scholarly journals Prognostic nomogram for patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer treated with gemcitabine plus nab–paclitaxel or FOLFIRINOX: A post–hoc analysis of a multicenter retrospective study in Japan (NAPOLEON study)

BMC Cancer ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Taro Shibuki ◽  
Toshihiko Mizuta ◽  
Mototsugu Shimokawa ◽  
Futa Koga ◽  
Yujiro Ueda ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Group Performance ◽  
Performance Status ◽  
Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group ◽  
Japanese Patients ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Calibration Plot ◽  
Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer

Abstract Background No reliable nomogram has been developed until date for predicting the survival in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer undergoing treatment with gemcitabine plus nab–paclitaxel (GnP) or FOLFIRINOX. Methods This analysis was conducted using clinical data of Japanese patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer undergoing GnP or FOLFIRINOX treatment obtained from a multicenter study (NAPOLEON study). A Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify the independent prognostic factors. A nomogram to predict 6–, 12–, and 18–month survival probabilities was generated, validated by using the concordance index (C–index), and calibrated by the bootstrapping method. And then, we attempted risk stratification for survival by classifying the patients according to the sum of the scores on the nomogram (total nomogram points). Results A total of 318 patients were enrolled. A prognostic nomogram was generated using data on the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, liver metastasis, serum LDH, serum CRP, and serum CA19–9. The C–indexes of the nomogram were 0.77, 0.72 and 0.70 for 6–, 12–, and 18–month survival, respectively. The calibration plot showed optimal agreement at all points. Risk stratification based on tertiles of the total nomogram points yielded clear separations of the survival curves. The median survival times in the low–, moderate–, and high–risk groups were 15.8, 12.8 and 7.8 months (P<0.05), respectively. Conclusions Our nomogram might be a convenient and inexpensive tool to accurately predict survival in Japanese patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer undergoing treatment with GnP or FOLFIRINOX, and will help clinicians in selecting appropriate therapeutic strategies for individualized management.

scholarly journals Prognostic Nomogram for Patients With Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer Treated With Gemcitabine Plus Nab-paclitaxel or FOLFIRINOX: Real-world Results From a Multicenter Retrospective Study (NAPOLEON study).

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Taro Shibuki ◽  
Toshihiko Mizuta ◽  
Mototsugu Shimokawa ◽  
Futa Koga ◽  
Yujiro Ueda ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Group Performance ◽  
Performance Status ◽  
Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Calibration Plot ◽  
Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer

Abstract Background No reliable nomogram has been developed until date for predicting the survival in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer undergoing treatment with gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel (GnP) or FOLFIRINOX (FFX).Methods This analysis was conducted using clinical data of patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer undergoing GnP or FFX treatment obtained from a multicenter study (NAPOLEON study). A Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify the independent prognostic factors. A nomogram to predict 6-, 12-, and 18-month survival probabilities was generated, validated by using the concordance index (C-index), and calibrated by the bootstrapping method. And then, we attempted risk stratification for survival by classifying the patients according to the sum of the scores on the nomogram (total nomogram points; TNP).Results A total of 318 patients were enrolled. A prognostic nomogram was generated using data on the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, liver metastasis, serum LDH, serum CRP, and serum CA19-9. The C-indexes of the nomogram were 0.77, 0.72 and 0.70 for 6-, 12-, and 18-month survival, respectively. The calibration plot showed optimal agreement at all points. Risk stratification based on tertiles of the TNP yielded clear separations of the survival curves. The median survival times in the low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups were 15.8, 12.8 and 7.8 months (P<0.05), respectively.Conclusions: Our nomogram is a convenient and inexpensive tool to accurately predict survival in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer undergoing treatment with GnP or FFX, and will help clinicians in selecting appropriate therapeutic strategies for individualized management.

Locally Advanced, Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer: American Society of Clinical Oncology Clinical Practice Guideline

2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (22) ◽  
pp. 2654-2668 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward P. Balaban ◽  
Pamela B. Mangu ◽  
Alok A. Khorana ◽  
Manish A. Shah ◽  
Somnath Mukherjee ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Radiation Therapy ◽  
Group Performance ◽  
Performance Status ◽  
Locally Advanced ◽  
Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group ◽  
Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
American Society ◽  
Comorbidity Profile

Purpose To provide evidence-based recommendations to oncologists and others for treatment of patients with locally advanced, unresectable pancreatic cancer. Methods American Society of Clinical Oncology convened an Expert Panel of medical oncology, radiation oncology, surgical oncology, gastroenterology, palliative care, and advocacy experts and conducted a systematic review of the literature from January 2002 to June 2015. Outcomes included overall survival, disease-free survival, progression-free survival, and adverse events. Results Twenty-six randomized controlled trials met the systematic review criteria. Recommendations A multiphase computed tomography scan of the chest, abdomen, and pelvis should be performed. Baseline performance status and comorbidity profile should be evaluated. The goals of care, patient preferences, psychological status, support systems, and symptoms should guide decisions for treatments. A palliative care referral should occur at first visit. Initial systemic chemotherapy (6 months) with a combination regimen is recommended for most patients (for some patients radiation therapy may be offered up front) with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status 0 or 1 and a favorable comorbidity profile. There is no clear evidence to support one regimen over another. The gemcitabine-based combinations and treatments recommended in the metastatic setting (eg, fluorouracil, leucovorin, irinotecan, and oxaliplatin and gemcitabine plus nanoparticle albumin-bound paclitaxel) have not been evaluated in randomized controlled trials involving locally advanced, unresectable pancreatic cancer. If there is local disease progression after induction chemotherapy, without metastasis, then radiation therapy or stereotactic body radiotherapy may be offered also with an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status ≤ 2 and an adequate comorbidity profile. If there is stable disease after 6 months of induction chemotherapy but unacceptable toxicities, radiation therapy may be offered as an alternative. Patients with disease progression should be offered treatment per the ASCO Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer Treatment Guideline. Follow-up visits every 3 to 4 months are recommended. Additional information is available at www.asco.org/guidelines/LAPC and www.asco.org/guidelines/MetPC and www.asco.org/guidelineswiki .

Pancreatic cancer outcomes in Nova Scotia: Searching for small windows of opportunity.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16219-e16219
Author(s):  
Peiran Sun ◽  
Ravi Ramjeesingh
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Multivariate Analysis ◽  
Nova Scotia ◽  
Group Performance ◽  
Performance Status ◽  
Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group ◽  
Healthcare Delivery ◽  
Wait Times ◽  
Significant Difference

e16219 Background: While pancreatic cancer (PC) globally has poor outcomes, there are still regional variation in PC outcomes in Canada. Nova Scotia (NS) has been documented to have some of the worst outcomes in PC but the details and barriers to the care of PC in NS have never been analyzed. Methods: A retrospective chart review was performed on PC patients (pts) diagnosed in NS from 2013 to 2017 for patient characteristics, referral pattern, treatments and wait times. Cox proportional hazards methods were used to analyze overall survival (OS) with Age, Stage, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (PS), Charleston Comorbidity Index (CCI), receiving ERCP and receiving chemotherapy as covariates in the multivariate analysis. Results: 667 consecutive pts were identified, which included 357 males and 310 females with a median age of 71 at diagnosis. 42 (6.25%) lived beyond 2 years, while 163 (24.4%) survived for under 30 days and 260 (39%) survived for under 60 days. Patients with a limited survival (under 30 days) when compared to pts who survived > 60 days are older (mean 75 vs 71, P < 0.05), had a higher proportion of ECOG > 2 (81.6% vs 20.3%, P < 0.01), and a higher proportion of stage 4 disease (73.9% vs 41.2%, P < 0.01). There was no significant difference in any measure of wait times. Pts with limited survival were less likely to be seen by Medical Oncology (MO) (20.9% vs 70.9%, P < 0.001), and less likely to receive chemotherapy (1.2% vs 45%, P < 0.001) or ERCP (27% vs 53.8%, P < 0.01). Multivariate analysis showed that receiving ERCP (P = 0.027) and chemotherapy(P < 0.001) are independent predictors of survival, even when accounting for PS, CCI, stage, and age. Conclusions: Analysis of PC outcomes in NS demonstrates a large proportion of pts dying within 30 days of diagnosis. Those pts are older and present with higher stage and worse PS but did not have any significant difference in diagnostic and referral wait times. Those pts receive fewer referrals to Oncology services, fewer potentially life prolonging treatments and we uniquely discovered ERCP as an independent predictor of survival in our population. While further work is needed, this study characterized some of the unique challenges of PC care in NS as a province with a higher proportional of older adults and highlights potential opportunities to improve early healthcare delivery in older adults with limited windows for care.

scholarly journals Attenuated regimen of biweekly gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel in patients aged 65 years or older with advanced pancreatic cancer

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 175628482097491
Author(s):  
Hasan Rehman ◽  
Jeffrey Chi ◽  
Nausheen Hakim ◽  
Shreya Prasad Goyal ◽  
Coral Olazagasti ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Group Performance ◽  
Performance Status ◽  
Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group ◽  
Advanced Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Poor Performance ◽  
Poor Performance Status ◽  
Weekly Schedule ◽  
Dose Reductions

Background: Treatment with gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel confers a survival benefit over gemcitabine monotherapy in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer (APC). However, such treatment can be associated with significant toxicities especially in older patients and carries practical disadvantages related to a weekly schedule along with financial cost. We retrospectively analyzed patients >65 years of age with APC who received a modified biweekly regimen of gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel to evaluate efficacy and toxicity. Methods: Patients aged >65 years with chemo-naïve APC with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status ⩽2 were studied. Patients were treated with a modified regimen of gemcitabine 1000 mg/m2 and nab-paclitaxel 125 mg/m2 every 2 weeks on days 1 and 15 of a 28-day cycle. Patients were evaluated for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) with analyses performed using the Kaplan–Meier method. Adverse events were recorded on the day of chemotherapy. Cancer antigen 19.9 was measured in every cycle and restaging scans were performed every two cycles. Results: A total of 73 patients (median age: 73 years; range: 66–93) were treated with biweekly gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel as first-line treatment. The median OS and PFS were 9.1 months and 4.8 months, respectively. Around 66% of patients received growth-factor support based on American Society of Clinical Oncology guidelines and no patient developed neutropenic fever. The incidences of grade ⩾3 toxicity for neutropenia, anemia, thrombocytopenia, and neurotoxicity were 2%, 7%, 3%, and 5%, respectively. Dose reductions of gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel were required in 10% and 4% patients, respectively. Conclusion: In patients older than >65 years of age with APC, a modified regimen of biweekly gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel was found to be effective when compared with the historical control from the MPACT study. This regimen allowed for fewer dose reductions, reduced healthcare costs from additional appointments, travel-related cost, as well as a favorable side-effect profile while maintaining efficacy. Though retrospective in nature, this study underlines the need for further investigation, particularly in elderly patients with poor performance status, such as those with pancreatic cancer, and in order to combine with a third agent, such as a targeted treatment or immunotherapy.

Chemotherapy-induced neutropenia as a prognostic factor in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer treated with gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel.

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 324-324
Author(s):  
Motoyasu Kan ◽  
Hiroshi Imaoka ◽  
Masafumi Ikeda ◽  
Shuichi Mitsunaga ◽  
Izumi Ohno ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Prognostic Factor ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Who Grade ◽  
Chemotherapy Induced Neutropenia ◽  
Time Varying Covariates

324 Background: Chemotherapy-induced neutropenia (CIN) has been reported to be associated with a longer survival in patients with various cancers. The aim of our study was to assess whether CIN could also be a prognostic factor in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer receiving treatment with gemcitabine (GEM) and nab-paclitaxel (nab-PTX). Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of pancreatic cancer patients who had been treated with GEM and nab-PTX as first-line chemotherapy. CIN was categorized on the basis of the worst WHO grade during chemotherapy: absent/mild (≦ grade 2), or severe (≧ grade 3). The background characteristics and CIN as time-varying covariates (TVCs) were analyzed as potential prognostic factors using a Cox proportional hazards model. Results: We analyzed a total of 291 patients (absent/mild CIN: 116 patients; severe CIN: 174 patients). The median time to severe CIN was 14 days (interquartile range: 10–39 days). The median overall survival (OS) was significantly longer in the severe CIN group than in the absent/mild CIN group (19.2 vs. 11.3 months; p < 0.001) After adjustments, severe CIN was identified as an independent predictor of the OS (HR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.38–0.77; p = 0.001). In the TVC model also, severe CIN was identified as an independent factor (HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.68–0.92; p = 0.002). Conclusions: Severe CIN was associated with a longer survival in patients with pancreatic cancer treated with GEM and nab-PTX.

scholarly journals Digital Detection of Sarcopenia in Pancreatic Cancer: Additional Utilization to Plan Patient Management

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mustafa Jalal ◽  
Jennifer A Campbell ◽  
Jonathan Wadsley ◽  
Andrew D Hopper
Keyword(s):  
Skeletal Muscle ◽  
Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Group Performance ◽  
Performance Status ◽  
Locally Advanced ◽  
Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group ◽  
Advanced Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Skeletal Muscle Index ◽  
Ecog Ps ◽  
Cancer Network

Abstract Purpose: The presence of a sarcopenia adversely affects the prognosis of patients with pancreatic cancer. There is an emerging role for using computed tomography (CT) to calculate skeletal muscle index (SMI) and the presence of sarcopenia. The aim of this study was to assess if detecting ‘digital sarcopenia’ is feasible and can contribute to the management of patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC).Methods: Patients diagnosed with LAPC referred for endoscopic ultrasound guided biopsy (EUS-B) by our regional cancer network were identified. Age, body mass index (BMI), and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG-PS) was noted. CT images were analysed for SMI and the presence of sarcopenia. Decision outcomes on receiving chemotherapy or not were collected from the regional oncology database. Results: In total 51/204 (25%) patients with LAPC who underwent EUS-B were not given chemotherapy and received BSC only. The prevalence of sarcopenia (p=0.0003), age ≥ 75 years old (p=0.03) and ECOG-PS 2-3 (p=0.01) were significantly higher in the patents receiving BSC only. Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that SMI was the only independent associated factor identifying patients with LAPC who were treated with BSC only and not chemotherapy after adjusting for age and ECOG-PS. Conclusion: Our study has shown that digital skeletal muscle analysis at the time of a diagnostic CT for patients with pancreatic cancer is feasible and can detect sarcopenia and malnourished patients who are much less likely to take up chemotherapy. These patients could be triaged to oncology assessment prior to EUS-B to avoid unnecessary investigations.

scholarly journals Computed Tomographic Sarcopenia in Pancreatic Cancer: Further Utilization to Plan Patient Management

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mustafa Jalal ◽  
Jennifer A. Campbell ◽  
Jonathan Wadsley ◽  
Andrew D. Hopper
Keyword(s):  
Skeletal Muscle ◽  
Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Group Performance ◽  
Performance Status ◽  
Locally Advanced ◽  
Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group ◽  
Advanced Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Skeletal Muscle Index ◽  
Computed Tomographic ◽  
Ecog Ps

Abstract Purpose The presence of a sarcopenia adversely affects the prognosis of patients with pancreatic cancer. There is an emerging role for using computed tomography (CT) to calculate skeletal muscle index (SMI) and the presence of sarcopenia. The aim of this study was to assess if detecting ‘computed tomographic sarcopenia’ is feasible and can contribute to the management of patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC). Methods Patients diagnosed with LAPC referred for endoscopic ultrasound-guided biopsy (EUS-B) by our regional cancer network were identified. Age, body mass index (BMI), and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG-PS) were noted. CT images were analysed for SMI and the presence of sarcopenia. Decision outcomes on receiving chemotherapy or not were collected from the regional oncology database. Results In total, 51/204 (25%) patients with LAPC who underwent EUS-B were not given chemotherapy and received best supportive care (BSC) only. The prevalence of sarcopenia (p = 0.0003), age ≥ 75 years old (p = 0.03), and ECOG-PS 2–3 (p = 0.01) were significantly higher in the patients receiving BSC only. Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that SMI was the only independent associated factor identifying patients with LAPC who were treated with BSC only and not chemotherapy after adjusting for age and ECOG-PS. Conclusion Our study has shown that computed tomographic skeletal muscle analysis at the time of a diagnostic CT for patients with pancreatic cancer is feasible and can detect sarcopenia and malnourished patients who are much less likely to take up chemotherapy. These patients could be triaged to oncology assessment prior to EUS-B to avoid unnecessary investigations.

Meta-analysis of randomized phase II and phase III trials of gemcitabine with/without S-1 in Asian patients with advanced pancreatic cancer.

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 311-311 ◽  
Author(s):  
Geoffrey Yuyat Ku ◽  
Benjamin Haaland ◽  
Tatsuya Ioka ◽  
Hiroyuki Isayama ◽  
Yousuke Nakai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Group Performance ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Performance Status ◽  
Dihydropyrimidine Dehydrogenase ◽  
Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group ◽  
Advanced Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Asian Patients ◽  
Ecog Ps

311 Background: Advanced pancreatic cancer (PC) is a virulent disease, where gemcitabine is considered the standard-of-care. A recent phase III evaluation demonstrated superiority of FOLFIRINOX (bolus and infusional 5-fluorouracil (FU), irinotecan, oxaliplatin) in patients with an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS) of ≤1. Recently, three studies were presented in abstract form, comparing gemcitabine/S-1 (GS) to gemcitabine. S-1 is a mixture of tegafur (an oral 5-FU prodrug), a dihydropyrimidine dehydrogenase inhibitor and an agent designed to reduce the gastrointestinal toxicity of 5-FU. All three trials demonstrated significant improvements in progression-free survival (PFS) while one study also showed a statistically significant improvement in overall survival (OS). Methods: We performed a meta-analysis of the three trials. Results: Seven hundred and seventy patients were randomized to receive GS vs. gemcitabine; 75% had metastatic disease and 65% had an ECOG PS of 0. GS was associated with superior RR (hazard ratio (HR) 0.348, p=3.06×10-7), PFS (HR 0.64, p=7.26×10-9) and OS (HR 0.79, p=2.47×10-2) compared to gemcitabine. Patients receiving GS were more likely to experience nausea, diarrhea, rash and stomatitis (mostly grade 1/2); neutropenic fever occurred in <2% of patients. One study demonstrated superior quality-of-life for GS. Conclusions: GS should be considered a first-line option for the treatment of advanced PC in Asian patients. This regimen should serve as the reference for future trials and comparison with FOLFIRINOX in patients with ECOG PS ≤1 is warranted.

scholarly journals Prognosis of Elderly Japanese Patients Aged ≥80 Years Undergoing Hemodialysis

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shingo Hatakeyama ◽  
Hiromi Murasawa ◽  
Itsuto Hamano ◽  
Ayumu Kusaka ◽  
Takuma Narita ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Multivariate Analysis ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Elderly Patients ◽  
Survival Time ◽  
Group Performance ◽  
Performance Status ◽  
Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group ◽  
Japanese Patients ◽  
Vital Statistics ◽  
End Stage

Although the number of elderly patients requiring dialysis has increased, data regarding the prognosis of elderly patients undergoing hemodialysis are limited. In the present study, prognosis in Japanese hemodialysis patients aged ≥80 years was evaluated. From January 1988 to July 2013, 1144 consecutive patients with end-stage renal disease required renal replacement therapy at our institution; of these, 141 were aged ≥80 years. These patients’ charts were retrospectively reviewed for relevant clinical variables and survival time. The life expectancies table from the National Vital Statistics database was used, and prognostic factors were assessed by multivariate analysis. In total, 107 deaths (76%) were recorded during the study period. The median survival time and estimated life-shortening period in the patients were 2.6 years and −5.3 years, respectively. Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status and hemoglobin level were revealed as prognostic factors in the multivariate analysis. Estimates of prognosis and prognostic factors may provide useful information for physicians as well as elderly patients with end-stage kidney disease.

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