Application of the ASCO framework for assessing value in metastatic colorectal cancer clinical trials.

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 687-687
Author(s):  
Doreen Anuli Ezeife ◽  
Sunil Parimi ◽  
Ellen R. Cusano ◽  
Matthew K Smith ◽  
Tony H. Truong ◽  
...  

687 Background: Phase III trials (P3T) in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) have collectively led to incredible advancements in patient outcomes over the past thirty years. It is unknown how many of these trials have led to clinically relevant improvements based on clinical benefit, toxicity and cost. Our objective was to characterize the evolution of mCRC P3T with the ASCO Value Framework. Methods: P3T of systemic therapy for mCRC published between 1980 and 2015 were identified. Data regarding the trial sample size, journal year of publication, statistical significance, journal impact factor, and citation by the 2015 mCRC National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines were extracted. For each trial, the Net Health Benefit (NHB) score was calculated using the June 2015 (original) and May 2016 (revised) ASCO Value Advanced Disease Frameworks. Data were analyzed to identify associations using the Chi-square, Kruskal-Wallis, and t-tests. Results: There were 108 mCRC P3T eligible for calculation of the original and revised NHB score. Median NHB score was 4.1, range -30 to 43.5, using the revised framework. Only 13% of trials received at least 10 bonus points for palliation, quality of life, or tail of the curve. The revised framework demonstrated moderate correlation with the original framework (Pearson correlation coefficient = 0.63, p<0.0001). NHB scores were normally distributed with the revised framework, unlike the original framework. Trials with significant results had significantly higher revised NHB scores (median NHB score 23.1 vs 2.5, p < 0.0001). Clinical trials cited in NCCN had higher revised NHB scores than those not cited (median NHB score 7.6 vs 0, p = 0.03). In multivariate linear regression analysis, the only significant predictor of a high revised NHB score was a statistically significant improvement in the primary outcome. Conclusions: Median revised NHB score for mCRC P3T was 4.1. Higher NHB scores were associated with significant studies and citation by NCCN guidelines, a surrogate for practice-changing trials. The revised ASCO Value Framework can be a useful tool to assess the value of new mCRC treatments.

2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 673-673
Author(s):  
Ziwei Wang ◽  
Lindsay Hwang ◽  
James Don Murphy

673 Background: Randomized clinical trials play a central role in clinical research though only a small fraction of patients partake in clinical studies. Questions thus arise regarding the generalizability of clinical trial results to the remainder of the population. This study evaluated whether patient survival from randomized clinical trials in metastatic colorectal cancer reflects real world outcomes. Methods: A Pubmed search was used to identify randomized phase III clinical trials of first-line treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer published between 2005 and 2010. We excluded secondary or pooled analyses, second-line treatments, non-metastatic patients, non-English language, and non-randomized studies. Thirty-one clinical trials met these criteria, comprised of 79 distinct clinical trial arms. Overall survival among clinical trial patients was compared to metastatic colorectal cancer patients within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program. Within SEER, we restricted the analysis time-period and age of patients to match the enrollment period and age of patients within each individual clinical trial. Results: The clinical trials enrolled a total of 16,614 patients. Among all clinical trial arms the median survival ranged from 6.7-62 months, 1-year survival ranged from 30-97%, and 2-year survival ranged from 6-88%. Compared to SEER, the median survival was higher in 95% of the individual clinical trial arms by an average of 5.4 months (p<0.0001). The 1-year survival was higher in 94% of the clinical trial arms by an average of 16.7% (p<0.0001). The 2-year survival was higher in 71% of the clinical trial arms by an average of 7.2% (p<0.0001). Conclusions: This study found substantially improved survival among clinical trial participants compared to patients in the SEER database suggesting that survival estimates from clinical trials may not generalize to the “real world.” Potential patient factors such as differences in underlying comorbidity, performance status, disease burden, as well as variation in treatment could not be addressed in this study, though these factors likely explain some of the observed survival differences.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (17) ◽  
pp. 1929-1937 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lindsay A. Renfro ◽  
Richard M. Goldberg ◽  
Axel Grothey ◽  
Alberto Sobrero ◽  
Richard Adams ◽  
...  

Purpose Factors contributing to early mortality after initiation of treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer are poorly understood. Materials and Methods Data from 22,654 patients enrolled in 28 randomized phase III trials contained in the ARCAD (Aide et Recherche en Cancérologie Digestive) database were pooled. Multivariable logistic regression models for 30-, 60-, and 90-day mortality were constructed, including clinically and statistically significant patient and disease factors and interaction terms. A calculator (nomogram) for 90-day mortality was developed and validated internally using bootstrapping methods and externally using a 10% random holdout sample from each trial. The impact of early progression on the likelihood of survival to 90 days was examined with time-dependent Cox proportional hazards models. Results Mortality rates were 1.4% at 30 days, 3.4% at 60 days, and 5.5% at 90 days. Among baseline factors, advanced age, lower body mass index, poorer performance status, increased number of metastatic sites, BRAF mutant status, and several laboratory parameters were associated with increased likelihood of early mortality. A multivariable model for 90-day mortality showed strong internal discrimination (C-index, 0.77) and good calibration across risk groups as well as accurate predictions in the external validation set, both overall and within patient subgroups. Conclusion A validated clinical nomogram has been developed to quantify the risk of early death for individual patients during initial treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer. This tool may be used for patient eligibility assessment or risk stratification in future clinical trials and to identify patients requiring more or less aggressive therapy and additional supportive measures during and after treatment.


2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 659-659
Author(s):  
Katrin Marie Sjoquist ◽  
Lindsay A. Renfro ◽  
John Simes ◽  
Niall C. Tebbutt ◽  
Stephen John Clarke ◽  
...  

659 Background: Prospective survival prediction of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer is difficult. Prognosis estimation based on readily available clinicopathologic factors has the potential to inform clinical practice and improve risk stratification for clinical trials. We constructed prognostic nomograms for OS and PFS in mCRC using the multi-trial ARCAD database. Methods: Data from 19,678 mCRC pts accrued to 24 first line randomized phase III clinical trials since 1997 were used to construct and validate Cox models for PFS and OS, stratified by treatment arm within each study. Candidate variables included age, gender, BMI, performance status, colon vs. rectal cancer, prior chemotherapy, number of metastatic sites, sites of metastases (liver, lung, lymph nodes), and baseline bilirubin, albumin, white blood cell count, hemoglobin, platelets, absolute neutrophil count, and derived neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio (dNLR). Missing data (<11%) were imputed, continuous variables modeled with splines, and clinically relevant pairwise interactions considered if p<0.001. Final models were internally validated via bootstrapping to obtain optimism-corrected calibration and discrimination C-indices, and externally validated using a 10% holdout sample from each trial. Results: Nomograms for OS and PFS including remaining variables were well calibrated with C-indices of 0.66 and 0.60, respectively. Evaluation of external validity revealed good concordance; 71% and 67% respectively between predicted (> vs. <50% probability) and actual (yes/no) 1-year OS and 6-month PFS, and median 1-year OS and 6-month PFS predictions fell within the actual 95% Kaplan-Meier intervals. Gender, liver and lung metastases, and dNLR were not prognostic for OS; prior chemo, colon vs. rectum, dNLR, liver and lymph node metastases, and gender did not predict for PFS. No clinically relevant pairwise interactions were identified. Conclusions: The proposed nomograms are well calibrated and internally and externally valid. These tools have the potential to aid prognostication and patient/physician communication, and balance risk in randomized trials in mCRC.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e14512-e14512
Author(s):  
Paola Ulivi ◽  
Giorgia Marisi ◽  
Emanuela Scarpi ◽  
Alessandro Passardi ◽  
Angela Ragazzini ◽  
...  

e14512 Background: Bevacizumab (B) + chemotherapy (CT) is a common choice for first-line treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). However, molecular predictors of B efficacy have still not been identified. In this study we verified the role of specific VEGF polymorphisms as predictive markers of the efficacy of B in mCRC patients. Methods: One hundred and forty-nine patients enrolled onto the phase III prospective multicentric randomized “Italian Trial in Advanced Colorectal Cancer (ITACa)” trial were considered for this study. Seventy-four patients received FOLFIRI or FOLFOX plus B and 75 patients received only CT. A peripheral blood sample was collected from each patients and submitted to genomic DNA extraction. Five single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were analyzed by direct sequencing: VEGF -2578 C/A, -1498 C/T, -1154 G/A, -634 G/C, +936 C/T. All candidate genotypes were evaluated for a potential correlation with objective response rate (ORR) (Chi-square test). Results: In the B-treated group, the presence of VEGF -2578 AA, -634 GG or -1498 CC polymorphisms was associated with a better ORR compared to the other genotypes. In particular, of the 17 patients carrying the VEGF -2578 AA genotype, 14 (82.4%) showed a response, whereas only 30 (54.6%) of the 55 patients carrying -2578 CC or CA responded to therapy (p=0.05). Similarly, of 30 patients with VEGF -634 GG, 23 (76.7%) responded to therapy, whereas only 21 (50%) of the 42 patients with VEGF -634 GC or CC were responders (p=0.03). Moreover, 13 (81.3%) of the 16 patients carrying VEGF -1498 CC were responders, whereas of the 56 patients with VEGF -1498 CT or TT, only 31 (55.4%) showed a response (p=0.07). No differences in terms of ORR were observed in patients receiving only chemotherapy. However, as a result of the low power of the interaction test, the relation between ORR and treatment was very close to statistical significance for VEGF -2578 only (p=0.07). Conclusions: VEGF -2578 C/A seems to be a potential predictive marker for B-based CT in mCRC patients. Further studies on larger case series are now needed to confirm this finding.


2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 692-692
Author(s):  
Sunil Parimi ◽  
Soundouss Raissouni ◽  
Yongtao Lin ◽  
Jose Gerard Monzon ◽  
Patricia A. Tang ◽  
...  

692 Background: Increasing use of subsequent lines of therapy and crossover in phase III randomized clinical trials (P3 RCTs) has shifted how we perceive the effectiveness of treatments for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). This study aims to characterize the evolution of P3 RCTs in mCRC with respect to clinical trial design and result interpretation. Methods: Abstracts of P3 RCTs of systemic therapy for mCRC conducted between 1980 and 2014 were identified by searching PubMed, Medline, and ASCO abstracts. Data regarding trial design, agent(s) investigated, primary endpoint, secondary endpoint(s), primary endpoint significance and interpretation of the study results (conclusions) were extracted. Results: A total of 422 trials were identified by the search strategy, and 132 eligible trials were included. Over time the sample size of P3 RCTs in mCRC has been increasing and there has been a steady increase in trials studying targeted therapy (see table below for detailed results by decade). A trend towards a smaller percentage of P3 RCTs sponsored by co-operative groups has been observed in recent decades. The most common primary endpoint was overall survival (OS) which was used in 35% of the trials. A decreasing trend in the use of OS was observed since the 1990s. Other common primary endpoints include: progression-free survival (PFS) in 28% and response rate (RR) in 20% of the P3 RCTs. The primary endpoint was met in 45% of the trials. There was discordance between the primary endpoint significance and the authors’ conclusions in 14% of the trials. Conclusions: The design and interpretation of P3 RCTs for mCRC has changed over time from 1980 to present. The use of OS as the primary endpoint is decreasing, while the use of PFS is increasing. [Table: see text]


2008 ◽  
Vol 26 (12) ◽  
pp. 2013-2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leonard B. Saltz ◽  
Stephen Clarke ◽  
Eduardo Díaz-Rubio ◽  
Werner Scheithauer ◽  
Arie Figer ◽  
...  

PurposeTo evaluate the efficacy and safety of bevacizumab when added to first-line oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy (either capecitabine plus oxaliplatin [XELOX] or fluorouracil/folinic acid plus oxaliplatin [FOLFOX-4]) in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (MCRC).Patients and MethodsPatients with MCRC were randomly assigned, in a 2 × 2 factorial design, to XELOX versus FOLFOX-4, and then to bevacizumab versus placebo. The primary end point was progression-free survival (PFS).ResultsA total of 1,401 patients were randomly assigned in this 2 × 2 analysis. Median progression-free survival (PFS) was 9.4 months in the bevacizumab group and 8.0 months in the placebo group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.83; 97.5% CI, 0.72 to 0.95; P = .0023). Median overall survival was 21.3 months in the bevacizumab group and 19.9 months in the placebo group (HR, 0.89; 97.5% CI, 0.76 to 1.03; P = .077). Response rates were similar in both arms. Analysis of treatment withdrawals showed that, despite protocol allowance of treatment continuation until disease progression, only 29% and 47% of bevacizumab and placebo recipients, respectively, were treated until progression. The toxicity profile of bevacizumab was consistent with that documented in previous trials.ConclusionThe addition of bevacizumab to oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy significantly improved PFS in this first-line trial in patients with MCRC. Overall survival differences did not reach statistical significance, and response rate was not improved by the addition of bevacizumab. Treatment continuation until disease progression may be necessary in order to optimize the contribution of bevacizumab to therapy.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 782-782
Author(s):  
Daisuke Sakai ◽  
Toshihiro Kudo ◽  
Aya Kato ◽  
Toshinori Sueda ◽  
Hidekazu Takahashi ◽  
...  

782 Background: One of recent standard first line chemotherapies for metastatic colorectal cancer is doublet of cytotoxic agents, fluorouracil and oxaliplatin or irinotecan, in combination with target agent, bevacizumab, or anti-EGFR antibody as cetuximab or panitumumab for KRAS or RAS wild type (WT). In this decade, nevertheless progression free survival (PFS) of clinical trials was little improved, overall survival (OS) had been increased. Methods: We analyzed data from 14 recently published phase III randomized clinical trials in mCRC to correlate the percentage of patients receiving subsequent chemotherapy with the reported OS. Results: Median PFS and OS were 10.3 and 25.0 months, respectively. In all comer trials, median OS is significantly correlated with the percentage of patients who received subsequent chemotherapy after first line chemotherapy of their disease [regression coefficient (R2) = 0.85 p = 0.0018]. In trials with KRAS WT, a correlation between OS and the rate of subsequent therapy was modest [r2 = 0.605, p = 0.0637]. Median PFS and RR were not correlated with median OS. Conclusions: Our results support the strategy of making salvage chemotherapy available to all patients with advanced CRC to maximize OS. In addition, our findings suggest that, with the availability of effective salvage options, PFS might no longer be regarded as the appropriate surrogate end point of OS by which to assess the efficacy of a palliative first-line treatment in CRC.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 137-137
Author(s):  
Kinjal Parikh ◽  
Davecia Ragoonath Cameron ◽  
Pan Chen ◽  
Brittany Cain ◽  
Ann Carothers

137 Background: The treatment armamentarium for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) has expanded significantly and treatment options for progressive disease remain limited. As data from clinical trials or subgroup analyses become available, landmark trials are published, and guideline recommendations or clinical utility of these therapies change, continuing medical education (CME) for oncologists is necessary to ensure that eligible patients continue to receive effective therapies. Methods: A series of 7 activities launched from 2016-2020 to reach a global oncology audience in the care of patients with mCRC. The educational activities included multi-modality approaches with didactics, cases, simulations, and panel discussions. Educational effectiveness was assessed with repeated paired pre/post assessment where learners served as their own controls to measure changes in knowledge, competence, confidence, and performance. Oncologists who completed both the pre- and post-CME questions or who made relevant clinical decisions in the simulation activity were included in analysis and McNemar’s tests were conducted to assess statistical significance of the results with p < .05 being considered significant. The first activity launched on 6/8/2016 and the data reported were collected through 7/20/20. Results: As of 7/20/2020, 59,595 learners participated in the activities, including 18,634 total physician learners with 5,862 oncologists. Significant improvements in knowledge, competence, and confidence among oncologists, measured as relative % changes in correct responses or confidence from pre- to post-CME, were seen (n=60-214) [% pre, % post, p value]: 11%: knowledge regarding therapies for progressive disease in mCRC (83; 92; p < .05); 17%: knowledge of clinical trials assessing impact of patient/disease specific aspects on treatment selection (63; 74; p < .001); 11%: competence selecting therapy (55; 61; p < .05); 41%: confidence selecting therapy (34; 48; p < .001); 24%: confidence addressing communication barriers in mCRC (50; 62; p < .01). Significant improvement in performance of oncologists, measured as absolute % changes in pre- to post-CME correct responses were seen (n = 46) [% pre, % post, p value]: 28%: starting preferred treatment options (24; 52; p < .01); 18%: prescribing regorafenib (24; 43; p < .01); 9%: prescribing trifluridine + tipiracil (0; 9; p < .05). Conclusions: This series of online, expert-led, CME-certified educational activities resulted in significant improvement in knowledge, competence, confidence, and performance among learners regarding the management of patients with progressive metastatic colorectal cancer over time. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of on-demand education as new data emerge and indications expand to reinforce existing knowledge, close persistent gaps, and increase confidence in managing these patients.


2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (01) ◽  
pp. 30
Author(s):  
Marwan Fakih ◽  

Anti-epidermal growth factor receptors (anti-EGFRs) have been clinically proven to improve overall survival (OS) when combined with chemotherapy in the settings of extended RAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancers. In addition, randomized phase III studies have confirmed the superiority of anti-EGFR therapy over bevacizumab in the front-line treatment of extended RAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer when it comes to response rate, and in select studies, OS. Recent updates from these clinical trials project convincing evidence that tumor sidedness is yet another predictive marker for response to anti-EGFR therapy. While left colonic RAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancers derive major clinical benefit from anti-EGFR versus bevacizumab therapy, bevacizumab appears to have clear advantage in RAS wild-type metastatic right-sided tumors. In this review, we summarize recent reports from key clinical trials and their impact on day-to-day clinical practice.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3521-3521 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark P. Saunders ◽  
Istvan Lang ◽  
Eugenio Marcuello ◽  
Vito Lorusso ◽  
Janja Ocvirk ◽  
...  

3521 Background: Elderly patients (pts) are underrepresented in clinical trials. The open-label phase III trial AVEX evaluated the benefit of adding bevacizumab (BEV) to capecitabine (cape) in elderly pts with previously untreated metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). This analysis explores clinical outcomes by age subgroup. Methods: In AVEX, 280 pts ≥70 y with mCRC for whom single-agent chemotherapy was deemed appropriate, were randomized to first-line cape (1000 mg/m2bid days 1–14) alone (n=140) or with BEV (7.5 mg/kg) q3w (n=140). The primary end point was progression-free survival (PFS). Secondary end points were overall survival (OS), overall response rate, and safety. The study was powered to show a difference in PFS but not OS. A post hoc analysis was conducted to assess PFS, OS, and safety in pts 70–74 y, 75–79 y, and ≥80 y. Results: Median age was 76 y (range, 70–87). In the overall population, BEV + cape significantly prolonged PFS compared with cape (median 9.1 vs 5.1 mo; hazard ratio [HR], 0.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.41–0.69; p<.001). Differences in OS did not reach statistical significance in the overall population (HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.57–1.09; p=.182). Treatment was well tolerated. Results according to age are shown (Table). Conclusions: The addition of BEV to cape was associated with significant improvements in PFS in the overall elderly mCRC population and within age subgroups. The safety profile of BEV + cape was consistent across age groups. Clinical trial information: NCT00484939. [Table: see text]


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document