, and implement advanced analysis techniques. This paper describes the TOPAZ lidar, its components and performance during testing and field operation, and the data analysis procedure, including a discussion of error sources. The performance characteristics are illustrated through a comparison between TOPAZ and an ozonesonde launched during the TexAQS 2006 field campaign. A more comprehensive set of comparisons with in situ measurements during TexAQS 2006 and an assessment of the TOPAZ accuracy and precision are presented in a companion paper.

scholarly journals Low-level Mesoscale and Cloud-scale Interactions Promoting Deep Convection Initiation

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
James N. Marquis ◽  
Adam C. Varble ◽  
Paul Robinson ◽  
T. Connor. Nelson ◽  
Katja Friedrich
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Horizontal Wind ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Surface Precipitation ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Deep Moist Convection ◽  
Convection Initiation

AbstractData from scanning radars, radiosondes, and vertical profilers deployed during three field campaigns are analyzed to study interactions between cloud-scale updrafts associated with initiating deep moist convection and the surrounding environment. Three cases are analyzed in which the radar networks permitted dual-Doppler wind retrievals in clear air preceding and during the onset of surface precipitation. These observations capture the evolution of: i) the mesoscale and boundary layer flow, and ii) low-level updrafts associated with deep moist convection initiation (CI) events yielding sustained or short-lived precipitating storms.The elimination of convective inhibition did not distinguish between sustained and unsustained CI events, though the vertical distribution of convective available potential energy may have played a role. The clearest signal differentiating the initiation of sustained versus unsustained precipitating deep convection was the depth of the low-level horizontal wind convergence associated with the mesoscale flow feature triggering CI, a sharp surface wind shift boundary or orographic upslope flow. The depth of the boundary layer relative to the height of the LFC failed to be a consistent indicator of CI potential. Widths of the earliest detectable low-level updrafts associated with sustained precipitating deep convection were ~3-5 km, larger than updrafts associated with surrounding boundary layer turbulence (~1-3-km wide). It is hypothesized that updrafts of this larger size are important for initiating cells to survive the destructive effects of buoyancy dilution via entrainment.

Implementation of the Unified Representation of Deep Moist Convection in the CWBGFS

2021 ◽  
Vol 149 (10) ◽  
pp. 3525-3539
Author(s):  
Chun-Yian Su ◽  
Chien-Ming Wu ◽  
Wei-Ting Chen ◽  
Jen-Her Chen
Keyword(s):  
Multiple Scales ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Cumulus Parameterization ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Local Circulation ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Simulated Precipitation ◽  
Deep Moist Convection ◽  
Central Weather Bureau

AbstractThis study implements the unified parameterization (UP) in the Central Weather Bureau Global Forecast System (CWBGFS) based on the relaxed Arakawa–Schubert scheme (RAS) at a horizontal resolution of 15 km. The new cumulus parameterization that incorporates the UP framework is called URAS. The UP generalizes the representation of moist convection between the parameterized and the explicitly resolved processes according to the process-dependent convective updraft fraction (σ). Short-term hindcasts are performed to investigate the impacts of the UP on the simulated precipitation variability and organized convective systems over the Maritime Continent when multiple scales of convection occurred. The result shows that σ is generally larger when convective systems develop, which adaptively reduces the parameterized convection and increases the spatial variation of moisture. In the URAS experiment, the moisture hotspots within organized convective systems contribute to the enhanced local circulation and the more significant variability of precipitation. Consequently, the URAS has a more realistic precipitation spectrum, an improved relationship between the maximum precipitation and the horizontal scale of the convective systems, and an improved column water vapor–precipitation relationship.

The Use of Moisture Flux Convergence in Forecasting Convective Initiation: Historical and Operational Perspectives

2005 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 351-366 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter C. Banacos ◽  
David M. Schultz
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Models ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Moisture Flux ◽  
Cumulus Parameterization ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Convective Initiation ◽  
Moisture Flux Convergence ◽  
Case Examples ◽  
Surface Data ◽  
Deep Moist Convection

Abstract Moisture flux convergence (MFC) is a term in the conservation of water vapor equation and was first calculated in the 1950s and 1960s as a vertically integrated quantity to predict rainfall associated with synoptic-scale systems. Vertically integrated MFC was also incorporated into the Kuo cumulus parameterization scheme for the Tropics. MFC was eventually suggested for use in forecasting convective initiation in the midlatitudes in 1970, but practical MFC usage quickly evolved to include only surface data, owing to the higher spatial and temporal resolution of surface observations. Since then, surface MFC has been widely applied as a short-term (0–3 h) prognostic quantity for forecasting convective initiation, with an emphasis on determining the favorable spatial location(s) for such development. A scale analysis shows that surface MFC is directly proportional to the horizontal mass convergence field, allowing MFC to be highly effective in highlighting mesoscale boundaries between different air masses near the earth’s surface that can be resolved by surface data and appropriate grid spacing in gridded analyses and numerical models. However, the effectiveness of boundaries in generating deep moist convection is influenced by many factors, including the depth of the vertical circulation along the boundary and the presence of convective available potential energy (CAPE) and convective inhibition (CIN) near the boundary. Moreover, lower- and upper-tropospheric jets, frontogenesis, and other forcing mechanisms may produce horizontal mass convergence above the surface, providing the necessary lift to bring elevated parcels to their level of free convection without connection to the boundary layer. Case examples elucidate these points as a context for applying horizontal mass convergence for convective initiation. Because horizontal mass convergence is a more appropriate diagnostic in an ingredients-based methodology for forecasting convective initiation, its use is recommended over MFC.

Evaluation of scale-aware convection schemes at the kilometer-scale resolution

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xu Zhang ◽  
Jian-Wen Bao ◽  
Baode Chen
Keyword(s):  
Deep Convection ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Theory And Practice ◽  
Coarse Grained ◽  
Great Effort ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
Direct Evaluation ◽  
Deep Moist Convection ◽  
Convection Schemes

<p>Numerical weather predictions (NWP) models are increasingly run using kilometer-scale horizontal grid spacing at which convection is partially resolved and the use of a subgrid convection parameterization scheme is still required. Traditionally, subgrid deep convection has been represented by mass flux-based convection parameterizations based on the ensemble-mean closure concept. Recently, a great effort has been made to develop scale-aware subgrid convection schemes that can be used in kilometer-scale NWP models. However, direct evaluation of these schemes is rarely done using coarse-grained large-eddy simulation (LES).</p><p>In this study, an idealized LES of deep moist convection is performed to assess the performance of three widely-used scale-aware subgrid convection schemes in the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model that is run at 3-km horizontal resolution. It is found that the simulations using the three schemes not only differ from each other but also do not converge to the coarse-grained LES, indicating that further investigation is required as to what “scale-awareness” means in theory and practice.</p>

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