MIPSS70: Mutation-Enhanced International Prognostic Score System for Transplantation-Age Patients With Primary Myelofibrosis

Purpose To develop a prognostic system for transplantation-age patients with primary myelofibrosis (PMF) that integrates clinical, cytogenetic, and mutation data. Patients and Methods The study included 805 patients with PMF age ≤ 70 years recruited from multiple Italian centers and the Mayo Clinic (Rochester, MN), forming two independent learning and validation cohorts. A Cox multivariable model was used to select from among a list of 22 variables those that were predictive of overall survival (OS). Integrated clinical and genetic prognostic models with (MIPSS70-plus) or without (MIPSS70) cytogenetic information were developed. Results Multivariable analysis identified the following as significant risk factors for OS: hemoglobin < 100 g/L, leukocytes > 25 × 109/L, platelets < 100 × 109/L, circulating blasts ≥ 2%, bone marrow fibrosis grade ≥ 2, constitutional symptoms, absence of CALR type-1 mutation, presence of high–molecular risk mutation (ie, ASXL1, EZH2, SRSF2, IDH1/ 2), and presence of two or more high–molecular risk mutations. By assigning hazard ratio (HR)–weighted points to these variables, three risk categories were delineated for the MIPSS70 model; 5-year OS was 95% in low-risk, 70% in intermediate-risk, and 29% in high-risk categories, corresponding to median OS of 27.7 years (95% CI, 22 to 34 years), 7.1 years (95% CI, 6.2 to 8.1 years), and 2.3 years (95% CI, 1.9 to 2.7 years), respectively. In the MIPSS70-plus model, which included cytogenetic information, four risk categories were delineated, with 5-year OS of 91% in low-risk, 66% in intermediate-risk (HR, 3.2; 95% CI, 1.9 to 5.2), 42% in high-risk (HR, 6.4; 95% CI, 4.1 to 10.0), and 7% very high–risk categories (HR, 17.0; 95% CI, 9.8 to 29.2). Both models remained effective after inclusion of older patients in the analysis. Conclusion MIPSS70 and MIPSS70-plus provide complementary systems of risk stratification for transplantation-age patients with PMF and integrate prognostically relevant clinical, cytogenetic, and mutation data.

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Calreticulin Mutation Does Not Modify the International Prognostic Score for Predicting the Risk of Thrombosis Among 1,150 Patients with Essential Thrombocythemia

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood.v124.21.404.404 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 124 (21) ◽

pp. 404-404

Author(s):

Guido Finazzi ◽

Alessandra Carobbio ◽

Paola Guglielmelli ◽

Elisa Rumi ◽

Silvia Salmoiraghi ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

High Risk ◽

Prognostic Score ◽

Low Risk ◽

Intermediate Risk ◽

Thrombotic Risk ◽

Exon 9 ◽

International Prognostic Score ◽

Risk Categories ◽

Calr Mutation

Abstract Background An International Prognostic Score for the risk of thrombosis (IPSET-thrombosis) in Essential Thrombocythemia (ET) was developed (Barbui et al. Blood, 2012;120:5128). Risk factors included: age >60 years (1 point), cardiovascular (CV) risk factors (1 point), previous thrombosis (2 points) and the presence of JAK2V617F mutation (2 points). Low, intermediate and high risk categories were identified by scores 0-1; 2; and ≥ 3, respectively. Mutations in the exon 9 of CALreticulin (CALR) gene were recently identified in about 50-60% of patients with JAK2V617F negative ET and associated with a reduced thrombotic risk as compared with JAK2V617F positive patients. Aim To evaluate whether the identification of CALRmutation in patients with ET has any impact on the IPSET-thrombosis score Patients and Methods Under the auspices of AGIMM (AIRC Gruppo Italiano Malattie Mieloproliferative), four Italian centers with recognized experience in myeloproliferative neoplasms participated in the current study. Overall, 1,150 patients who met the 2008 WHO criteria for ET and were molecularly characterized for JAK2V617F, MPLW515L/K and CALR exon 9 mutations were included. The JAK2 and MPL mutations were assessed by real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction and by high-resolution melting analysis followed by bidirectional Sanger sequencing. Mutations in exon 9 of CALRwere assessed by bidirectional sequencing or next generation sequencing. Results Presenting features of the study population were: median age 58 years (range 5th-95th percentile 27-82 years; 65% females), median hemoglobin 14.1 g/dL (range 5th-95th percentile 11.8-16.3), median leukocyte count 8.7x109/L (range 5th-95th percentile 5.4-14.7), median platelet count 718x109/L (range 5th-95th percentile 486-1313). CV risk factors (at least one among smoke, diabetes and hypertension) were present in 568 (49%) patients. Arterial or venous thrombosis history before or at diagnosis was documented in 167 (15%) patients. JAK2V17F, MPLW515L/K and CALRmutations were detected in 744 (65%), 44 (4%) and 164 (14%) patients respectively. The remaining 198 patients (17%) were wild-type for all three mutations. During a median follow-up of 4.1 years (range 0-29), 104 patients developed an arterial or venous thrombotic event, with a total incidence rate of 1.59% patients/year (pt-ys). The IPSET-thrombosis ability to discriminate the thrombotic risk was confirmed. In fact, in the low risk (reference category), the rate was 0.57% pt-ys; in the intermediate risk was 1.60% pt-ys (Hazard Ratio (HR) 3.10, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.55-6.18, p=0.001) and in the high risk group was 2.34% pts-yr (HR 4.59, 95% CI 2.41-8.77 p<0.0001). As to the impact of CALR mutation in the three categories of the IPSET-thrombosis score, we observed that CALR mutated patients were more frequently distributed in the low risk (48%) and intermediate risk (46%) than in the high risk IPSET groups (6%). In univariate analysis, patients carrying CALR mutation had a lower incidence of thrombosis than those with JAK2V617F (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.34-1.09, p=0.093). However, CALR mutated patients were significantly younger (median age 53.5 versus 60.8 years, p=0.001) and presented with less previous thrombosis (8% versus 17%, p=0.005) than JAK2V617F mutated patients. This could explain why in multivariable models, CALR mutation did not retain the association with the risk of thrombosis. This was demonstrated in the whole population (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.30-2.17, p=0.674), as well as in the low risk (HR 1.01, range 0.27-3.81, p=0.987) and intermediate risk categories (HR 1.80, range 0.57-5.72, p=0.317); the high risk category was not evaluable for the low proportion of CALRmutated patients in this group. Conclusions CALR mutation does not have a significant impact on the IPSET-thrombosis prognostic score. The score can be used as it is to predict the risk of thrombosis in molecularly-annotated, WHO-2008 diagnosed ET patients. Disclosures Vannucchi: Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation: Consultancy, Honoraria, Research Funding.

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Risk Stratification for Survival and Leukemic Transformation in Essential Thrombocythemia: A Single Institutional Study of 605 Patients.

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood.v108.11.3599.3599 ◽

2006 ◽

Vol 108 (11) ◽

pp. 3599-3599

Author(s):

Naseema Gangat ◽

Alexandra Wolanskyj ◽

Rebecca F. McClure ◽

Chin Y. Li ◽

Susan M. Schwager ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Risk Factors ◽

High Risk ◽

Univariate Analysis ◽

Low Risk ◽

Prognostic Models ◽

Intermediate Risk ◽

Prognostic Variables ◽

Leukemic Transformation ◽

Male Sex

Abstract Background It is widely recognized that advanced age and prior thrombosis predict recurrent thrombosis in essential thrombocythemia (ET) and are used to risk-stratify patients. However, the paucity of large sample size and long-term follow-up has limited the development of similar prognostic models for survival and leukemic transformation (LT). Methods Data was abstracted from the medical records of a consecutive cohort of patients with WHO-defined ET seen at the Mayo Clinic. Cox proportional hazards was used to determine the impact of clinical and laboratory variables on survival and LT. Overall survival and leukemia-free survival was estimated by Kaplan-Meier plots. Results i. Patient characteristics and outcome The study cohort included 605 patients of which 399 (66%) were females (median age, 57 years; range 5–91). Median follow-up was 84 months (range; 0–424). During this period, 155 patients (26%) have died and LT was documented in 20 patients (3.3%) occurring at a median of 138 months (range; 23–422) from ET diagnosis. ii. Prognostic variables for overall survival Univariate analysis of parameters at diagnosis identified age ≥ 60 years, hemoglobin less than normal (defined as < 12 g/dL in females and < 13.5 g/dL in males), leukocyte count ≥ 15 x 109/L, tobacco use, diabetes mellitus, thrombosis, male sex, and the absence of microvascular symptoms as independent predictors of inferior survival. All of the above except the last two (i.e. male sex and the absence of microvascular symptoms) sustained their prognostic significance on multivariate analysis. Based on the first three prognostic variables: age, hemoglobin level, and leukocyte count, we constructed a prognostic model for survival: low-risk (none of the risk factors), intermediate-risk (1of 3 risk factors), and high-risk (≥ 2 risk factors). The respective median survivals were 278, 200, and 111 months (p<0.0001; Figure 1) iii. Prognostic variables for leukemic transformation On univariate analysis of parameters at ET diagnosis, LT was significantly associated with platelet count ≥ 1000 x 109/L, hemoglobin less than normal, and exposure to P-32. However, on multivariate analysis, only hemoglobin less than normal and platelet count ≥ 1000 x 109/L maintained independent prognostic value. Accordingly, we utilized these two variables, to construct a prognostic model for LT: low-risk (none of the risk factors), intermediate-risk (1 risk factor), and high-risk (both risk factors). Only 1 of the 239 patients (0.4%) in the low-risk group vs. 14 of the 289 (4.8%) in the intermediate-risk and 5 of the 77 (6.5%) in the high-risk group underwent LT (p=0.0009; Figure 2). Conclusion The current study provides clinician-friendly prognostic models for both survival and LT in ET. Figure 1 Figure 1. Figure 2 Figure 2.

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Disease-Attributable Mortality in the Myelodysplastic Syndromes (MDS): A Study from the Spanish MDS Cooperative Group (GESMD)

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood.v126.23.1672.1672 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 126 (23) ◽

pp. 1672-1672

Author(s):

Meritxell Nomdedeu ◽

Xavier Calvo ◽

Dolors Costa ◽

Montserrat Arnan ◽

Helena Pomares ◽

...

Keyword(s):

High Risk ◽

Board Of Directors ◽

Mortality Rates ◽

Low Risk ◽

Attributable Mortality ◽

Risk Category ◽

Intermediate Risk ◽

Advisory Committees ◽

Very High ◽

Risk Categories

Abstract Introduction: The MDS are a group of clonal hematopoietic disorders characterized by blood cytopenias and increased risk of transformation into acute myeloid leukemia (AML). The MDS predominate in old people (median age at diagnosis > 70 years) so that a fraction of the observed mortality would be driven by age-related factors shared with the general population rather than the MDS. Distinguishing between the MDS-related and unrelated mortality rates will help better assessment of the population health impact of the MDS and more accurate prognostication. This study was aimed at quantifying the MDS-attributable mortality and its relationship with the IPSSR risk categories. Methods: The database of the GESMD was queried for patients diagnosed with primary MDS after 1980 according to the WHO 2001 classification. Patients with CMML, younger than 16 years or who lacked the basic demographic or follow-up data were excluded. Relative survival and MDS-attributable mortality were calculated by the cohort method and statistically compared by Poisson multivariate regression as described by Dickman (Stat Med 2004; 23: 51). Three main parameters were calculated: the observed (all-cause) mortality, the MDS-attributable mortality (both as percentage of the initial cohort), and the fraction of the observed mortality attributed to the MDS. Results: In total, 7408 patients met the inclusion criteria and constitute the basis for this study. Among these patients, 5307 had enough data to be classified according to the IPSSR. Median age was 74 (IQR: 16-99) years and 58 % were males. The most frequent WHO categories were RAEB, type I or II (29% of cases), RCMD (28%), and RA with ring sideroblasts (16%). Most patients (72%) were classified within the very low and low risk categories of the IPSSR. At the study closing date (December 2014), 1022 patients had progressed to AML, 3198 had died (974 after AML) and 3210 were censored alive. The median actuarial survival for the whole series was 4.8 (95% CI: 4.6-5.1) years and 30% of patients are projected to survive longer than 10 years. The overall MDS-attributable mortality at 5 years from diagnosis was 39%, which accounted for three-quarters of the observed mortality (51%, figure). The corresponding figures at 10 years for the MDS-attributable and observed mortality were 55% and 71%, respectively. According to the IPSSR, the 5-year MDS-attributable mortality rates was 19% for the very low risk category, 39% (low risk), 70% (intermediate risk), 78% (high risk), and 92% (very high risk). On average, the incidence rate ratio for the MDS-attributable mortality increased 1.9 times (95% CI: 1.7-2.3, p<0.001) as the IPSSR worsened from one to the next risk category. The fraction of the observed mortality attributed to the MDS was 0.55 for the very low risk category, 0.79 (low risk), 0.93 (intermediate risk), 0.96 (high risk), and 0.99 (very high risk). After distinguishing between AML-related and unrelated mortality, the 5-year MDS-attributable mortality not related to AML was 10% for the very low risk category, 20% (low risk), 33% (intermediate risk), 42% (high risk), and 44% (very high risk). By comparing these figures with the above ones, we could estimate that about 50% of the MDS-attributable mortality was AML-unrelated and that such fraction kept nearly constant across the five IPSSR categories. Conclusions: About three-quarters of the mortality observed in patients with MDS is caused by the disease, the remaining one-quarter being due to MDS-independent factors shared with the general population. The MDS-attributable mortality increases with the IPSSR risk category, from half the observed mortality in the very low risk to nearly all the mortality observed in the high and very high risk groups. Half the MDS-attributable mortality is driven by factors unrelated to leukemic transformation, a proportion that keeps constant across the five IPSSR risk categories. Disclosures Valcarcel: AMGEN: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; NOVARTIS: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; GSK: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; CELGENE: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau. Ramos:AMGEN: Consultancy, Honoraria; NOVARTIS: Consultancy, Honoraria; JANSSEN: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; CELGENE: Consultancy, Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding. Esteve:Celgene: Consultancy, Honoraria; Janssen: Consultancy, Honoraria.

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Validation of Mantle Cell International Prognostic Index (MIPI) in Mantle Cell Lymphoma (MCL) in a Retrospective Single Institution Series

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood.v112.11.2828.2828 ◽

2008 ◽

Vol 112 (11) ◽

pp. 2828-2828

Author(s):

Annalisa Chiappella ◽

Barbara Botto ◽

Filippo Marmont ◽

Ernesta Audisio ◽

Ileana Baldi ◽

...

Keyword(s):

High Risk ◽

Clinical Course ◽

Prognostic Score ◽

International Prognostic Index ◽

Prognostic Index ◽

Low Risk ◽

Intermediate Risk ◽

Single Institution ◽

Mantle Cell

Abstract Introduction: The clinical course of MCL is characterized by a continuous pattern of relapse and a poor long term outcome with a median Overall Survival (OS) of four years and a 15% of long term survivors. Recently a new clinical prognostic score (MIPI), including performance status, age, LDH level and leukocyte count has been reported. This score allows a more reliable estimation of individual clinical course. We retrospectively applied the MIPI score to patients with MCL. Patients and methods: Between 1999 and 2007, 40 patients with MCL diagnosed and treated in a single institution entered into the study. Clinical characteristics were as follows: median age 56 years (range 37–81), 80% male; 82% stage IV; 78% bone marrow involvement and 15% MCL with blastoid variant. First line treatments were: high dose chemoimmunotherapy including Rituximab (R) with autologous stem cell transplantation (R-HDC) in 26 patients and Rituximab-CHOP like chemotherapy (R-CHOP) in 14. Crude Kaplan-Meier OS and progression-free survival (PFS) curves were estimated both overall and stratified by MIPI and International Prognostic Index (IPI) score. Differences between curves were tested using the 2-tailed log-rank test. In order to quantify the predictive discrimination of MIPI and IPI scores, univariate logistic models (with death and progression event as binary outcomes) were fitted and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (c index) was estimated. Results: According to MIPI score 17 patients (43%) were at low risk (LR, score 0–3), 13 patients (32%) at intermediate risk (IR, score 4–5) and 10 patients (25%) at high risk (HR, score >5). According to IPI score 14 patients (35%) were at low risk (LR), 16 patients (40%) at low-intermediate risk (LIR) and 10 patients (25%) at intermediate-high and high risk (IH-HR). At the end of the treatment, 30 patients achieved a CR, five a PR and five did not respond. Relapses occurred in 17 patients and seven of them died of lymphoma. With a median follow-up (FU) of 29 months, OS was 85% (95% CI: 66%–93%); with a median FU of 21 months, PFS was 70% (95% CI: 51%–83%). Twenty-nine months OS rates for MIPI score were: LR 100%, IR 81%, HR 66% respectively (p=.07) and for IPI score were: LR 92%, LIR 94%, IH-HR 65% respectively (p=.09). Twenty-one months PFS rates for MIPI score were: LR 92%, IR 59%, HR 45% respectively (p=.006) and for IPI score were: LR 73%, LIR 87%, IH-HR 44% respectively (p=.09). MIPI score was more predictive than IPI score for the death event and for the progression event: the c index was 74% and 73% for MIPI compared to 72% and 69% for IPI respectively. In a subgroup analysis performed on 26 R-HDC patients, OS and PFS rates stratified for MIPI were: for OS, LR 100% vs IR 80% vs HR 69% (p=.4) and for PFS, LR 91% vs IR 80% vs HR 57% (p=.04) respectively. Discussion: in our retrospective series of patients, MIPI prognostic score discriminates among patients with different PFS. Relapses remain the most important issue for all patients affected by MCL, namely in HR group according to MIPI. New therapeutic strategies are warranted to improve the prognosis of MCL.

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MIPSS70+ V2.0 and Revised Cytogenetics Changes Predict Outcomes of Allogeneic Transplantation with Fludarabine and Melphalan Conditioning in Patients with Myelofibrosis

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood-2018-99-112239 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 132 (Supplement 1) ◽

pp. 1752-1752

Author(s):

Haris Ali ◽

Ibrahim Aldoss ◽

Dongyun Yang ◽

Saloomeh Mokhtari ◽

Samer K. Khaled ◽

...

Keyword(s):

High Risk ◽

Risk Group ◽

Multivariable Analysis ◽

Prognostic Models ◽

Intermediate Risk ◽

Transplant Outcomes ◽

Cytogenetic Changes ◽

The Impact ◽

Very High

Abstract Several prognostic models have been developed to predict survival outcomes and response in patients with myelofibrosis (MF). MIPSS70 prognostic system, developed by incorporation of all the key clinical characteristics, cytogenetics, and mutational factors into one system, has recently been revised to MIPSS70+ v2.0 with refinements in degrees of anemia, cytogenetics, and HMR. While allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (alloHCT) is the only curative treatment for patients with MF, limited data exists on the impact of molecular markers on transplant outcomes. Here, we evaluated the transplant outcome in MF patients who uniformly received fludarabine/melphalan (FluMel) conditioning at City of Hope and assessed the impact of cytogenetics, somatic mutations on transplant outcomes based on a 72 gene next-generation sequencing (NGS) panel and MIPSS 70+ v2.0. A total of 110 consecutive MF patients (primary: n=58, secondary: n=52) without prior acute leukemic transformation, underwent alloHCT between 2004 and 2017. Median age at the time of transplant was 58.5 years (range: 38-72 years) with median interval from diagnosis of primary or secondary MF to HCT of 15.2 months (range: 1.6-332.5 months). AlloHCT donors were matched related (n=51), matched unrelated (n=44), and mismatched unrelated (n=15). Intermediate-2 and High risk by DIPSS accounted for 83 (76%) of patients at the time of transplant. Tacrolimus/Sirolimus-based GVHD prophylaxis was used in 100 (91%) patients, and 16 had splenectomy prior to alloHCT. Pre-transplant DNA sample were available for 93 patients and cytogenetics information was available for 106 patients; among which 60 had abnormal cytogenetics. Based on recently developed revised cytogenetic risk stratification on transplant outcomes, we identified 67 patients (61%) in favorable, 24 (22%) in unfavorable, and 15 (14%) in very high risk groups. Median number of 2 mutations were detected with at least one mutation in 95% (n=88) of patients. JAK2 V617F was the most common alteration noted in 54 (58.1%) patients. Other common mutations were ASXL1 (n=41, 44%), CALR type 1 (n=15, 16.1%), TET2 (n=12, 13%) SRSF2 and DNMT3A (each n=10, 11%). No detectable mutations were found in 5 (5.4%) patients. HMR genes (ASLX1, EZH2, IDH1/2, SRSF2, and U2AF1) were identified in 48 patients (52%), with 30 patients (32%) carrying one and 18 patients (19%) carrying more than 1 HMRs. With a median follow-up of 63.7 months (range: 11.9-158.5), 5 year overall survival (OS) and non-relapse mortality (NRM) were 65% (95% CI: 54-73) and 17% (95%CI: 10%-24%), respectively. Detailed transplant outcomes were previously reported (Ali et al. American Society of Hematology. Vol. 130. Atlanta, GA: Blood; 2017:199) (Figure 1a). On multivariable analysis, unfavorable and VHR cytogenetic changes had significantly shorter OS and PFS (p=0.001 and 0.008), and relapse risk (p=0.035) (Figure1b). Triple negative status (p=0.063), HMR (p=0.73), and more than 1 HMR (p=0.59) did not significantly impact survival post-HCT. (Figure1c) Similarly, CALR type 1 (p=0.42), and ASXL1 (p=0.29) mutations also did not impact survival after HCT. Only CBL mutation was significantly associated with lower OS (HR=2.64, 95% CI: 1.09-6.38, p=0.032) and lower DFS (HR=4.35, 95% CI: 1.83-10.36, p<0.001), largely attributable to increased NRM (HR=3.68, 95% CI: 1.45-9.35, p=0.004). In addition U2AF1 mutations were significantly associated with NRM (HR=3.42, 95%CI: 1.50-7.80, p=0.009). Per MIPSS70+ 2.0, patients were classified into intermediate (n=11), high (n=47), or very high-risk (VHR) (n=35). MIPSS70+ 2.0 predicted OS, DFS, and NRM. Compared to high risk group, intermediate risk patients had better OS (HR=0.291, 95% CI: 0.04-2.26) and DFS (HR=0.24, 95% CI: .03-1.91), whereas VHR group had much lower OS (HR=5.05, 95% CI: 2.39-10.74, p=<0.001) and DFS (HR=3.87, 95% CI: 1.9.0-7.88 p<0.001). (Figure 1d) Compared to high risk, intermediate risk group had lower and VHR had higher NRM (HR=0.51, 95% CI: 0.06-4.23), and (HR=3.24, 95% CI: 1.47 - 7.13, p=0.004), respectively. In summary, we are presenting one of the largest single center experiences of FluMel-based alloHCT for MF patients, demonstrating revised cytogenetic changes and MIPSS70+ v2.0 accurately predicts transplant outcomes, thus would better inform physicians and patients in discussing and decision making about alloHCT. Figure. Figure. Disclosures Ali: Incyte Corporation: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Khaled:Juno: Other: Travel Funding; Alexion: Consultancy, Speakers Bureau; Daiichi: Consultancy. Salhotra:Kadmon Corporation, LLC: Consultancy. Stein:Amgen Inc.: Speakers Bureau; Celgene: Speakers Bureau. Forman:Mustang Therapeutics: Other: Licensing Agreement, Patents & Royalties, Research Funding.

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Prognostic Impact of Absolute Lymphocyte Count/Absolute Monocyte Count Ratio and Prognostic Score in Patients with Nasal Type, Extranodal Natural Killer/T Cell Lymphoma

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood.v128.22.5307.5307 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 128 (22) ◽

pp. 5307-5307

Author(s):

Na Li ◽

Li Zhang ◽

Hao-lan Song ◽

Jing Zhang ◽

Hua-wei Weng ◽

...

Keyword(s):

High Risk ◽

Lymphocyte Count ◽

Cell Lymphoma ◽

Prognostic Score ◽

Prognostic Index ◽

Absolute Lymphocyte Count ◽

Low Risk ◽

Monocyte Count ◽

Intermediate Risk ◽

Nasal Type

Abstract Nasal type, extranodal natural killer (NK)/T-cell lymphoma (ENKTL) is a heterogeneous disorder with poor prognosis, requiring risk stratification in this population. We designed to investigate the prognostic significance of absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), absolute monocyte count (AMC), ALC/AMC ratio and ALC/AMC prognostic score (low risk, normal ALC and AMC; intermediate risk, low ALC or high AMC; high risk, low ALC and high AMC) and to determine whether ALC/AMC ratio or prognostic score is a better predictor of prognosis in ENKTL. A total of 264 patients with newly diagnosed ENKTL were retrospectively analyzed in present study. Receiver Operating Curve analysis showed that optimal cut-off values of ALC, AMC and ALC/AMC ratio were 1.0×109/L, 0.5×109/L and 2.85, respectively. In multivariate analysis all tested factors including ALC, AMC, ALC/AMC ratio and prognostic score were independent risk factors. After a median follow-up of 30 months (range 1-87), an estimated 3-year overall survival (OS) in the 264 patients was 75.4%. Patients with ALC/AMC ratio≥2.85 had a better OS and progression-free survival (PFS) than those with ALC/AMC ratio<2.85 at diagnosis (3-year OS rate: 83.4% versus 61.9%, P < 0.001; 3-year PFS rate: 76.5% versus 53.0%, P< 0.001). Significant difference has been noticed in the patients according to ALC/AMC prognostic score in 3-year OS (low risk vs. intermediate risk, 88.3% vs. 66.5%, p = 0.001; low risk vs. high risk, 88.3% vs. 0%, p < 0.001; intermediate risk vs. high risk, 66.5% vs. 0%, p = 0.001) and in 3-year PFS(low risk vs. intermediate risk, 80.7% vs. 58.3%, p = 0.002; low risk vs. high risk, 80.7% vs. 0%, p < 0.001; intermediate risk vs. high risk, 58.3% vs. 0%, p = 0.003) . The International Prognostic Index (IPI) and Korean Prognostic Index (KPI) were used for predicting these patients' prognosis, the result showed that the discrimination was not power. When applying ALC/AMC ratio and prognostic score to the IPI and KPI model, the latter showed a better discrimination as compared to the former. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

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Integration of Mutations and Karyotype Towards a Genetics-Based Prognostic Scoring System (GPSS) for Primary Myelofibrosis

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood.v124.21.406.406 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 124 (21) ◽

pp. 406-406 ◽

Cited By ~ 20

Author(s):

Ayalew Tefferi ◽

Paola Guglielmelli ◽

Christy Finke ◽

Terra L Lasho ◽

Naseema Gangat ◽

...

Keyword(s):

High Risk ◽

Scoring System ◽

Multivariable Analysis ◽

Primary Myelofibrosis ◽

World Health ◽

Blast Transformation ◽

Very High ◽

Risk Categories

Abstract Background : Current prognostication in primary myelofibrosis (PMF) utilizes international prognostic scoring systems that rely on clinical parameters that are sensitive to day-to-day variations and subjective interpretation. Recent studies in PMF have disclosed important prognostic information attached to additional cytogenetic details (Blood. 2011;118:4595) and somatic mutations, including CALR and ASXL1 (NEJM. 2013;369:2379; Leukemia. 2013;27:1861). Methods : PMF diagnosis and definition of blast transformation (BT) were according to World Health Organization criteria (Blood. 2009;114:937). Cytogenetic analysis and reporting was done according to the International System for Human Cytogenetic Nomenclature (Cytogenetic and genome research. 2013. Prepublished on 2013/07/03 as DOI 10.1159/000353118). Previously published methods were used for analyses of CALR, JAK2, MPL and other prognostically-relevant mutations, including ASXL1, SRSF2, EZH2 and IDH(Leukemia. 2014;28:1472). Results : The training set included 964 Mayo Clinic patients (median age 65 years; 62% males) in whom informative karyotype or mutation information was available; cytogenetic information was available in 903 (94%) cases, JAK2/CALR/MPL mutational status in 532 (55%), ASXL1 in 425 (44%), SRSF2 in 434 (45%), IDH1/2 in 376 (39%) and EZH2 in 268 (28%). DIPSS-plus (JCO. 2011;29:392) risk distribution was high in 37% of patients, intermediate-2 in 37%, intermediate-1 in 15% and low in 11%. We used a revised risk stratification for cytogenetics (see accompanying ASH 2014 abstract) to distinguish four distinct cytogenetic risk categories: very high (monosomal karyotype, inv(3), i(17q), -7/7q-, 11q or 12p abnormalities; n=67), high (complex non-monosomal, two abnormalities not included in very high risk category, 5q-, +8, other autosomal trisomies except +9, and other sole abnormalities not included in other risk categories; n=164), intermediate (sole abnormalities of 20q-, 1q+ or any other sole translocation, and -Y or other sex chromosome abnormality; n=133) and low (normal or sole abnormalities of 13q- or +9; n=539). Mutational frequencies were 58% for JAK2, 25% CALR, 7% MPL, 36% ASXL1, 11% SRSF2, 5% IDH1/2 and 6% EZH2. The 131 cases with CALR mutations were further subclassified into two prognostically different groups: type 1/type 1-like (n=110) and type 2/type 2-like (n=21) (see accompanying ASH 2014 abstract). At a median follow-up time of 4.2 years for patients who are alive, 664 (69%) deaths and 70 BT (7%) were recorded. Age-adjusted multivariable analysis that included cytogenetic and mutational risk groups disclosed the following as independent predictors of shortened survival: very high risk karyotype (HR 4.2; 3 points), high risk karyotype (HR 1.9; 1 point), triple-negative (HR 2.8; 2 points), JAK2 (HR 3.1; 2 points), MPL (HR 3.1; 2 points), type 2/type 2-like CALR (HR 3.6; 2 points), ASXL1 (HR 1.9; 1 points) and SRSF2 (HR 1.9; 1 point); EZH2 (p=0.24) and IDH1/2 (p=0.68) and intermediate risk karyotype (p=0.87) were not significant. The above-mentioned significant variables and age demarcated at 60 years (2 points), were subsequently used to develop an HR-derived, genetics-based prognostic scoring system (GPSS) for 369 patients who were fully informative for both karyotype and all significant mutations: low risk (0 points; n=31), intermediate-1 (1 or 2 points; n=90), intermediate-2 (3 or 4 points; n=133) and high (5 or more points; n=115); the corresponding median survivals were >17, 9 (HR 4.7, 95% CI 1.7-13.0), 5 (HR 10.7, 95% CI 3.9-29.3) and 2.2 (HR 29.2, 95% CI 10.6-80.0) years (Figure 1). High risk GPSS was also associated with higher BT rate (HR 7.4, 95% CI 2.1-26.3). The prognostic distinction between high/intermediate-2 and low/intermediate-1 risk GPSS, in terms of both overall (median 5 vs 26.4 years; HR 7.1, 95% CI 3.3-14.9) and leukemia-free survival (median 11.6 years vs not reached; HR 9.4, 95% CI 2.2-41.0) was validated in an independent cohort of 183 patients from the University of Florence (Figure 2). Conclusions : The current study demonstrates the feasibility of genetics-based prognostic models in PMF that rely on objective parameters that are amenable to further refinement as new genetic information becomes available. Figure 1 Figure 1. Figure 2 Figure 2. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

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The Transplant Evaluation Rating Scale predicts overall survival after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation

Blood Advances ◽

10.1182/bloodadvances.2020002204 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 4 (19) ◽

pp. 4812-4821

Author(s):

Melhem M. Solh ◽

Dawn Speckhart ◽

Scott R. Solomon ◽

Asad Bashey ◽

Lawrence E. Morris ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Overall Survival ◽

High Risk ◽

Rating Scale ◽

Disease Risk ◽

Multivariable Analysis ◽

Low Risk ◽

Intermediate Risk ◽

Hematopoietic Stem ◽

Allogeneic Hsct ◽

Transplant Evaluation

Abstract To evaluate the impact of psychosocial risks on post–hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) outcomes, we prospectively conducted psychosocial assessment of 556 consecutive allogeneic HSCT patients who received their first allogeneic transplant at our center between 2003 and 2017. The Transplant Evaluation Rating Scale (TERS) score was prospectively assessed by a psychologist before transplantation, and patients were categorized as low, intermediate, or high risk based on their TERS score. Patients in the high-risk TERS group had significantly longer hospital stays during the first 180 days and 1 year post–allogeneic HSCT compared with the low-risk group (16 vs 13 and 21 vs 16 days; P = .05 and .02, respectively). The survival estimates for low-, intermediate-, and high-risk TERS groups at 3 year were as follows: overall survival (OS), 73%, 60%, and 65%; disease-free survival (DFS), 63%, 55%, and 60%; nonrelapse mortality (NRM), 11%, 20%, and 17%; and relapse, 26%, 25%, and 23%, respectively. In a multivariable analysis, intermediate- and high-risk TERS scores predicted for inferior OS, similar DFS, and higher NRM compared with low-risk TERS score. In a subset analysis of patients with low/intermediate risk per Disease Risk Index, multivariable analysis showed that high- and intermediate-risk TERS scores predicted for significantly worse OS, worse DFS, higher NRM, and similar relapse rates compared with low-risk TERS score. Our findings show that psychosocial factors as measured by TERS score are strong predictors of morbidity and mortality after HSCT among patients with low/intermediate disease risk.

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Prognostic Value of TTM with TTM Distribution and Ball Score in Relapsed/Refractory Ibrutinib Treated B-CLL - in the Real-World Setting

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood-2020-143030 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 136 (Supplement 1) ◽

pp. 14-15

Author(s):

Ozren Jaksic ◽

Marija Ivic ◽

Rajko Kusec ◽

Zdravko Mitrovic ◽

Mario Pirsic ◽

...

Keyword(s):

High Risk ◽

Board Of Directors ◽

Response Assessment ◽

Low Risk ◽

Prognostic Models ◽

Intermediate Risk ◽

Discriminative Power ◽

Advisory Committees ◽

Early Relapse ◽

Novel Drugs

There is a high number of clinical and biological parameters with impact on prognosis in B-CLL and number of successful prognostic models were developed (clinical stages, CLL IPI, MDACC score, etc.). However, rapidly changing therapeutic landscape with more successful targeted terapines with different modes of action, render most of these models developed in era of chemo and chemoimmunotherapy less useful. Recently simple prognostic score (BALL score) based on 4 parameters (LDH>UNL, B2microglobulin>5mcg/l, Hemoglobin<120 g/l in males and 110g/l in females, and time from start of last therapy- 0-1 parameters - low risk, 2-3 - intermediate risk and 4 high risk) was developed and validated in number of cohorts (Soumerai et al, Lancet Hematol). High cost of novel drugs in less affluent countries led to a higher criterion for reimbursement. Until recently in Croatia ibrutinib was reimbursed only for early relapse (less than 24 months from last therapy) or refractory disease with additional criteria for high risk disease including Rai stages III and IV or high tumor burden demonstrated by TTM score >15. TTM score (www.b-cll.org) is old, simple and continuous parameter useful for prognosis and response assessment (Jaksic B et al BJH 1980) and because it cover tumor mass in all major lymphoid compartments and allow tumor distribution assessment (Jaksic O et al, Haematologica 2001) it can be very useful for response assessment to novel agents were redistribution of lymphocytes can be significant (Jaksic O BJH 2014). In other to evaluate usefulness of novel BALL score and old TTM score in real life setting where the novel drug is available only to patients with higher risk defined by respective scores, we have evaluated series of 42 RR CLL patients treated with ibrutinib at our institution since March 2015. There were 15 females and 27 males, median age 70 years (range 53 to 82), 9 patients had 17p deletion, median TTM was 14 (range 1.2-28), 20 patients had Rai stage III/IV. Median follow up was 24 months, and maximal 64 months. Since all patients were in early relapse or refractory, we have actually used simplified BALL score based on only 3 parameters. There was no significant relationship between BALL and TTM in our patient population. In our patient cohort low risk BALL score had only 3 patients, 28 patients had intermediate risk and 11 high risk and it showed only marginal discriminative power (p=0.054) While TTM>15 did not show discriminative power (p=0.14). When we added TTM>18 as an additional parameter (point) to BALL score, this modified score (0-3 low/intermediate - 23 patients and 3-4 high risk - 19 patients) showed significant discriminative power (p=0.002) (Figure 1). Observed results indicate that: 1) performance of prognostic models may be significantly dependent on discriminative power of its components and if these components are criteria for initiation of therapy with novel agent(i.e. only high risk group defined by these parameters) it significantly lower its prognostic power, and vice versa 2) such criteria for therapy selection/initiation until these criteria are met may actually mean that we treat patients with novel agents when these are less effective. We have shown that addition of TTM significantly improves BALL score. Refinement of prognostic scores with parameters that may have predictive power for novel drugs, as well as adaptation criteria for reimbursement in future studies (including pharmacoeconomics) may further improve quality of care of B-CLL patients. Disclosures Jaksic: Roche: Honoraria; Janssen: Honoraria; Abbvie: Honoraria. Pejsa:AbbVie: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Janssen: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Takeda: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Amgen: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Roche: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Pliva: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Alvogen: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Oktal Pharma: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Sandoz: Honoraria, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees.

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International prognostic score for asymptomatic early-stage chronic lymphocytic leukemia

Blood ◽

10.1182/blood.2019003453 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 135 (21) ◽

pp. 1859-1869 ◽

Cited By ~ 7

Author(s):

Adalgisa Condoluci ◽

Lodovico Terzi di Bergamo ◽

Petra Langerbeins ◽

Manuela A. Hoechstetter ◽

Carmen D. Herling ◽

...

Keyword(s):

High Risk ◽

Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia ◽

Risk Score ◽

Early Stage ◽

Prognostic Score ◽

Lymphocytic Leukemia ◽

Low Risk ◽

Intermediate Risk ◽

Early Stage Disease ◽

International Prognostic Score

Abstract Most patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) are diagnosed with early-stage disease and managed with active surveillance. The individual course of patients with early-stage CLL is heterogeneous, and their probability of needing treatment is hardly anticipated at diagnosis. We aimed at developing an international prognostic score to predict time to first treatment (TTFT) in patients with CLL with early, asymptomatic disease (International Prognostic Score for Early-stage CLL [IPS-E]). Individual patient data from 11 international cohorts of patients with early-stage CLL (n = 4933) were analyzed to build and validate the prognostic score. Three covariates were consistently and independently correlated with TTFT: unmutated immunoglobulin heavy variable gene (IGHV), absolute lymphocyte count higher than 15 × 109/L, and presence of palpable lymph nodes. The IPS-E was the sum of the covariates (1 point each), and separated low-risk (score 0), intermediate-risk (score 1), and high-risk (score 2-3) patients showing a distinct TTFT. The score accuracy was validated in 9 cohorts staged by the Binet system and 1 cohort staged by the Rai system. The C-index was 0.74 in the training series and 0.70 in the aggregate of validation series. By meta-analysis of the training and validation cohorts, the 5-year cumulative risk for treatment start was 8.4%, 28.4%, and 61.2% among low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk patients, respectively. The IPS-E is a simple and robust prognostic model that predicts the likelihood of treatment requirement in patients with early-stage CLL. The IPS-E can be useful in clinical management and in the design of early intervention clinical trials.

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