scholarly journals Prediction model for the risk of osteoporosis incorporating factors of disease history and living habits in physical examination of population in Chongqing, Southwest China: based on artificial neural network

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuqi Wang ◽  
Liangxu Wang ◽  
Yanli Sun ◽  
Miao Wu ◽  
Yingjie Ma ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Osteoporosis is a gradually recognized health problem with risks related to disease history and living habits. This study aims to establish the optimal prediction model by comparing the performance of four prediction models that incorporated disease history and living habits in predicting the risk of Osteoporosis in Chongqing adults. Methods We conduct a cross-sectional survey with convenience sampling in this study. We use a questionnaire From January 2019 to December 2019 to collect data on disease history and adults’ living habits who got dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. We established the prediction models of osteoporosis in three steps. Firstly, we performed feature selection to identify risk factors related to osteoporosis. Secondly, the qualified participants were randomly divided into a training set and a test set in the ratio of 7:3. Then the prediction models of osteoporosis were established based on Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Deep Belief Network (DBN), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and combinatorial heuristic method (Genetic Algorithm - Decision Tree (GA-DT)). Finally, we compared the prediction models’ performance through accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) to select the optimal prediction model. Results The univariate logistic model found that taking calcium tablet (odds ratio [OR] = 0.431), SBP (OR = 1.010), fracture (OR = 1.796), coronary heart disease (OR = 4.299), drinking alcohol (OR = 1.835), physical exercise (OR = 0.747) and other factors were related to the risk of osteoporosis. The AUCs of the training set and test set of the prediction models based on ANN, DBN, SVM and GA-DT were 0.901, 0.762; 0.622, 0.618; 0.698, 0.627; 0.744, 0.724, respectively. After evaluating four prediction models’ performance, we selected a three-layer back propagation neural network (BPNN) with 18, 4, and 1 neuron in the input layer, hidden and output layers respectively, as the optimal prediction model. When the probability was greater than 0.330, osteoporosis would occur. Conclusions Compared with DBN, SVM and GA-DT, the established ANN model had the best prediction ability and can be used to predict the risk of osteoporosis in physical examination of the Chongqing population. The model needs to be further improved through large sample research.

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Christos Fragopoulos ◽  
Abraham Pouliakis ◽  
Christos Meristoudis ◽  
Emmanouil Mastorakis ◽  
Niki Margari ◽  
...  

Objective. This study investigates the potential of an artificial intelligence (AI) methodology, the radial basis function (RBF) artificial neural network (ANN), in the evaluation of thyroid lesions. Study Design. The study was performed on 447 patients who had both cytological and histological evaluation in agreement. Cytological specimens were prepared using liquid-based cytology, and the histological result was based on subsequent surgical samples. Each specimen was digitized; on these images, nuclear morphology features were measured by the use of an image analysis system. The extracted measurements (41,324 nuclei) were separated into two sets: the training set that was used to create the RBF ANN and the test set that was used to evaluate the RBF performance. The system aimed to predict the histological status as benign or malignant. Results. The RBF ANN obtained in the training set has sensitivity 82.5%, specificity 94.6%, and overall accuracy 90.3%, while in the test set, these indices were 81.4%, 90.0%, and 86.9%, respectively. Algorithm was used to classify patients on the basis of the RBF ANN, the overall sensitivity was 95.0%, the specificity was 95.5%, and no statistically significant difference was observed. Conclusion. AI techniques and especially ANNs, only in the recent years, have been studied extensively. The proposed approach is promising to avoid misdiagnoses and assists the everyday practice of the cytopathology. The major drawback in this approach is the automation of a procedure to accurately detect and measure cell nuclei from the digitized images.


2020 ◽  
Vol 66 (No. 1) ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Mahdi Rashvand ◽  
Mahmoud Soltani Firouz

Olives are one of the most important agriculture crops in the world, which are harvested in different stages of growth for various uses. One of the ways to detect the adequate time to process the olives is to determine their moisture content. In this study, to determine the moisture content of olives, a dielectric technique was used in seven periods of harvesting and three different varieties of olive including Oily, Mary and Fishemi. The dielectric properties of the olive fruits were measured using an electronic device in the range of 0.1–30 MHz. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR) methods were applied to develop the prediction models by using the obtained data acquired by the system. The best results (R = 0.999 and MSE = 0.014) were obtained by the ANN model with a topology of 384–12–1 (384 features in the input vector, 12 neurons in the hidden layer and 1 output). The results obtained indicated the acceptable accuracy of the dielectric technique combined with the ANN model.


2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (9) ◽  
pp. 3867-3873
Author(s):  
Sourav Thakial ◽  
Bhavna Arora

Predictive analytics, a division of the advanced analytics that uses various techniques like machine learning, data mining and so on, to predict the future events. Predictive analytics is summarized with the data collection, modelling, statistics and deployment. It can be used to predict the future possibilities in different areas like business, healthcare, telecom, finance. An effective technique for prediction is Artificial Neural Network. The model accuracy for prediction can be enhanced using neural networks. The model can also be used easily for prediction of output parameters because of its ability to solve the complex computation which are difficult to be solved by other techniques. In this paper, a brief review of Artificial Neural Network used for prediction analysis is presented with various techniques like Multi-Layer Perceptron, T-S Fuzzy Neural Networks, Support Vector Machine, Radial Basis Function Network, Levenberg-Marquardt Algorithm and Back Propagation and their applications are also presented. This paper also presents the neural network-based prediction model for job applicants which is used to predict the jobs of various applicants based on certain parameter ratings.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingzhong Li ◽  
Guodong Zhang ◽  
Jianquan Xue ◽  
Yanchao Li ◽  
Shukai Tang

Considering the influence of particle shape and the rheological properties of fluid, two artificial intelligence methods (Artificial Neural Network and Support Vector Machine) were used to predict the wall factor which is widely introduced to deduce the net hydrodynamic drag force of confining boundaries on settling particles. 513 data points were culled from the experimental data of previous studies, which were divided into training set and test set. Particles with various shapes were divided into three kinds: sphere, cylinder, and rectangular prism; feature parameters of each kind of particle were extracted; prediction models of sphere and cylinder using artificial neural network were established. Due to the little number of rectangular prism sample, support vector machine was used to predict the wall factor, which is more suitable for addressing the problem of small samples. The characteristic dimension was presented to describe the shape and size of the diverse particles and a comprehensive prediction model of particles with arbitrary shapes was established to cover all types of conditions. Comparisons were conducted between the predicted values and the experimental results.


Author(s):  
Fei Qian ◽  
Li Chen ◽  
Jun Li ◽  
Chao Ding ◽  
Xianfu Chen ◽  
...  

Predicting the diffusion rule of toxic gas plays a distinctly important role in emergency capability assessment and rescue work. Among diffusion prediction models, the traditional artificial neural network has exhibited excellent performance not only in prediction accuracy but also in calculation time. Nevertheless, with the continuous development of deep learning and data science, some new prediction models based on deep learning algorithms have been shown to be more advantageous because their structure can better discover internal laws and external connections between input data and output data. The long short-term memory (LSTM) network is a kind of deep learning neural network that has demonstrated outstanding achievements in many prediction fields. This paper applies the LSTM network directly to the prediction of toxic gas diffusion and uses the Project Prairie Grass dataset to conduct experiments. Compared with the Gaussian diffusion model, support vector machine (SVM) model, and back propagation (BP) network model, the LSTM model of deep learning has higher prediction accuracy (especially for the prediction at the point of high concentration values) while avoiding the occurrence of negative concentration values and overfitting problems found in traditional artificial neural network models.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Shuaishuai Liu ◽  
Di Tan ◽  
Shilin Hong ◽  
Hongxun Fu

The prediction of lane change intention of vehicles is an important part of the decision planning and control systems of intelligent vehicles. In the dynamic and complex traffic environment, the behaviors of traffic participants interact and influence each other. In lane change prediction, it is necessary to study the predicted vehicle and surrounding vehicles as an interactive correlation system. Otherwise, great errors are made in the motion prediction. Based on this, the motion state of the predicted vehicle, the position relationship between the predicted vehicle and lane, as well as the motion state of vehicles around the predicted vehicle are considered systematically in this paper, and the prediction of lane change intention of vehicles is studied. The influence of the three above-mentioned factors on the prediction of lane change intention is analyzed in this paper. On the basis of screening the prediction features of lane change intention, the lane change intention of vehicles is predicted by a feed-forward neural network. The data collected by the virtual driving experiment platform are divided into a training set, a verification set, and a test set. The neural network parameters of vehicles’ lane change intentions are identified by a training set, and the effect of prediction is tested by a verification set and a test set. The results show that the accuracy of the prediction model is high. The model is compared with the model of common features at the present stage and the model based on a Support Vector Machine, and the results show that the accuracy of the prediction model proposed in this paper was improved by 6.4% and 2.8%, respectively, compared with the two models. Finally, the virtual driving experiment platform was used to predict the lane change intention of the front vehicle and the vehicle in the left adjacent lane. The results show that, based on the same model and input features, the lane change intention of the front vehicle and the vehicle in the left adjacent lane can be predicted by the model at 2.8 s and 3.4 s before the lane change, and the model is a certain generality for the prediction of lane change intention of adjacent vehicles.


Noise Mapping ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 172-184
Author(s):  
Ramesh B. Ranpise ◽  
B. N. Tandel ◽  
Vivek A. Singh

Abstract In the issue of expanding noise levels the world over, road traffic noise is main contributor. The investigation of street traffic noise in urban communities is a significant issue. Ample opportunity has already passed to understand the significance of noise appraisal through prediction models with the goal that assurance against street traffic noise can be actualized. Noise predictions models are utilized in an increasing range of decision-making applications. This study’s main objective is to assess ambient noise levels at major arterial roads of Surat city, compare these with prescribed standards, and develop a noise prediction model for arterial roads using an Artificial Neural Network. The feed-forward back propagation method has been used to train the model. Models have been developed using the data of three roads separately, and one final model has also been developed using the data of all three roads. Among the prediction in three arterial roads, the predicted output result from the model of Adajan-Rander showed a better correlation with a mean squared error (MSE) of 0.789 and R2 value of 0.707. But with the combined model, there is a slight deterioration in mean squared value (MSE) 1.550, with R2 not getting changed much significantly, i.e., 0.755. However, the combined model’s prediction can be adopted due to the variety of data used in its training.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Huihui Wang ◽  
Kunlun Wang ◽  
Biyao Wang ◽  
Yan Lv ◽  
Xueheng Tao ◽  
...  

The study of hyperspectral imaging in tandem with spectral preprocessing and neural network techniques was conducted to realize Colla Corii Asini (CCA, E’jiao) adulteration discrimination. CCA was adulterated with pig skin gelatin (PSG) in the range of 5–95% (w/w) at 5% increments. Three methods were used to pretreat the original spectra, which are multiplicative scatter correction (MSC), Savitzky-Golay (SG) smoothing, and the combination of MSC and SG (MSC-SG). SPA was employed to select the characteristic wavelengths (CWs) to reduce the high dimension. Colour and texture features of CWs were extracted as input of prediction model. Two kinds of artificial neural network (ANN) with three spectral preprocessing methods were applied to establish the prediction models. The prediction model of generalized regression neural network (GRNN) in tandem with the MSC-SG preprocessed method presented satisfactory performance with the correct classification rate value of 92.5%. The results illustrated that the integration of preprocessing methods, hyperspectral imaging features, and ANN modeling had a great potential and feasibility for CCA adulteration discrimination.


Author(s):  
S. Vijaya Rani ◽  
G. N. K. Suresh Babu

The illegal hackers  penetrate the servers and networks of corporate and financial institutions to gain money and extract vital information. The hacking varies from one computing system to many system. They gain access by sending malicious packets in the network through virus, worms, Trojan horses etc. The hackers scan a network through various tools and collect information of network and host. Hence it is very much essential to detect the attacks as they enter into a network. The methods  available for intrusion detection are Naive Bayes, Decision tree, Support Vector Machine, K-Nearest Neighbor, Artificial Neural Networks. A neural network consists of processing units in complex manner and able to store information and make it functional for use. It acts like human brain and takes knowledge from the environment through training and learning process. Many algorithms are available for learning process This work carry out research on analysis of malicious packets and predicting the error rate in detection of injured packets through artificial neural network algorithms.


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