‘Walking on ice’: The future of parole in a risk-obsessed society

2019 ◽  
pp. 136248061988055
Author(s):  
Monica Barry

The aim of risk assessment and management in criminal justice is increasingly about minimizing opportunities to create harm to the public rather than maximizing opportunities to create change in offenders. This seems to be particularly the case in respect of parole, where the balance of public protection with rehabilitation has become increasingly unstable in prioritizing the former. This article examines parole decision making and management within the UK from the perspectives of both high risk offenders on licence and parole professionals. It discusses two key drivers to burgeoning recall rates: the stringency of licence conditions and the propensity of professionals to recall in the name of risk elimination rather than risk reduction. The article concludes that the effectiveness of parole is in question, not least in enabling re-entry and reintegration of high risk prisoners. In particular, the future sustainability of parole itself is deemed to be under threat.

Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 4833-4833
Author(s):  
Shannon M Bates ◽  
Pablo Alonso-Coello ◽  
Mark Eckman ◽  
Kari A Tikkinen ◽  
Shanil Ebrahim ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The risk of pregnancy-related venous thromboembolism (VTE) is increased in women with a history of thrombosis. Although antepartum low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) prophylaxis can reduce this risk; the baseline risk of recurrence and the absolute magnitude of the risk reduction with prophylaxis are uncertain. Further, LMWH prophylaxis is costly, burdensome, medicalizes pregnancy, and may increase the risk of bleeding. Therefore, uncertainty persists regarding the net benefit of thromboprophylaxis and recommendations about the use of antepartum LMWH should be sensitive to pregnant women’s values and preferences, which have not previously been studied. Methods: We undertook an international multicenter cross-sectional interview study that included women with a history of VTE who were pregnant, planning pregnancy, or might consider pregnancy in the future. Women were classified as high (5 to 10%) or low (1 to 5%) risk of recurrent antepartum VTE. We ascertained willingness to receive LMWH during pregnancy through direct choice exercises involving real-life scenarios using the participant’s estimated VTE (high or low) and bleeding risks, hypothetical scenarios (low, medium and high risk of recurrence) and a probability trade-off exercise. Study outcomes included the minimum absolute reduction in VTE risk at which women changed from declining to accepting LMWH, along with possible determinants of this threshold, and participant choice of management strategy in her real-life and the three hypothetical scenarios. Results: 123 women from seven centers in six countries participated. Using a fixed 16% VTE risk without prophylaxis, the mean threshold reduction in risk at which women were willing to use LMWH was 4.3% (95% CI, 3.5 – 5.1%). Pregnant women and those planning a pregnancy (compared to those who might consider pregnancy in the future) and those with less than 2 weeks of experience with using LMWH during pregnancy (compared to those with more experience) required a greater risk reduction to use prophylaxis. In the real life scenario, there was there a significant difference in the proportion of women choosing prophylaxis between those at high risk (87.1%) and low risk (60.0%) of recurrence (p=0.01). The proportion of women choosing to use LMWH prophylaxis was 65.1% for the low risk hypothetical scenario (4% risk of recurrence), 79.7% for the medium risk scenario (10% risk of recurrence) and 87.8% for the high risk scenario (16% risk of recurrence). Conclusions: Most women with prior VTE will choose prophylaxis during a subsequent pregnancy, regardless of whether they are categorized as high or low risk of recurrence. Nevertheless, 40% of lower risk women will decline LMWH, as will over 10% of high risk women. Thus, these results mandate individualized clinical decision-making for women considering LMWH use during pregnancy, and weak guideline recommendations for LMWH use that highlight the need for individualized decision-making. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


2005 ◽  
Vol 45 (2) ◽  
pp. 93-109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Herschel Prins

Two earlier contributions to this journal on the topic of `dangerous behaviour' are updated in the light of recent theoretical and practical developments in the assessment and management of risk in criminal justice and psychiatry. Such assessment and management need to be viewed against the background of current over-preoccupation with avoiding the hazards of daily living. `Never predict anything, particularly the future' (Statement attributed to Sam Goldwyn, Film Producer)


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 99-100
Author(s):  
Malwina Anna Wojcik

The pressure on the criminal justice system in England and Wales is mounting. Recent figures reveal that despite a rise in recorded crime, the number of defendants in court proceedings has been the lowest in 50 years. This indicates a crisis of access to criminal justice. Predictive policing and risk assessment programmes based on algorithmic decision making (ADM) offer a prospect of increasing efficiency of law enforcement, eliminating delays and cutting the costs. These technologies are already used in the UK for crime-mapping and facilitating decisions regarding prosecution of arrested individuals. In the US their deployment is much wider, covering also sentencing and parole applications.


Author(s):  
Joe Earle ◽  
Cahal Moral ◽  
Zach Ward-Perkins

One hundred years ago the idea of ‘the economy’ didn’t exist. Now, improving ‘the economy’ has come to be seen as one of the most important tasks facing modern societies. Politics and policymaking are increasingly conducted in the language of economics and economic logic increasingly frames how political problems are defined and addressed. The result is that crucial societal functions are outsourced to economic experts. The econocracy is about how this particular way of thinking about economies and economics has come to dominate many modern societies and its damaging consequences. We have put experts in charge but those experts are not fit for purpose. A growing movement is arguing that we should redefine the relationship between society and economics. Across the world, students, the economists of the future, are rebelling against their education. From three members of this movement comes a book that tries to open up the black box of economic decision making to public scrutiny. We show how a particular form of economics has come to dominate in universities across the UK and has thus shaped our understanding of the economy. We document the weaknesses of this form of economics and how it has failed to address many important issues such as financial stability, environmental sustainability and inequality; and we set out a vision for how we can bring economic discussion and decision making back into the public sphere to ensure the societies of the future can flourish.


2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (5) ◽  
pp. e100291
Author(s):  
Sarah Markham

Collaborative risk assessment and management have been recommended in health policy for over a decade. We consider the nature and need for collaborative risk assessment and management between patients and clinicians in secure and forensic mental health settings in the context of shared decision making and personalised care in the UK. We examine the extent to which policy and recent initiatives have influenced the embedding of such practice in services through consideration of the evidence provided by research and the Commissioning for Quality and Innovation framework, and conclude that there is a need for further improvement.


Author(s):  
JOAN MULLEN

While crowding has been a persistent feature of the American prison since its invention in the nineteenth century, the last decade of crisis has brought more outspoken media investigations of prison conditions, higher levels of political and managerial turmoil, and a judiciary increasingly willing to bring the conditions of confinement under the scope of Eighth Amendment review. With the added incentive of severe budget constraints, liberals and conservatives alike now question whether this is any way to do business. Although crowding cannot be defined by quantitative measures alone, many institutions have far exceeded their limits of density according to minimum standards promulgated by the corrections profession. Some fall far below any reasonable standard of human decency. The results are costly, dangerous, and offensive to the public interest. Breaking the cycle of recurrent crisis requires considered efforts to address the decentralized, discretionary nature of sentence decision making and to link sentencing policies to the resources available to the corrections function. The demand to match policy with resources is simply a call for more rational policymaking. To ask for less is to allow the future of corrections to resemble its troubled past.


2015 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 184-198 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Button ◽  
Chris Lewis ◽  
David Shepherd ◽  
Graham Brooks

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to explore the challenges of measuring fraud in overseas aid. Design/methodology/approach – The research is based on 21 semi-structured interviews with key persons working in the delivery of aid in both the public and voluntary sectors. It uses the UK Department for International Development as a case study to applying more accurate measures of fraud. Findings – This paper shows there are significant challenges to using fraud loss measurement to gauge fraud in overseas aid. However, it argues that, along with other types of measures, it could be used in areas of expenditure in overseas governments and charities to measure aid. Given the high risk of such aid to fraud, it argues helping to develop capacity to reduce aid, of which measuring the size of the problem is an important part; this could be considered as aid in its own right. Research limitations/implications – The researchers were not able to visit high-risk countries for fraud to examine in the local context views on the challenges of measuring fraud. Practical implications – The paper offers insights on the challenges to accurately measuring fraud in an overseas context, which will be useful to policy-makers in this context. Social implications – Given the importance of as much aid as possible reaching recipients, it offers an important contribution to helping to reduce losses in this important area. Originality/value – There has been very little consideration of how to measure fraud in the overseas aid context, with most effort aimed at corruption, which poses some of the same challenges, as well as some very different challenges.


Nowa Medycyna ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacek Wadełek

The majority of patients undergoing emergency laparotomy have potentially life?threatening conditions that require prompt intervention. The reduced time?frames available due to surgical urgency necessitate prompt and senior decision?making to minimise delays. The time taken to correct any anomalies needs to be balanced against the need for prompt surgery, particularly in time?sensitive situations involving sepsis or hypovolaemia. Therefore, corrective measures may be performed in parallel with surgery. Patients undergoing emergency laparotomy are at a high risk of adverse outcomes. Key elements of care for these patients include repeated risk assessment, early antibiotic therapy, as well as fluid resuscitation and appropriate timely interventions provided by clinicians with the right level of experience.


Author(s):  
Ashley Shortz ◽  
Ranjana Mehta ◽  
S. Peres ◽  
Mark Benden ◽  
Qi Zheng

Existing risk assessment tools are not effective or sustainable in identifying Oil and Gas Extraction (OGE) workers at high risk of fatigue-related injuries or incidents. We developed a comprehensive Fatigue Risk Assessment and Management in high-risk Environments (FRAME) survey through an industry-academic participatory approach. The FRAME survey was developed through: (1) systematic gathering of existing fatigue scales; (2) refining the inventory using the Delphi Consensus technique; and (3) further refinement through employee/worker focus groups. The participatory approach resulted in a final FRAME survey across four fatigue dimensions—sleep, shiftwork, physical, and mental fatigue, and was composed of 26 items. The FRAME survey was founded on occupational fatigue science and refined and tailored to the OGE industry, through rigorous industry stakeholder input, for safer, effective, practical, and sustainable fatigue assessment and management efforts.


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