Tourism and urban economic growth: A panel analysis of German cities

2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 519-527 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bart Neuts

Even though cities are among the most important tourist destinations, research on tourism as a vehicle for economic growth – most often approached via the tourism-led growth hypothesis (TLGH) – has predominantly been limited to countries. This study explores the validity of the TLGH in an urban context. Panel data were collected for 89 German cities on different indicators of urban economic growth. Pedroni panel cointegration confirmed a long-term equilibrium between tourism, local business tax revenue, income tax revenue and real GDP, indicating that even for cities within a strong, developed economy, tourism contributes to wealth creation. A Panel Granger causality analysis established a one-way Granger causal relationship from tourism to local business tax and income tax and a bidirectional relationship between tourism and real GDP. This causal relationship was stronger for cities with a high to medium tourism intensity.

1987 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-74
Author(s):  
W Albers

In this paper the criticisms of the local business tax in Germany and the main reform proposals are outlined. Each of the main proposals is then evaluated in detail. It is concluded that the proposal for a local value-added tax would be detrimental to economic growth, would distort international competition, would be very complicated, and has political impracticalities. The use of a share of the national turnover tax is a preferable solution for part of local revenue and could be allocated to the Land Kreise; a second component could be provided by increasing the local share of the federal income tax. The revitalisation of the present business tax is rejected.


2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-28
Author(s):  
Shamurailatpam Sofia Devi

This paper examines the causal relationship between the real GDP and the total export of goods and services produced in India during the period 1990-91 to 2011-12. The main emphasis is to substantiate the importance of exports in the growth process of Indian economy after the economic reforms taken up in the early part of the 90s’ In other words, the study is to see the validity of economic strategy of export-led growth in case of India. The empirical findings of the study indicated that there is a bi-directional causality between GDP and export of the economy. And the hypothesis that export-led-growth is valid in case of the Indian economy for the period under study.


2017 ◽  
Vol 55 (4) ◽  
pp. 481-499 ◽  
Author(s):  
Branimir Kalaš ◽  
Vera Mirović ◽  
Jelena Andrašić

AbstractIn a research paper, the authors provide an empirical approach to taxes and economic growth in the United States in the period 1996-2016. The basic goal is to explore how taxes affect economic growth. The subject of the research is measuring the effects of tax revenue growth and tax form as a personal income tax, corporate income tax and social security contributions on gross domestic product as a proxy for economic growth. Methodology framework includes several tests to clear the potential problem of heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation, multicollinearity and specification of the model. Based on diagnostic tests, a regression model is adequately created where fundamental econometric procedures are applied. Correlation matrix reflects a strong and positive relationship between tax revenue growth and corporate income tax on the one side and gross domestic product growth, on the another side. Also, personal income tax and social security contributions are weakly related to gross domestic product growth. The model shows a significant effect of tax revenue growth and social security contributions, while personal income tax and corporate income tax do not have a significant impact on gross domestic product growth. Interestingly, personal income tax as the main tax form in the tax structure of the United States has no significant impact on economic growth compared to social security contributions which percentage share is lesser.


1987 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-88 ◽  
Author(s):  
R-D Postlep

In this paper the property tax (Grundsteuer B) in Germany is evaluated as a local business tax. The tax is discussed from the perspective of its impact on economic growth, business cycle behaviour, and the spatial allocation of local government financial resources. It is concluded that, taken together, the impacts of the local property tax do not suggest that the tax could not be used to a greater extent, particularly when compared with the present local business tax on profits and assets.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 255-266
Author(s):  
G. Ganchev ◽  
◽  
I. Todorov ◽  

The objective of this article is to estimate the impact of three fiscal instruments (direct taxes, indirect taxes, and government expenditure) on Bulgaria’s economic growth. The study employs an autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) and Eurostat quarterly seasonally adjusted data for the period 1999–2020. Four control variables (the shares of gross capital formation, household consumption, and exports in GDP as well as the economic growth in the euro area) are included in the model to account for the influence of non-fiscal factors on Bulgaria’s real GDP growth rate. The empirical results indicate a long-run equilibrium relationship between Bulgaria’s economic growth and the independent variables in the ARDL. In the short term, Bulgaria’s real GDP growth rate is affected by its own past values and the previous values of the shares of direct tax revenue, exports, government consumption, and indirect tax revenue in GDP. In the long term, Bulgaria’s economic growth is influenced by its own previous values and the past values of the share of household consumption in GDP and the euro area’s real GDP growth rate. Fiscal instruments can be used to stabilize Bulgaria’s growth in the short run but they are neutral in the long run. The direct tax revenue, government consumption, and indirect tax revenue are highly effective and can be used as tools for invigorating and stabilizing Bulgaria’s economic growth in the short run. However, in the long term, the real GDP growth rate can be hastened only by encouraging domestic demand (final consumption expenditure of households) and promoting exports. This research cannot answer the question of whether flat income taxation stabilizes the economy or not, since it does not separate the impact of tax rate changes from the influence of tax base modifications.


1987 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-67 ◽  
Author(s):  
H Karrenberg

In this paper the fiscal problems of local authorities in Germany are outlined with particular reference to recent reforms of the business tax and with special emphasis on the larger cities. The decline of tax revenue from autonomous sources is shown to undermine severely the freedom of actions of local authorities. Criteria for a good finance system, from a local authority perspective, are outlined. It is concluded that (1) renovation of the business tax is essential to increase those components which are not related to business profits, (2) inclusion of transfer payments in the assessment of the income tax base is necessary. Reform might include reinstatement of the payroll tax.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 236-248
Author(s):  
S. Tanchev ◽  
◽  
I. Todorov ◽  

The study analyzes the long-run and short-run tax buoyancies of Bulgaria and their relationship with Bulgaria’s economic growth. The buoyancy measures the response of tax revenue to changes in economic growth. The buoyancy indicates whether collectability of the tax on income, profit, and consumption increases. The object of this study is the collectability of aggregate tax revenues and of the revenues from different types of taxes – value added tax, personal income tax, corporate tax and social security contributions in Bulgaria. The subject of the study is the relationship of different tax revenues with economic growth. The research methods employed are the fully modified least squares (FMOLS) and autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL). The research covers the period from the first quarter of 1999 to the second quarter of 2017 and uses the Eurostat data (78 observations). The study aims to show which type of revenues (from direct or from indirect taxes) is more important for Bulgaria’s state budget. It is shown that the buoyancies of aggregate tax revenue, personal income tax and social security contributions significantly differ from one another in the long-run. The buoyancies of the value-added tax and the corporate tax are above one in the long run. In the short-run the buoyancy of the aggregate tax revenues, the corporate tax, the income tax and the social security contributions are different from one. The short-run buoyancy of VAT exceeds one, hence dynamics of VAT revenues is sustainable. The collectability of the aggregate tax revenue, personal income tax and social security contributions has increased neither in the long run nor in the short run. It is therefore recommended that inefficient taxes, whose collectability does not increase, be reformed.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-67
Author(s):  
S. Tanchev ◽  

The study analyzes the relationship of personal income tax and economic growth in the long and short runs to show which type of income tax (progressive or proportional) is more compatible with Bulgaria’s economic growth. The methods of Vector Error Correction and Correlation are applied to determine the long-run and short-run impacts of the two types of income tax. The research covers the period from the first quarter of 1999 to the first quarter of 2020. Eurostat data (85 observations) were used. The empirical research has been divided into two periods. The long-run and short-run relationships between economic growth and tax revenue from progressive income tax in Bulgaria have first been studied, followed by the relationship between economic growth and the tax revenue from proportional income tax. The research results show that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship, but not a short-run relationship, between personal income tax and economic growth. The results imply that the progressive income tax is more compatible with economic growth than proportional income tax in Bulgaria in the long run. In the short run, the progressive income tax and proportional income tax have not shown statistically significant relationships with economic growth. Therefore, a progressive income tax leads to greater economic growth than a proportional income tax. From a long-run equilibrium standpoint, it is advisable that Bulgaria switch from proportional to progressive income taxation. It may be inferred that progressive taxation is more appropriate for economic growth than proportional taxation. The results are in conformity with the theory of endogenic growth and reject the neoclassical theory.


2020 ◽  
pp. 69-93
Author(s):  
José Antonio Alonso

As countries progress, they require more complex institutions; however, economic and institutional processes frequently do not evolve at the same pace, as institutions are subject to greater inertia. This problem is particularly relevant in middle-income countries (MICs), as these countries experience episodes of intense economic growth. Therefore, the absence of institutional change can be a cause of a middle-income trap (MIT). The chapter discusses the criteria that define institutional quality, and examines the various ways in which institutional change occurs. Empirical exploration reveals the existence of two anomalous behaviors in middle-income regions: excessive institutional fluidity in Latin America and, in contrast, an excessive institutional stickiness in MENA. Based on prior works, the author explores the macro determinants of institutional quality. His results suggest that per capita income, tax revenue, redistribution (rather than mere inequality), education, and international openness all appear to be strong determinants of institutional quality.


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 162-189 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank M. Fossen ◽  
Viktor Steiner

Abstract Local business profits respond to local business tax (LBT) rates that vary across municipalities. We estimate that a 1% increase in the LBT rate decreases the LBT base by 0.45%, based on the universe of German LBT return files, which include corporations and unincorporated businesses. However, the fiscal equalization scheme largely compensates municipalities for the loss in the LBT base when they increase the LBT rate. Our estimates suggest that using tax revenue data instead of tax return data, as commonly done in the literature, results in a significant bias of the elasticity away from zero.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document