scholarly journals Modelling the Impact of Different Tuberculosis Control Interventions on the Prevalence of Tuberculosis in an Overcrowded Prison

2018 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 235-243 ◽  
Author(s):  
Herlianna Naning ◽  
Haider Abdulrazzaq Abed Al-Darraji ◽  
Scott McDonald ◽  
Noor Azina Ismail ◽  
Adeeba Kamarulzaman

The aim of this study was to simulate the effects of tuberculosis (TB) treatment strategies interventions in an overcrowded and poorly ventilated prison with both high (5 months) and low (3 years) turnover of inmates against improved environmental conditions. We used a deterministic transmission model to simulate the effects of treatment of latent TB infection and active TB, or the combination of both treatment strategies. Without any intervention, the TB prevalence is estimated to increase to 8.8% for a prison with low turnover of inmates but modestly stabilize at 5.8% for high-turnover prisons in a 10-year period. Reducing overcrowding from 6 to 4 inmates per housing cell and increasing the ventilation rate from 2 to 12 air changes per hour combined with any treatment strategy would further reduce the TB prevalence to as low as 0.98% for a prison with low inmate turnover.

Author(s):  
Tanvi ◽  
Rajiv Aggarwal

In this paper, a nonlinear population model for HIV-TB co-infection has been proposed. The model is incorporated with the effect of early and late initiation of HIV treatment in co-infectives already on TB treatment, on the occurrence of Immune Reconstitution Inflammatory syndrome (IRIS). A 15-dimensional (15D) mathematical model has been developed in this study. We begin with considering constant treatment rates and thereafter, proceed to time-dependent treatment rates for co-infectives as control parameters. The basic reproduction number, a threshold quantity, corresponding to each HIV and TB sub-model has been computed in case of constant controls. With constant values of control parameters, mathematical analysis shows the existence and local stability of the disease-free equilibrium point and the endemic equilibrium point for the model. Together with time-dependent parameters, an optimal control problem is introduced and solved using Pontryagin’s maximum principle with an objective to minimize the number of infectives and disease induced deaths along with the cost of treatment. Numerical simulations are performed to examine the effect of reproduction numbers on control profiles and to identify, the ideal combination of treatment strategies which provides minimum burden on a society. Numerical results imply that if both HIV and TB are endemic in the population, then in order to bring in minimum burden from the co-infection, optimal control efforts must be enforced rather than constant treatment rate.


2010 ◽  
Vol 17 (12) ◽  
pp. 1985-1990 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shu Zhang ◽  
Lingyun Shao ◽  
Ling Mo ◽  
Jiazhen Chen ◽  
Feifei Wang ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT T-cell-based gamma interferon (IFN-γ) release assays (IGRAs) using Mycobacterium tuberculosis-specific antigens have shown higher sensitivity and specificity than the routine tuberculin skin test (TST). However, the effects of Mycobacterium bovis BCG vaccination and anti-tuberculosis (TB) treatment on dynamic T-cell responses to M. tuberculosis-specific antigens in active TB cases have rarely been investigated in regions where TB is endemic. Eighty-nine patients with active pulmonary TB (ATB) and 57 healthy controls (HC) from China were recruited and tested by sputum smear and culture, TSTs, and IGRAs with M. tuberculosis-specific antigens ESAT-6 and CFP-10 (T-SPOT.TB) as well as purified protein derivative (PPD) stimulation. All 146 participants were screened by the T-SPOT.TB assay at recruitment. T-SPOT.TB-positive rates in ATB and HC groups were 87.6% (78/89) and 21.1% (12/57), respectively. Of 38 ATB patients who were both TST and T-SPOT.TB tested, the positive rates were 73.7% (28/38) and 94.7% (36/38), respectively (P = 0.0215), and those in the HC group were 62.3% (33/53) and 18.9% (10/53), respectively (P < 0.0001). The T-SPOT.TB-positive rates declined during TB treatment and were 94.4% (51/54), 86.4% (19/22), and 61.5% (8/13) for ATB patients receiving 0- to 1-month, 1- to 3-month, and 3- to 6-month anti-TB treatment, respectively. The IGRA is a most promising test for both active TB and latent TB infection (LTBI) diagnosis due to the improvement of its specificity and convenience, especially in the Mycobacterium bovis BCG-vaccinated population. Furthermore, the T-SPOT.TB assay using ESAT-6 and CFP-10 in ATB patients during anti-TB treatment could serve as a potential predictor of therapeutic efficacy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ragonnet ◽  
Underwood ◽  
Doan ◽  
Rafai ◽  
Trauer ◽  
...  

The tuberculosis (TB) health burden in Fiji has been declining in recent years, although challenges remain in improving control of the diabetes co-epidemic and achieving adequate case detection across the widely dispersed archipelago. We applied a mathematical model of TB transmission to the TB epidemic in Fiji that captured the historical reality over several decades, including age stratification, diabetes, varying disease manifestations, and incorrect diagnoses. Next, we simulated six intervention scenarios that are under consideration by the Fiji National Tuberculosis Program. Our findings show that the interventions were able to achieve only modest improvements in disease burden, with awareness raising being the most effective intervention to reduce TB incidence, and treatment support yielding the highest impact on mortality. These improvements would fall far short of the ambitious targets that have been set by the country, and could easily be derailed by moderate increases in the diabetes burden. Furthermore, the effectiveness of the interventions was limited by the extensive pool of latent TB infection, because the programs were directed at only active cases, and thus were unlikely to achieve the desired reductions in burden. Therefore, it is essential to address the co-epidemic of diabetes and treat people with latent TB infection.


Cells ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 2704
Author(s):  
Leonardo S. de de Araujo ◽  
Marcelo Ribeiro-Alves ◽  
Matthew F. Wipperman ◽  
Charles Kyriakos Vorkas ◽  
Frank Pessler ◽  
...  

External validation in different cohorts is a key step in the translational development of new biomarkers. We previously described three host mRNA whose expression in peripheral blood is significantly higher (NPC2) or lower (DOCK9 and EPHA4) in individuals with TB compared to latent TB infection (LTBI) and controls. We have now conducted an independent validation of these genes by re-analyzing publicly available transcriptomic datasets from Brazil, China, Haiti, India, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. Comparisons between TB and control/LTBI showed significant differential expression of all three genes (NPC2high p < 0.01, DOCK9low p < 0.01, and EPHA4low p < 0.05). NPC2high had the highest mean area under the ROC curve (AUROC) for the differentiation of TB vs. controls (0.95) and LTBI (0.94). In addition, NPC2 accurately distinguished TB from the clinically similar conditions pneumonia (AUROC, 0.88), non-active sarcoidosis (0.87), and lung cancer (0.86), but not from active sarcoidosis (0.66). Interestingly, individuals progressing from LTBI to TB showed a constant increase in NPC2 expression with time when compared to non-progressors (p < 0.05), with a significant change closer to manifestation of active disease (≤3 months, p = 0.003). Moreover, NPC2 expression normalized with completion of anti-TB treatment. Taken together, these results validate NPC2 mRNA as a diagnostic host biomarker for active TB independent of host genetic background. Moreover, they reveal its potential to predict progression from latent to active infection and to indicate a response to anti-TB treatment.


Author(s):  
Ji Young Hong ◽  
Ahreum Kim ◽  
So Yeong Park ◽  
Sang-Nae Cho ◽  
Hazel M. Dockrell ◽  
...  

BackgroundThe Beijing strain of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (M. tb) has been most frequently isolated from TB patients in South Korea, and the hyper-virulent Beijing/K genotype is associated with TB outbreaks. To examine the diagnostic potential of Beijing/K-specific peptides, we performed IFN-γ release assays (IGRA) using a MTBK antigen tube containing Beijing/K MTBK_24800, ESAT-6, and CFP-10 peptides in a cohort studied during a school TB outbreak.MethodsA total of 758 contacts were investigated for M. tb infection, and 43 contacts with latent TB infection (LTBI) and 25 active TB patients were enrolled based on serial screening with QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube tests followed by clinical examinations. Blood collected in MTBK antigen tubes was utilized for IGRA and multiplex cytokine bead arrays. Immune responses were retested in 24 patients after TB treatment, and disease progression was investigated in subjects with LTBI.ResultsTotal proportions of active disease and LTBI during the outbreak were 3.7% (28/758) and 9.2% (70/758), respectively. All clinical isolates had a Beijing/K M. tb genotype. IFN-γ responses to the MTBK antigen identified M. tb infection and distinguished between active disease and LTBI. After anti-TB treatment, IFN-γ responses to the MTBK antigen were significantly reduced, and strong TNF-α responses at diagnosis were dramatically decreased.ConclusionsMTBK antigen-specific IFN-γ has diagnostic potential for differentiating M. tb infection from healthy controls, and between active TB and LTBI as well. In addition, TNF-α is a promising marker for monitoring therapeutic responses. These data provide informative readouts for TB diagnostics and vaccine studies in regions where the Beijing/K strain is endemic.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zeinab Abdelrahman ◽  
Qian Liu ◽  
Shanmei Jiang ◽  
Mengyuan Li ◽  
Yue Zhang ◽  
...  

Background and rationale: Limited data on the efficacy and safety of currently applied COVID-19 therapeutics and their impact on COVID-19 outcomes have raised additional concern. Aim and Methods: We estimated the impact of the current treatments on the efficacy and safety of COVID-19 by a meta-analysis. The comprehensive search included studies reporting clinical features and treatment strategies published from January 21, 2020, to May 15, 2020. Results: We included 52 studies that involved 13,966 COVID-19 patients. We found that the most prevalent treatments were antivirals (proportion: 0.74, 95% CI : [0.65, 0.83]) and antibiotics (proportion: 0.73, 95% CI: [0.62, 0.83]). The COVID-19 severity increased among patients taking glucocorticoids (risk ratio (RR) = 1.71, 95% CI: [1.06, 2.76]) or immunoglobulins (RR = 3.83, 95% CI: [1.27, 11.53]), and renal replacement therapy (RRT) and glucocorticoids increased the length of ICU stay (RRT : RR = 11.89, 95% CI: [3.26, 43.39]; glucocorticoids: RR = 3.10, 95% CI: [1.52, 6.29]). The COVID-19 severity and mortality increased among patients taking tocilizumab (severity: F = 25.53, P = 0.02; mortality: F = 19.37, P = 0.02). The most effective treatment was the combination of arbidol with lopinavir/ritonavir compared with placebo (mean difference = 0.5, 95% CI [-0.60, 1.66]), and the safest combination was remdesivir and lopinavir/ritonavir (RR= 0.78, 95% CI [0.32, 1.91]). Conclusion: glucocorticoids, immunoglobulins, RRT, and tocilizumab might worsen COVID-19 outcomes, and the most effective and safest treatment strategy for COVID-19 is the combination of different antivirals.


2021 ◽  
pp. archdischild-2020-320421
Author(s):  
Louise Turnbull ◽  
Christine Bell ◽  
Stefanie Davies ◽  
Fran Child

ObjectiveTo assess the impact of a virtual multidisciplinary team (MDT) review panel in reducing travel for children with a rare disease (tuberculosis (TB)) without compromising clinical outcomes.DesignRetrospective review of patients discussed in a virtual MDT panel. Independent pre-intervention and post-intervention data from Public Health England.SettingPaediatric departments across North West England.PatientsChildren aged <16 years with suspected TB infection/disease.InterventionWeekly, virtual MDT discussion between district paediatricians and a tertiary TB team.Main outcome measureCare closer to home, time from presentation to treatment.Results45% (37 of 82) children received care closer to home. Median time from presentation to treatment reduced by 28% (from 18 to 13 days). 21% more children were diagnosed before developing symptoms (76% of children presented with symptoms pre-intervention, 55% post-intervention). 5 children incorrectly labelled with latent TB infection were treated for TB disease.ConclusionsA clinical network supported by virtual MDT reviews can improve treatment for children with rare diseases while providing care close to home.


BMJ ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. m216 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anthony Lee ◽  
Yingda Linda Xie ◽  
Clifton E Barry ◽  
Ray Y Chen

Abstract Guidelines on the treatment of tuberculosis (TB) have essentially remained the same for the past 35 years, but are now starting to change. Ongoing clinical trials will hopefully transform the landscape for treatment of drug sensitive TB, drug resistant TB, and latent TB infection. Multiple trials are evaluating novel agents, repurposed agents, adjunctive host directed therapies, and novel treatment strategies that will increase the probability of success of future clinical trials. Guidelines for HIV-TB co-infection treatment continue to be updated and drug resistance testing has been revolutionized in recent years with the shift from phenotypic to genotypic testing and the concomitant increased speed of results. These coming changes are long overdue and are sorely needed to address the vast disparities in global TB incidence rates. TB is currently the leading cause of death globally from a single infectious agent, but the work of many researchers and the contributions of many patients in clinical trials will reduce the substantial global morbidity and mortality of the disease.


2009 ◽  
Vol 36 (9) ◽  
pp. 1876-1884 ◽  
Author(s):  
BOLETTE SOBORG ◽  
MORTEN RUHWALD ◽  
MERETE LUND HETLAND ◽  
SØREN JACOBSEN ◽  
AASE BENGAARD ANDERSEN ◽  
...  

Objective.To test if Mycobacterium tuberculosis screening results differ among patients with inflammatory disease depending on whether the QuantiFeron TB-Gold test (QFT) or tuberculin skin test (TST) is used; and to evaluate if a possible difference is influenced by the presence of risk factors or immunosuppression.Methods.The interferon-γ response to in vitro stimulation of M. tuberculosis-specific antigens was measured with QFT and results were compared with TST. Associations to bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) vaccination, risk factors, and immunosuppression were analyzed for both tests.Results.QFT and TST results were available for 294/302 and 241/302 patients, respectively; 234 had results from both tests. Twenty-one (7%) tested positive with QFT and 45 (19%) with TST. A positive QFT was associated with risk factors for M. tuberculosis infection: i.e., birth or upbringing in a TB-endemic area [risk ratio (RR) = 7.8, 95% CI 1.5–18.2, p < 0.001], previous TB treatment (RR 4.7, 95% CI 1.6–13.5, p = 0.005), and any latent TB infection risk factor (RR 4.7, 95% CI 2.1–11.0, p = 0.0002). Treatment with corticosteroids increased the risk for an inconclusive QFT result (RR 4.2, 95% CI 1.6–10.7, p = 0.04) and decreased the risk for a positive TST result (RR 0.4, 95% CI 0.1–1.0, p = 0.04). Agreement between the tests was low (kappa 0.2, 95% CI 0.02–0.3, p = 0.002).Conclusion.The study documented a high degree of discordant positive QFT and TST results. A positive QFT was more closely associated with risk factors for M. tuberculosis infection than the TST. The use of corticosteroids affected test outcome by increasing the risk for an inconclusive QFT result and decreasing the risk for a positive TST result.


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