scholarly journals Prognostic Nomogram for Patients With Unresectable Pancreatic Cancer Treated With Gemcitabine Plus Nab-paclitaxel or FOLFIRINOX: Real-world Results From a Multicenter Retrospective Study (NAPOLEON study).

Author(s):  
Taro Shibuki ◽  
Toshihiko Mizuta ◽  
Mototsugu Shimokawa ◽  
Futa Koga ◽  
Yujiro Ueda ◽  
...  

Abstract Background No reliable nomogram has been developed until date for predicting the survival in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer undergoing treatment with gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel (GnP) or FOLFIRINOX (FFX).Methods This analysis was conducted using clinical data of patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer undergoing GnP or FFX treatment obtained from a multicenter study (NAPOLEON study). A Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify the independent prognostic factors. A nomogram to predict 6-, 12-, and 18-month survival probabilities was generated, validated by using the concordance index (C-index), and calibrated by the bootstrapping method. And then, we attempted risk stratification for survival by classifying the patients according to the sum of the scores on the nomogram (total nomogram points; TNP).Results A total of 318 patients were enrolled. A prognostic nomogram was generated using data on the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, liver metastasis, serum LDH, serum CRP, and serum CA19-9. The C-indexes of the nomogram were 0.77, 0.72 and 0.70 for 6-, 12-, and 18-month survival, respectively. The calibration plot showed optimal agreement at all points. Risk stratification based on tertiles of the TNP yielded clear separations of the survival curves. The median survival times in the low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups were 15.8, 12.8 and 7.8 months (P<0.05), respectively.Conclusions: Our nomogram is a convenient and inexpensive tool to accurately predict survival in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer undergoing treatment with GnP or FFX, and will help clinicians in selecting appropriate therapeutic strategies for individualized management.

BMC Cancer ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Taro Shibuki ◽  
Toshihiko Mizuta ◽  
Mototsugu Shimokawa ◽  
Futa Koga ◽  
Yujiro Ueda ◽  
...  

Abstract Background No reliable nomogram has been developed until date for predicting the survival in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer undergoing treatment with gemcitabine plus nab–paclitaxel (GnP) or FOLFIRINOX. Methods This analysis was conducted using clinical data of Japanese patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer undergoing GnP or FOLFIRINOX treatment obtained from a multicenter study (NAPOLEON study). A Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify the independent prognostic factors. A nomogram to predict 6–, 12–, and 18–month survival probabilities was generated, validated by using the concordance index (C–index), and calibrated by the bootstrapping method. And then, we attempted risk stratification for survival by classifying the patients according to the sum of the scores on the nomogram (total nomogram points). Results A total of 318 patients were enrolled. A prognostic nomogram was generated using data on the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, liver metastasis, serum LDH, serum CRP, and serum CA19–9. The C–indexes of the nomogram were 0.77, 0.72 and 0.70 for 6–, 12–, and 18–month survival, respectively. The calibration plot showed optimal agreement at all points. Risk stratification based on tertiles of the total nomogram points yielded clear separations of the survival curves. The median survival times in the low–, moderate–, and high–risk groups were 15.8, 12.8 and 7.8 months (P<0.05), respectively. Conclusions Our nomogram might be a convenient and inexpensive tool to accurately predict survival in Japanese patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer undergoing treatment with GnP or FOLFIRINOX, and will help clinicians in selecting appropriate therapeutic strategies for individualized management.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 324-324
Author(s):  
Motoyasu Kan ◽  
Hiroshi Imaoka ◽  
Masafumi Ikeda ◽  
Shuichi Mitsunaga ◽  
Izumi Ohno ◽  
...  

324 Background: Chemotherapy-induced neutropenia (CIN) has been reported to be associated with a longer survival in patients with various cancers. The aim of our study was to assess whether CIN could also be a prognostic factor in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer receiving treatment with gemcitabine (GEM) and nab-paclitaxel (nab-PTX). Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of pancreatic cancer patients who had been treated with GEM and nab-PTX as first-line chemotherapy. CIN was categorized on the basis of the worst WHO grade during chemotherapy: absent/mild (≦ grade 2), or severe (≧ grade 3). The background characteristics and CIN as time-varying covariates (TVCs) were analyzed as potential prognostic factors using a Cox proportional hazards model. Results: We analyzed a total of 291 patients (absent/mild CIN: 116 patients; severe CIN: 174 patients). The median time to severe CIN was 14 days (interquartile range: 10–39 days). The median overall survival (OS) was significantly longer in the severe CIN group than in the absent/mild CIN group (19.2 vs. 11.3 months; p < 0.001) After adjustments, severe CIN was identified as an independent predictor of the OS (HR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.38–0.77; p = 0.001). In the TVC model also, severe CIN was identified as an independent factor (HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.68–0.92; p = 0.002). Conclusions: Severe CIN was associated with a longer survival in patients with pancreatic cancer treated with GEM and nab-PTX.


2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (22) ◽  
pp. 2654-2668 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward P. Balaban ◽  
Pamela B. Mangu ◽  
Alok A. Khorana ◽  
Manish A. Shah ◽  
Somnath Mukherjee ◽  
...  

Purpose To provide evidence-based recommendations to oncologists and others for treatment of patients with locally advanced, unresectable pancreatic cancer. Methods American Society of Clinical Oncology convened an Expert Panel of medical oncology, radiation oncology, surgical oncology, gastroenterology, palliative care, and advocacy experts and conducted a systematic review of the literature from January 2002 to June 2015. Outcomes included overall survival, disease-free survival, progression-free survival, and adverse events. Results Twenty-six randomized controlled trials met the systematic review criteria. Recommendations A multiphase computed tomography scan of the chest, abdomen, and pelvis should be performed. Baseline performance status and comorbidity profile should be evaluated. The goals of care, patient preferences, psychological status, support systems, and symptoms should guide decisions for treatments. A palliative care referral should occur at first visit. Initial systemic chemotherapy (6 months) with a combination regimen is recommended for most patients (for some patients radiation therapy may be offered up front) with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status 0 or 1 and a favorable comorbidity profile. There is no clear evidence to support one regimen over another. The gemcitabine-based combinations and treatments recommended in the metastatic setting (eg, fluorouracil, leucovorin, irinotecan, and oxaliplatin and gemcitabine plus nanoparticle albumin-bound paclitaxel) have not been evaluated in randomized controlled trials involving locally advanced, unresectable pancreatic cancer. If there is local disease progression after induction chemotherapy, without metastasis, then radiation therapy or stereotactic body radiotherapy may be offered also with an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status ≤ 2 and an adequate comorbidity profile. If there is stable disease after 6 months of induction chemotherapy but unacceptable toxicities, radiation therapy may be offered as an alternative. Patients with disease progression should be offered treatment per the ASCO Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer Treatment Guideline. Follow-up visits every 3 to 4 months are recommended. Additional information is available at www.asco.org/guidelines/LAPC and www.asco.org/guidelines/MetPC and www.asco.org/guidelineswiki .


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e18689-e18689
Author(s):  
Leah Wells ◽  
Michael Cerniglia ◽  
Audrey C. Jost ◽  
Gregory Joseph Britt

e18689 Background: While guidelines exist for appropriate use of chemotherapy in the metastatic setting based on performance status, such recommendations are less readily available for immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). We sought to determine if there is a relationship between Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status and outcomes on immunotherapy in patients treated for metastatic disease at our community-based oncology practice. Methods: 253 patients were identified as receiving nivolumab or pembrolizumab for stage IV malignancy at Cancer Centers of Colorado-SCL Health, between June 2018 and November 2020. Patients initiated on therapy after May 2020 were excluded from analysis, due to insufficient (less than 6 months) follow-up time. The remaining 183 patients were included in a retrospective cohort study comparing patients with ECOG 0, ECOG 1, and ECOG 2-4. Sex, age, type of cancer, and line of therapy were collected. Time on therapy was also calculated. Best response to therapy was determined (disease control or progressive disease). These baseline factors and outcomes were compared using ANOVA for numeric variables and chi-square tests of association for categorical variables. Time from initiation of ICI to death or hospice was also investigated and compared using a log-rank test. In addition, a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was developed for the outcome, time to death/hospice, versus the predictors ECOG status, age, gender, and line of therapy. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated. Results: Of the 183 patients included in analysis, 31.7% had an ECOG of 0, 48.6% an ECOG of 1, and 19.7% an ECOG of 2-4. Non-small cell lung cancer and melanoma represented the majority of patients in each group. Gender and line of therapy did not differ between groups. There was a significant difference in age (p = 0.02) with mean age 62, 66, and 70 in ECOG 0,1, and 2-4, respectively. 54.6% of patients remained on therapy for at least 6 months (182 days), and there was no significant difference between groups in ability to complete 6 months of therapy (p = 0.32). For ECOG 0, 1, and 2-4, disease control was achieved in 67.2%, 59.6 %, and 41.7%, respectively (p = 0.048). Analysis of time to death/hospice with a log rank test and Kaplan Meier plot showed a significant difference between groups (p < 0.001). A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model revealed that patients with ECOG 0 had significantly longer time to death/hospice compared to patients in both other groups, after controlling for age, gender, and line of therapy (ECOG 1 vs. 0: HR 2.5, CI 1.27-4.9; ECOG 2-4 vs. 0: HR 2.83, CI 1.31-6.13). Conclusions: In this single institution retrospective study of patients receiving nivolumab or pembrolizumab for metastatic cancer, ECOG 0 was associated with disease control and increased time before death or transition to hospice.


2021 ◽  
Vol 50 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. i7-i11
Author(s):  
M Corden

Abstract Introduction Ageing is a risk factor for bladder cancer, with a median age at diagnosis of 71 years. In addition, sarcopenia shows promise as a prognostic biomarker for bladder cancer. This study evaluates sarcopenia as a predictor of overall survival (OS) for older patients treated with chemoradiotherapy for bladder cancer. Methods 185 bladder cancer patients treated (from 2010–2017) with chemoradiotherapy were available for analysis. Pre-therapeutic computed tomography scans were identified and single slices at the L3 level were identified. Machine learning software was used to segment skeletal muscle and obtain its cross-sectional area. This was normalised against height squared to calculate a skeletal muscle index for each patient. Sarcopenia was defined using international consensus definitions (&lt;39 cm2/m2 in females and &lt; 55 cm2/m2 in males). Differences in survival function between patients ≤75 and &gt; 75 years were visualised using Kaplan–Meier curves. Age distribution between sarcopenic and non-sarcopenic patients was also explored. Finally, a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was conducted to investigate interactions between sarcopenia and increased age with respect to OS. Results Of 185 patients, 114 (61.6%) were sarcopenic and 71 (38.4%) were non-sarcopenic; 101 (54.6%) and 84 (45.4%) patients were ≤ 75 and &gt; 75 years old respectively. No differences in OS were observed between the two age groups (p = 0.50). There was no interaction between sarcopenia and age as a continuous variable was observed with respect to OS (p = 0.682); however, when age was categorised an interaction was seen (p = 0.058). Nevertheless, after adjusting for performance status, T-stage, hydronephrosis, albumin, haemoglobin, neutrophil and lymphocyte counts, the interactions between age and sarcopenia were no longer observed (age continuous, p = 0.474; age categorized, p = 0.765). Conclusions Patients with bladder cancer over 75 years of age have a modest increase in probability of developing sarcopenia but this does not impact on OS.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16219-e16219
Author(s):  
Peiran Sun ◽  
Ravi Ramjeesingh

e16219 Background: While pancreatic cancer (PC) globally has poor outcomes, there are still regional variation in PC outcomes in Canada. Nova Scotia (NS) has been documented to have some of the worst outcomes in PC but the details and barriers to the care of PC in NS have never been analyzed. Methods: A retrospective chart review was performed on PC patients (pts) diagnosed in NS from 2013 to 2017 for patient characteristics, referral pattern, treatments and wait times. Cox proportional hazards methods were used to analyze overall survival (OS) with Age, Stage, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (PS), Charleston Comorbidity Index (CCI), receiving ERCP and receiving chemotherapy as covariates in the multivariate analysis. Results: 667 consecutive pts were identified, which included 357 males and 310 females with a median age of 71 at diagnosis. 42 (6.25%) lived beyond 2 years, while 163 (24.4%) survived for under 30 days and 260 (39%) survived for under 60 days. Patients with a limited survival (under 30 days) when compared to pts who survived > 60 days are older (mean 75 vs 71, P < 0.05), had a higher proportion of ECOG > 2 (81.6% vs 20.3%, P < 0.01), and a higher proportion of stage 4 disease (73.9% vs 41.2%, P < 0.01). There was no significant difference in any measure of wait times. Pts with limited survival were less likely to be seen by Medical Oncology (MO) (20.9% vs 70.9%, P < 0.001), and less likely to receive chemotherapy (1.2% vs 45%, P < 0.001) or ERCP (27% vs 53.8%, P < 0.01). Multivariate analysis showed that receiving ERCP (P = 0.027) and chemotherapy(P < 0.001) are independent predictors of survival, even when accounting for PS, CCI, stage, and age. Conclusions: Analysis of PC outcomes in NS demonstrates a large proportion of pts dying within 30 days of diagnosis. Those pts are older and present with higher stage and worse PS but did not have any significant difference in diagnostic and referral wait times. Those pts receive fewer referrals to Oncology services, fewer potentially life prolonging treatments and we uniquely discovered ERCP as an independent predictor of survival in our population. While further work is needed, this study characterized some of the unique challenges of PC care in NS as a province with a higher proportional of older adults and highlights potential opportunities to improve early healthcare delivery in older adults with limited windows for care.


2019 ◽  
Vol 80 (04) ◽  
pp. 262-268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yahya Ahmadipour ◽  
Monika Kaur ◽  
Daniela Pierscianek ◽  
Oliver Gembruch ◽  
Marvin Darkwah Oppong ◽  
...  

Objective Extent of resection (EOR) and Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS) are at odds in glioblastoma (GBM) surgery, that is, the anticipated postoperative disability limits the EOR. This study analyzes the correlation of different surgical modalities with the resulting physical status and survival of patients with GBM. Methods A total of 565 patients with primary GBM were operated on in a single institution between 2006 and 2014. Possible surgical modalities comprised supratotal resection (SLR), gross total resection (GTR; ≥ 95% by volume), tumor debulking (TDB; ≤ 95% by volume), and stereotactic biopsy (SB). Pre- and postoperative KPS before and up to 4 weeks after surgery as well as overall survival (OS) rate were determined retrospectively. Hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using a Cox proportional hazards model. Results Median postoperative KPS was ≥ 70, irrespective of surgical modality. Mean OS was 12.5 months. Multivariate analysis revealed age ≥ 70 years (HR: 1.93), preoperative KPS < 70 (HR: 2.15), and unmethylation in MGMT promoter (HR: 1.27) as independent factors for worse OS. Regarding surgical modality, SB was associated with the worst survival (HR: 2.3) followed by TDB (HR: 1.36). SLR was inferior to GTR (HR: 1.27). Conclusion Higher EOR in patients with GBM does not seem inevitably correlated with increasing functional impairment, but better survival, provided there is a balanced preoperative indication. Nevertheless, SLR does not seem to be superior to GTR. Whenever possible, maximal safe resection should be considered in patients with GBM, even if an EOR ≥ 95% is not possible.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 175628482097491
Author(s):  
Hasan Rehman ◽  
Jeffrey Chi ◽  
Nausheen Hakim ◽  
Shreya Prasad Goyal ◽  
Coral Olazagasti ◽  
...  

Background: Treatment with gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel confers a survival benefit over gemcitabine monotherapy in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer (APC). However, such treatment can be associated with significant toxicities especially in older patients and carries practical disadvantages related to a weekly schedule along with financial cost. We retrospectively analyzed patients >65 years of age with APC who received a modified biweekly regimen of gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel to evaluate efficacy and toxicity. Methods: Patients aged >65 years with chemo-naïve APC with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status ⩽2 were studied. Patients were treated with a modified regimen of gemcitabine 1000 mg/m2 and nab-paclitaxel 125 mg/m2 every 2 weeks on days 1 and 15 of a 28-day cycle. Patients were evaluated for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) with analyses performed using the Kaplan–Meier method. Adverse events were recorded on the day of chemotherapy. Cancer antigen 19.9 was measured in every cycle and restaging scans were performed every two cycles. Results: A total of 73 patients (median age: 73 years; range: 66–93) were treated with biweekly gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel as first-line treatment. The median OS and PFS were 9.1 months and 4.8 months, respectively. Around 66% of patients received growth-factor support based on American Society of Clinical Oncology guidelines and no patient developed neutropenic fever. The incidences of grade ⩾3 toxicity for neutropenia, anemia, thrombocytopenia, and neurotoxicity were 2%, 7%, 3%, and 5%, respectively. Dose reductions of gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel were required in 10% and 4% patients, respectively. Conclusion: In patients older than >65 years of age with APC, a modified regimen of biweekly gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel was found to be effective when compared with the historical control from the MPACT study. This regimen allowed for fewer dose reductions, reduced healthcare costs from additional appointments, travel-related cost, as well as a favorable side-effect profile while maintaining efficacy. Though retrospective in nature, this study underlines the need for further investigation, particularly in elderly patients with poor performance status, such as those with pancreatic cancer, and in order to combine with a third agent, such as a targeted treatment or immunotherapy.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Hina Saeed ◽  
David M. King ◽  
Candice A. Johnstone ◽  
John A. Charlson ◽  
Donald A. Hackbarth ◽  
...  

Background. The management for unplanned excision (UE) of soft tissue sarcomas (STS) has not been established. In this study, we compare outcomes of UE versus planned excision (PE) and determine an optimal treatment for UE in STS.Methods. From 2000 to 2014 a review was performed on all patients treated with localized STS. Clinical outcomes including local recurrence-free survival (LRFS), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier estimate. Univariate (UVA) and multivariate (MVA) analyses were performed to determine prognostic variables. For MVA, Cox proportional hazards model was used.Results. 245 patients were included in the analysis. 14% underwent UE. Median follow-up was 2.8 years. The LR rate was 8.6%. The LR rate in UE was 35% versus 4.2% in PE patients (p<0.0001). 2-year PFS in UE versus PE patients was 4.2 years and 9.3 years, respectively (p=0.08). Preoperative radiation (RT) (p=0.01) and use of any RT for UE (p=0.003) led to improved PFS. On MVA, preoperative RT (p=0.04) and performance status (p=0.01) led to improved PFS.Conclusions. UEs led to decreased LC and PFS versus PE in patients with STS. The use of preoperative RT followed by reexcision improved LC and PFS in patients who had UE of their STS.


Blood ◽  
2002 ◽  
Vol 100 (5) ◽  
pp. 1634-1640 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph A. Sparano ◽  
Edie Weller ◽  
Tipu Nazeer ◽  
Thomas Habermann ◽  
Ann E. Traynor ◽  
...  

Preclinical and clinical evidence suggest a potential advantage for infusional therapy in lymphoma. Sixty-two analyzable patients with predominantly intermediate-grade non-Hodgkin lymphoma received cyclophosphamide (200 mg/m2 per day), doxorubicin (12.5 mg/m2 per day), and etoposide (60 mg/m2per day) (CDE) by continuous intravenous infusion for 4 days (96 hours) every 3 weeks for a maximum of 8 cycles. By the age-adjusted International Prognostic Index (IPI), 42% were at high risk and 58% were at high-intermediate risk. Complete response (CR) occurred in 30 (48%) patients (95% confidence interval [CI], 35%, 64%), and partial response occurred in 16 (26%) patients, yielding an overall response rate of 74% (95% CI, 62%, 84%). Failure-free survival (FFS) rates at 1 and 2 years were 55% (95% CI, 43%, 67%) and 50% (95% CI, 38%, 62%), respectively. When comparing the outcome for 62 patients receiving infusional CDE with historical data derived from 927 IPI-matched lymphoma patients using a Cox proportional hazards model, there was a nonsignificant trend favoring CDE in FFS (P = .12) and overall survival (P = .09). Severe or life-threatening toxicity included neutropenia (68%), anemia (57%), thrombocytopenia (44%), and infection (24%). Two patients (3%) died of treatment-related infectious complications. The primary end point of improving 1-year FFS from 55% to 70% was not achieved with infusional CDE given as initial therapy in patients with poor-risk intermediate-grade lymphoma. It is unlikely that infusional therapy as used in this study produces a 25% or greater relative improvement in FFS compared with standard therapy.


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