scholarly journals The impact of clinical and population strategies on coronary heart disease mortality: an assessment of Rose’s big idea

2022 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohadeseh Ahmadi ◽  
Bruce Lanphear

Abstract Background Coronary heart disease (CHD), the leading cause of death worldwide, has declined in many affluent countries but it continues to rise in industrializing countries. Objective To quantify the relative contribution of the clinical and population strategies to the decline in CHD mortality in affluent countries. Design Meta-analysis of cross-sectional and prospective studies. Data sources PubMed and Web of Science from January 1, 1970 to December 31, 2019. Method We combined and analyzed data from 22 cross-sectional and prospective studies, representing 500 million people, to quantify the relative decline in CHD mortality attributable to the clinical strategy and population strategy. Result The population strategy accounted for 48% (range = 19 to 73%) of the decline in CHD deaths and the clinical strategy accounted for 42% (range = 25 to 56%), with moderate inconsistency of results across studies. Conclusion Since 1970, a larger fraction of the decline in CHD deaths in industrialized countries was attributable to reduction in CHD risk factors than medical care. Population strategies, which are more cost-effective than clinical strategies, are under-utilized.

PLoS ONE ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (12) ◽  
pp. e0242930
Author(s):  
Carmen Arroyo-Quiroz ◽  
Martin O’Flaherty ◽  
Maria Guzman-Castillo ◽  
Simon Capewell ◽  
Eduardo Chuquiure-Valenzuela ◽  
...  

Background Mexico is still in the growing phase of the epidemic of coronary heart disease (CHD), with mortality increasing by 48% since 1980. However, no studies have analyzed the drivers of these trends. We aimed to model CHD deaths between 2000 and 2012 in Mexico and to quantify the proportion of the mortality change attributable to advances in medical treatments and to changes in population-wide cardiovascular risk factors. Methods We performed a retrospective analysis using the previously validated IMPACT model to explain observed changes in CHD mortality in Mexican adults. The model integrates nationwide data at two-time points (2000 and 2012) to quantify the effects on CHD mortality attributable to changes in risk factors and therapeutic trends. Results From 2000 to 2012, CHD mortality rates increased by 33.8% in men and by 22.8% in women. The IMPACT model explained 71% of the CHD mortality increase. Most of the mortality increases could be attributed to increases in population risk factors, such as diabetes (43%), physical inactivity (28%) and total cholesterol (24%). Improvements in medical and surgical treatments together prevented or postponed 40.3% of deaths; 10% was attributable to improvements in secondary prevention treatments following MI, while 5.3% to community heart failure treatments. Conclusions CHD mortality in Mexico is increasing due to adverse trends in major risk factors and suboptimal use of CHD treatments. Population-level interventions to reduce CHD risk factors are urgently needed, along with increased access and equitable distribution of therapies.


2017 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
pp. 165-184 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sharon M. Cruise ◽  
John Hughes ◽  
Kathleen Bennett ◽  
Anne Kouvonen ◽  
Frank Kee

Objective: The aim of this study is to examine the prevalence of coronary heart disease (CHD)–related disability (hereafter also “disability”) and the impact of CHD risk factors on disability in older adults in the Republic of Ireland (ROI) and Northern Ireland (NI). Method: Population attributable fractions were calculated using risk factor relative risks and disability prevalence derived from The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing and the Northern Ireland Health Survey. Results: Disability was significantly lower in ROI (4.1% vs. 8.8%). Smoking and diabetes prevalence rates, and the fraction of disability that could be attributed to smoking (ROI: 6.6%; NI: 6.1%), obesity (ROI: 13.8%; NI: 11.3%), and diabetes (ROI: 6.2%; NI: 7.2%), were comparable in both countries. Physical inactivity (31.3% vs. 54.8%) and depression (10.2% vs. 17.6%) were lower in ROI. Disability attributable to depression (ROI: 16.3%; NI: 25.2%) and physical inactivity (ROI: 27.5%; NI: 39.9%) was lower in ROI. Discussion: Country-specific similarities and differences in the prevalence of disability and associated risk factors will inform public health and social care policy in both countries.


Circulation ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 125 (suppl_10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dexter Canoy ◽  
Benjamin J Cairns ◽  
Angela Balkwill ◽  
Jayne Green ◽  
Lucy Wright ◽  
...  

Background: Higher body-mass index (BMI) has been associated with increased risk for coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality but its association with incident CHD is less investigated, and data for women are limited. Methods: We examined the prospective relation between BMI and incident CHD (first CHD hospitalization or death) in 1.2 million women aged ≥50 years without prior CHD, who were recruited through a national breast screening programme in 1996 to 2001 and followed for an average of 9 years (48,842 events with 10.7 million person-years of follow-up). Absolute and relative risks (using Cox regression) associated with higher BMI were estimated. Results: After excluding the first 4 years of follow-up, there were 32,465 events (5.9 million person-years) including 3,345 CHD deaths. The adjusted relative risk per 5 kg/m 2 BMI difference was 1.24 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.22 to 1.25]. CHD risk increased linearly across a wide range of BMI, with no apparent excess risk in the lower end of BMI distribution. The relation persisted after excluding current smokers or limiting cases to myocardial infarction only. For women in this cohort, the 20-year cumulative risk of CHD from age 55 to 74 years (95% CI) ranged from 9% (8 to10) to 18% (16 to 20) for women with BMI of 20 to 22.5 kg/m 2 and ≥35 kg/m 2 , respectively. Never smokers with BMI ≥35 kg/m 2 had comparable cumulative risk to current smokers with BMI of 20 to 22.5 kg/m 2 . Conclusion: In this large cohort of women, the impact of excess weight on CHD morbidity and mortality is substantial. Measures to prevent and control excess weight and other CHD risk factors are needed to help reduce CHD burden in women.


2007 ◽  
Vol 60 (11) ◽  
pp. 1167-1176
Author(s):  
José Miguel González-Clemente ◽  
Silvia Palma ◽  
Jaume Arroyo ◽  
Carme Vilardell ◽  
Assumpta Caixàs ◽  
...  

Nutrients ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 2278
Author(s):  
Bo Zhang ◽  
Ke Xiong ◽  
Jing Cai ◽  
Aiguo Ma

Epidemiological studies on the impact of fish consumption on coronary heart disease (CHD) incidence have shown inconsistent results. In addition, in terms of CHD mortality, although previous meta-analyses showed that fish consumption reduces the risk of CHD, six newly incorporated studies show that fish consumption has no impact on CHD. Therefore, the results still need to be verified. The purpose of this study is to quantitatively evaluate the impact of fish consumption on CHD incidence and mortality. Relevant studies were identified from PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase databases up to October 2019. The multivariate-adjusted relative risks (RRs) for the highest versus the lowest fish consumption categories and the 95% confidence intervals were computed with a random-effect model. A restricted cubic spline regression model was used to assess the dose–response relationship between fish consumption and CHD incidence and mortality. Forty prospective cohort studies were incorporated into research. Among them, 22 studies investigated the association between fish consumption and CHD incidence (28,261 cases and 918,783 participants), and the summary estimate showed that higher fish consumption was significantly associated with a lower CHD incidence [RR: 0.91, 95% CI: (0.84, 0.97); I2 = 47.4%]. Twenty-seven studies investigated the association between fish consumption and CHD mortality (10,568 events and 1,139,553 participants), and the summary estimate showed that higher fish intake was significantly associated with a lower CHD mortality [RR: 0.85, 95% CI: (0.77, 0.94); I2 = 51.3%]. The dose–response analysis showed that the CHD incidence and mortality were reduced by 4%, respectively, with a 20 g/day increment in fish consumption. This meta-analysis indicates that fish consumption is associated with a lower CHD incidence and mortality.


2018 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 46-62
Author(s):  
Ali Ahmad Ammouri ◽  
Ahmad H. Abu Raddaha ◽  
Ayman Tailakh ◽  
Joy Kamanyire ◽  
Susan Achora ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose:The purpose of this study was to assess the relationships between an individual’s characteristics and experiences (age, gender, level of education, income, and employment), knowledge of coronary heart disease (CHD) risk factors, perception of health status, awareness of CHD, and health promotion behaviors among adult Omanis.Methods:Using Pender’s health promotion model, a cross-sectional and correlational survey design was employed. A self-administered questionnaire was distributed to 180 participants in Muscat, the capital of Oman. Descriptive and multivariate linear regression analyses were employed.Results:Increasing age was associated with high levels of awareness about CHD. Participants who were employed and knowledgeable about CHD risk factors were more likely to have lower perceptions of health. The regression model showed that knowledge of CHD risk factors and awareness of CHD had positive associations with health promotion behaviors. Meanwhile, employed participants had lower health promotion behaviors scores.Implications for Practice:Interventions to increase health promotion behaviors should include application of behavioral change strategies that are suitable for age and employment status. The strategies must focus on providing information to enhance knowledge and awareness about CHD.


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