Patient-Level and Hospital-Level Risk Factors for In-Hospital Mortality in Patients Ventilated for More Than 24 Hours: Results of a Nationwide Cohort Study

2020 ◽  
pp. 088506662094218
Author(s):  
Olaf Schoffer ◽  
Martin Roessler ◽  
Felix Walther ◽  
Maria Eberlein-Gonska ◽  
Peter C. Scriba ◽  
...  

Background: Prolonged ventilation is associated with a high risk of death. This study investigated both patient-level and hospital-level risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients ventilated for more than 24 hours. Methods: The analyses were conducted in the framework of a German national multicenter retrospective cohort study. Patient and hospital characteristics were examined using descriptive statistics. Risk factors of in-hospital mortality were analyzed using multilevel robust Poisson regressions for binary outcomes. Potential effect modifications were examined by stratified analyses. Results: The sample includes 95 672 cases of patients ventilated >24 hours in 163 hospitals covering the period 2016 to 2017. According to the results of multilevel Poisson regressions, main patient-level risk factors for in-hospital mortality were age (per year relative risk [RR] = 1.021, 95% CI = 1.020-1.023), stroke (RR = 1.459; 95% CI = 1.361-1.563), emergency case admission (RR = 1.273, 95% CI = 1.156-1.403), and transfer from another hospital (RR = 1.169, 95% CI = 1.084-1.261). The individual risk of in-hospital death was positively associated with hospital size (RR of hospitals with 600-799 beds vs <100 beds = 1.412, 95% CI = 1.095-1.820) and negatively related to cumulated ventilation patient time (per 1000 days RR = 0.995, 95% CI = 0.993-0.996). University hospital status was identified as an effect modifier, particularly with regard to the patients’ admission reasons. The RR of in-hospital death in patients admitted after transfer from another hospital was higher in university hospitals (RR = 1.456, 95% CI = 1.298-1.634) compared to nonuniversity hospitals (RR = 1.077, 95% CI = 1.019-1.139). Likewise, patients admitted as emergency case had a higher relative risk in university hospitals (RR = 1.619, 95% CI = 1.359-1.929) than in nonuniversity hospitals (RR = 1.141, 95% CI = 1.080-1.205). Conclusion: By providing evidence on multiple patient-level and hospital-level risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients ventilated for more than 24 hours, this large multicenter study has main implications for quality assessment of clinical care and the adequate specification of risk adjustment models. The revealed effect modifications indicate the relevance of stratified analyses.

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 508 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tobias Siegfried Kramer ◽  
Beate Schlosser ◽  
Désirée Gruhl ◽  
Michael Behnke ◽  
Frank Schwab ◽  
...  

Staphylococcus aureus bloodstream infection (SA-BSI) is an infection with increasing morbidity and mortality. Concomitant Staphylococcus aureus bacteriuria (SABU) frequently occurs in patients with SA-BSI. It is considered as either a sign of exacerbation of SA-BSI or a primary source in terms of urosepsis. The clinical implications are still under investigation. In this study, we investigated the role of SABU in patients with SA-BSI and its effect on the patients’ mortality. We performed a retrospective cohort study that included all patients in our university hospital (Charité Universitätsmedizin Berlin) between 1 January 2014 and 31 March 2017. We included all patients with positive blood cultures for Staphylococcus aureus who had a urine culture 48 h before or after the first positive blood culture. We identified cases while using the microbiology database and collected additional demographic and clinical parameters, retrospectively, from patient files and charts. We conducted univariate analyses and multivariable Cox regression analysis to evaluate the risk factors for in-hospital mortality. 202 patients met the eligibility criteria. Overall, 55 patients (27.5%) died during their hospital stay. Cox regression showed SABU (OR 2.3), Pitt Bacteremia Score (OR 1.2), as well as moderate to severe liver disease (OR 2.1) to be independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality. Our data indicates that SABU in patients with concurrent SA-BSI is a prognostic marker for in-hospital death. Further studies are needed for evaluating implications for therapeutic optimization.


2021 ◽  
Vol 49 (6) ◽  
pp. 030006052110251
Author(s):  
Minqiang Huang ◽  
Ming Han ◽  
Wei Han ◽  
Lei Kuang

Objective We aimed to compare the efficacy and risks of proton pump inhibitor (PPI) versus histamine-2 receptor blocker (H2B) use for stress ulcer prophylaxis (SUP) in critically ill patients with sepsis and risk factors for gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB). Methods In this retrospective cohort study, we used the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III Clinical Database to identify critically ill adult patients with sepsis who had at least one risk factor for GIB and received either an H2B or PPI for ≥48 hours. Propensity score matching (PSM) was conducted to balance baseline characteristics. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Results After 1:1 PSM, 1056 patients were included in the H2B and PPI groups. The PPI group had higher in-hospital mortality (23.8% vs. 17.5%), GIB (8.9% vs. 1.6%), and pneumonia (49.6% vs. 41.6%) rates than the H2B group. After adjusting for risk factors of GIB and pneumonia, PPI use was associated with a 1.28-times increased risk of in-hospital mortality, 5.89-times increased risk of GIB, and 1.32-times increased risk of pneumonia. Conclusions Among critically ill adult patients with sepsis at risk for GIB, SUP with PPIs was associated with higher in-hospital mortality and higher risk of GIB and pneumonia than H2Bs.


BMJ Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. e049089
Author(s):  
Marcia C Castro ◽  
Susie Gurzenda ◽  
Eduardo Marques Macário ◽  
Giovanny Vinícius A França

ObjectiveTo provide a comprehensive description of demographic, clinical and radiographic characteristics; treatment and case outcomes; and risk factors associated with in-hospital death of patients hospitalised with COVID-19 in Brazil.DesignRetrospective cohort study of hospitalised patients diagnosed with COVID-19.SettingData from all hospitals across Brazil.Participants522 167 hospitalised patients in Brazil by 14 December 2020 with severe acute respiratory illness, and a confirmed diagnosis for COVID-19.Primary and secondary outcome measuresPrevalence of symptoms and comorbidities was compared by clinical outcomes and intensive care unit (ICU) admission status. Survival was assessed using Kaplan Meier survival estimates. Risk factors associated with in-hospital death were evaluated with multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression.ResultsOf the 522 167 patients included in this study, 56.7% were discharged, 0.002% died of other causes, 30.7% died of causes associated with COVID-19 and 10.2% remained hospitalised. The median age of patients was 61 years (IQR, 47–73), and of non-survivors 71 years (IQR, 60–80); 292 570 patients (56.0%) were men. At least one comorbidity was present in 64.5% of patients and in 76.8% of non-survivors. From illness onset, the median times to hospital and ICU admission were 6 days (IQR, 3–9) and 7 days (IQR, 3–10), respectively; 15 days (IQR, 9–24) to death and 15 days (IQR, 11–20) to hospital discharge. Risk factors for in-hospital death included old age, Black/Brown ethnoracial self-classification, ICU admission, being male, living in the North and Northeast regions and various comorbidities. Age had the highest HRs of 5.51 (95% CI: 4.91 to 6.18) for patients≥80, compared with those ≤20.ConclusionsCharacteristics of patients and risk factors for in-hospital mortality highlight inequities of COVID-19 outcomes in Brazil. As the pandemic continues to unfold, targeted policies that address those inequities are needed to mitigate the unequal burden of COVID-19.


Open Heart ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. e001526
Author(s):  
Elena Tessitore ◽  
David Carballo ◽  
Antoine Poncet ◽  
Nils Perrin ◽  
Cedric Follonier ◽  
...  

ObjectiveHistory of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) may influence the prognosis of patients hospitalised for COVID-19. We investigated whether patients with previous CVD have increased risk of death and major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) when hospitalised for COVID-19.MethodsWe included 839 patients with COVID-19 hospitalised at the University Hospitals of Geneva. Demographic characteristics, medical history, laboratory values, ECG at admission and medications at admission were collected based on electronic medical records. The primary outcome was a composite of in-hospital mortality or MACE.ResultsMedian age was 67 years, 453 (54%) were males and 277 (33%) had history of CVD. In total, 152 (18%) died and 687 (82%) were discharged, including 72 (9%) who survived a MACE. Patients with previous CVD were more at risk of composite outcomes 141/277 (51%) compared with those without CVD 83/562 (15%) (OR=6.0 (95% CI 4.3 to 8.4), p<0.001). Multivariate analyses showed that history of CVD remained an independent risk factor of in-hospital death or MACE (OR=2.4; (95% CI 1.6 to 3.5)), as did age (OR for a 10-year increase=2.2 (95% CI 1.9 to 2.6)), male gender (OR=1.6 (95% CI 1.1 to 2.3)), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR=2.1 (95% CI 1.0 to 4.2)) and lung infiltration associated with COVID-19 at CT scan (OR=1.9 (95% CI 1.2 to 3.0)). History of CVD (OR=2.9 (95% CI 1.7 to 5)), age (OR=2.5 (95% CI 2.0 to 3.2)), male gender (OR=1.6 (95% CI 0.98 to 2.6)) and elevated C reactive protein (CRP) levels on admission (OR for a 10 mg/L increase=1.1 (95% CI 1.1 to 1.2)) were independent risk factors for mortality.ConclusionHistory of CVD is associated with higher in-hospital mortality and MACE in hospitalised patients with COVID-19. Other factors associated with higher in-hospital mortality are older age, male sex and elevated CRP on admission.


2021 ◽  
pp. bmjqs-2021-012990
Author(s):  
Alex Bottle ◽  
Puji Faitna ◽  
Paul P Aylin

BackgroundA report suggesting large between-hospital variations in mortality after admission for COVID-19 in England attracted much media attention but used crude rates. We aimed to quantify these variations between hospitals and over time during England’s first wave (March to July 2020) and assess available patient-level and hospital-level predictors to explain those variations.MethodsWe used administrative data for England, augmented by hospital-level information. Admissions were extracted with COVID-19 codes. In-hospital death was the primary outcome. Risk-adjusted mortality ratios (standardised mortality ratios) and interhospital variation were calculated using multilevel logistic regression. Early-wave (March to April) and late-wave (May to July) periods were compared.Results74 781 admissions had a primary diagnosis of COVID-19, with 21 984 in-hospital deaths (29.4%); the 30-day total mortality rate was 28.8%. The crude in-hospital death rate fell in all ages and overall from 32.9% in March to 13.4% in July. Patient-level predictors included age, male gender, non-white ethnic group (early period only) and several comorbidities (obesity early period only). The only significant hospital-level predictor was daily COVID-19 admissions in the late period; we did not find a relation with staff absences for COVID-19, mechanical ventilation bed occupancies, total bed occupancies or bed occupancies for COVID-19 admissions in either period. Just 4 (3%) and 2 (2%) hospitals were high, and 5 (4%) and 0 hospitals were low funnel plot mortality outliers at 3 SD for early and late periods, respectively, after risk adjustment. We found no strong correlation between early and late hospital-level mortality (r=0.17, p=0.06).ConclusionsThere was modest variation in mortality following admission for COVID-19 between English hospitals after adjustment for risk and random variation, in marked contrast to early media reports. Early-period mortality did not predict late-period mortality.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Swathi Sangli ◽  
Misbah Baqir ◽  
Jay Ryu

Abstract ObjectiveThe objective of this study was to identify the predictors of in-hospital mortality among patients with diffuse alveolar hemorrhage (DAH).Patients and MethodsWe conducted a retrospective review of 89 patients hospitalized for DAH at our institution between 2001 and 2017: 49 patients who died during hospitalization and 40 patients who survived were compared. We reviewed their presenting signs and symptoms, clinical course, radiologic and pathologic findings, along with medical management. We then performed univariate and multivariate analyses to identify the risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality.ResultsWe identified 12 factors to be associated with mortality when comparing survivor vs non-survivor cohorts: smoking (27 [67%] vs 21 [42%], p = 0.02), malignancy (7 [17%] vs 24 [49%], p = 0.002), interstitial lung disease (0 vs 7 [14%], p = 0.01), liver failure (1 [2%] vs 14 [28%], p = 0.001), autoimmune diseases (16 [40%] vs 4 [8%], p =0.0006), thrombocytopenia (3 [7%] vs 35 [71%], p <0.0001), ICU admission (23 [57%] vs 40 [85%], p=0.004), mean duration of ICU stay (3.5 days [± 6.7] vs 5.5 days [± 5.5], p = 0.4), steroid use (36 [90%] vs 31 [63%], p = 0.003), use of plasma exchange (6 [15%] vs 0, p = 0.005), use of mechanical ventilation (15 [37%] vs 36 [75%], p value = 0.0007) and development of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (9 [22%] vs 37 [77%], p <0.0001), respectively. On multivariate analysis, thrombocytopenia (OR 52.08: 95% CI, 8.59-315.71; p <0.0001) and ARDS (OR 11.71: 95% CI, 2.60-52.67; p = 0.0013) were associated with higher odds of mortality in DAH while steroid use (OR 0.05: 95% CI, 0.007-0.39; p = 0.0004) was associated with a lower risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with DAH.ConclusionIn DAH, thrombocytopenia and ARDS were predictors of in-hospital mortality whereas the use of steroid was associated with a more favorable prognosis.


F1000Research ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 224
Author(s):  
Cristian Díaz-Vélez ◽  
Diego Urrunaga-Pastor ◽  
Anthony Romero-Cerdán ◽  
Eric Ricardo Peña-Sánchez ◽  
Jorge Luis Fernández Mogollon ◽  
...  

Background: Peru was one of the countries with the highest COVID-19 mortality worldwide during the first stage of the pandemic. It is then relevant to evaluate the risk factors for mortality in patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in three hospitals in Peru in 2020, from March to May, 2020.  Methods: We carried out a retrospective cohort study. The population consisted of patients from three Peruvian hospitals hospitalized for a diagnosis of COVID-19 during the March-May 2020 period. Independent sociodemographic variables, medical history, symptoms, vital functions, laboratory parameters and medical treatment were evaluated. In-hospital mortality was assessed as the outcome. We performed Cox regression models (crude and adjusted) to evaluate risk factors for in-hospital mortality. Hazard ratios (HR) with their respective 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated.  Results: We analyzed 493 hospitalized adults; 72.8% (n=359) were male and the mean age was 63.3 ± 14.4 years. COVID-19 symptoms appeared on average 7.9 ± 4.0 days before admission to the hospital, and the mean oxygen saturation on admission was 82.6 ± 13.8. While 67.6% (n=333) required intensive care unit admission, only 3.3% (n=16) were admitted to this unit, and 60.2% (n=297) of the sample died. In the adjusted regression analysis, it was found that being 60 years old or older (HR=1.57; 95% CI: 1.14-2.15), having two or more comorbidities (HR=1.53; 95% CI: 1.10-2.14), oxygen saturation between 85-80% (HR=2.52; 95% CI: 1.58-4.02), less than 80% (HR=4.59; 95% CI: 3.01-7.00), and being in the middle (HR=1.65; 95% CI: 1.15-2.39) and higher tertile (HR=2.18; 95% CI: 1.51-3.15) of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, increased the risk of mortality.  Conclusions: The risk factors found agree with what has been described in the literature and allow the identification of vulnerable groups in whom monitoring and early identification of symptoms should be prioritized in order to reduce mortality.


2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 86-93
Author(s):  
A. Yu. Bazarov ◽  
K. S. Sergeyev ◽  
A. O. Faryon ◽  
R. V. Paskov ◽  
I. A. Lebedev

Objective. To analyze lethal outcomes in patients with hematogenous vertebral osteomyelitis.Material and Methods. Study design: retrospective analysis of medical records. A total of 209 medical records of inpatients who underwent treatment for hematogenous vertebral osteomyelitis in 2006–2017 were analyzed. Out of them 68 patients (32.5 %) were treated conservatively, and 141 (67.5 %) – surgically. The risk factors for lethal outcomes were studied for various methods of treatment, and a statistical analysis was performed.Results. Hospital mortality (n = 9) was 4.3 %. In patients who died in hospital, average time for diagnosis making was 4 times less (p = 0.092). The main factors affecting mortality were diabetes mellitus (p = 0.033), type C lesion according to the Pola classification (p = 0.014) and age over 70 years (p = 0.006). To assess the relationship between hospital mortality and the revealed differences between the groups, a regression analysis was performed, which showed that factors associated with mortality were Pola type C.4 lesions (OR 9.73; 95 % CI 1.75–54.20), diabetes mellitus (OR 5.86; 95 % CI 1.14–30.15) and age over 70 years (OR 12.58; 95 % CI 2.50–63.34). The combination of these factors increased the likelihood of hospital mortality (p = 0.001). Sensitivity (77.8 %) and specificity (84.2 %) were calculated using the ROC curve. In the group with mortality, the comorbidity index (CCI) was significantly higher (≥4) than in the group without mortality (p = 0.002). With a CCI of 4 or more, the probability of hospital death increases significantly (OR 10.23; 95 % CI 2.06–50.82), p = 0.005. Long-term mortality was 4.3 % (n = 9), in 77.8 % of cases the cause was acute cardiovascular pathology, and no recurrence of vertebral osteomyelitis was detected.Conclusion. Hospital mortality was 4.3 %, and there was no mortality among patients treated conservatively. The main risk factors were diabetes mellitus, type C lesion according to Pola and age over 70 years. There was a significant mutual burdening of these factors (p = 0.001). With CCI ≥4, the probability of death is higher (p = 0.005).


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