Presidential Rhetoric, Candidate Evaluations, and Party Identification

2007 ◽  
Vol 61 (3) ◽  
pp. 419-433 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Doherty
Keyword(s):  
Party Identification ◽  
Presidential Rhetoric ◽  
Candidate Evaluations

Reciprocal Effects of Policy Preferences, Party Loyalties and the Vote

1979 ◽  
Vol 73 (4) ◽  
pp. 1071-1089 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin I. Page ◽  
Calvin C. Jones
Keyword(s):  
Party Identification ◽  
Simultaneous Equation ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Policy Preferences ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Recursive Models ◽  
Candidate Evaluations ◽  
Voting Decisions ◽  
Simultaneous Equation Models

Past studies have offered diverse estimates of the role of policy preferences, party loyalties, candidate personalities and other factors in voting decisions. Most have postulated recursive (that is, one-way) causal relationships among the central variables.This study specifies a non-recursive simultaneous equation model and estimates its parameters for the 1972 and 1976 elections using CPS data. The estimates differ markedly from those of simple recursive models. Policy preferences appear to have much more influence on voting decisions, and party attachments much less, than was previously thought. Candidate evaluations strongly affect voters' perceptions of closeness to candidates on policy issues. Party identification may be influenced by short-term factors. Differences between 1972 and 1976 reflect the issue-oriented McGovern candidacy.Simultaneous equation models offer no cure-all; in the absence of accepted theory many specifications are open to controversy. But future research must take account of reciprocal causal paths.

Presidential Prenomination Preferences and Candidate Evaluations

1988 ◽  
Vol 82 (4) ◽  
pp. 1309-1319 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick J. Kenney ◽  
Tom W. Rice
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Party Identification ◽  
General Election ◽  
Candidate Selection ◽  
Vote Choice ◽  
Candidate Evaluations ◽  
Integral Role ◽  
Simultaneous Process ◽  
First Time

Recent research has altered our understanding of how voters select a candidate in U.S. presidential elections. Scholars have demonstrated empirically that issues, candidate personalities, candidate evaluations, and party identification interact in a dynamic simultaneous fashion to determine vote choice. Other researchers have shown that prenomination candidate preferences play an integral role in structuring the general election vote. We join together these two important trends to introduce and test a revised model of vote choice, using 1980 NES panel data. The results reconfirm that candidate selection is part of a dynamic simultaneous process and reveal for the first time that prenomination preferences are woven tightly into this causal web.

scholarly journals A New Electorate? Explaining the Party Preferences of Immigrant-Origin Voters at the 2017 Bundestag Election

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-23
Author(s):  
Achim Goerres ◽  
Sabrina Jasmin Mayer ◽  
Dennis Christopher Spies
Keyword(s):  
Standard Model ◽  
Political Attitudes ◽  
Party Identification ◽  
Attitudes And Beliefs ◽  
Direct Effects ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Western Countries ◽  
German Identity ◽  
Candidate Evaluations

Abstract Immigrants now constitute a sizeable and rapidly growing group among many Western countries' electorates, but analyses of their party preferences remain limited. Theoretically, immigrants' party preferences might be explained with both standard electoral theories and immigrant-specific approaches. In this article, we rigorously test both perspectives against each other using the most recent data from Germany. Applying the Michigan model, with its three central explanatory variables – party identification, issue orientations and candidate evaluations – to the party preferences of immigrant-origin and native voters, we find that this standard model can explain both groups well. In contrast, we find no direct effects of the most prominent immigrant-specific variables, and neither do these meaningfully moderate the Michigan variables. However, we find strong formative effects on the presence of political attitudes and beliefs: immigrants with a longer time spent in Germany, a stronger German identity and less experience of discrimination report significantly fewer item non-responses for the Michigan model's main explanatory variables.

scholarly journals Redistribution Preferences, Inequality Information, and Partisan Motivated Reasoning in the United States

Societies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 65
Author(s):  
Clem Brooks ◽  
Elijah Harter
Keyword(s):  
Party Identification ◽  
Motivated Reasoning ◽  
The United States ◽  
Quality Data ◽  
Historical Time ◽  
High Quality Data ◽  
Redistributive Policies ◽  
Election Studies ◽  
New Evidence ◽  
The U.S

In an era of rising inequality, the U.S. public’s relatively modest support for redistributive policies has been a puzzle for scholars. Deepening the paradox is recent evidence that presenting information about inequality increases subjects’ support for redistributive policies by only a small amount. What explains inequality information’s limited effects? We extend partisan motivated reasoning scholarship to investigate whether political party identification confounds individuals’ processing of inequality information. Our study considers a much larger number of redistribution preference measures (12) than past scholarship. We offer a second novelty by bringing the dimension of historical time into hypothesis testing. Analyzing high-quality data from four American National Election Studies surveys, we find new evidence that partisanship confounds the interrelationship of inequality information and redistribution preferences. Further, our analyses find the effects of partisanship on redistribution preferences grew in magnitude from 2004 through 2016. We discuss implications for scholarship on information, motivated reasoning, and attitudes towards redistribution.

Nation-building and presidential rhetoric in Belarus

2016 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 727-747 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lina Klymenko
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Relations ◽  
Historical Memory ◽  
Presidential Rhetoric ◽  
Discursive Construction ◽  
The Public ◽  
National Community ◽  
Societal Consensus ◽  
Political Speeches ◽  
Presidential Speeches ◽  
Discourse Historical Approach

Abstract This paper studies the Belarusian nation as envisioned by the president in his political speeches delivered on the country’s Independence Day. The theoretical framework of the paper rests upon an understanding of the discursive construction of national identity. This analysis of the presidential speeches utilizes principles of the Discourse Historical Approach (DHA). As a special genre of texts, political speeches aim to offer normative guidance and a sense of societal consensus to the public. The paper reveals that in the construction of a national community in Belarus, the presidential speeches ambiguously refer to historical memory, socio-economic development, the political system and the country’s foreign relations.

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