Application of the International Prognostic Score of Thrombosis for Essential Thrombocytemia(ET) (IPSET-Thrombosis) in a Cohort of ET Patients: Experience from Gruppo Laziale for Myeloproliferative Ph Negative Neoplasms

Blood ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 126 (23) ◽  
pp. 2821-2821
Author(s):  
Michele Cedrone ◽  
Barbara Anaclerico ◽  
Francesca Paoloni ◽  
Roberto Latagliata ◽  
Marco Montanaro ◽  
...  

Abstract INTRODUCTION: Essential Thrombocytemia (ET) is the most common of the myeloproliferative neoplasms, vascular complications contribute mostly to both morbidity and mortality. The ability to identify thrombotic risk of the individual patient is necessary for a correct therapeutic management. Traditionally, risk stratification for thrombosis in ET pts was based on the respective absence and/or presence of either age >60 years or history of thrombosis. Recently, the IPSET score (International Prognostic Score Of Thrombosis for ET) was developed to better predict the occurrence of thrombotic events in ET patients. Risk factors included in the new score were: age, cardiovascular risk factors, previous thrombosis, presence of JAK 2 V617F mutation. AIM: to evaluate the validity of IPSET-thrombosis score in a cohort of ET patients from "Gruppo Laziale for Myeloproliferative Ph negative Neoplasms" in predicting thrombosis incidence. METHODS: from January 1978 to December 2011 we observed 1249 ET patients, median follow up was 105 months (range 12.1-417.7). We were able to retrospectively evaluate all the IPSET risk factors in 680 ET patients and estimated the clinical implication of the IPSET-thrombosis score system. According to the score 27.3 %, 19.1% and 53.5% of pts were stratified in low, intermediate and high risk group respectively. RESULTS: median age at the time of diagnosis was 61.8 yrs (range 19.9 -94; 64% females), median hemoglobin was 14 g/dl (range 6-20); median leukocyte count was 8.8 x 109/L (range 1,2-57); median platelets count was 812x 109/L (range 108-3582). We observed, during a median follow-up of 200 months, 82 thrombotic events (total incidence 17,89 %). According IPSET-thrombosis risk, in our ET population was documented a statistically different thrombosis free survival (TFS) (Gray test 0.1316): 85%, 78%, 77% in low,intermediate and high risk group respectively. During all the observation period the intermediate and high risk group showed a similar probability of thrombotic events. CONCLUSIONS: in our retrospective study the IPSET score was able to differentiate the rate of thrombosis events in low-risk (0-1 risk factors) from that of intermediate (>= 2 risk factors) and high risk (>= 3 risk factors) ET pts. Unfortunately the intermediate and high risk groups show a similar incidence of thrombotic events during the whole observation period. We were not able to verify the clinical benefit resulting from the different treatment strategies. Because treatment options in ET pts are tailored according to thrombotic risk, and since we have specified therapeutic indications for patients with low and high risk, it is necessary to validate the score IPSET in a large prospective, long term study to discriminate a true "intermediate" subset of patients for which there are no currently defined therapeutic guidelines. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 404-404
Author(s):  
Guido Finazzi ◽  
Alessandra Carobbio ◽  
Paola Guglielmelli ◽  
Elisa Rumi ◽  
Silvia Salmoiraghi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background An International Prognostic Score for the risk of thrombosis (IPSET-thrombosis) in Essential Thrombocythemia (ET) was developed (Barbui et al. Blood, 2012;120:5128). Risk factors included: age >60 years (1 point), cardiovascular (CV) risk factors (1 point), previous thrombosis (2 points) and the presence of JAK2V617F mutation (2 points). Low, intermediate and high risk categories were identified by scores 0-1; 2; and ≥ 3, respectively. Mutations in the exon 9 of CALreticulin (CALR) gene were recently identified in about 50-60% of patients with JAK2V617F negative ET and associated with a reduced thrombotic risk as compared with JAK2V617F positive patients. Aim To evaluate whether the identification of CALRmutation in patients with ET has any impact on the IPSET-thrombosis score Patients and Methods Under the auspices of AGIMM (AIRC Gruppo Italiano Malattie Mieloproliferative), four Italian centers with recognized experience in myeloproliferative neoplasms participated in the current study. Overall, 1,150 patients who met the 2008 WHO criteria for ET and were molecularly characterized for JAK2V617F, MPLW515L/K and CALR exon 9 mutations were included. The JAK2 and MPL mutations were assessed by real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction and by high-resolution melting analysis followed by bidirectional Sanger sequencing. Mutations in exon 9 of CALRwere assessed by bidirectional sequencing or next generation sequencing. Results Presenting features of the study population were: median age 58 years (range 5th-95th percentile 27-82 years; 65% females), median hemoglobin 14.1 g/dL (range 5th-95th percentile 11.8-16.3), median leukocyte count 8.7x109/L (range 5th-95th percentile 5.4-14.7), median platelet count 718x109/L (range 5th-95th percentile 486-1313). CV risk factors (at least one among smoke, diabetes and hypertension) were present in 568 (49%) patients. Arterial or venous thrombosis history before or at diagnosis was documented in 167 (15%) patients. JAK2V17F, MPLW515L/K and CALRmutations were detected in 744 (65%), 44 (4%) and 164 (14%) patients respectively. The remaining 198 patients (17%) were wild-type for all three mutations. During a median follow-up of 4.1 years (range 0-29), 104 patients developed an arterial or venous thrombotic event, with a total incidence rate of 1.59% patients/year (pt-ys). The IPSET-thrombosis ability to discriminate the thrombotic risk was confirmed. In fact, in the low risk (reference category), the rate was 0.57% pt-ys; in the intermediate risk was 1.60% pt-ys (Hazard Ratio (HR) 3.10, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.55-6.18, p=0.001) and in the high risk group was 2.34% pts-yr (HR 4.59, 95% CI 2.41-8.77 p<0.0001). As to the impact of CALR mutation in the three categories of the IPSET-thrombosis score, we observed that CALR mutated patients were more frequently distributed in the low risk (48%) and intermediate risk (46%) than in the high risk IPSET groups (6%). In univariate analysis, patients carrying CALR mutation had a lower incidence of thrombosis than those with JAK2V617F (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.34-1.09, p=0.093). However, CALR mutated patients were significantly younger (median age 53.5 versus 60.8 years, p=0.001) and presented with less previous thrombosis (8% versus 17%, p=0.005) than JAK2V617F mutated patients. This could explain why in multivariable models, CALR mutation did not retain the association with the risk of thrombosis. This was demonstrated in the whole population (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.30-2.17, p=0.674), as well as in the low risk (HR 1.01, range 0.27-3.81, p=0.987) and intermediate risk categories (HR 1.80, range 0.57-5.72, p=0.317); the high risk category was not evaluable for the low proportion of CALRmutated patients in this group. Conclusions CALR mutation does not have a significant impact on the IPSET-thrombosis prognostic score. The score can be used as it is to predict the risk of thrombosis in molecularly-annotated, WHO-2008 diagnosed ET patients. Disclosures Vannucchi: Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding.


2011 ◽  
Vol 93 (4) ◽  
pp. 314-316
Author(s):  
N Ramisetty ◽  
KM Krishnan ◽  
PF Partington

INTRODUCTION We performed a retrospective radiological audit of the hip resurfacings carried out in our trust over a five-year period. Abnormal cup inclination angle (CIA) and stem shaft angle (SSA) are recognised risk factors for revision in hip resurfacing. Our aims were to identify the CIA and SSA for hip resurfacings in our trust, to determine the revision rate in a CIA of ≥60° and an SSA of >0° varus, thereby identifying a high risk group for close, long-term follow up. METHODS A total of 247 patients underwent hip resurfacing in our trust between April 2003 and March 2008. The CIA and SSA were recorded. Of the 247 patients, 26 were excluded as there were no appropriate radiographs and so results were analysed for 221 patients. RESULTS The mean CIA was 47.6°. Over a third of the patients (34%) had a CIA of >50° and 13% had >60°. The mean SSA was 1.4° varus. Over two-thirds of the patients (67%) had a varus SSA. There were six revisions but one was excluded as it was secondary to infection. The revision rate was 10% in patients with a CIA of ≥60° and 1% in those with a CIA of <60° (p=0.017), and 1% in a varus and 4% in a valgus SSA (p>0.05) respectively. CONCLUSIONS The measurement of the CIA and SSA in hip resurfacings has identified a high risk group for close long-term follow up. There is already a 10% revision rate in those patients with a CIA of >60°. Hip resurfacing may generate a large revision burden in the ‘average’ surgeon's hands and all hospitals/surgeons should review their radiological outcomes critically and identify those at risk of revision.


Blood ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 138 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 4618-4618
Author(s):  
Guangshuai Teng ◽  
Yuhui Zhang ◽  
Chao Gao ◽  
Naibo Hu ◽  
Chenxiao Du ◽  
...  

Abstract Thrombosis is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in polycythemia vera (PV). Post PV myelofibrosis (MF) is the advanced phase in the natural progression of PV. To explore the risk factors for thrombosis in post-PV MF, clinical characteristics, laboratory characteristics, the incidence of thrombosis and survival were retrospectively analyzed in a cohort of 163 Chinese patients with post-PV MF. The Kaplan-Meier method and multivariate Cox analysis were used to identify the risk factors and a risk model for thrombosis was established. Among the 163 patients, the median follow-up duration was 6 (1-18) years. During follow-up, 84 (51.5%) patients developed thrombosis, 11 (6.7%) patients progressed to acute leukemia, and 35 (21.5%) patients died (20% of whom died due to thrombosis). The 5-year, 10-year, and 15-year thrombosis-free survival (TFS) rates were 59.8%, 28.2%, and 9%, respectively. The TFS time of the post-PV MF patients was significantly lower than that of the age- and sex-matched PV patients (P&lt;0.001). The incidence of venous thrombosis was significantly higher after the diagnosis of post-PV MF than before or at the time of the diagnosis, and the proportions of patients with JAK 2 V617F allele burden ≥75% or absolute monocyte count ≥1.5×10 9/L was significantly higher in the venous thrombosis group than in the group without venous thrombosis (P&lt;0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that palpable splenomegaly (P=0.008, HR=3.284, 95% CI [1.373,7.855]), age ≥60 years (P=0.048, HR=1.604, 95% CI [1.004,2.56]), and a history of thrombosis (P&lt;0.001, HR=2.767, 95% CI [1.735, 4.412]) were risk factors for thrombosis in post-PV MF patients, then a risk model for thrombosis was established according to these data. The median TFS durations in patients in the extremely high-risk group, high-risk group, intermediate-risk group, and low-risk group were 2 years, 4 years, 9 years, and 13 years, respectively. In summary, post-PV MF patients have a higher incidence of thrombosis. Reducing the volume of the spleen and the allele burden of JAK2 V617F is critical to prevent thrombosis in post-PV MF patients. Figure 1 Figure 1. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


1998 ◽  
Vol 172 (S33) ◽  
pp. 14-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alison R. Yung ◽  
Lisa J. Phillips ◽  
Patrick D. McGorry ◽  
Colleen A. McFarlane ◽  
Shona Francey ◽  
...  

Background The identification of people at high risk of becoming psychotic within the near future creates opportunities for early intervention prior to the onset of psychosis to prevent or minimise later ill-health. The present study combines current knowledge about risk factors for schizophrenia with our knowledge of psychotic prodromes in an attempt to identify a group particularly vulnerable to impending psychosis. We wanted to identify people with high likelihood of transition to psychosis within a follow-up period of 12 months, and to determine the rate of transition to psychosis in this group.Method Various state and trait risk factors for psychosis were used alone and in combination to operationally define a putatively high-risk group. Operationalised criteria for onset of psychosis were established. The individuals were assessed monthly on measures of psychopathology for six months.Results Eight out of 20 people made the transition to frank psychosis within a six-month follow-up period. Follow-up of this group is still in progress, and the 12 month transition rate might prove to be higher still.Conclusions We have demonstrated that it is possible to identify individuals with a high likelihood of onset of psychosis within a brief follow-up period. This lays the foundation for early treatment in an attempt to prevent, delay or minimise the severity of first onset of schizophrenia.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Piko ◽  
Zsigmond Kosa ◽  
Janos Sandor ◽  
Roza Adany

AbstractCardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the number one cause of death globally, and the early identification of high risk is crucial to prevent the disease and to reduce healthcare costs. Short life expectancy and increased mortality among the Roma are generally accepted (although not indeed proven by mortality analyses) which can be partially explained by the high prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors (CVRF) among them. This study aims to elaborate on the prevalence of the most important CVD risk factors, assess the estimation of a 10-year risk of development of fatal and nonfatal CVDs based on the most used risk assessment scoring models, and to compare the Hungarian general (HG) and Roma (HR) populations. In 2018 a complex health survey was accomplished on the HG (n = 380) and HR (n = 347) populations. The prevalence of CVRS was defined and 10-year cardiovascular risk was estimated for both study populations using the following systems: Framingham Risk Score for hard coronary heart disease (FRSCHD) and for cardiovascular disease (FRSCVD), Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE), ACC/AHA Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) and Revised Pooled Cohort Equations (RPCE). After the risk scores had been calculated, the populations were divided into risk categories and all subjects were classified. For all CVD risk estimation scores, the average of the estimated risk was higher among Roma compared to the HG independently of the gender. The proportion of high-risk group in the Hungarian Roma males population was on average 1.5–3 times higher than in the general one. Among Roma females, the average risk value was higher than in the HG one. The proportion of high-risk group in the Hungarian Roma females population was on average 2–3 times higher compared to the distribution of females in the general population. Our results show that both genders in the Hungarian Roma population have a significantly higher risk for a 10-year development of cardiovascular diseases and dying from them compared to the HG one. Therefore, cardiovascular interventions should be focusing not only on reducing smoking among Roma but on improving health literacy and service provision regarding prevention, early recognition, and treatment of lipid disorders and diabetes among them.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junxiong Yin ◽  
Chuanyong Yu ◽  
Hongxing Liu ◽  
Mingyang Du ◽  
Feng Sun ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective: To establish a predictive model of carotid vulnerable plaque through systematic screening of high-risk population for stroke.Patients and methods: All community residents who participated in the screening of stroke high-risk population by the China National Stroke Screening and Prevention Project (CNSSPP). A total of 19 risk factors were analyzed. Individuals were randomly divided into Derivation Set group and Validation Set group. According to carotid ultrasonography, the derivation set group patients were divided into instability plaque group and non-instability plaque group. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression were taken for risk factors. A predictive model scoring system were established by the coefficient. The AUC value of both derivation and validation set group were used to verify the effectiveness of the model.Results: A total of 2841 high-risk stroke patients were enrolled in this study, 266 (9.4%) patients were found instability plaque. According to the results of Doppler ultrasound, Derivation Set group were divided into instability plaque group (174 cases) and non-instability plaque group (1720 cases). The independent risk factors for carotid instability plaque were: male (OR 1.966, 95%CI 1.406-2.749),older age (50-59, OR 6.012, 95%CI 1.410-25.629; 60-69, OR 13.915, 95%CI 3.381-57.267;≥70, OR 31.267, 95%CI 7.472-130.83) , married(OR 1.780, 95%CI 1.186-2.672),LDL-c(OR 2.015, 95%CI 1.443-2.814), and HDL-C(OR 2.130, 95%CI 1.360-3.338). A predictive scoring system was created, range 0-10. The cut-off value of prediction model score is 6.5. The AUC value of derivation and validation set group were 0.738 and 0.737.Conclusion:For a high risk group of stroke individual, We provide a model that could distinguishing those who have a high probability of having carotid instability plaque. When resident’s predictive model score exceeds 6.5, the incidence of carotid instability plaque is high, carotid artery Doppler ultrasound would be checked immediately. This model can be helpful in the primary prevention of stroke.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Murman Kantaria ◽  
Murman Kantaria ◽  
Pavle Machavariani ◽  
Giorgi Ormotsadze ◽  
Giorgi Ormotsadze ◽  
...  

Objective Search of pathogenetic mechanisms and risk factors of atherosclerosis in the employees of the cleaning service in Tbilisi. Materials and Methods As a result of a preliminary survey and examination of 200 employes of Tbilisi cleaning service aged 25-45 years (2014-2016), 22 patients with angina, hypercholesterolemia, intimae-media thickness > 0.65 mm, were selected into I group, and 23 individuals without these disorders into II group. In the blood plasma of the selected patients the intensity of oxidative metabolism parameters, TAA and MDA were determined. The variance and correlation analysis (АNOVA) was used for conducting the comparative analysis of the levels of studied parameters. Results In the combined group (I+II) there are several reliable correlations between the Age -TCol, Age-MDA, BMI-Tg, BMI-MDA, LDLChol-HDLChol, LDLChol–TChol, HDLChol-TChol, LDLChol-MDA, LDLChol-TAA. no correlation between these parameters in individual groups (I and II) was found. That indicates that we have an imaginary correlation related to the large intergroup difference between the average values of the group indicators, that is the values of various indicators change during the development of the pathological process, but there is no causal relationship between these alterations. The reliable TAA-MDA correlation in the combined group (I+II) is related to the high anticorrelation between these parameters and the significantly higher average value of TAA in the low-risk group (II) in comparison to the high-risk group (I). Conclusion The results analysis indicates both the diagnostic value of redox status indicators and their leading role in the atherogenesis processes. In populations with a high risk of atherosclerosis, monitoring of serum TAA is recommended.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoshitaka Ito ◽  
Kazuhiro Naito ◽  
Katsuhisa Waseda ◽  
Hiroaki Takashima ◽  
Akiyoshi Kurita ◽  
...  

Background: While anticoagulant therapy is standard management for atrial fibrillation (Af), dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) is needed after stent implantation for coronary artery disease. HAS-BLED score estimates risk of major bleeding for patients on anticoagulation to assess risk-benefit in Af care. However, it is little known about usefulness of HAS-BLED score in Af patient treated with coronary stents requiring DAPT or DAPT plus warfarin (triple therapy: TT). The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of HAS-BLED score on major bleeding in Af patients undergoing DAPT or TT. Methods: A total of 837 consecutive patients were received PCI in our hospital from Jan. 2007 to Dec. 2010, and 66 patients had Af or paroxysmal Af at the time of PCI. Clinical events including major bleeding (cerebral or gastrointestinal bleeding) were investigated up to 3 years. Patients were divided into 2 groups based on HAS-BLED score (High-risk group: HAS-BLED score≥4, n=19 and Low-risk group: HAS-BLED score<4, n=47). DAPT therapy was required for a minimum 12 months after stent implantation and warfarin was prescribed based on physicians’ discretion. Management/change of antiplatelet and anticoagulant therapy during follow-up periods were also up to physicians’ discretion. Results: Baseline characteristics were not different between High-risk and Low-risk group except for age. Overall incidence of major bleeding was observed in 8 cases (12.1%) at 3 years follow-up. Major bleeding event was significantly higher in High-risk group compared with Low-risk group (31.6% vs. 4.3%, p=0.002). However, management of DAPT and TT was not different between the 2 groups. Among component of HAS-BLED score, renal dysfunction and bleeding contributed with increased number of the score. Conclusion: High-risk group was more frequently observed major bleeding events compared with Low-risk group in patients with Af following DES implantation regardless of antiplatelet/anticoagulant therapy.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 75s-75s
Author(s):  
Sandra Luna-Fineman ◽  
Soad L. Alabi ◽  
Mauricio E. Castellanos ◽  
Yessika Gamboa ◽  
Ligia Fu ◽  
...  

Abstract 57a Purpose: A significant percentage of patients in Central America present with buphthalmos, carrying a high risk of globe rupture and orbital contamination. In 2007, AHOPCA introduced chemotherapy before enucleation in children with buphthalmos. Methods: Patients with advanced intraocular disease were considered standard-risk and underwent enucleation. Those with diffuse invasion of choroid, postlaminar optic nerve, or anterior chamber invasion received 4-6 cycles of adjuvant chemotherapy (vincristine, carboplatin, etoposide). Patients with buphthalmos or perceived to be at risk for abandonment were considered high-risk, given 2-3 cycles of chemotherapy before enucleation to compete 6 cycles regardless of pathology. All cases were discussed via online meetings. Results: From 2007 to 2014, 396 patients were enrolled; 240 had IRSS stage I (174 unilateral). 143 had upfront enucleation, 95 had pre-enucleation chemotherapy, 1 is pending enucleation and 1 abandoned before enucleation. The standard-risk group 69 had risk pathology and 76 had no risk factors; 125 had no events, 5 abandoned 11 relapsed/progressed and 2 died of toxicity. Of 95 high-risk group, 8 abandoned, 20 relapse/progressive, 6 had toxic deaths and 61 are alive at last follow-up (median time of 4 years). Of high risk group, 55 were unilateral, 82% are alive. At 7 years OS (abandonment-censored) was 95±0.02 and 79±0.04 for standard-risk and high-risk (p=0.008). Conclusion: AHOPCA addressed advanced intraocular disease with an innovative approach. In eyes with buphthalmos and patients with risk of abandonment, neo-adjuvant chemotherapy is effective, when followed by post-enucleation chemotherapy. This approach avoids ocular rupture and intensified therapy, and reduces refusal/abandonment rate. AUTHORS' DISCLOSURES OF POTENTIAL CONFLICTS OF INTEREST: No COIs from the authors.


2017 ◽  
Vol 58 (1) ◽  
pp. 16-24
Author(s):  
Insook Kim ◽  
Seonae Won ◽  
Mijin Lee ◽  
Won Lee

The aim of this study was to find out the risk factors through analysis of seven medical malpractice judgments related to fall injuries. The risk factors were analysed by using the framework that approaches falls from a systems perspective and comprised people, organisational or environmental factors, with each factor being comprised of subfactors. The risk factors found in each of the seven judgments were aggregated into one framework. The risk factors related to patients (i.e. the people factor) were age, pain, related disease, activities and functional status, urination state, cognitive function impairment, past history of fall, blood transfusion, sleep endoscopy state and uncooperative attitude. The risk factors related to the medical staff and caregivers (i.e. people factor) were observation negligence, no fall prevention activities and negligence in managing high-risk group for fall. Organisational risk factors were a lack of workforce, a lack of training, neglecting the management of the high-risk group, neglecting the management of caregivers and the absence of a fall prevention procedure. Regarding the environment, the risk factors were found to be the emergency room, chairs without a backrest and the examination table. Identifying risk factors is essential for preventing fall accidents, since falls are preventable patient-safety incidents. Falls do not happen as a result of a single risk factor. Therefore, a systems approach is effective to identify risk factors, especially organisational and environmental factors.


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